TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

BIG AL

RED-HOT BIG AL's TUESDAY NIGHT 75-34 NBA SHOCKER!

New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors    
Play: New York Knicks +4

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Golden State. The Warriors have been playing very well at home of late -- and we've been on them in several of those games (e.g., vs. Utah and San Antonio) -- but in all of the games we've played on the Warriors, they had been installed as the underdog. Now, Golden State is favored, and the Warriors are a dismal 5-9 ATS as a favorite this season. Frankly, I love fading bad teams as favorites. We went against Oklahoma City when it was favored by 7 vs. Sacramento on Sunday (and got the $$$ when the Thunder won by just three points), and also faded the Grizzlies on Friday when they were favored by 5 over the Clippers (and Memphis lost that game by 21). Now, let's fade the Warriors, as bad teams cannot be trusted to lay a lot of points, and Golden State also falls into a negative 34-75 ATS system of mine which fades certain home teams off upset wins. Tonight's opponent for the Warriors will be the Knicks. Although New York is in the midst of a four-game losing streak, three of its losses were to the Lakers, Cleveland and Boston (the league's three best teams), and the fourth was a 1-point road loss to the Trail Blazers (another strong club), so the Knicks can be excused for that. However, right before this four-game losing skid, New York had won six of seven, and those games were against teams much like these Warriors. The Knicks have a lot of players who are stepping up right now: Al Harrington is averaging 28 ppg in his last five games, and David Lee has "double-doubles" in his last 14 games. Earlier this season, New York scored 138 points in a 13-point win over Golden State at Madison Square Garden, and I expect a similar victory tonight. Take the points.

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Raging Bull

Crewe Alexandra/Bristol Rovers over 2.5 (English League 1)

Forest Green Rovers/Stevenage Borough over 2.5 (English Conference)

Brazil +130 over Italy (International Friendly)

Cambuur Leeuwarden/FC Zwolle over 2.5 (Dutch Eerste Divisie)


ATS Sports Club

English League 2:
Exeter City vs. Macclesfield Town over 2.5

English Conference:
Stevenage Borough vs. Forest Green Rovers over 2.5

International Friendly:
Ukraine -110

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JEFFERSON-SPORTS

EARLY RELEASE NBA

OKLAHOMA CITY+13

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Chip Chirimbes

Michigan State vs. Michigan     
Play: Michigan +4     

#9 Michigan State (19-4) has had their problems at times this season but not on the road where they are 7-0. They have had some problems are home losting to the likes Penn State and Northwestern along with North Carolina. Michigan comes in off a losing effort against Connecticut on Saturday but showed they can play with ranked teams. A game against your instate rival where they are 12-2 at home give the edge with the points to Michigan. WOLVERINES!


New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors    
Play: Over 233

The Knicks try to avoid a fifth straight loss Tuesday as two of the NBA's highest-scoring teams meet in what's likely to be an entertaining shootout.New York (21-29) had started to come together recently under first-year coach Mike D'Antoni, winning six of seven going into last week. The Knicks, though, were swept on a three-game homestand by the Los Angeles Lakers, Cleveland and Boston - the three best teams in the NBA.New York opened a three-game West Coast trip Sunday with a 109-108 defeat at Portland, blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead and losing on Brandon Roy's buzzer-beating layup.The Knicks trail New Jersey by two games for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, but they're still optimistic after staying close to the Cavaliers and Celtics and nearly beating the Blazers, who are 19-5 at home.

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Dr. Canada

Boston Bruins -130

Columbus Blue Jackets -150

LA Kings vs. NY Islanders over 5.5

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers over 6

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Raging Bull

NBA:

Spurs -5
Warriors -4

NCAA:

Villanova -4
Wichita St. -6

NHL:

Bruins -130
Red Wings -160

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BeatYourBookie

100* Play Florida (+4) over Kentucky (NCAA)
(SEC Game of the Year)

Florida is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 145 and 149.5
Florida is 9-0 SU coming off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons
Florida is 5-0 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Florida is 13-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in the last game


100* Play Marquette (+4.5) over Villanova (NCAA)

Marquette is 5-0 ATS vs. Villanova since 1997
Marquette is 9-1 SU vs. conference opponents this season
Marquette is 12-1 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Marquette is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 140 and 149.5


Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Minnesota (+1.5) over Toronto (NBA)

Toronto is 16-30 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 years
Toronto is 18-30 ATS when playing in non-conference games
Toronto is 6-20 ATS after allowing 85 points or less the last game

30* Play Detroit (-175) over Nashville (NHL)

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Hofstra (+1.5) over Old Dominion (NCAA Power Play)

Old Dominion
• 0-10 ATS coming off a conference win by 10 points or more
• 3-8 ATS when playing as a favorite this season


5* Take Dallas (-12) over Sacramento (NBA Bonus Play)

Sacramento
• 1-11 SU over the last 12 games
• 2-24 SU coming off a road game this season
• 1-13 SU coming off a loss by 6 points or less


Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

3* Take Oklahoma State (+9) over Texas (NCAA)

3* Take Florida (-185) over Toronto (NHL)

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Winning Angle

Play South Florida (pick) over Providence* (Top NCAA Play)

Providence has lost 3 consecutive games and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of February. Providence has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread on the road after allowing 75 points or more in the last game.


Play Florida State (-10) over Virginia* (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia has lost 7 consecutive games and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog this season. Virginia has lost 16 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. Florida State.


NBA Hoops

Play Chicago (-2) over Detroit* (NBA Bonus Play)


NHL

Play Florida (-185) over Toronto* (NHL Bonus Play)

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Matt Fargo

7* NBA DARK HORSE DANDY 12-7 DHD RUN

NY KNICKS +4.5

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Young Guns

5* NBA GOM Spurs (7-1 on 5*'s)
4* G.S.
3* CLEV
3* MIC ST

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Tennessee Valley

Heavy Hitter

Mich +4

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Alatex

15* Hofstra +1.5

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Doc's

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week Take Chicago -2 ½ Over Detroit

3-Unit Play Take San Antonio/New Jersey UNDER 188

3-Unit Play Take Oklahoma City +11 ½ Over LA Lakers

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Alf Musketa

Toronto at Minnesota
Pick: Minnesota

Wow, really bad line here as both teams are struggling. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row, while Toronto has dumped 6 in a row. A closer look reveals that Minnesota has lost to Top teams, New Orleans, Houston, Atlanta, Boston and the Lakers recently, while Toronto has lost to Memphis and Milwaukee in that same span of games.

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Marc Lawrence

100% Perfect NBA Fan Appreciation Play!

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Play On: Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets look to regroup following a devastating 44-point loss Saturday night at New Jersey when they invade South Beach to take on the Heat in Miami tonight. The good news for Denver is their success in this series where they stand 11-2 SU and 8-4-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 SU and ATS when playing off a double-digit loss. In addition, the Nuggets are 12-1 ATS in non-division games when playing off a loss of 36 or more points. The clincher, though, is this angle from our data base.  It tells us to: Play On any NBA road team off a loss of 40 or more points vs. a .540 or greater non division opponent. That's because these teams are 9-0 ATS in this role since 1990. Look for Denver to resume its winning ways here today.

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Scott Spreitzer

25*- Dallas Mavericks

25*- Kent State

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Lenny Del Genio

NBA Trifecta

25* Toronto / Minnesota Over

Cleveland at Indiana
Play: Indiana +6

The Pacers can be a very dangerous home team. Just ask Boston, the Lakers and Orlando, all of whom they have beaten here at Conseco Fieldhouse. Entering February, the team had won seven of eight home games. The Cavs could and should be flat here coming off the loss to the Lakers. Yes, we are aware that Cleveland is a perfect 9-0 ATS off a SU loss this year, but that was their first home loss of the season, so they have yet to be in this particular situation. They also have Phoenix, at home, on deck, so we can see them "looking past" this one. Indiana, meanwhile, will want to atone for a road loss vs. a terrible Washington team Sunday night. They are 16-4 ATS off a road loss this season, which could very well "trump" the Cavs trend. A healthy Mike Dunleavy gives All-Star F Danny Granger a nice scoring compliment. Injuries are starting to be a problem for Cleveland. Take Indiana.


San Antonio at New Jersey
Play: San Antonio -5

We've said this a million times before, but everyone who was writing off the Spurs following their sluggish start to the season should be embarrassed. A return of a healthy starting backcourt (Parker and Ginobili) obviously was the catalyst, but so too is the club's improved defense, always a Greg Popovich hallmark. We've also said this a million times, but San Antonio (an older team) is much better when rested. This will be just their second game in seven days. On Sunday, they proved they are still a force to be reckoned with when they went into Boston and beat the Celtics SU. Meanwhile, this is New Jersey's 3rd game in four nights. We had them Saturday for that incredible 44 point win over Denver, but then Vince Carter got hurt the next night and they got waxed by Orlando. Carter is probable here, but it won't matter. They already have injuries to Jianlin and Swift and PG Harris is in a slump. The Nets have a losing home record this season. Take San Antonio.

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Kevin Rogers

Sacramento at Dallas
Play: Sacramento +11

The Mavs are usually a good fade when laying double-digits at home, and Tuesday's home contest with the Kings is no exception.  Dallas is 1-5 ATS this season as 10+ home chalk, and 7-16 ATS since the start of last season when laying at least 9.5 points at home.  The Mavs will be without spark-plug Jason Terry (averaging nearly 20 ppg), as the shooting guard broke a finger on his left hand in Saturday's overtime win over the Bulls.  Home teams off home overtime victories are 4-19 ATS since the beginning of last season, as Dallas would be the go-against team here.  Sacramento, meanwhile, has been disappointing this season, but has found a way to hold its own in road covers at Cleveland, Houston, New Orleans (twice, including a SU win), Portland, and the Lakers.  The Mavs have covered seven of 20 home games this season, including a 3-8 ATS mark against teams below .500 (two wins against Memphis).  The loss of Terry will hurt a lot more than people think, as this number is too much to lay with the Mavs.  I'll take Sacramento and the points.

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Joe Nelson

New York at Golden State
Play: Golden State -4

The Warriors are really starting to play well at home including only one ATS loss in the past seven home contests Recent wins over Utah and Phoenix as well as an OT loss against San Antonio show that Golden State is finally ready to compete at a high level despite the awful start to the year. On the season Golden State is 15-8-1 ATS at home and although the loss of Biedrins hurts the Warriors overcame that absence to beat Utah on Sunday. The Knicks faced a brutal week of big games last week losing competitive efforts against Los Angeles, Cleveland, and Boston. Then New York faced cross country travel to Portland, suffering a one-point setback on Sunday. This will be a difficult road situation for the Knicks and given that New York has the superior overall record the spread will stay small. Golden State has stepped up on defense in the last few games with much better than season average figures over the past five games. The Knicks have been a solid ATS team but Golden State has had success against Eastern teams and the Warriors are starting to live up to the great potential displayed the past three seasons.

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