Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeffmoney

Whitesox -135 (pod)
D'backs -105
Angels -140

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Paul Bovi

CHI Bears and SEA Seahawks
Take CHI Bears

Holmgren is 1-5 straight up after a double digit win over the last 5 years while Lovie Smith is 3-1 after a loss during his 4year tenure. The Bears have an edge at the QB position as Orton and Grossman compete for the starters. position. Look for the Bears to get the win in Seattle

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Dave Cokin

MIN Vikings and BAL Ravens
Take BAL Ravens

The Vikings and Ravens have taken markedly different approaches to this pre-season. As opposed to his past camps, Brad Childress has tuned it way down this August. It's a much more relaxed atmosphere in Vikings camp, an indicator they're pretty well set as far as their September lineup goes, which also means less need to focus on these meaningless games. That's not the case in Baltimore, where it's been very physical from the first day of camp, as new coach Harbaugh is intent on pushing for more intensity. The Ravens have been doing lots of blitzing in practice this week, so they'll surely go that route tonight. It sure looks to me like the team putting more emphasis on this game is the home team, so I'm on the Ravens as small chalk.

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Jim Feist

TOR Blue Jays and BOS Red Sox
Take Under

A pair of pitchers on the mound who know how to throw strikes. Toronto ace Roy Halladay is a workhorse with 13 wins. He has a 1.99 ERA his last three starts and has walked just 31 in 182 innings. The Blue Jays have not gone over the total in this last 4 starts. New Boston pitcher Paul Byrd is even better with his control, walking 24 batters in 131 innings. He's also hot, with a 1.14 ERA his last three starts and a 3-0 record. Byrd is 4-0 under the total his last 4 starts. Look for a fast game with little scoring, play the Blue Jays/Red Sox under the total!

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Great Lakes Sports

Dallas at Denver
Play: Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos are a perfect 2-0ATS at home vs the Dallas Cowboys since 1993, and are a very solid 22-7ATS when playing on Saturday's since 1993. The Denver Broncos is also a very nice 19-11ATS when playing at home since 1993, and are 3-1ATS as a home favorite of three points or less since 1993. We look for the Denver Broncos to beat the Dallas Cowboys in the preseason showdown for the home ATS win & cover tonight.

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LARRY NESS

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox

How much have the Red Sox missed Manny? It seems the obvious answer is, not very much! Manny was sent to LA on July 31 but the Red Sox are 10-3 in August, averaging a robust 7.23 RPG (had averaged 4.94 RPG prior to that). The Red Sox enter this game 71-51 overall and with a 43-16 mark here in Fenway, where they've outscored the opposition by an average of 5.95-to-4.00 RPG. Despite typically high prices to overcome here at home, the team is plus-$1,882 vs moneyline, second in all of MLB to only the ever-surprising Tampa Bay Rays. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays come to Boston for a three-game set with a 28-34 record on the road, getting outscore 4.23-to-4.27 RPG. INCREDIBLY, Toronto opened the favorite in this game, although by late-morning on Friday, the Red Sox are now the small favorite (you think?). Now no one puts any more emphasis on starting pitchers than I do but the linemakers are really giving too much credit to Roy Halladay and not nearly enough credit to Paul Byrd, while totally IGNORING Boston's home dominance. Halladay is a terrific pitcher but let's look at his '08 record. He's 13-9 with a 2.76 ERA, with the Blue Jays going a very mediocre 13-11 in his starts. Regulars know I love to compare how teams do with that game's starting pitcher on the mound against how they do when he's not on the mound. Doing the math finds the Blue Jays are hardly any better with Halladay on the hill, as they are 13-11 (.542) with him and 49-49 (.500) without him. That's clearly "no big deal!" He's never had much success vs Boston, posting a 10-11 (4.66 ERA) lifetime mark in 31 starts (Jays are 13-18) against the Red Sox. These last two years, he's made seven starts vs Boston (two TY and five in '07), going 2-4 with a 4.86 ERA (team is 2-5). As for Paul Byrd, he was coming off a superb 2007 season in which he went 15-8 but he a had a terrible first half for the Indians (3-10). However, how can one ignore his 4-0 mark since the break, where he's allowed just four ERs over 29 innings (1.24 ERA)? His most recent start for the Indians (before his fortunate trade to Boston) came against these Blue Jays in Toronto and he was matched up against Halladay. Pitching for a Cleveland team which is just 23-38 on the road as we speak, Byrd out-dueled Halladay in a 4-2 win. So here, pitching in front of a Boston team which is not only 43-16 at home but 32-12 in Fenway vs right-handed starters (averaging 5.9 RPG), why SHOULDN'T he best Toronto and Halladay again? And why SHOULDN'T the price on him be steeper? Halladay's matchup with Paul Byrd, making his Red Sox debut, was originally scheduled for Friday but rain postponed the series opener. Assuming the weather cooperates, Boston gets the win I predicted last night, a day later.

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Big Al McMordie

Houston v Arizona
Pick: Astros

At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Houston Astros over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The D-Backs have made what they hope is a significant move to light a fire under their sagging offense by trading with the Cincinnati Reds for slugging outfielder Adam Dunn. Dunn may be a career .247 hitter, but he is a huge presence in the middle of a lineup, with the ability to hit tape-measure shots and he will certainly cause opposing pitchers to try to pitch around him, which should benefit the hitters below him in this lineup. So far, the trade seems to be paying off as Dunn has had hits in each of his four games with Arizona, and his new team is 3-1 since acquiring him, including Friday's 12-2 thrashing of this Houston club. Although Dunn only went 1 for 4 with no RBI in this game, the four men batting behind him went a combined 8 for 15 with nine driven in. The 'Stros had been red-hot before Friday's debacle, winning their last eight games in a row behind what seems to be their own brand of a rejuvenated offense. But Friday's game featured probably the best pitcher in the National League (if not in all of baseball) in Arizona's 18-game-winner Brandon Webb, so Houston should be quite pleased to have gotten that over with in the first of this three-game series. Tonight the Astros should have a much easier time of it facing 23-year-old righthander Yusmeiro Petit who, despite an ERA of 3.12 and only six walks in nearly 35 innings, sports a record of only 1-3. Petit only has one outing over five innings this season, which means that Arizona will probably have to rely quite heavily on its bullpen in this game, and that is a scary proposition lately for the Diamondbacks. Take the Astros

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Bobby Maxwell

Arizona at HOUSTON -105 

Interesting to talk about these two teams and how Arizona is sitting in first place in their division and they are getting ready for a fight for the division crown, but there's no talk of the Astros as they are well out of it in the N.L. Central. But these guys have the same record!

Tonight we're playing the Astros even though they got beat bad on Friday. But that was against the D'Backs Brandon Webb and not tonight's starter Yusmeiro Petit (1-3, 3.12 ERA). Petit is 0-2 on the road and Arizona has lost three of his four starts this season and six of his last eight dating back to last season. Petit has only lasted five innings in each of his last three.

Brandon Backe (7-11, 5.14) goes for Houston and he was excellent on Monday at home against the Giants, allowing just a run on four hits in seven innings of a 3-1 victory. Other than a rough outing against the Cubs on Aug. 6, Backe has been solid his last seven starts, including a shutout at Washington.

Houston has gone 20-9 in their last 29 games overall and they are playing some good baseball. Look for the Astros to beat the D'Backs tonight and get us some cash.

4♦ HOUSTON


Indianapolis at ATLANTA -3

We all know it, the Colts and coach Tony Dungy just don't care about the preseason. They take things real easy during August and get their people healthy to be ready for the regular season. You'll see no Peyton Manning, Dwight Freeney, Bob Sanders or six other starters tonight for Indianapolis. That's why we play the Falcons.

Atlanta lost 20-17 in Jacksonville last week but the Falcons got a pretty good performance from QB Matt Ryan who went 9-of-15 for 113 yards and a TD pass. While it is Joey Harrington starting at QB tonight, all eyes for Atlanta are on Ryan and don't be surprised when he gets the majority of first half snaps.

Ryan is starting on Friday against the Titans and it's looking like he'll be the opening game starter.

For the Colts, career backup Jim Sorgi starts and will give way to Jared Lorenzen and Quinn Gray.

The Falcons are looking for some consistency from the players behind Ryan and want to see if he can lead the team. We're betting he can. Play Atlanta at home tonight.

3♦ ATLANTA

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Chicago at SEATTLE

NFL preseason action tonight, and we expect the points to be coming fast, and furious at Qwest Field.

Chicago was able to roll up 362 yards of total offense in last week's opener against Kansas City, as that game sailed OVER the posted price. The Bears have gone OVER the total in the preseason in 4 of their last 5 road games, and with a battle for the starting quarterback spot going on between Grossman, Orton, and now Hanie, you can expect Chicago to be heading for the end zone every time they have the ball.

Seattle will be without starting QB Matt Hasselbeck tonight, but we think Seneca Wallace looked just fine last week in back up duty last week as the Seahawks crushed the Vikings 34-17.

Charlie Frey is expected to get the starting nod for Seattle in this one, and we feel he will be out to prove that he should be the backup over Wallace, so expect Frey to get the team into the endzone for sure.

Seattle is on a 9-4 OVER tear their last 13 preseason games, and this one sure has the makings of a high-scoring game if you ask us.

Play the OVER.

4♦ OVER

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Dustin Hawkins

Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics    
Play: Chicago White Sox

White Sox lost last night and need to bounce back to keep pace with the twins. Danks has been winning, but not sure how!! He justs gets it done and thats why I am taking the Sox -135

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Pointwise NFLX Phones

3* Houston
2* Jacksonville
2* Denver

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LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

LA Angels/John Lackey -137
Play of the Day

Chi White Sox/John Danks -135

Minnesota/Scott Baker -201
FREE PICK


NFL X
MINNESOTA +3.5

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Nostradamus

Mets -160
Balt/Det Over 10
St Louis +105
Tampa Bay -125

GB/SF Over 34.5

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Jeffersonsports

MLB
WHITE SOX -130


NFL EARLY LINE RELEASE
RAMS-2.5 -125

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Carlo Campanella

Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons
Prediction: Atlanta Falcons

Reason: The Falcons lost their preseason opener, 17-20, at Jacksonville last Saturday. Theyll host a Colts team thats already 0-2 SU this exhibition season and a horrible 4-11 ATS during their last 15 preseason battles. While Atlanta lost by a field goal, their trio of quarterback, Chris Redman, Joey Harrington and Matt Ryan were able to put up 17 points on a tough Jaguar defense and should look even sharper with a game under their belts. We find Atlanta at 12-4 ATS at home off a preseason loss and a very profitable 6-2 ATS in their second exhibition game.

7* Play On Atlanta

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JB Sports

ATL -3.0 vs IND

No need for a 100 word write up to impress anyone. Bottom line it's pre-season and my pre-season plays are based on playing time, the coach's intentions and of course the all important QB rotations.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta

As we noted in last weeks write-up, the Colts suffered a loss in the Hall of Fame Game on Sunday, August 3rd. However, we expected that to give them an edge heading into the true Week 1 of the Preseason. Sure enough, although they lost in overtime to the Panthers, the Colts did get the cover in their second Week 1 game at Carolina on Saturday. With the Colts having an extra week this preseason, by virtue of playing in the Hall of Fame Game, they did not play their personnel versus the Redskins the way we felt they would last week against the Panthers and this week against the Falcons. Note that the Indianapolis loss was truly a bad beat for their backers in the Hall of Fame Game as they outgained Washington by 55 yards and they also had 24 first downs compared to just 20 for the Redskins. So, how did they lose by two touchdowns despite these solid numbers? It had a lot do with an interception run back for a touchdown late in the game. That was the key turnover in the game. However, it was also simply a case of laying down a bit too early. Up 16-9 in the third quarter and seemingly in control of at least the spread victory (Indianapolis was +4.5 in most shops), the Colts somehow saw things quickly become unraveled. Even though this was just a Preseason game it was still the type of effort that will have Coach Dungys troops a little hungrier this week. Thats because the Colts still ended up losing on Sunday at Carolina even though they got the cash. This means that Indianapolis is now 0-2 straight-up this preseason and they will look to get into the win column at Atlanta this week. Keep in mind that, in the Hall of Fame Game, Indianapolis saw Jim Sorgi complete 7 of 10 passes but he was an early exit from the game since the Colts were playing the first of five preseason games this year. Then, on Saturday against the Panthers, Sorgi completed 6 of 9 passes. Look for him to get in a little more work this week at Atlanta but note that Jared Lorenzen is coming off of a very big game for the Colts and that makes their QB rotation even more dangerous this week! The Colts have now let their games get away from them in EACH of the first two weeks so look for Indianapolis to close the deal with a win at Atlanta this week.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

FAO Sports

Washington  at Jets
Play: Over

Washington is 2-1 O/U the 2nd week of the preseason.The Jets are 3-0 O/U the 2nd week of the preseason. The Jets and there opponents are averaging 49 PPG the 2nd week of the

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K & B Sports

The Chargers got a solid win to start their 2008 preseason 31-17. This team should be solid, especially on offense, this season. The Chargers are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games combined (five regular season, three playoff and one preseason) dating back to last season . Look for the Chargers to make it 2-0 in preseason 2008.

PLAY: SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

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Cappers Access

Redskins
Texans
Bears
W. Sox

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