MLB Playoffs News and Notes October 12

MLB Playoffs News and Notes October 12

Sunday’s mound matchup
By COVERS.com

Jamie Moyer (Philadelphia Phillies) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (Los Angeles Dodgers)

Jamie Moyer LHP (16-7, 3.71 ERA)


Moyer’s 45-year-old arm could be feeling the wear and tear of a long season after a poor performance versus the Brewers in the NLDS. He pitched just four innings and threw 90 pitches, allowing two earned runs on four hits.

That game moved his postseason numbers to 3-2 in six career starts in October with a playoff ERA of 2.67. Moyer has pitched in a league championship, going back to his days with the Seattle Mariners. In 2001, he pitched a seven-inning victory in which he gave up two runs on four hits.

Moyer hasn’t faced the Dodgers this year. In his most recent start against Los Angeles, the veteran lefty was lit up for 10 runs on 10 hits including two home runs in July of last season. Previous to that, Moyer pitched seven shut-out innings versus the Dodgers as a member of the Mariners in 2000.

Hiroki Kuroda RHP (9-10, 3.73 ERA)

The wet-behind-the-ears Kuroda was stellar in his major league postseason debut against the Chicago Cubs last weekend. The right hander pitched just over six innings of shut-out baseball, walking two and striking out four.As he heads into Los Angeles’ rookie arm was comfortable in Dodgers Stadium with a 6-2 home record and 3.68 ERA in 14 starts at home in 2008.his second October appearance, Kuroda can rely on his most recent start against the Phillies for confidence. He gave up just one run to Philadelphia’s heavy-hitting lineup in six innings of work for a no decision. Kuroda finished 1-0 in two starts against the Phillies with a collective ERA of 1.38 this season.

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Philadelphia (5-1) at L.A. Dodgers (3-2)

With their backs pressed firmly against the wall after two tough losses in Philadelphia, the Dodgers turn to rookie Hiroki Kuroda (10-10, 3.61 ERA) in a must-win Game 3 as this best-of-7 National League Championship Series shifts to the West Coast. The Phillies will hand the ball to grizzled veteran Jamie Moyer (16-8, 3.73).

After rallying for a 3-2 victory in Game 1, Philadelphia pounded out 11 hits en route to Friday’s 8-5 victory to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. The Phillies had a pair of four-run innings in the second and third to defeat Los Angeles for the sixth straight time. In fact, the home team is 10-0 in this rivalry this season.

Philadelphia comes to L.A. armed with a bunch of positive streaks, including 21-7 overall, 6-2 on the highway, 16-5 after an off day, 7-0 versus the N.L. West, 23-8 against right-handed starters and 56-27 on Sundays. Also, with Moyer on the mound, the Phillies are on runs of 7-1 overall and 6-1 on the road, though the one defeat came in Game 3 of the NLDS in Milwaukee – the team’s only postseason defeat this year.

The Dodgers, who swept a four-game home series from the Phillies back in August, are still on runs of 22-10 overall, 25-9 at Dodger Stadium, 5-1 following a day off, 8-3 against lefty starters and 8-2 after a defeat. However, Joe Torre’s troops have dropped nine straight games to N.L. East foes, including the six losses in Philadelphia.

Moyer suffered his first loss since Aug. 5 – a span of 11 starts – eight days ago in Milwaukee, giving up two runs on four hits and three walks in four innings, with the Phillies falling 4-1. The 45-year-old southpaw has still held seven of his last 10 opponents to two earned runs or fewer, and Philadelphia is 8-2 during this stretch.

Even with the loss to the Brewers, Moyer is still 10-4 with a 2.98 ERA in 18 road starts in 2008 and 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA in five career playoff starts. Also, in 10 lifetime starts against the Dodgers, he’s 3-4 with a 4.80 ERA, but the last time he faced them was last July in L.A., and he got pummeled for 10 runs (all earned) in 5 1/3 innings, losing 10-3.

Kuroda was on the mound for the Dodgers’ 3-1 divisional series-clinching win over the Cubs last Saturday. He pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings, scattering six hits and two walks with four strikeouts in his first career postseason outing. The right-hander enters this contest with an 11 1/3 scoreless-inning streak, and he’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 12 trips to the mound dating to the beginning of August. L.A. is 5-1 in his last six outings.

Kuroda is 7-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 15 home starts this year, 10 of which the Dodgers have won. Also, in two starts against Philly this year, he went 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA, including a dominating 3-1 home victory on Aug. 14 when he gave up a run on two hits and no walks in seven innings.

The under is 4-1 in Kuroda’s last five Sunday starts and 4-1 in his last five against N.L. East foes. Meanwhile, Moyer is on under runs of 16-6 overall, 17-5 on the road and 5-0 when pitching on Sunday.

The under is 5-2 in the last six clashes between these teams, but the over is 8-1-2 in the last 11 battles at Dodger Stadium (2-1-1 this year). Additionally, for Los Angeles, the over is on runs of 7-3-2 at home, 5-2-2 against southpaw pitchers and 10-2-1 after a defeat. But the Phillies are on under streaks of 4-0 on the road, 6-1 in the playoffs, 7-1 against winning teams, 8-3 on Sundays, 5-2-1 after an off day and 7-2 versus right-handed starters.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS

Gametimedecisions

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PHILADELPHIA (97 - 71) at LA DODGERS (87 - 80)
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-29 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 28-12 (+11.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 97-71 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-27 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 97-71 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-37 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 233-159 (+42.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 13-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 13-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 10-3 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 51-39 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 87-80 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 87-80 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+1.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MOYER is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KURODA is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.462.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)


National League Championship Series
Best of Seven
Game Three
Phillies Lead, 2-0
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers, 8:20 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (R)

Moyer:
13-5 TSR in road games
Philadelphia 27-20 as an underdog

Kuroda:
Dodgers 9-1 Over at home vs. Phillies
Dodgers 36-17 Over at home vs. NL East


PHILADELPHIA vs. LA DODGERS
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home


Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers 

Phillies: The only game the Phillies dropped in the Divisional Series against Milwaukee was when Jamie Moyer was on the mound. In that game, Moyer lasted only four innings, allowing two runs. Before the playoffs began, Philly was 9-1 in Moyer’s last 10 starts. He hasn’t had a lot of success against the Dodgers though, going 3-4 with a 4.80 in 10 career starts.

Phillies are 21-7 in their last 28 games overall.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Philadelphia's last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Dodgers (-150, O/U 8): Hiroki Kuroda was masterful at home against the Cubs in Game 3 of the Divisional Series, pitching six scoreless innings. Kuroda will be back at Dodger Stadium, where he’s 6-2 in 14 starts with a 3.68 ERA. He has also started two games against the Phillies in his career, going 1-0 with a stellar 1.38 ERA.

Dodgers are 25-9 in their last 34 home games.
The OVER is 7-3-2 in LA's last 12 home games.

Key Injuries - OF Andruw Jones (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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DUNKEL

Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
The Phillies look to build on their momentum from winning the first two games behind 45-year-old starter Jamie Moyer (10-4, 2.98 in 18 road starts this season). Philadelphia is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which the Phillies favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140).

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 17.257; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.746
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140); Over

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