TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Matty O'Shea

Double-Dime Bet

BOS / TAM Under 9

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Tony Karpinski

10* MLB Game of the Week

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: Boston Red Sox

The RedSox cannot afford to go down 3-1 in the series tonight and will come back strong with Tim Wakefield on the mound after a rare home loss yesterday afternoon. Wakefield is 19-5 lifetime against them with a 3.32 ERA in 41 games against Tampa and will continue upon that success since the Rays have not seen a knuckleballer in quite some time. TB has a bunch of free swingers and will have trouble making solid contact with Wakefield.
Boston has a dominating home record and will take care of business in game 4 to even up this series Tuesday Night. Look for David Ortiz to have a big game tonight as well.

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Opposite Action Plays   

COLORADO AVALANCHE

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LT Profits 

ATLANTA THRASHERS

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Rocketman Sports  

MINNESOTA WILD

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Alex Smart      

ATLANTA THRASHERS

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Vernon Croy

20 Unit MLB ALCS GAME OF THE YEAR

Take Boston ML

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and Tim Wakefield has pitched solid at home this season for the Red Sox. Wakefield allowed just 2 hits and no earned runs in his last home outing which was against the NY Yankees. Tampa took Wakefield deep for 3 homeruns the last time he faced them while lasting just 2.3 innings but that was under the dome and he did not have his knuckler working for him. Wakefield is 17-5 against the Rays with an ERA of just 3.47 and the Red Sox are a perfect 36-16 in Wakefield's last 52 home starts. The Red Sox are 10-4 when Wakefield has started at home this season and Wakefield is a big game pitcher and it does not get bigger than this game. The Rays are just 16-33 in their last 49 games as a road dog of +125 to +150 and the Red Sox are 14-7 in their last 21 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150. Take the Red Sox at home as my MLB ALCS Game of the Year.

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Tom Freese

ALCS 10* Side Winner

Tampa Bay at Boston

Despite their win in Boston yesterday Tampa Bay is still 64-136 their last 200 road games and they are 12-46 their last 58 games in Boston. The Red Sox are 17-5 off a loss and they are 36-16 in the last 52 home starts made by Tim Wakefield and they are 23-9 their last 32 Playoff games. Boston is 15-5 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 20-11 with Wakefield vs. the Rays. 10* PLAY ON BOSTON


10* SIDE BURIAL

Anaheim at Los Angeles

Anaheim has had their way with Los Angeles winning 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Ducks are 15-7 vs. a team that scored 2 or less goals in their last game and they 5-0 vs. losing teams. Los Angeles is 17-35 when playing their third game in four nights and they are 14-40 after scoring 2 or less goals in their last game. The Kings are 19-40 their last 59 games vs. Western Conference teams. 10* PLAY ON ANAHEIM

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Boston w/Wakefield

The Red Sox host the Rays at Fenway Park Tuesday evening when they send Tim Wakefield to the hill as they look to even up the series at 2-2. Wakefield enters tonight's game in great KW form with 1 walk and 17 strikeouts in his last four home starts. He's also 15-4 in his last 19 team starts at home. With Boston 14-3 in its last 17 home games on Tuesdays, look for the Red Sox to even things up here tonight.

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R&R Totals

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Play: OVER

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Scott Rickenbach

2* (Top Play) Minnesota Wild Money Line (-) @ Atlanta

This is a classic case of getting fantastic line value by taking the far superior team on the road and in a good scheduling situation. Even though the Wild are on the road for this one, Minnesota earned more points away from home last season than the Thrashers earned in their home games last season. Atlanta needs much more than home ice edge to be successful in the NHL as this team is arguably the worst team in the league entering this season. While Kari Lehtonen is a respectable goaltender, the Thrashers defense is among the worst in the NHL. No team allowed more shots on goal last season than Atlanta did. Already this season the Thrashers have allowed 82 shots on goal in their first two games. The only reason that Atlanta is 1-0-1 on the season is because they faced a Capitals team that had lost two netminders from last season and then the Thrashers faced a Florida team that could be battling th e Thrashers to stay out of the Southeast Division cellar this season! Now, Atlanta leaves the relative comfort of playing divisional rivals and they step up and face a strong Western Conference team that was in the playoffs last season. Minnesota is known for their defensive-first philosophy as well as solid netminding. Even though the Wild are without a couple of defensemen for tonight’s game they still are much stronger on the blue-line than the Thrashers are entering this match-up. Other keys to tonight’s game include the fact that the Wild know that getting off to a quick start in past seasons is what has helped them to make the postseason in recent seasons. Slow starts seem to leave them just short in the end while quick starts lead to “hanging on” for a post-season berth come April. Coach Jacques Lemaire has his team ready for this road trip to the southeast and the Wild are fully focused on having a strong road trip to add points to the two that they picked up with Saturday’s win over the Bruins. What was encouraging about that game is that Minnesota responded after a slow start and, note that they did lead that game 4 to 1 before letting up some in the third period. That said you can’t put too much w eight into the fact that the Bruins outshot the Wild by a healthy margin in that game. Minnesota simply forced Boston into “catch-up mode” after the Wild dominated early in the second period. In their first game of the season, the Wild got key offensive contributions from the players they added in the offseason and that is a big boost for this team. The defense and netminding abilities of the Wild has never really been in question. The questions have bean about the offense and it was good to see the new Wild players creating scoring chances in their first game of the season. Now, they’ll get to showcase those skills against one of the worst defenses in the league and the result should be a road rout! Minnesota had dominated the Thrashers in their series history but then lost a tough game in a shootout in Atlanta last March. They get revenge for that rare loss to the Thrashers tonight! Play Minnesota on the money line as a Top Play selection.

1* (regular play) Boston Red Sox Money Line (-) vs Tampa Bay

As followers know, much of the money we’ve made this MLB season has come from totals and dogs. However, when we step out on a favorite, more often than not, it has proven to be justified. In other words, the Red Sox are well worth the price here and, in this case, it’s really not a big price. Boston is sitting in the 140 to 145 range and this is a great value considering they are at home and have a definite advantage in terms of pitching experience on the mound tonight. Tim Wakefield, the Boston knuckler, is no stranger to playoff pressure, and don’t be fooled by his overall poor numbers against the Red Sox this season. Wakefield’s numbers were greatly impacted by one bad start he had against the Rays and that came at Tropicana Field. Note that Wakefield was 7-4 at home this season with a 3.10 ERA and he held opponents to just a .206 batting average at home. Also, Wakefield has enjoyed plenty of success against the Rays through the years and we feel his knuckler is the perfect antidote to the young Rays sticks that have been hot in the last two games! Andy Sonnanstine gets the start for Tampa Bay tonight in Game Four at Fenway Park. Although the Rays right-hander enjoyed some success this season against the Red Sox, he also has given up too many homers in his recent road starts. He was able to stay away from the long ball in his start at Fenway last month but in his other four road starts since mid-August he’s allowed seven homers! The Red Sox offense is capable of jumping on Sonnanstine as he doesn’t have overpowering stuff. One of the mistakes the Red Sox lineup has made in recent match-ups with him is trying to be too patient and then, as a result, falling behind in the count. The Sox are well aware of this and, especially after getting trounced yesterday, look for them to be very aggressive against Sonnanstine in this match-up and that should be a recipe for success. Even though the Rays right-hander had two solid starts against the Red Sox late this season, he still has a 5.40 ERA in six career starts against Boston a nd that shows just how badly the Red Sox can rough up Sonnanstine when they are in “attack mode” and that is the approach we expect to see at the plate tonight. Keep in mind that crazy games like yesterday can happen but, in the regular season, the Red Sox hit .292 at home and went 56-25 while the Rays were below .500 on the road and their .248 batting average on the road made them one of the weakest hitting teams in the league when on the road. Red Sox bounce back at home at a value price! Play Boston on the money line as a regular selection.

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Jimmy Boyd

5* MLB Playoffs Revenge GOTY on Red Sox -135

The Red Sox did not show up last night with the bats or on the mound with Lester. This is an experienced team which knows what it's like to be down in a series and I like them to even this thing up at home tonight. I like Wakefield's experience on the mound tonight because he has been in this position many times before. Wake owns a 19-5 record with 3.32 ERA in his career against the Rays. Tampa Bay is 1-13 against the money line in road games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Wakefield is 14-2 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 27-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons and 18-6 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more this season. All of these numbers say bounce back to me. Take Boston.

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Rocketman Sports

Minnesota @ Atlanta
Play: 4* Minnesota -125

Minnesota is 5-1 SU and ATS overall vs Atlanta since 1996. Wild are 16-6-2 in their last 24 vs. Southeast. Thrashers are 32-65-6 in their last 103 games playing on 2 days rest. Thrashers are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Northwest. Thrashers are 6-18 in their last 24 overall. Thrashers are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Thrashers are 3-11 in their last 14 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Thrashers are 0-6 in their last 6 Tuesday games. We'll play Minnesota for 4 units tonight!

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Ross Benjamin

ALDS 10* Total

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Play: Under 9.0

The Tampa Bay starter Andy Sonnastine enters the game in top form off of his last 5 starts posting a 2.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. In 2 starts versus the Red Sox this season Sonnastine did not allow an earned run. The Red Sox starter Tim Wakefield has pitched significantly better at Fenway Park this season than on the road. In his 14 starts at Fenway Wakefield has posted a solid 3.10 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Wakefield has seen 4 of his last 5 home starts go under the total. The Red Sox have seen just 1 of their last 9 games go over the total after allowing 5 or more runs in the previous game. Boston is hitting a paltry .245 as a team over the last 10 games including just .238 versus right-handed pitching. Play on under the total as a 10* selection.

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Triple Threat Sports

3* Boston over Tampa Bay

It is true that Tim Wakefield has lost all three of his starts against the Rays this season, but all three were in Tampa, and none came in the type of must win situation that tonite's game will be for Boston, and in this case we prefer the more experienced home team against a road team that may be "feeling the moment" a little bit, what with being only two games from the World Series. Another thing to consider is that, prior to this season, Wakefield was 17-2 in his career against the Rays, so he does have to go into this game with confidence. Looking at Tampa starter Sonnanstine, note that he has a 5.40 career ERA against Boston, and the Rays have dropped two of his last three starts. Series will be all square when this one is done.

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Cincinnati Kid

Tampa Bay @ BOSTON
Play: UNDER

Rays and Red Sox battle in Game 4 of the ALCS with the Sox trailing by a game - Boston has been in this situation in the recent past while Tampa brings their ALDS experience to the field tonight - the knuckleballer T Wakefield hurls for the hosts vs. A Sonnanstine for Tampa...decent numbers for the visitor in the park tonight and Away overall in 2008 action and Timmy stands 6-1 home vs. the Rays w/a 3.61 ERA...MLB clubs since Oct of 2004 are 3-14 UNDER off a loss & allowing 12 or more hits playing Game 2 or greater of a series - in addition the Rays are 5-15 UNDER since August of 2005 playing Away off a 5 or more run win and playing Game 2 or greater of a series.

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Brad Diamond

Play on: Tampa Bay over Boston

Difficult session for the home standing Red Sox who are in a critical mental and physical war in Fenway. Last night the Rays took back their lead in the series, looking for back-to-back wins against a club that may have finished their season last night unknowingly. Overall, the TB lineup has "more" talent than the one offered up by Boston. Hard to believe, but just maybe the more talented team is the underdog on Tuesday. Further, Tampa Bay with their hitting edges has taken apart RHP Wakefield in four straight at Fenway. Only one side, TAMPA BAY.

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