Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Atlanta +9 at PHILADELPHIA 

If this line is a "trap", the G-Man is falling face first into it!

Not real sure why a Philadelphia team that is just 4-9 against the spread their last 13 as a home favorite is laying this many points to a 4-2 Falcons team that is brimming with confidence!?!?!?!

Atlanta brings a 9-5 spread mark their last 14 as the road dog into this game, and they did win outright in their last road contest at Green Bay. Falcons' QB Matt Ryan did play his high school football in the Philadelphia area, so this is a "homecoming" of sorts for him.

Ryan has played like a grisled vet this year, and giving him and his mates this many points is a slam dunk if you ask the G-Man.

The Falcons and Eagles are playing for the 6th time in the last 7 years, and Atlanta has been able to get the cash against the spread in the last 2 meetings.

The G-Man feels this is just too many points.

Back the birds from Atlanta to stay inside of this number.

3♦ ATLANTA

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

NY Giants +3 at PITTSBURGH 

Prior to getting spanked at Cleveland in that Monday nighter, the G-Men had won 12 straight on the road - playoffs included.

New York is still on a 9-1 spread run their last 10 on the road, and we like them today plus the points at Heinz Field.

Pittsburgh and Ben Roethlisberger are likely to face the pressure they faced when they played at Philadelphia just over a month ago. In that game, Big Ben was sacked 9 times, and never looked comfortable. The Giants can certainly bring the heat, and are fresh off a 6 sack performance against San Francisco.

It's rare when you can get the defending Super Bowl champ getting points, and there is no reason to believe the G-Men not only can stay inside of this field goal impost, but can win this one outright.

The Steelers may be on a 3-game winning streak, but we feel they are going to be hard-pressed to keep the pressure off of Ben long enough to give them a chance to even win this game.

Play on Big Blue plus the points.

2♦ NY GIANTS

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Fina

Selection: Baltimore Ravens -8

Reason: Put us down on the Baltimore Ravens -8 for our Free NFL Selection on Sunday. The Baltimore Ravens are the way to go in this matchup. The Raiders are not that great of a team but they do have some strengths, one of which is their ground game. Oakland has 3 very skilled running backs but their passing game leaves a lot to be desired. Baltimore allows an average of 66.8 ypg and they are ranked second in the NFL in total defense and ranked first in rush defense. In 24 consecutive games, the Ravens have not allowed a single 100 yard rush which is an NFL high. The Ravens are spectacular at M&T Bank Stadium. At home they allowed all of their three opponents, Cincinnati, Cleveland and Tennessee, to 33 points combined. Baltimore's defense is simply to much for Raiders' QB JaMarcus Russell and his substandard wideouts. Oakland will also be disadvantaged by game time, which is earlier than they are accustomed to. This season, teams traveling from the Pacific Time Zone to the East Coast are 1-9 ATS. Derrick Burgess, the Raiders Star Pass Rusher, has been out of the last few games and its questionable whether he'll be present this game. Oakland's pass rush as well as the team's strength relies heavily upon Burgess and so obviously his absence will be detrimental for Oakland. It is important for Baltimore to put up the points to cover the touchdown spread but RB Willis McGahee is coming off his best game of the year so far. Rookie QB Joe Flacco has shown a big boost in confidence, has been a lot more aggressive lately, and coach John Harbaugh has him running more option plays. Flacco should have optimal field position from start to finish with the solid Raven defense, and the team morale is high after getting their first road victory. Conversely the Raiders will be in a letdown state after their win vs. the Jets that came during overtime; a win that was a team record field goal executed by Sebastian Janikowski. We will lay the points with the much superior team! Take the Baltimore Ravens -8!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Sunday take the Bucs in Big D.

I sound like every square and their mother here piling on the wounded Cowboys but I just do not see Dallas being able to muster up enough offense behind Brad Johnson to win this game.

The Cowboys have absolutely no momentum at all coming into this thing and have a Quarterback who can't throw more than 15 yards at a time. Johnson makes Miami's Chad Pennington look like a great deep ball thrower and after the brutal blowout loss in St. Louis last week and the whole Pacman controversy and the injuries including Roy Williams the defender and Terrence Newman and Sam Hurd and on and on and on things are not going to come easy here for the Pokes.

Tampa meanwhile just continue to do its thing. Monte Kiffin has his defense flying around like always and Jeff Garcia has continued to show he is a quality leader.and has the offense playing very well thanks to its usual stout ground game no matter who is healthy and running the rock.

Dallas has enough talent to always have a chance to win on its home field but the Bucs are the team that has everything going its way unlike the home boys who right now are terrible. I do not see a 180 all of a sudden happening and therefore I'll take my chances on the visiting Buccaneers.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

Atlanta at PHILADELPHIA -9

I know both teams are coming in off their bye week, and I know everyone is very high on young Matt Ryan, but I am much more comfortable with the Eagles getting this one done by a huge number.

The city of Philadelphia will be alive this weekend thanks to the World Series, and the Eagles will feed off of that. The NFC East is not as tight as everyone might have thought, now that preseason favorite Dallas is 4-3 after losing three of its last four games.

Philadelphia needs this win, and it needs to win big to provide some momentum before a Nov. 9th home meeting with the defending champion Giants.

The Eagles have a road game in Seattle on deck, so looking ahead is not an issue. And since they’re 9-3 against the books under coach Andy Reid after a bye week, I’d have to believe this team will be ready for a blowout win over the young Dirty Birds.

Quarterback Donovon McNabb has looked tremendous in what many believed would be a down year, ranking in eighth in passing with 1,576 yards, eight touchdown strikes versus three interceptions.

Philly has covered three of its last four meetings with the Falcons. The Eagles are also 4-1 against the number when hosting off a bye week and playing a team coming off straight-up win as an underdog. Let’s lay the points with the Eagles in this one.

1♦ EAGLES

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Norm Hitzges

Double Plays

Cincinnati +9.5 vs Houston
Philadelphia -9 vs Atlanta

Single Plays

Buffalo/Miami Under 42.5
NY Giants +2.5 vs Pittsburgh
NY Giants/Pittsburgh Over 42
Baltimore -7 vs Oakland
Kansas City +13.5 vs NY Jets
Carolina -4 vs Arizona
Tampa Bay +2.5 vs Dallas
Tampa Bay/Dallas Under 40.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tony Mathews

San Diego Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints
Selection: San Diego Chargers -3

The Saints will be overburdened by the San Diego offense and while LaDainian Tomlinson’s performance has steadily declined, the Chargers have Phillip Rivers who has risen to the occasion in the role of top passer.

The Saints athleticism is below that of the Chargers and their physical deficit was seen last week when they were beat up by Carolina; they paid a price both physically and mentally in that competition.

Saints’ running back Reggie Bush is New Orleans major weapon, but Bush won’t be in this game due to an injured knee. And while they will be playing, tight end Jeremy Shockey and wide receiver Marques Colston are not in 100% health either. If the Saints have any hope of remaining competitive they’ll have to reorganize their offense on a short week with this showdown taking place in London.

New Orleans initially expected this matchup to take place at home, certainly not at Wembley stadium where they’ll be playing on unfamiliar grass. These conditions favor San Diego, just like when the Giants and Dolphins played there last season in a dreary, muddy atmosphere.

San Diego has another edge against the Saints in their special teams which are superior in both kicking and returns.

The Saints have been defeated in all 3 road games so far this season and have allowed an average of 31 points per game. On the other hand, the Chargers (on the road) are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

Take San Diego Chargers -3!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Brad Diamond Sports

Play on: New England/St. Louis ‘Under’ the total

After exhausting experiences last week both clubs might come up real short this afternoon from the offensive standpoint. The Pats are 6-1-2 UNDER at Foxboro, UNDER at 9-3 in week #8 and 4-1-1 UNDER off a SU win. St. Louis is 6-2 ATS off a SU win and 6-1 UNDER on the road versus a home team with plus record.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Pure Lock

BUFFALO @ MIAMI
PLAY: BUFFALO


R&R Totals

Seattle @ San Francisco
Play: OVER THE TOTAL


Mikey Sports
Cleveland @ Jacksonville
Play: Jacksonville (-) pts

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Steve Zukiel

Atlanta Falcons vs Philadelphia Eagles

EZ Free Winner In this contest, my money is on the Philadelphia Eagles. A huge system play goes in this contest. It says to play a non-division home favorite that scored 28 or more points before their bye. This system has hit 78% over the last 11 seasons. I love how QB Matt Ryan has looked under center in his first year with the Falcons, but he has struggled on the road this season, averaging just 170 ypg through the air, completing a mere 50% of his passes, with a 2-3 TD/INT ratio. Look for Philadelphia to lay a beating on these Falcons. STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES OVER THE ATLANTA FALCONS

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

MTi Sports

Kansas City Chiefs at NY Jets

The Jets rushed for a whopping 242 yards and averaged a staggering 7.3 yards per rush last week against the Raiders. HOWEVER, that is no reason to play on them here. NY is 0-10 SU and 0-10 ATS the week after they rushed for at least 50 yards more than their season-to-date average aand averaged at least 4.5 yards per carry. Also, the Jets are 0-8 ATS (-7.1 ppg) the week after in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. With Favre’s interception problems, we expect him to be handing off a lot and this will allow the Chiefs to stay within this sizable number.

Play on: Kansas City

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Stryker

WASHINGTON (-) over Detroit

Detroit found a way to sneak under the number last Sunday at Houston. Rest assured, the Lions won’t be as fortunate matched up against one of the NFC East’s powerhouse teams.

Defensively, the Motor City Kitty’s can’t stop anyone. The Lions are ranked dead last in the league in points (31.2) and total yards allowed (418.7). There is absolutely no way Detroit will be able to slow down a Washington offense that is ranked third in the NFL in rushing (158.1) and seventh in total yards per game (353.6).

Since knocking off Denver at home back on November 4th, 2007, the Lions have posted a woeful 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS record in their last 14 games. When priced as a favorite in this role or an underdog of +10 or less in this role, Detroit has produced a shocking 0-11 ATS mark! That doesn’t bode well for the Lions.

In comparison, Washington has been at its best as a non-division guest coming off a straight up win posting a solid 39-24-2 ATS record. Provided the Redskins are matched up against an opponent that carries a won/loss percentage of .800 or less in this role, this team trend improves to a decent 35-18-2 ATS!

Dating back to the 1980 season, the Skins have posted a strong 15-2 SU and 11-5-1 ATS record in this series and have quietly won 26 of the last 36 meetings (straight up). With Jim Zorn’s troops still looking up at the G-Men in the NFC East standings, there is no way the Redskins will overlook the 0-6 SU Lions. Take Washington!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Nelly

Baltimore - over Oakland

The Ravens put together a solid game last week and QB Flacco eliminated the costly mistakes that had led to the three-game losing streak. Baltimore has winnable games the next two weeks and Baltimore owns the second ranked statistical defense in the league with impressive numbers against the run. On the heels of an emotional overtime win the Raiders might be in for a tough match this week facing long travel across the country. Oakland was severely out-gained last week and benefited from turnovers and the offense will have a hard time staying close here.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jim Feist

SEA Seahawks at SF 49ers
Take: SF 49ers

It's not a good time for the struggling and banged up Seahawks (1-5 SU/2-4 ATS). The only thing going right is the running game, which is 7th overall behind newcomer Julius Jones, averaging 131 yards per game. That's great if you're Navy, but won't cut it in the NFL. The offense is still 28th overall as QB Matt Hasselbeck (bruised knee) has sat out the last two games. The offense has scored 17 and 10 points the last two weeks. QB Seneca Wallace stepped in Sunday and threw for 73 yards and an interception in a 20-10 loss at Tampa Bay. Wallace was harried and hurried and forced to scramble, and made his share of errant throws. Their WRs have been depleted all season and Deion Branch missed another game Sunday (knee). That’s why Matt Hasselbeck (551 yds, 48%, 2 TDs, 4 INTs) is struggling even when he’s been playing. The knee injury is related to a bulging disk in Hasselbeck's back. The defense has been mauled, allowing 523 yards of total offense (254 yards on the ground) in a loss to the Giants, ranked 27th overall, plus allowing 28.5 ppg. Seattle 7-14 SU, 7-14 ATS its last 21 on the road and 1-5 ATS its last 6 on the road. They just had a road game at Tampa Bay (3,000 miles) and now have another road game. "Right now our confidence on offense isn't where it should be," Holmgren said, "and now we have to keep them going somehow, some way, and regain that confidence that we used to have." The 49ers have struggled too, ranked 23rd in defense and 23rd in offense, despite adding free wheeling OC Mike Martz. The 49ers figured that firing the head coach helped the Rams, so why not try it? San Fran fired head coach Mike Nolan this week. Assistant head coach Mike Singletary will take over as coach. Singletary has been coaching the 49ers linebackers since 2005. QB J.T. O’Sullivan (8 TDs, 10 INTs) has been mostly down, despite good targets in newcomer WR Isaac Bruce and power RB Frank Gore. There were hints that they might make a quarterback change this week. Shaun Hill has been the backup. Win one for the new coach? That could be just the ticket here on Sunday for the Niners!!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Fisher

Oakland Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens    
Play:Baltimore Ravens -9

Teams traveling from left to right are Ofer!!! Ravens hurry up offense will kep the Raiders from teeing off on Flaco. Look for the Ravens to control clock and TO battle!!! Ravens 20 Raiders 10 2 STAR

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Dark Horse Sports

Cleveland at Jacksonville

Something tells us that this game will be a turning point in the season for both teams.  Cleveland desperately needs a win to get into the playoff hunt.  A loss would drop them to 2-5 and effectively eliminate them from true playoff contention.  It would take a 7-2 record the rest of the way just to have a shot at the postseason.  Jacksonville sits at 3-3.  A win, in our minds, would solidify this team as a true playoff contender.  A loss makes the rest of the year an uphill battle; an winnable battle, but difficult nonetheless.

Cleveland is coming off a hard fought 11-14 loss at Washington.  The offense was unable to find a rhythm, managing only 236 yards of offense.  The offense’s performance proved that there is more to an NFL game than turnovers, despite what some may tell you.  The offense did not commit a single turnover.  Some good that did them.  The defense did put together another solid performance though.  That unit has improved from last year, and has to be considered at least an average NFL defense.  They have the ability to keep the offense in the game.

Jacksonville is coming off of a much-needed bye.  A number of players are healing up and are listed as day-to-day.  Jacksonville’s defense has not played to their standards thus far, but an extra week of rest and preparation should get the defense headed in the right direction.  A strong performance on Sunday should catapult the defense for the rest of the year and send them into the elite category where they belong.  Both defenses will show up on Sunday.

Take Cleveland / Jacksonville under 42.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Platinum Plays

New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers

In the premier matchup in Week #8 of the NFL, the (5-1) Steelers host the (5-1) reigning Super Bowl champion Giants in a late game this Sunday.  The Steelers sit on top of the weak AFC North with the (3-3) Ravens their closest competition.  It goes without saying, Pittsburgh is pretty much a shoe-in to win their division and make the playoffs as Baltimore, Cleveland and Cincinnati are unlikely to finish the year with records over .500.  However, the Steelers have had their share of injuries already this season and need to minimize this aspect for the rest of the season if they hope to make a serious run at the Super Bowl.  With all the other injuries and the demise of teams considered AFC powers (Indianapolis, New England, San Diego), the Steelers would have to be considered the top team in the conference.

The Giants made an amazing run in the playoffs last season and were the suprise winner of the Super Bowl and picked up right where they left off this season and are poised to defend their championship.  They’ve also suffered from injuries (DE Osi Umenyiora out for the season) and distractions (Plaxico Burress) but, head coach Tom Coughlin has not allowed his team to lose focus after their Super Bowl victory.  The NFC East was touted as the “SEC” of the NFL and all the teams in it are serious playoff contenders but, the recent poor play of the Dallas Cowboys, injuries and tough early losses sustained by Philadelphia and leveling off of play by the Washington Redskins has taken some of the luster off of these earlier high praises of the division.  With that being said, the Giants can ill afford any prolonged letdown if they want to defend their title.

With running back Willie Parker sidelined and the loss of backup, Rashard Mendenhall, the Steeler have had to rely more on QB Ben Roethlisberger and the passing game to carry the load for the Steelers the last couple of games.  Big Ben is not a bad option to fall back on but, he been dinged up pretty much all season long and the Steelers offensive line hasn’t done a stellar job in protecting him from the pass rush.  The departure of LG Alan Faneca (free agent) created more questions about the offensive line which used to be one of the Steeler’s strengths.  RB Mewelde Moore has ably filled in for the injured Parker however, is considered more of a third down back and questions remain if he can hold up for the entire season if needed.  The defense is led by the once again healthy, S Troy Polamalu, who is one of the premier defensive players in the league.  The Steelers defense currently ranks second in the league giving up a stingy 14.8 ppg.  Whether they can keep that level of play up against top level competition remains to be seen.

The Giants are a big, physical, smashmouth team that will run over you with Brandon Jacobs (6′4″ 264 lbs) and then run around you with change of pace back Derrick Ward (7.2 yards per carry).  The improved play of QB Eli Manning carried this team to the championship last year and he’s picked up right where he left off and is playing with much more confidence than he showed in his first couple of years in the league.  The jettisoning of Jeremy Shockey removed a constant distraction on offense but, WR Plaxico Burress has done his best to take up the slack to be an annoyance.  Despite the retirement of DE Michael Strahan and the loss of Umenyoria, the Giants defense still is playing at a high level giving up 16.8 ppg, which ranks sixth overall in the league.

Despite these two top defenses, Vegas has put up a line of Pittsburgh - 3 with the total being 42.  I don’t think they are giving these defenses enough credit and my opinion is to take this game under the total in a real physical game.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Martin

1 Unit on Atlanta Falcons +9.5

The Atlanta Falcons get no respect from odds makers this week and I’ll take advantage of it as Sunday’s free play. At 4-2 on the season, the Falcons have found a way to put points on the board behind rookie QB Matt Ryan and first-year starter in RB Michael Turner. Atlanta is scoring 23.2 points/game. Ryan will be able to handle the pressure of a big road game now that he has a few road games under his belt in this league. Philadelphia gets a couple guys back from injury this week, but neither Bryan Westbrook nor Kevin Curtis will be at full strength. Atlanta is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games in October. The Eagles are Eagles are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Philadelphia is more dangerous when they are on the road, and the Eagles shouldn’t be this hefty of a favorite Sunday against a very good Falcons’ team. Cash in with Atlanta as the underdog.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Kansas City Chiefs +13

Coming off back-to-back blowout losses, the Chiefs will show some resiliency and play the Jets tough this week. Plays on underdogs of 10.5 or more points (KANSAS CITY) - pathetic team - outgained by their opponents by 100 or more yards/game, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games are 24-4 ATS since 1983. KC is 15-5 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992 and 6-0 ATS in their L6 as double-digit dogs. Take the points.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Seattle Seahawks +5

Because of the slow start by Seattle this season, the Seahawks are getting a great price Saturday against the San Francisco 49ers. In the first meeting between these teams, the 49ers edged the Seahawks 33-30. This shouldn’t come as a surprise considering the road team is 3-1 SU & ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. It’s tough to beat a team twice in the same year, and we expect Seattle to put together their best performance of the season Sunday in hopes of getting their revenge. Senaca Wallace is back and healthy as Matt Hasselbeck’s backup, and he’ll be much better after falling to the Tampa Bay Bucs 20-10 on the road last week. This 49ers’ defense will look like a college defense to Wallace in comparison to the one he faced in Tampa last week. The 49ers are allowing a ridiculous 33.3 points/game over their last 3 contests overall. San Francisco is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The 49ers are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Take Seattle and the points.

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