Monday Service Plays
Re: Monday Service Plays
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Diego Chargers
Pick: San Diego Chargers -5.5
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on San Diego – AiS shows an 80% probability that SD will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone. HC Holmgren is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in the pre-season. I strongly believe the theme of resting after winning is quite valid for this game. What I mean is that Seattle has had two impressive games and needs to work more on identifying back-up roles than running the first strong units. Seattle’s defense has done well too and has allowed less than 75 rushing yards in each of the first 2 games against Minnesota and Seattle. This places them into a play against system that has produced a 23-6 mark for 79% since 1998. Play against road teams versus the money line after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Seattle QB Hasselbeck has a strained back, did not practice Saturday and I see no way he will even walk on the playing surface for this game. Seattle will feature a running game in order to decide whether they may keep as many as 6 running backs. Sound like a lot? Well, Seattle has 6 back in 2003 with Shaun Alexander the starter. Then there is the defensive line with only 4 players definite locks to make the squad. By way of these two brief examples, you can see how SD will essentially know what the plays will be on both sides of the ball. Yes, there is a total focus on Merriman, but the goal for tonight’s game is have the offense run at full throttle as a dress rehearsal for the opening week. Keep an eye on SD WR Floyd, who is the 5th WR. Not many teams carry that many WR, but Floyd has made eye opening impressions of the special teams coaches on the #1 punt coverage squad. He will also see plenty of time in the second half at WR and will have significant advantages against Seattle’s third and fourth defenders. Take San Diego.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Cleveland Indians 2*
It is rare that we ever see a team playing as well as the Indians are right now getting as little respect as the marketplace is showing, and now that a late-afternoon surge is going to enable us to play at better than a 2-1 return, we are in the game here.
The Indian run is currently at 7-0, the best in the Major League’s, and 13-3 over the last 16 games. They are going it with a lot of hungry young players that are going to go hard the rest of the way, especially now that a winning season is absolutely in their sites again. A big part of that focus gets picked up buy Zach Jackson tonight, as he continues his audition for a spot in next season’s rotation, and he shows the confidence to go after hitters, only walking two batters over 12 innings of his first two games in a Cleveland uniform. With his last outing also getting him a “W” there is plenty of confidence here, and in the latter stages the Indians post an advantage in the bullpen over a weak Detroit unit, with Jensen Lewis working to an 0.87 tune in August, going a perfect 6-6 in save opportunities.
Armando Galarraga has had a fine season for the Tigers, but the market is stretching him out at a time when we could begin see him in decline – he is already at 139.2 innings, a major load for a pitcher that was not even certain to be in the Major’s this season. And with Cleveland getting a fourth look at him the element of surprise is absolutely gone. With the playoffs out of the question they are not going to run the risk of burning him out, which is why he has only gone beyond the 7th inning once since May, and it makes it even more difficult for Detroit to be in this price range, with those shaky arms in relief having to play a significant role in the proceedings.