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Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

Portland at ORLANDO -7' 

Since season-opening losses to Atlanta and Memphis, which saw the Magic score 85 and 84 points, respectively, Orlando has averaged 105.3 points per game, and yes, Superman is back in the building.

Dwight Howard, who is averaging 22.0 points and 13.7 rebounds, will dominate for the Magic tonight, as they catch the West Coast-Trail Blazers in Central Florida, and on weary legs, the Blazers won't be able to keep up.

Orlando has defeated Portland four straight times, including both meetings last season. The last time the Blazers won in Orlando was nearly four years ago, and they come in having lost all three of their road games thus far.

Portland is on losing spread runs of 1-4 on the highay and 2-5 with a suitcase in hand and facing a team that wins at home, while the Magic are on a 7-3 ATS run against the Northwest division.

Also, the home team has bagged the cash in five of the last six meetings, while the Magic have covered six of the last seven overall.

1♦ MAGIC

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Portland at ORLANDO -7 

The Magic may have started the season rusty, but a nice homestand exactly what the doctor ordered to get Howard and company rolling again, winners of 4 straight home games (3-1 ATS)! Orlando makes it 5 straight tonight, and here's why:

First and foremost, much like we saw last season, this Portland team is not nearly as good when they travel. They're 0-3 SUATS on the road, allowing 102 ppg on over 51% shooting in the early going this season! While we expect those numbers to improve as the season progresses, it won't happen tonight, as the Magic are suddenly surging during their current 5-game homestand.

Speaking of the Trail Blazers defense, its going to get tested early and often tonight, as the Magic are averaging 105 ppg over their 4-game win streak, led of course by manchild Dwight Howard. His 31-point (11 of 13 shooting), 16 board, 3-block effort against the Wizards Saturday was one of the more complete games I've seen from a bigman this season. The fact he's matched up against Przybilla only makes this match up that much sweeter for the Magic.

Also besides a match up edge in the paint, you've got to like Jameer Nelson's match up at the point guard spot. He's become a solid player for this Magic team, and should dominate a much slower Steve Blake tonight. With Howard and Nelson working well, it opens up the game for the rest of the talented Magic, including new arrival Michael Pietrus, who in his brief time here has cemented the shooting guard spot.

Bottom line, this contest is a match up nightmare for the Trail Blazers and the fact they've played so poorly on the road this season only makes it that much easier for a suddenly surging Magic squad tonight at home. Its bombs away on the Portland defense, as doubling Howard opens up the game for Orlando's deadly 3-point shooters, handing the Magic the easy home win and cover.

Take Orlando over Portland in this NBA match up.

2♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Portland at ORLANDO -7' 

Swept our FREE plays on Sunday, including a comp winner on the Lakers as they blew out Houston in Los Angeles. Tonight we've got another NBA winner, this one on the Magic as they host Portland.

The Magic are riding a four-game winning streak and Portland hasn't won on the road this season. All signs point to Orlando in this matchup and don't worry about the chalk, the Magic win this one by 15.

Orlando destroyed Washington on Saturday 106-81 as a 9 1/2-point favorite and center Dwight Howard is in top form early in the season. He put up 31 points and pulled down 16 rebounds against the Wizards in the laugher.

The Magic have won four of the last five matchups with Portland and six of the last seven (5-1-1 ATS). The Blazers haven't gotten a win in Orlando since 2004, losing three straight and failing to cover in any of the three.

Portland is 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 3-8 ATS after a straight-up win and 7-19 ATS on Mondays. Orlando is on ATS streaks of 17-8-2 at home, 20-7-2 at home against teams with a losing record and 7-3 ATS against the Northwest Division.

Let's go ahead and play the Magic at home in this one.

3♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Portland at ORLANDO -8

Tonight we hit the hardwood, and lay the lumber with Orlando.

5th straight home game for the Magic, and Orlando has taken care of business thus far, winning ALL 4 on this homestand, and they have covered in 3 of the 4, with the latest win and cover coming in a 106-81 Saturday rout of Washington.

Look for the Magic to run off another double digit win, and cover against a Portland team that does bring a 2-game winning streak into this one, but those Blazers wins came at home. On the road, Portland has yet to win or cover in 3 tries this season.

Orlando has also swept the season series the last 2 years, covering the last 3 series tilts.

No issue here, Lay it!

5♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Mr A

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals     

The struggling 49ers will have a big assignment slowing down the Cardinals' high-scoring offense at Phoenix Stadium. Arizona has won five straight at home and five of the last seven meetings versus San Francisco, 4-2-1 ATS.

Arizona Cardinals -9½
Orlando Magic -7
Boston Celtics -8

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Jeff Benton

We’re only a handful of games into the 2008-09 season, so you can’t put too much emphasis on any trends. That said, it’s interesting to note that the Blazers are 0-3 on the road this year (0-3 ATS) – all as an underdog – and 3-0 at home (2-1 ATS). It’s also interesting to note that the Magic have ripped off four straight victories, all in Orlando, with three of them coming by double digits.

Also, Orlando has owned Portland the last two years, winning four straight meetings and cashing in each of the last three. And the last time the Blazers won in the Magic Kingdom was nearly four years ago – they’re 0-3 SU and ATS since, including last year’s 101-94 defeat as a 5½-point favorite. In fact, Orlando is on a 6-1 run in this rivalry (5-1-1 ATS).

Finally, at home this season, the Magic are averaging a whopping 101.2 points per game and shooting 45.5 percent from the field, while allowing 92.8 points per game and 43.3 percent shooting. Meanwhile, in its three road losses, Portland is netting 89.3 ppg on 41.2 percent shooting but giving up 102 points per game and 51.4 percent shooting.

Pretty easy call here, folks. Lay the points, as Orlando should roll to a comfortable victory.

2♦ ORLANDO MAGIC

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Monday take the points with the Grizz out West.

Sure Phoenix is far better than Memphis in terms of sheer talent alone and it is the Grizz who are on the back-to-back but this is not an easy spot for Steve Nash and the fellas and I'll scoop up this large number.

The Suns just came back home from that East coast swing and may be a little lethargic back home in this first game back as most teams generally seem to be. Nash, Amare Stoudemire, Shaq and the Suns obviously can run the floor and score a ton of points and blow anybody out at anytime but the Grizz have been alright early on this season and a dozen points in this spot is enough for me.

The Grizz have won three of their last five outright and have covered four of six. These guys beat Dwight Howard and Orlando in upset fashion as well as Golden State twice. Memphis certainly should not win this game as Marc Gasol, Rudy Gay, OJ Mayo and the Grizz are still far from good but they appear to be better than in years' past and are getting a few too many.

It is never easy to come home from a road trip and cover a number and that is the theory I am banking on here as I am all about going against the Suns in this spot.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

LT Profits

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers Over 194.5

The Indiana Pacers went Under vs. the New Jersey Nets on Saturday, but we expect a return to their high-scoring ways when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.

The Pacers has gone Over in three of their first four games prior to that Nets contest, with the sole Under coming vs. a Boston Celtics team that plays the best defense in the league. They are no facing such an immovable force here in the Thunder.

In fact, these clubs are accustomed to shootouts, as the Over is 9-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings! These teams combined for 221 points in a Pacers 114-107 win over the then Seattle Sonics in this building the last time they met last season in March.

Now the Thunder have yet to crack the 100-point mark, but they have faced quite a few good defensive teams so far such as Boston, Houston and Atlanta. They should at the very least approach 100 points vs. an Indiana defense that is surrendering 96.6 points per game.

Now granted, the Thunder are playing the second of a back-to-back, but that had an adverse effect on the defensively last season, when they allowed a whopping 106.9 points per game on the 15 occasions that they played with no rest.

Look for history to repeat itself tonight.

Pick: Thunder, Pacers Over 194.5

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Lenny Del Genio

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Prediction: Under

Look for the Niners to become a defensive-minded team under new HC Mike Singletary. The turnovers that plagued the offense with J.T. O?Sullivan under center will be a thing of the past with the move to Shaun Hill. They were -4 in TO?s the first time they met the Cardinals and the game still went Under. Cardinals are 7-1 Under after gaining seven or more yards per play their previous game. Niners are 12-3 Under when the total is between 42.5 and 49. Take Under.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

2 Units - 49ers/Cardinals Under 47.5

2 Units - Memphis Grizzlies +11.5

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Tommy Rider

Duke -36 (1.5 units)

I normally only go with 1 unit plays this early but I had to make this pick a little bigger. Duke is going to have its best team in some time this season. They aren't just talented, they are also deep, something the Blue Devils have lacked in recent years. But this is play against Presbyterian. The Blue Hose (great nickname) are in just their second season as a Division I team and they only won five games a year ago. Duke eats up teams like this early in the season. I see the Blue Devils winning this game by at least 50 points.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

SportsKingz

San Francisco/Arizona OVER 47

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Wunderdog

San Francisco at Arizona

The 49ers have gone through a lot of changes recently. The first was the firing of Mike Nolan and the hiring of Mike Singletary who will be looking for his first win. Singletary has made some immediate changes, the most high-profile being the benching of turnover-prone J.T. O'Sullivan. It's a good move as his reads have been slow and his decisions have been poor, resulting in 11 INTs and 11 fumbles, as well as 34 sacks. Shaun Hill will get the start for the Niners and he's put up some decent numbers in his limited play. While he'll likely make fewer mistakes, can he help this offense score more? The bigger question may be - can the Niners keep Arizona from putting up 30+ points on them? The San Francisco defense has allowed 29 points per game this season (34.3 per game over their last three). And, Arizona is averaging 29 per game (34 at home). But, when these teams met earlier this season, the offense of the Cards was held to 23 points (their second lowest total on the season). That was despite the fact the Cardinals had a -5 turnover disadvantage, and nearly a 15 minute time of possession disadvantage. The defense was on the field for over 37 minutes, and even with the offense coughing it up five times, the Cards managed to get in the red-zone just three times, converting once. So which Niners defense will show up here? Will Singletary, with two weeks to prepare, have a plan to slow down Kurt Warner? Over the past three seasons, the Niners are 0-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams (those averaging 24+ ppg). But, Arizona is 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games when instilled as a favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. Over the past two seasons, the Cardinals are 7-0 OVER following a game in which they went UNDER. But, the Niners are 6-0 UNDER since last season in games with a total in this range (42-49).

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers - Monday November 10, 2008 7:00 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Oklahoma City Thunder +11 (-110)



Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Oklahoma City  - AiS shows a 72% probability that Oklahoma City will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 85-40 making 41 units since 2002. Play on road dogs that are good defensive teams averaging  41.5-43.5% and is now facing an average defensive team hitting 43.5-45.5% and in a game involving two average rebounding teams with a differential of +/-3 reb/game. Oklahoma City is an up tempo offensive style of team and the Pacers have had a difficult time managing this onslaught in recent seasons.  Pacers are just 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons. Pacers have covered two straight and this simple fact puts them in a vulnerable role noting they are 0-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Take Oklahoma City.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics    
Play: Boston Celtics -8

Take the Champs here in as easy winner. Boston just went to DET and ran it up on the new AI DET pistons. They will do the same thing to TOR tonight. TOR has been playing well but don't have an answer for KG and the boys. The second unit for BOS also has been tearing up everyone in there path. Think they have huge advantage as TOR has no depth. SCORE BOS 96 - TOR 81

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Gregg Price

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Play: San Francisco 49ers  +9.5

3* 49ers - We aren't going to force anything here. Coach Singletary was embarassed after his coaching debut and has had 2 weeks to prepare for the Cardinals on national tv tonight. The question is can he stop this offense? It's tough to cover against a divisional opponent twice in the same year, and Arizona already beat them in week 1. Very light play on the Dog.

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