NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

Charlotte (0-0, 0-0) at Cleveland (0-1, 1-0 ATS)

The Cavaliers return to Quicken Loans Arena for their home opener following Tuesday’s 90-85 loss at Boston, though they covered as a six-point underdog. LeBron James (22 points) had a decent game, but he missed a couple of key free throws in the final minute, and Cleveland had just three players score in double figures, while Boston had five. The Cavs are now on a 6-0 ATS run dating to last season’s run to the Eastern Conference semifinals.

The Bobcats, playing their season opener, are coming off a 32-50 campaign last year (36-43-3 ATS) which included finishing the season on a 7-5 SU run just to break the 30-win barrier. Charlotte capped 2007-08 in a 3-6 ATS slump.

Cleveland has won seven of the last 10 meetings against the Bobcats, including the last three in a row. However, Charlotte is 5-3 ATS in the last eight battles, though the two teams split the cash in last season’s four contests, with the road team covering each time. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS on their last six trips to Cleveland, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.

Along with the Cavaliers’ current 6-0 ATS run (all against Eastern Conference foes), they are on additional pointspread streaks of 5-0 when playing on one day’s rest and 5-1 at Quicken Loans Arena. Overall at home last year, Cleveland was 32-15 SU, but just 20-27 ATS.

The Bobcats finished last season in ATS ruts of 3-7 against the East and 2-6-1 against teams with a losing record, and they went 11-30 SU (17-22-2 ATS) as a visitor.

The under for Cleveland is on a bevy of tears, including 14-6 overall, 20-7 at home and 13-6 playing on one day’s rest. The under is also 9-3 in Charlotte’s last 12 roadies. However, the over is on a 4-1 overall run for the ‘Cats, and the total has gone high in four of the last five meetings between these two teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND


Houston (1-0, 0-1 ATS) at Dallas (0-0, 0-0 ATS

The Mavericks and new coach Rick Carlisle tip off their season at American Airlines Center, hoping to improve on last year’s 52-35 record (38-45-4 ATS). Dallas suffered a second straight first-round playoff exist, getting eliminated by New Orleans in six games, which led to the ouster of coach Avery Johnson. The Mavs ended last season in a 3-7 ATS slide (playoffs included), and while they had one of the league’s best home records at 35-8 (playoffs included), they went just 18-21-4 ATS in their building.

The Rockets opened their season last night at home against Memphis and led by just a single point going into the fourth quarter before breaking things open on the way to an 82-71 victory. However, Houston came up just short as a 12½-point favorite. The Rockies did finish last year on a spread-covering flourish, and despite last night’s non-cover, the team is still 28-14-1 ATS in its last 43 games (playoffs included).

In four head-to-head meetings against Houston last year, Dallas went 3-1 SU and ATS (1-1 SU and ATS at home), and the Mavs are 8-2 SU and ATS in the last 10 clashes in this rivalry. Dallas is 6-1 ATS in the last seven battles overall and 4-1 ATS in the last five at American Airlines Center, but the road team has cashed in four of the last five.

The Mavericks are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games against Southwest Division foes, but they are on ATS skids of 3-7 at home and 3-7 against the Western Conference. The Rockets, meanwhile, are on ATS runs of 24-8-3 in Thursday contests, 5-3 inside the division and 7-3 in the second night of back-to-back games. Finally, the Rockets last season went 25-19 SU and 25-18-1 ATS on the highway.

Despite last night’s non-cover against Memphis, the SU winner is still 15-2 ATS in Houston’s last 17 games overall and 18-1 ATS in its last 19 on the highway.

The under cashed in five of Dallas’ last six home games last season, and the under for Houston is on a 9-3 overall run, with last night’s win over the Grizzlies staying well below the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS and UNDER


New Orleans (1-0, 0-1 ATS) at Phoenix (1-0 SU and ATS)

The Hornets, coming off a surprising season in which they reached the Western Conference semifinals, opened the 2008-09 campaign with Wednesday’s 108-103 victory at Golden State, though they came up short as a seven-point road chalk. Going back to last year’s seven-game playoff series loss to San Antonio, New Orleans is mired in a 1-5 ATS slump.

The Suns, who were ousted by the Spurs in the first round of last season’s playoffs, got a small measure of revenge in last night’s season opener, winning 103-98 in San Antonio as a one-point road underdog. Amare Stoudemire (22 points), Steve Nash (13) and Shaquille O’Neal (15 points) all scored in double figures for Phoenix, with Nash chipping in a game-high 13 assists and O’Neal contributing a game-high 13 rebounds. The Suns are on a 16-5 roll in regular-season action (13-7-1 ATS), including 9-1 at home (8-2 ATS).

New Orleans went 4-0 SU and ATS in four clashes with Phoenix last season, winning and covering the first three games in the underdog role. The Hornets are on additional ATS runs in this rivalry of 6-0 overall and 9-2-1 in Phoenix, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six contests.

The Hornets are a sterling 26-7-2 ATS in their last 35 games when playing on no rest and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 against the Pacific Division, but they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven roadies. The Suns ended last season in a 1-4-1 ATS slump when playing on no rest, but in addition to their 8-2 ATS run at the U.S. Airways Center, they’re 17-6-2 in their last 25 against Western Conference opponents.

The under for Charlotte is on streaks of 6-3-1 overall, 4-2 against the Pacific Division, 6-3-1 in the West and 5-3 on the highway, and in this rivalry, the under is on tears of 9-3 overall and 9-3 in Phoenix.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and UNDER

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Tips and Trends

Charlotte Bobcats at Cleveland Cavaliers


Bobcats: The Larry Brown era begins in Charlotte, and the Bobcats also hope they will get big contributions at some point from Sean May and Adam Morrison, who are both coming off knee injuries. Brown saw his new team go 0-8 in the preseason, and his experience as the only coach to win both college and pro championships may or may not rub off on the players. Charlotte did play Cleveland very tough last season with all four meetings decided by seven points or less.

Bobcats are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Charlotte's last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - F Sean May (knee) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 84 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Cavs (-9.5, O/U 183.5): Cleveland is coming off a somewhat disappointing 90-85 loss at Boston in the season opener on Tuesday. Despite covering the spread for the eighth time in nine meetings with the Celtics, the Cavs blew a 50-43 halftime lead and committed 21 turnovers. New addition Mo Williams had four of the turnovers and will take some time to blend into the offense. Williams totaled 12 points in his Cleveland debut while LeBron James led the team in scoring with 22.

Cavs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 20-7 in Cleveland's last 27 home games.

Key Injuries - F Darnell Jackson (wrist) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 94


Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks

Rockets: Houston is coming off an 82-71 home win over Memphis on Wednesday night, as Ron Artest and Tracy McGrady each scored 16 points while Yao Ming led the team with 21 points and 10 rebounds. The Rockets won despite shooting less than 37 percent from the field, making the Grizzlies miss all 13 of their 3-point attempts. Houston started the game strong - racing out to an 11-2 lead - and then outscored Memphis 24-14 in the fourth quarter.

Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Houston's last 12 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Shane Battier (foot) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 95 (Side Play of the Day)

Mavs (-5, O/U 191): Dallas will have a different look this season with point guard Jason Kidd back for a full season while new head coach Rick Carlisle hopes to lead the rest of the roster back to its former status as one of the best teams in the Western Conference. That could prove to be a difficult task since Kidd is clearly on the downside of his career, but he may have just enough in the tank to get the Mavs into the playoffs yet again. Time will tell.

Mavs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games overall.
Mavs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Devean George (hand) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97


New Orleans Hornets at Phoenix Suns

Hornets: New Orleans picked up where the team left off in the preseason, earning a 108-103 victory at Golden State in the regular-season opener. The Hornets went a perfect 7-0 in the preseason, the first time in six years that an NBA team had accomplished that feat. Chris Paul led the way against the Warriors with 21 points and 11 assists, including the go-ahead basket with 19.4 seconds remaining.

Hornets are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
The OVER is 6-2 in New Orleans' last 8 Thursday games.

Key Injuries - F Julian Wright (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 98

Suns (-1.5, O/U 197): Phoenix started the Terry Porter era with an impressive road victory at San Antonio on Wednesday night behind 22 points from Amare Stoudemire, who scored half of them in the fourth quarter alone on perfect 5-of-5 shooting. Steve Nash added 13 points and dished out 13 assists. “Amare was huge for us down the stretch,” Porter said. “(Nash) also made a couple of big plays. It was a solid win for us and just a great way to start the season.”

Suns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

Key Injuries - F Alando Tucker (hamstring) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 99


CHARLOTTE (0 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 102-137 ATS (-48.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons 
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons 
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 


HOUSTON (0 - 0) at DALLAS (0 - 0) 
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 160-120 ATS (+28.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 264-214 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons 
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons 
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

NEW ORLEANS (0 - 0) at PHOENIX (0 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons 
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons 
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 


Charlotte at Cleveland
Charlotte: 50-29 Over if the total is between 180 and 189.5
Cleveland: 34-18 ATS at home off ATS win/SU loss

Houston at Dallas
Houston: 21-12 Under vs. division
Dallas: 6-2 ATS vs. Houston

New Orleans at Phoenix
New Orleans: 27-12 ATS playing on BB days
Phoenix: 0-6 ATS vs. New Orleans


CHARLOTTE vs. CLEVELAND
Charlotte is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cleveland's last 20 games

HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
Houston is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Houston
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston

NEW ORLEANS vs. PHOENIX
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing at home against New Orleans

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Re: NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

NBA Thursday
By Andre Gomes

Charlotte @ Cleveland

The Bobcats were terrible during the preseason. Lack of chemistry, a lot of turnovers, with no rhythm at all. They finished the preseason with a 0-8 record and even though I know this doesn't mean a lot, that at least means that teams need to win some confidence and they use to do it with wins on the preseason and the Bobcats have nothing to be confident of right now. The last team to went winless on the preseason was Miami last season and we all know how they played on the regular season after that.

So, we have the Bobcats as a double digits dog in here, on their season debut at Cleveland. The Cavs lost to Boston on their opening game, even though they were up by 7 at halftime. We can't say that they played badly, even though they scored just 85 points. After all, they were playing against the reigning champions. Today the team will try to bounce back against the Bobcats.

I think the Cavs will win today, as they are the better team, but the question in here is to know if the line of 10 points has any value. Last season, the team wasn't able to blow out almost any team at home, going 4-9 ATS on the home games where they were favored by more than 6 points, as they used to allow the games to be competitive and then just wait for Lebron to solve the game at the end. Curiously or not, the games between these two teams in Cleveland were just like that: the Cavs won both games, but they couldn't cover the spreads of 7,5 and 8 points. I'm afraid the same may happen today, so I won't get involved on this game. It's also important to notice that with Larry Brown now in Charlotte, the team will be more defensive and the matchup with the Cavs promises to have few points, but 184 points is to low for me to take the under.


Houston @ Dallas

This would be a good spot for Dallas in normal conditions. Houston is coming from a home game yesterday against Memphis and today Dallas would have a good spot to take advantage of that. However, Houston struggled to win yesterday much more than it was expected and so, the public is now on Dallas. For some reason, the line began at -4 and it is now at -5.

Houston had a terrible performance yesterday against the Grizzlies. They shot 36.8% FG and had more turnovers than assists (12-10), so they won't go to this match relaxed, but instead concerned in playing better than they did yesterday. So, Dallas would have value in normal conditions, but they don't have value anymore, as the line is now higher for them and Houston will also come to this game in a different way than it was expected.


New Orleans @ Phoenix

Both teams are coming from wins on the road last night and especially the win of the Suns was a great one, as they defeated an direct opponent in a revenge game for them. I don't know if you have noticed that, but Terry Porter used an extended rotation. The bench of the Suns scored 42 of the 103 points scored by them last night, something unthinkable when D'Antoni was the team's coach. Another curious aspect was to watch the new style of the Suns in action. The team played on a slower tempo, with an excellent ball movement. They committed just 10 turnovers, which is always a good sign against the Spurs.

Today Phoenix will have another revenge game. The Suns lost the 4 games they played against the Hornets last season and basically Steve Nash was outplayed by Chris Paul in every game of the series. The Hornets are coming from a win on the road against the Warriors, with Chris Paul having 21pts, 11ast and 5reb. It's hard to guess who will win tonight. The Suns have a revenge game factor on their side, but the fact this game will be a back to back game for both teams may favor the younger team, in this case the Hornets.

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Re: NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

Inside the Paint - Thursday
By Chris David

The NBA regular season is only two days old and we all know it’s foolish to declare a champion so early but there are some observations that should be noted. Let’s take a closer look before we break down Thursday’s card.

-- The Lakers are deep, 10 deep to be exact. Anytime you have a decent veteran like Luke Walton fighting for minutes, you know Phil Jackson has a quality roster.

-- San Antonio is a two-man team (Parker, Duncan) without Ginobili on the court. The duo each scored 32 points each and still lost at home. Either one of those two have an off night, it’s lights out.

-- Rookie O.J. Mayo hasn’t realized that the 3-point shot is out of his range yet. He went 0-for-7 from downtown in his debut and finished with 10 points. Mayo’s Memphis teammate and another rookie, Darrell Arthur, outshined the point guard with 11 points and 15 boards which came against a good Houston squad.

-- In case you haven’t noticed, the NBA has become a league run by guards and shooters. If you don’t have a fast point guard and some quality shooters on the outside, you’re in trouble. Case in point - in the 12 games yesterday, nine of the winning teams connected on more 3-pointers than their opponents yesterday.

What can Brown do for you?

Charlotte will find out the answer to that question on Thursday when head coach Larry Brown returns to the hardwood after taking off for two seasons. Will Brown be able to turn this young franchise around or will he rack up another 59 losses in the regular season similar to his last tenure in the NBA with the N.Y. Knicks? The Eastern Conference always has room for surprises, but the Bobcats talent and depth is very questionable.

Jason Richardson and Gerald Wallace are hoping to lead a team that watched Charlotte go 0-8 in the preseason. On Thursday, they ‘Cats face a Cleveland squad led by arguably the best player in the NBA, LeBron James.

The Cavaliers opened the season with a 90-85 loss at Boston on Tuesday, but did manage to cover as six-point underdogs. After leading by seven at the break, Cleveland was outscored by 12 points (47-35) by the reigning champs en route to the loss. James paced the Cavs with 22 points, seven boards and six assists.

Two issues that plagued Cleveland last year was 3-point and free throw shooting. In Tuesday’s loss, Mike Brown’s club was 3-of-15 (20%) from downtown and also missed nine attempts from the charity stripe.

Last year, Cleveland won three of the four meetings against Charlotte. The Bobcats covered two of battles and surprisingly kept it close at Quickens Loan Arena, losing both contests by seven points. The Cavaliers have been listed as 9 ½-point home favorites at most books, while the total is sitting at 184.

Charlotte has gone 1-3 straight up in its first game of the season since coming back to NBA, but it has never lost by more than seven points.

Southwest Showdown

Houston’s version of its “Big Three” got off on the right foot Wednesday by capturing an 82-71 opening night win over Memphis. The trio of Tracy McGrady (16), Yao Ming (21) and Ron Artest (16) certainly didn’t bring their “A” game offensively (36.8%) but the defense buckled down and took advantage of Memphis, who might be lucky to come close to last year’s win total of 22 games.

The Rockets take a quick trip up the road on Thursday when they visit Dallas, who will be playing its first game of the year. Head coach Rick Carlisle will be making his debut for the Mavericks and his new plan is to let point guard Jason Kidd attack, while retaining a defensive presence.

The Mavericks have dominated teams at home, evidenced by their 35-8 record at American Airlines Center last season. Houston was one of few teams to notch a victory in Dallas, posting an impressive 113-98 triumph on the board last March. Prior to that win, the Mavericks had won and covered six straight battles against the Rockets.

The ‘over’ went 3-1 last year and oddsmakers have nudged Thursday’s number up to 192, which is the highest ‘over/under’ listed in the last 10 meetings between the two clubs from the Southwest.

TNT offers coverage of this battle at 8:00 p.m. EDT.

Duel in the Desert

Phoenix and New Orleans close Thursday’s action from Arizona in a matchup of playoff teams from last season. The Suns and Hornets are both playing in back-to-back spots after winning their first games of the year on the road Wednesday.

The Suns held off the Spurs 103-98 yesterday, which gave Terry Porter a win in his coaching debut. Amare Stoudemire posted 22 points and eight boards, while Steve Nash added 13 points and 13 assists. Phoenix shot a blistering (49%) from the floor while only attempting 79 shots, including 15 treys. That’s something total players should keep an eye on going forward, especially if Porter is stressing patience on offense.

Chris Paul has been touted as a serious contender for the league’s Most Valuable Player award and the point guard did not disappoint on Wednesday. Paul filled up the stat sheet with 21 points and 11 assists, as the Hornets edged the Warriors 108-103. The Hornets received a lot of late action on Wednesday, which pushed the line all way up to 6 1/2-points. Golden State had a shot to tie the game late but Al Harrington’s 3-point attempt fell short. Most experts point to New Orleans’ bench as its lone weakness, yet Byron Scott saw his reserves outscore the Warriors 28-17 in the road win. The newly acquired James Posey led the charge with 11 points, including three bombs from 3-point land.

The Paul-Nash matchup was owned by the former Wake Forest standout last year, as New Orleans won and covered all four games against Phoenix. The two road victories against the Suns were tight, with the Hornets winning 132-130 in overtime and 118-113.

Oddsmakers opened Phoenix as a two-point favorite for Thursday. The total is ranging from 195 to 197 across the tote board, which is a tad eye opening. Nine of the previous 10 games have all seen numbers of 200-plus, including all four last season. Again, keep an eye on Porter and the new-look Suns this season before running to the counter with an ‘over’ play.

Tip-off is slated for 10:35 p.m. EDT, with TNT providing national coverage.

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Re: NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

NBA News and Notes
By Matt Fargo

Matt Fargo takes a look at the NBA schedule this weekend and pulls out important matchups, injuries, news notes and betting trends from around the league.

Portland will be playing its first home game on Friday against the Spurs. The Blazers will be without the services of Greg Oden who is out 2-4 weeks with a sprained foot. Joel Przybilla will start for the Blazers at center against San Antonio after he finished with four points and 11 rebounds in 25 minutes against the Lakers. Portland was a dismal 34.5 percent from the floor in that game and now faces a team it is 0-12 in its last 12 against.

Speaking of the Lakers, they are making an early case to repeat as Western Conference Champions. They have won their first two games by 20 and 38 points while easily going 2-0 ATS. They will be playing their first game away from Staples Center as they head to Denver on Saturday to take on the Nuggets. Denver will have the services of Carmelo Anthony as his two-game suspension will be done after Friday against the Clippers.

The Celtics pulled up their 17th Championship banner on opening night and came away with a five-point non-cover against the Cavaliers. They remain home Friday to take on the Bulls who rolled over Milwaukee in their opener. It is a new look Chicago team as Kirk Hinrich and Ben Gordon came off the bench, making way for new starters Derrick Rose and Thabo Sefolosha. Boston went 4-0 SU and ATS last year against Chicago.

Mike D’Antoni had a successful debut in New York as his Knicks held off a ferocious Miami rally to win by five points. His run and gun style was in play as New York piled up 120 points and built a 23-point lead in the third quarter before holding on. Next up is a trip to Philadelphia who lost its opener at home to Toronto and spoiled the debut of Elton Brand. The home team has won and covered seven of the last nine games.

The first ever game in Oklahoma City did not go as planned for the Thunder as they were beaten by the Bucks 98-87. They now go out on the road to take on the Rockets on Saturday which is the first of 11 games in November against playoff teams from last season. Going back to last year, the Thunder have lost 24 of their last 29 games and they have defeated only two playoff teams since last February. Look for the struggles to go on.

Milwaukee bounced back from the loss to the Bulls to take out Oklahoma City as mentioned to even the record at 1-1 on the road. The Bucks are now one-seventh of the way of matching their road win total from last season as they went 7-34, tied for the second worst road record in the league. They take on the Knicks on Sunday in New York where they have lost three straight, last winning there in April, 2006.

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Re: NBA News and Notes Thursday, October 30

Hot and Cold Bets - Week 1
By Matt Fargo

The NBA tips off this week as we begin our eight-month marathon of the pro basketball season. Matt Fargo will be looking into Hot and Cold NBA bets throughout the season and he starts the first week by looking at four big matchups in the first four nights that you will not want to miss.

Thursday – Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks

Can the Rockets finally win a playoff series under Tracy McGrady? We won’t find out for another six months but what we do know is that Houston should be one of the top teams in the Western Conference with the return of Yao Ming and the acquisition of Ron Artest. The Rockets finished 4th in the NBA in ATS record last season, going 47-33-2 against the number and that could be a sign to play against. The Mavericks meanwhile were a disappointing 35-43-1 ATS and despite being 20 games over .500, they finished 7th in the conference and had an early playoff exit for the second straight season. Dallas did nothing to improve itself but it will still be a top contender once again. The Mavericks are 10-2 straight up and 9-3 ATS against Houston over the last three seasons.

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