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Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Saturday take Syracuse at home.

There is no doubt that Jim Boeheim's squad has been an absolute dog with fleas on the road of late. 'Cuse just has not been the same team away from the Carrierdome and therefore have struggled mightily to put it lightly. They allowed 100 in a loss in Providence, then 102 at Villanova and in the last game lost once again in a non-cover at UCONN scoring a whole 49 points.

But back home here and against a team that also has not been all that themselves in Georgetown I will take my chances with the talented Orange.

When Syracuse comes to play they can beat anybody. This team is extremely talented when healthy as guys like Devendorf, Flynn, Harris, Onuaku, Rautins and others can ball with the best of them. These guys are explosive as heck and can run any opponent out of their gym. Forget about the fact that they have dropped five straight on the road because they are not traveling today and that stat is meaningless to me here.

A month ago the Hoyas pounded the Orange 88-74 and today is all about revenge. John Thompson III's squad has not been right since that win and are a porous 4-7 in the Big East. Yes they certainly have to win this game but the 6-6 Orange do not have all that much wiggleroom themselves and at home with revenge definitely should win and cash the ticket.

Patrick Ewing and Alonzo Mourning ain't taking the court today and after losing six of seven the Hoyas are in trouble yet again!

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

OK, we were way off last night with Villanova as the Wildcats got destroyed by West Virginia. That’s fine. We’re bouncing back today as we’re taking Wyoming on the road at San Diego State.

Sure, Wyoming isn’t a sexy pick, but consider that the Cowboys are catching about 17 points on the road and they’re playing an Aztecs team they always play tough and you’ll realize this is a no brainer.

Consider that over their last six meetings Wyoming is 3-3 SU against San Diego State, but is 4-2 ATS and beat the Aztecs outright when they played Jan. 14. In their first meeting of this season the Cowboys were installed as 6 ½ point underdogs, but on outright 83-79.

Over their last five games in San Diego, Wyoming is 3-2 ATS with the Cowboys going 2-1 ATS their last three games in San Diego. In that five game stretch the Aztecs have only outscored the Cowboys, on average, 75.2-66.6.

Wyoming will keep this one close and will definitely utilize the points the Aztecs are laying. Take the points in this one tonight and take Wyoming on the road.

3♦ WYOMING

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Connecticut at SETON HALL +11

Winner Friday night on Butler minus the points, now 7-2-2 our last 11 comp plays!

Early Saturday action, and we are backing the double-digit home dog Seton Hall plus the points against # 1 Connecticut.

No doubt UConn is strong, and we are not calling for the outright upset here, but Seton Hall has been coming on strong down the stretch, and they enter today's tilt having won their last 5 straight up, while going 4-1 against the spread.

The Huskies will have to adjust to life withour guard Jerome Dyson, and while they should have enough to get by today - they are 8-0 straight up the last 8 meetings, 7-1 against the spread! - UConn did fail to cover the first meeting this season against the Pirates, winning by 15 as the 18 1/2-point favorite.

Expect another Huskies outright, but getting on top of double-digits on the road without one of your starters could be a dicey propostion.

Play on the Hall plus the points.

2♦ SETON HALL

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Cincinnati +16' at PITTSBURGH 

Yet another FREE winner Friday night with Valpo who got an easy win and cover over Loyola-Chicago. That makes 12 of 19 days with comp winners and we'll get you another one today with Cincinnati at Pittsburgh.

This is absolutely crazy how many points the Bearcats are getting in this one. So let's thank the Man, grab them and cash in when this one is over.

Cincinnati has won three straight and seven of its last nine (SU and ATS) and they just beat St. John's on Wednesday 71-61 as a nine-point favorite. The Bearcats have been one of those teams that can play any style, lighting up the scoreboard in a shootout or playing a defensive struggle like they did at Georgetown a week ago, winning 64-62 in overtime as 10 1/2-point road 'dogs.

Pitt has won four straight and they rely on their offense to outslug the opposition as they have allowed 69.4 points a game over the last five.

Cincinnati has gotten the cash in each of the last three meetings with the Panthers even though they have only won one of those games. Last year the Bearcats went to Pitt and hung tough all the way through, losing 73-67 as 10 1/2-point underdogs.

Let's be grateful, grab all these points and play Cincinnati.

3♦ CINCINNATI

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Stanford at CAL -6 

Winning days 12 of the last 19 with FREE selections and another one for you here with Cal hosting Stanford in Pac-10 action.

California has won two straight, sweeping the Washington schools last weekend, including an 86-71 blowout of Washington as one-point home 'dogs. Tonight the Bears have got payback on their mind as their rivals come to town and they'll get it.

Cal lost to Stanford 75-69 as three-point favorites about a month ago and they will get that payback today.

The Golden Bears seem to get the offense going at home, averaging 79 points a game on the home court and shooting 53 percent from the floor, including an amazing 49 percent from the 3-point line. Defensively, they allow just 62.5 points a game on the home floor.

Cal is 9-3 ATS on the home floor, including 8-2 ATS in the last 10. The Bears are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight as a favorite. In this series, the favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings and Cal will be improving on that one tonight.

The Bears have got a trio of players that can score at will in Jerome Randle, Patrick Christopher and Theo Robertson who put in a combined 57 points in their last outing.

Let's go with the home team in this one as Cal has something to prove.

4♦ CAL

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Stanford at CALIFORNIA -7 

The G-Man is on a 9-4 comp play run the last 13 days, 14-6 overall the last 20 days.

Call me a "square", but I am buying into the Mike Montgomery-factor today, and looking for his Golden Bears to defeat his old team Stanford both straight up, and against the spread.

The Bears lost in Palo Alto 75-69 back on January 17th, as the Cardinal did cover the 2 1/2-point impost in that one, but this game is at the Haas Pavillion where the Golden Bears are a whopping 14-1 straight up, and a nifty 9-2 against the spread in lined home games.

Cal does lead the nation in triples at nearly 45% will most definitely bang home more than they did in their meeting on the road when they hit just 5-of-15.

Johnny D's team has dropped 4 of their last 6 straight up, and are just 3-4 straight up away from the cozy confines of the Maples Pavillion.

Have to lay the wood here, as Montgomery evens the score against his former employer.

G-Man on Cal minus the points.

3♦ CALIFORNIA

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Ohio -12.5

Toledo is a terrible 4-20 on the season, and their play away from home has been pathetic to put it lightly. The Rockets are now 1-13 SU in road games, going 2-9 ATS in their lined road contests. They are losing by an average of 13.2 points per game when playing away from home. Ohio, on the other hand, has done basically all their damage at home this year. The Bobcats own a 9-1 home record and have gone 5-2 ATS in all lined home games. They are outscoring their opponents by 12.3 points per game at home. Coming off a bad loss at Western Michigan, look for Ohio to show some determination at home Saturday where they have been brilliant all season. Toledo is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 55 points or less this season. Ohio is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons. You will be counting your chips early into the second half as Ohio gets off to a fast start and never looks back. Take Ohio and lay the points.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bob Harvey

Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning    
Play: Washington Capitals -186

All eyes tonight will be on Ottawa defenseman Mike Green as he looks for a spot in the NHL record books.

Green has a goal in seven straight games, and with one against the Lightning he'll break the NHL record for the longest streak for a defense man, set by Boston's Mike O'Connell in 1983-84. Whether he get’s the “biscuit in the basket” tonight is still to be determined but what isn’t in doubt is that Washington should trounce Tampa Bay.

The Capitals have had their way with the Lightning beating them seven straight times including twice this season. Florida is 2-1-0 to start a season-high six-game homestand. But before you schedule the parade and buy the confetti,consider that the two victories came over the two bottom feeders in the East: the Islanders and Thrashers.

Having the “Great 8” on the ice with you won’t hurt your chances at history either. Alexander Ovechkin is skating his way towards another MVP title. He’s leads the NHL in goals with 37 and is near the top with his 70 points. And like Green, he’s streaking as well, putting up a point in his last seven outings.

As a fan of Hockey history, I'd like to see Greenie get his goal tonight. I certainly expect his Senators to come away with another convincing victory.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Boise State +4.5

Reasons why Boise State covers the spread Saturday:

1.) The Broncos’ home-court advantage is the real deal. Not even 24-1 Utah State will be able to run over Boise State Saturday. We are predicting an upset here as Boise State is 11-1 at home this season. Utah State did already beat the Broncos by 14 points at home back on January 17th of this year, but it won’t come nearly as easy on the road against a team that has suffered only 1 home loss all season.

2.) Utah State is coming off a hard-fought 9-point win at Idaho just two nights ago on Thursday, so the fatigue factor will play a big part in Boise State pulling off the upset. The Broncos last played on Monday, so they’ve had 4 days to rest up for this game compared to Utah State’s 1 day of rest. That extra 4 days will pay dividends, as Boise State has had more time to game-plan for Utah State and correct what they did wrong in the first meeting.

3.) Trends favoring Boise State. Utah State is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5 points. Meanwhile, Boise State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 points. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Boise is 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss. The Broncos will put together their most impressive win of the season Saturday as they hand Utah State only their 2nd loss of year. Bet Boise State at home.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Rob Vinciletti

Kentucky vs. Arkansas    
Play: Kentucky -4½

On Saturday afternoon the free play is on Kentucky.Game 509 at 1pm eastern.They Wilcats have big edges in both shooting and defending.They are 12-6 vs winning teams this year.Arky is 1-6 su and 2-4 ats in there last six vs winning teams,1-7 ats off a conference game, and will have trouble keeping up with Kentucky here.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Homedawg

3 Units Georgia Tech -3.5

Think this is a good match up for Tech. They catch NC ST coming in off an emotional win over Wake Forest, and on top of that I feel they match up favorably. Lawal, Aminu, and Peacock are the exact opposite of St's big men. They are physical bangers that aren't afraid to mix it up. Coster and McCaulley are soft. That is NC ST's main problem this season. Both Costner, and McCaulley would rather hang around the 3 point line and shoot jumpers rather than get in the paint and use their big bodies to bang. I give GT the big advantage there. GT's record may not show it, but they have actually improved a great deal since the beginning of the season. They are always competitive at home, and have a great opportunity to pick up another win. Another area of concern for NC ST is their shaky point guard situation. They really don't have one. I am not going to count Javi Gonzalez as a point guard because imo he is the worst D1 basketball player on scholarship. Hewitt may be a little more intense with his full court press Saturday, and try to force the turnover prone Pack into some unforced errors. I expect the Tech big men to have a big day, and pick up an easy win. I will be very surprised if they don't get this one. GT by 10+ 3 Units (524) Bradley -5.5 -110 Usually don't like laying this many points, but I think this matchup can justify so. Evansville is basically a 1 man team. Shy Ely has been left to carry most of the load, as his back court mate Jason Holsinger has been in a huge slump. The usually reliable Holsinger is only shooting 35.5% from the field, and 31.1% from 3. Both numbers are way down form his first 3 years. With Jason struggling so much defenses are able to focus their attention on Ely. Bradley especially matches up well with the Aces because they have an abundance of quick, athletic guards that they can throw at Ely throughout the game. Evansville usually struggles against teams that can match them in the back court, and Bradley can certainly do just that. And all this isn't even touching on Evansville's road woes. The Aces have been blasted numerous times on the road this season. They have never been a good road team, and this year is more of the same. You also have to question if they aren't left a little burned out and demoralized after they poured all of their energy into a late 2nd half rally at Illinois St Thursday. They were down 23 int he 2nd half when they went on a tear to tie the game only to eventually fall by 2 points. One may question if that loss was a breaking point for their season, but it certainly doesn't help. As for Bradley they have lost 4 straight coming into this game, but all 4 wins are justifiable. They lot by 4 at illinois st, and had 2 other road losses to Drake, and Creighton, mixed in with a home loss to red hot N. Iowa. All of those match ups were more difficult for what is on deck Saturday. Bradley always has a strong home court advantage at Carver Arena, and they should be able to hold court Saturday. Evansville just can't match Bradley's depth at guard. Bradley by 10+ 3 Units (545) Kansas -1 -110 3 Units (561) Virginia Tech +4 -110 As much criticism Gary Williams has received I actually think he has over achieved this season. The personnel on this team plain and simple just isn't that good. VT will have much more fire power in this game, and plays just as good on defense. The key to the game will be Jeff Allen. I really don't think Maryland has much of an answer for him in the paint. He should be able to have his way down low, and control the glass. VT also has more firepower on the perimeter with Vassallo and Delaney. One of the more pleasant surprises in the acc may be the developement of Malcolm Delaney. He isn't the player who will back down to Vaszquez, and will give it right back to him. While VT has no problems scoring with 3 legit scorig threats Maryland has the lowest scoring average in the ACC with a 66ppg average. Maryland has picked up a few wins, and I think are becoming slightly over valued b/c of those. I have this game at a pk em so I will gladly take the points in a game I think will win straight up.(583) Miami Oh/W. Michigan Under 119 -110 3 Units (637) Ohio St/Wisconsin Under 123 -110 With Wisconsin regaining old defensive form I think it's time to back an under I think is set 6 points too high. The proof to Wisconsin's defensive improvements lie in the numbers. Here are their last 3 games and the points they allowed; Ilinois 50, Penn St 44, Iowa 52. Now Ohio St is no offensive fire power so I expect more of the same. Plus these teams have played 3 consecutive under games. In the past 3 meetings neither of the teams have shot above 44%, and 3 of the times they were held under 37%. There really isn't going to be much explosiveness on the court. I expect your typical Big 10 slugfest (or is it pillow fight?) 3 Units (634) Boise St +4 -110 I will gladly take 4 points with a team that is 11-1 at home this year. Boise has always been strong at home where they shoot the ball close to 50% from the field. Utah St is known for their efficient offense, but their road fg% is actually less than Boise's home fg%, just a little food for thought. Anyways I think Utah St is starting to become a little over valued because of their gaudy 24-1 record. To be honest there really isn't much to pick apart on the Aggies. They are a very sound team. Nothing flashy, but they get the job done. However there is no way they should be favored over Boise on their court. The Bronco's have played 4 straight road games, so they will be extra eager to play their first home game since January 24th. Boise has been playing very efficient ball themselves,and match up pretty well with Utah St. This is another game I see as a toss up so will gladly take the points in a game I expect to win straight up. 3 Units(657) Portland +9 -110 9 points from a team they just beat by 18 just a week ago? I will take that thank you. St. Mary's still doesn;t have Mills back in the lineup so I don't see what the difference will be? In that game Portland pretty much handled them from the opening tip. They took advantage of no Mills, and most importantly kept the battle in the paint to bascially a stale mate. The rebounding battle was even, and neither Sanhan or Simpson really got off. In fact both Simpson's and Samhan's production has dropped since Mills got hurt, which shows just how important he is to this team. Samhan particularly struggled last game against Gonzaga,and against Portland. The Pilots actually have better offensive statistics overall anyways. They shoot it 46.3% from the floor and an amazing 41.4% from 3, compared to St. Mary's 44.3% from the floor, and 33.8% from 3. Portland's ability to shoot the 3 so consistently can keep them in games vs practically anybody, and when they are on can blow out anybody. In their last meeting Portland was able to shoot 59.3% where St. Mary's was limited to 39.6%. I have seen St Mary's play a few times since Mills went down . This offense is no where near as efficient as it was with him playing. From the 2nd half of the Zaga game where the injury occurred to Thursday's game against Zaga they haven't improved at all. In the 4 games since his injury they have won only 1 game against lowly San Francisco. They blew a halftime lead against the Zags, got beat by 18 against Portland, lost by 18 against Santa Clara, beat SF, and then lost again to Zaga at home. This is a very good Portland team, who will be coming in with the confidence that they already beat this team. Ravio went off for 27 in the first meeting, and STM hasn't picked up an answer to him since then. I expect another close game, and wouldn't be surprised to see them pull out the win.(660) Hawii +2.5 -110 3 Units (529) Old Dominion -1 -110 3 Units (529) ODU/VCU Under 130.5 -110 563) Wake Forest/Florida St Under 143 -110 This is way too many points for a game involving Florida St. Any time this team meets a top level opponent the games have been low scoring. FSU doesn't have explosive scorers, other than Douglas, so they rely on strong defense to keep games close. They have the top shelf athletes that allow them to do so. Here's a quick glance at both teams defensive numbers on the season. FSU fg def 37.9%. 3pt % 31.2%. WF fg% def 37.8 3pt % def 28.7%. Throw in the fact FSU only shoots 42.8% from the floor themselves, and 33.3% from 3 and the numbers are telling us this will be a low scoring battle. If the numbers don't tell the truth then the match ups will. FSU has plenty of big bodies to throw at Wake's big, ahtletic front line. There are not many teams in the country that can match up with them, but I think FSU can. If their performance on the glass against Pitt, one of the best rebounding teams in the country, then maybe their job on Clemson did? FSU has held both UNC, and Duke under 40% from the field this season, and could be able to a struggling Wake Forest team to that list. I am expecting to see a Clemson type 66-61 score for a final here.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports 

3 UNIT PLAY

Florida -10 over GEORGIA

The Gators are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, while the 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Georgia has been downright awful this year as they are just 9-15 overall and 0-9 in the SEC. The Bulldogs have been outscored in league play by 15.4 ppg, including being outscored by 14 ppg in their SEC home games. The Dawgs have put up just 64.8 ppg overall (246th in nation) and just 58.7 ppg in SEC play. Now the Gator defense isn't what it once was but they still allow just 66.7 ppg overalland 43.3 % shooting. The Georgia defense comes in allowing just 68 ppg overall on 42.4% shooting, but in SEC play those numbers ballon to 74.1 ppg and 46.1% shooting. Not good when facing the 22nd ranked scoring offense in the nation. Florida comes in averaging 78.8 ppg on 48.8% shooting (11th), including scoring 77.4 ppg and shooting 47% from the floor in their SEC games. Geogia just doesn't matchup well with any team in the SEC nd I don't see them being able to stay with a very solid Florida team for more than the first 5 minutes. This game should be a rout.


2 UNIT PLAY

Texas -11 over COLORADO


1 UNIT PLAYS

Georgetown +4.5 over SYRACUSE

Florida State +8.5 OVER WAKE FOREST

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Creighton at Southern Illinois

Creighton is 8-2 ATS their last 10 road games and they are 4-0 ATS off a straight up win. The Blue Jays are 7-2 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or less points and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 Conference games. Southern Illinois is 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage over 60% and they are 4-9 ATS their last 13 games as underdogs. The Salukis are 1-4-1 vs. teams with a winning road record and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 meetings with the Blue Jays. PLAY ON CREIGHTON -

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Brian Hansen

Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks
Prediction: Chicago Blackhawks

Chicago is coming off a 1-0 road loss to St. Louis but I look for it to get back on track this evening as it takes on the Stars, who are themselves coming off a 2-1 home victory last night over the visiting Vancouver Canucks. Look for Dallas to be sluggish this evening, and for CHICAGO to improve to 14-7 when playing against a team with a losing record; great value!

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Marc Lawrence

Utah St. at Boise St.
Prediction: Boise St.

The Conference Bear (Utah State) takes on a Conference Cub (Boise State) Saturday night at the Taco Bell Arena where the Aggies battle the Broncos in Boise. These same two squads squared off in Las Cruces earlier this year where USU emerged victorious, 79-65, as 13.5-points favorites. The Broncos have quietly compiled a sterling 34-8 SU mark at home with only 4 losses by more than 4 points. Boise’s 14-7 ATS mark as home dogs of 6 or less points this decade has seen the Broncos win eleven of those contests straight-up on this court. Given Boise’s state of urgency (tied with Nevada for 2nd place in the WAC) along with Utah State’s comfy lead atop the standings, look for the Cub to take a bite of the Bear here tonight.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

OTT +145 vs MIN

The Senators are hot right now and might be worth a look here as a big dog. The Wild have been very inconsistent and are hanging their heads a bit after a loss to the Wild in their most recent game. As for the Senators, they've started to turn things around as they've adjusted to the coaching change and they are riding here after another big win in their most recent game. The Senators won big (5-2) at Philly on Thursday and they bring a ton of momentum with them into Minnesota on Saturday night. Take a look at Ottawa as a potential investment opportunity for Saturday.

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Drew Gordon

Minnesota at PENN STATE -2' 

On paper this isn't the best match up for the Nittany Lions, who've lost 3 in a row SUATS, and have not beaten this Golden Gophers team since Janaury of 2004. However, this game is not being played on paper, its on the Hardwood, and fact of the matter is this is a solid spot to back this Penn State team and here's why:

First, we've seen this Minnesota team struggle on the Big Ten trail, going 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference visitor, with the only win over that span coming against lowly Indiana! Not only that, but Minny also had trouble dispatching the Hoosiers at Williams Arena 4 days ago, winning 62-54, but failing to cover as 17-point home favs. All this tells me the Gophers may be stumbling a bit, and this is not the spot to be coming in half-cocked.

Second, the Lions are desperate for a win having lost their last 3 games, and I can't think of any better spot that today to snap their slump. The Lions have a real axe to grind in this contest, having lost their last 8 meetings with Minny. While it can be argued that both teams are struggling, there's no doubt its a hell of a lot easier to break out of your funk at home.

Finally, the big mismatch here is the sputtering Gophers offense (58 ppg on 39% shooting L5 games) versus a Penn State defense that has been rock-solid at home this season, allowing 57 ppg on 41% shooting. In other words, DO NOT expect the Gophers offensive woes to end this afternoon, as they're walking into the Bryce Jordan Center against a very pissed off pride of Nittany Lions! In the end, Penn State snaps their losing streak, taking advantage of a young Gophers team thats proven plenty vulnerable on the Big Ten trail this season.

Take Penn State over Minnesota in this college hoops match up.

3♦ PENN STATE

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Matt Fargo

Western Kentucky vs. Troy
Play: Western Kentucky 

Troy is red hot with nine straight victories and that helps us immensely here. With first place on the line in the SBC East, Western Kentucky gets excellent line value and that is usually not the case with the Hilltoppers who are still the class of this conference unless some other team can prove otherwise. Western Kentucky was favored by 12 points in the first meeting this season on New Year’s Day and it won that game by 23 points. While Troy has improved, the Hilltoppers have not fallen back and as a matter of fact they are 10-3 in 2009 while Troy is 11-2 so the line swing for this meeting is simply too much. Even giving four points on both sides for home court advantage, the Hilltoppers should still be favored by four points so we will gladly take them at an even number on Saturday. Western Kentucky is ranked 77 spots higher while playing a tougher schedule in the process. Both of the Hilltoppers conference losses came on the road but they were by a combined six points. They have proven they can win on the road against the elite following an early season win at Louisville and I hardly consider Troy as part of an elite group. It is revenge time for Troy tonight and the short price is helping sway the public that way as well. The nine consecutive wins do not hurt either. The problem is that Troy does not match up well here and the Trojans simply are not the better team and motivational revenge can only go so far. The nine-game winning streak is impressive no doubt as is the huge win at Arkansas-Little Rock and the last win at home against Middle Tennessee but other than that, there were no good wins during this run as the other seven victories came against teams that are all .500 or worse in the Sun Belt Conference. Prior to this winning streak, the Trojans went on a 4-7 run and that included some blowout losses and no quality wins. Troy has peaked at the right time but it still is not going to be enough. Western Kentucky has won 11-straight games when scoring 80 or more points including a 3-0 mark this season and with this game expected to be a high-scoring affair, it favors the Hilltoppers. That 3-0 mark includes a win against Troy when Western Kentucky put up 99 points which was easily a season high. The Trojans can no doubt score but their problem is defense as they are allowing 45.2 percent shooting including 46.4 percent at home. As far as efficiency numbers are concerned, Western Kentucky has a 108.6 rating on offense compared to 106.5 for the Trojans. Defensively, the Hilltoppers are at 104.5 while Troy is at 108.8 so Western Kentucky has the edge on both ends and that is even heightened more due to the strength of schedules played. This is obviously a big matchup and one enormous edge for the Hilltoppers is that they have been in this position before while this could be considered one of Troy’s biggest games ever. Experience in these situations can not be more important and the young Trojans will be at a big disadvantage in that regard. Western Kentucky is 6-0 ATS in the second half of the season over the last two years when playing teams that are winning between 60 and 80 percent of their games. Troy meanwhile is just 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games following a win as an underdog. You have to give the Trojans credit as they were not predicted to be in this position but the run ends on Saturday against the far superior Hilltoppers. 3* Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Kansas -1

The Wildcats are rolling, but KU is one obstacle I don't see them conquering today. KU won the first meeting by 16 points and K-State has been the Jayhawks home away from home as they are 10-1 SU and ATS in their last 11 there. This young Jayhawks team still is not getting the respect it has earned from odds makers and is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 because of it. A tight loss at Mizzou in its last games gives Kansas the focus it needs here to come away with a win. Kansas is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. Take the Jayhawks.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jrtips

KANSAS vs. K. STATE

This is just not another game for both teams and last year kansas St. upset the Jayhwaks but this year’s game is even more critical. After an 0-4 start in conference, the Kansas St Wildcats (17-7, 6-4) have shocked everyone to win six in a row and they are probably the hottest team in the conference. A victory over Kansas would put them into contention for a first-division Big 12 finish.The defending national champion Jayhawks (19-5, 8-1) have won eight of their last nine. Cole Aldrich, the 6-foot-11 sophomore, is one of two Big 12 players averaging a double-double and could give Kansas an advantage over the Wildcats inside and junior guard Sherron Collins, averaging a team-high 17.6 points, will be mixing it up on the perimeter with Kansas State guards Fred Brown, Jacob Pullen and Clemente. For K State,Clemente is averaging 14.3 points, while Pullen is averaging 13.6 and leads Kansas State with 40 steals. Last month in their first meeting of the year, Collins scored 24 points and freshman Tyshawn Taylor scored 20 as the Jayhawks got off to an 18-0 lead at home and cruised past Kansas State 87-71 but this game is at K. State where its is going to be crazy and loud which will have the Widcats playing on Top of their game. Kansas has lost all but two of their last 39 meetings with their archrivals. Both teams will have trouble stopping each other in this type of environment and this game will come down to the wire.

TAKE OVER 142

Blade
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