Tuesday Service Plays
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
TORONTO -123 over NY Yanks
The Yankees are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series and 1-6 in Rasners last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game and 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Yankees are fading fast from the playoff picture and I don't think it will get any better for them in Toronto. Darrell Rasner has not pitched well at all for the Yanks as he is 5-9 with a 5.18 ERA overall, including a 2-6 mark with a 5.96 ERA on the road and he has struggled even more of late going 0-3 with a 6.51 ERA in his last 4 starts. The Yankee offense comes in averaging just 4.3 rpg on the road, including 3.7 rpg in their last 7 on the road. They have also struggled in their 3 games on field turf this year averaging just 3.3 rpg. With all the money that's paid to this offense I think it is pretty sad that they are middle of the pack in scoring. Today they must take on AJ Burnett, who has had their number in his career. AJ is 5-2 with a 2.85 ERA lifetime vs the Yanks, while the Jays as a team have wone his last 4 starts vs them with AJ posting a 1.23 ERA in the 4 starts. AJ has had some problems with his ERA this year, but his record is solid at 15-9 overall, plus he is 9-3 with a 5.13 ERA at home. AJ has really put it together lately, going 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA in his last 7 starts. The Jays have averaged just 4.3 RPG overall at home, but when AJ is on the mound they have been putting up 5.5 rpg for him, and they have averaged 5 rpg in his night starts on the year. These teams are heading in opposite directions and I look for AJ to have another big night for the Jays, while Rios and company will hit Rasner early and often. The Yanks slide continues.
2 UNIT PLAY
Florida -143 over SAN FRANCISCO
The Marlins are 9-2 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game and 8-1 in Nolascos last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game, while the Giants are 6-18 in their last 24 vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Correias last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yes the Marlins come in having won just 3 of their last 10 games, but they are not out of the playoff race just year and a trip to San Francisco may be just what they need to get this thing turned around. Ricky Nolasco has been solid for the Fish this year with an 11-7 mark and a 3.88 ERA overall, including a nice 6-3 mark with a 3.92 ERA on the road. The Marlins are 15-9 in his starts overall, and 9-4 in his road starts. Kevin Correia has not been good for his team on the year as he is 2-6 with a 5.12 EA overall, including a 1-2 mark with a 4.58 ERA at home. The Giants are 4-11 in his starts this year. The Marlin offense has struggled of late, but it shoulfd get going in a place where their opponent allows 5.1 rpg. The Giant offenes has struggled all year and only scoes 3.8 rpg at home, plus they have scored just 3.6 rpg at night. The Marlins really need to win this series if they are hoping to keep pace in the NL playoff race and with Nolasco on the mound I feel that the series will get off to a good start for them.
I ALSO LIKE
CHICAGO RL (-135) over Cincinnati
1 UNIT PLAY
PHILADELPHIA RL (-115) over Washington
I realize that the Nats have lost 10 in a row and that all streaks must come to an end, but the Phils are mad after their recent struggles on the road and I don't expect that streak to come to an end tonight, or even in this series for that matter. Joe Blanton had a rough start for the Phils, but he has settled in nicely, going 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts. Joe has 2 home starts for the Phils and he is 0-0 with a 2.00 ERA in them. Jason Bergmann has not pitched well for the Nats this year as he is 2-9 with a 4.51 ERA overall and has been outscored by 2.6 rpgf in his starts. Jason is also just 2-6 with a 3.79 ERA on the road and has been outscored by 2.2 rpg in those starts. Jason is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA in his career vs the Phils, with the nats going 1-6 in those starts. The big issue for the Phils of late has been an offense that has not producing, but I believe that it will come alive on this homestand, especially with the team now trailing the Mets in a division that they held the lead for much of the year. The Nats offense has been trully horrible of late, as they come in hitting just .214 and scoring just 2.2 rpg in their last 10. What's even worse for this team over that stretch is the 6.20 team ERA, including a 6.97 starters ERA. That Nats are just a really bad team right now and the Phils need to start putting some convincing wins up to get their confidence back. It's gonna be a long night and a long series for the Nats in Philly.
I ALSO LIKE
Boston -159 over BALTIMORE
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
Jimmy The Moose Guaranteed Pick
Game: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
The Yankees have lost 5 of their last 6 road games. New York is also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Yankees have lost 6 of their last 8 games played on turf. New York is 4-9 in Rasner's last 13 starts. The Yankees are 1-6 in his last 7 road starts. Toronto has won 5 of their last 6 games. In their last 8 games following a win the Jays are 6-2. The Jays have won Burnett's last 5 starts. Toronto is 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. Toronto is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Yankees. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
Oakland/Minnesota Over 8 1/2 +1.04 (3 Unit Play)
The A's took Game 1 of this series and will now hand the ball to Sean Gallagher as he is making his seventh start of the year for the A's since coming over from the Cubs. Gallagher has struggled on the road posting a 6.75 ERA in 8 innings of work with a 2.38 WHIP. Of course the sample size is small but he is having some shoulder issues and the Twins had really been hitting the ball until last night. The Twins will counter with Kevin Slowey who on the year has a 3.94 ERA and he has pitched well lately but has lasted only six innings in the two previous starts. The home plate umpire for today's game is Jerry Layne who is 13-10 to the Under this year but for some reason these teams score runs with Layne as Oakland is 8-1-1 to the Over in the past ten games with Layne while the Twins are 6-3-1 to the Over in the same period.
Detroit/Texas Over 11 -1.03 (3 Unit Play)
I lost on this matchup last night by taking it Under but the numbers for tonight's game support a play on the Over. The Tigers will give the ball to Armando Galarraga and he has just been unbelievable all season for the Tigers staff as he usually pitches deep into games but this will be his first career appearance against the team that dropped him and he may be a little to pumped up for this start. The Rangers will give the ball to Vicente Padilla who was scratched from his last start on Sunday with a neck issue and overall on the year has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. The Rangers will be without the service of Ian Kinsler for possibly the rest of the year and I admit that the Rangers bats have been quiet lately but the umpire stats were too much to overlook here. HP umpire Randy Marsh is 7-5 to the Under this year but check out his stats with these two teams-Detroit is 10-0 to the Over the past 10 games and Texas is 8-1-1 to the Over in the same time period with Marsh and Padilla is 2-1 to the Over with Marsh behind the dish. Over is the play for me here.
Colorado/LA Dodgers Over 7 1/2 -1.02 (3 Unit Play)
A key series out west as the Rockies visit the Dodgers. Ubaldo Jimenez gets the start for the Rockies and he has been pitching better on the road recently but still sports a 4.72 ERA on the road and when taking on the Dodgers he is 3-0 with a 5.34 ERA in six appearances. Jimenez has started five games against LA and all five have went Over the total. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Hiroki Kuroda who has also pitched well recently but was going through a rough patch before that and in his career against Colorado he is 0-1 in two starts with a 7.50 ERA. Two teams that have had their offenses going lately should be enough to get this game Over the total.
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
Pick: WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: COLORADO ROCKIES
Pick: L. A. ANGELS
Pick: Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 9
Pick: Red Sox / Orioles UNDER 9
Pick: TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Pick: Nationals / Phillies UNDER 9
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