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Golden Contender

Game: NYY -LA Angels
Pick: Angels

The laangels have some nice team angles that apply here,and this game just missed as a late phone play.The angels are 20-7 in day games, 35-18 vs 500 or better oppsition, 16-3 on the road when the posted total is 9 to 9.5, 9-3 as a road fav -120-150, and are one of the few teams with a winning record over the past few years at yankee stadium.They pitch their ace J Lackey,and he has pitched fantastic in N.y. 16 innings allowing just 3 runs.He is 6-1 in road team starts with a solid 2.36 era.opposing batterS hitting just .213 against him.The angels are 4-0 this year when he pitches and there off a loss.The yanks are just 1-6 as home dogs +100-125 over the last 3 years,and frankly D.Rasner doesnt scare me.The yankees have an outstanding win rate when they score first this year cashing over 90% of the time,however they may not score at all here.

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Sportsbettingstats

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals

In yesterdays match up between these two teams the Phillies beat the Cardinals 2-1. The Phillies are now in 1st place in the NL East and are 6-4 in their last 10 games, while the Cardinals are slumping and are now in 3rd place in the NL Central and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Both teams are battling to get into the playoffs and the Cardinals really need to start to win, as they are 5 games back of the Cubs in the NL Central. Taking the mound for the Phillies is Brett Myers (4-9 5.46 ERA), who in his last outing may have had his best outing of the season, and saved his job, going 7 innings giving up 0 earned runs in a win. In yesterdays win over the Cardinals the Phillies scored 2 runs on 5 hits and left 3 men on base. Taking the mound for the Cardinals is Todd Wellemeyer (8-4 4.13), who in his last outing went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs in a no decision. In their loss yesterday to the Phillies the Cardinals scored 1 run on 4 hits.

Staff Pick: Before his last start Myers had not won a game in over 2 months, but last start he looked stellar. Todd Wellemeyer has been solid, but not lately as he has not won a game in his last 8 starts. This series is important to both teams and the Cardinals need to win game 2 to save some face against the 1st place Phillies. The Cards actually have a better record on the road (31-25) than they do at home (31-26). The Phillies are 5 games over .500 on the road and are not afraid to leave the City of Brotherly Love. The Phils rank 2nd in the NL in runs scored (549), while the Cards rank right behind them at 3rd (537). In the last 8 games between these two teams they have each won 4. The Cards have not been playing great lately and need to play better now they are at home. The Phillies are battling with the Mets and Marlins in the NL East and the Cards are a good team, but are the least of their worries. Still the Phils need to take care of business out of the division in order to stay in 1st place. The pitching advantage has to go to the Cards, but the Phils are playing well and the Cards are not. The Phillies have a pitcher on the mound that is pitching for his job, while the whole team is playing to get into the post season. The Phils will win this game, even though they are on the road and won the game yesterday.

Phillies 6 Cards 4

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JB's COMPUTER PICKS

Boston Red Sox -260   * * *

Milwaukee Brewers -155

Toronto Blue Jays +105

BEST BET ***

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Jim Feist

MIL Brewers and ATL Braves
Take Under

A good NL pitcher's park with a pair of hot starters on the hill. Milwaukee's Ben Sheets picked a fine year to play for his contract, at 10-4 with a 3.14 ERA. He's faced this banged up Atlanta offense once this season and has a 1.00 ERA. Braves righty Jorge Campillo is on a roll, with a 1.15 ERA his last three starts. Don't look for many runs in this one, play the Brewers/Braves under the total!

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LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

St. Louis/Todd Wellemeyer -110
Play of the Day 5 units

Milwaukee/Ben Sheets -155 4 units

Chi Cubs -260 3 units

LA Angels/John Lackey -130
FREE PICK 3 units

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): ( COMP PLAY)

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS  vs WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Play: WASHINGTON REDSKINS -5

Redskins are loaded from top to bottom. Obviously this is a NFL-X game and we'll have to wait and see how all that talent translates on the field. We don't take NFL-X games too seriously and they are no different than making a prop wager or an exotic and should be treated as such. We'll be keeping records and applying intense research when the regular season starts. until then, lets have some fun because after all, it is football and how can any football fan not want to get in. It's no secret that coach Dungy could care less about pre-season and with Manning out and Harrison questionable, it stresses the point home that there's no need to put guys at risk for these meaningless games. Dungy has some potential talent in his third rotation especially at QB. So we are expecting to see the Colts do their usual habit of using the pre-season for evaluation while Washington looks to impress in the pre-season which is their usual M.O. Chalk it up to owner Daniel Snyder who spends freely on talent and wants to show it off like a kid with a new toy. We stress again not to take it too seriously and considering it's Sunday, don't use this game as a chase for you green bettors out there. Use it for fun. This is a comp and lets enjoy the fact that the NFL is back for 2008.

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SAPKOWSKI

Best Bet
Cubs

Premium
NYM
LAA

Free
CHWS vs. KCR over 4.5 in 1st 5 IN

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JEFF BENTON

One thing and one thing only kept me from issuing this game as a premium (i.e. paid) play, and it's Oliver Perez's uncanny knack for pitching down to the level of competition. All season long, the guy has been a major enigma, dominating some of the best teams in baseball while crapping all over himself when facing weaker foes.

Just look over his last 12 starts dating to May 28. During this stretch, the Mets 8-4, with wins against the Marlins (twice), Phillies (twice), Yankees, the mashing Rangers and Angels. The four losses They came against the Padres, Giants, Reds and Mariners. Go figure.

However, I'm willing to back Perez today for two reasons: First, the guy has been in a groove for more than a month, giving up just six total earned runs in his last six starts spanning 39 2/3 innings (1.36 ERA), with New York going 5-1 during this span. Secondly, he's got solid career numbers against Houston, going 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA in four starts, giving up just 19 hits and nine walks in 29 1/3 innings (0.95 WHIP).

One more reason to like New York (aside from the fact it is a better all-around team than the Astros) has to do with Houston starter Randy Wolf, who has allowed 16 runs in his last three starts (two with the Padres, one with the Astros) and who has been a major disappointment the past two seasons. Oh, and there's this, too: Wolf has made four career starts at Minute Maid Park (this will be his first as an Astro), and although he?s 2-2, he's got a bloated 4.76 ERA, giving up five home runs in 22 2/3 innings!

Without question, if the Perez of the last two-plus months shows up -- and the bullpen actually does its job -- the Mets win this one going away. If the unfocused Perez shows up, though, well, I'm hardly going to be surprised.

4♦ N.Y. METS

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MATT RIVERS

For Sunday take the Tigers at the Trop.

Tampa Bay has been insane at home and James Shields has been a big part of that as the righty has been lights out at home but to get some solid coin back here with a red hot Armando Galarraga and the hard hitting Tigers is enough to back this road dog.

Detroit has underachieved to the umpteenth degree this season and more than likely are not going to make the postseason but this price is good enough to give it a go. Galarraga continues to hurl quality start after quality start but still seems to get disrespected. He was perfect in Kansas City two starts ago before finally allowing a basehit in the seventh inning and was once again very good in Cleveland in that last start. I can totally see both solid hurlers hold their own today and keep this thing a low scoring contest.

The Rays are legit and especially so on their home field. But this price is still a decent amount as I really do give Jim Leyland's squad a definite chance to win this game. With Sheff, Mags, Granderson, Cabrera and a few other quality bats, and even with them not living up to their potential, I will take my chances here on these visitors as this decent sized pup.

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KARL GARRETT

The G-Man is all set to dip into the preseason waters with a nice, and easy winner on the UNDER tonight between Indianapolis and Washington.

Tonight we will get the usual prescription of back-ups and journeymen taking the field for the better part of this 60-minute showdown, and that means plenty of rusty looking possessions, and an overall lack of crispness that can only come over a period of time.

The last 2 Hall of Fame games have played UNDER the total, while Washington held LOW in 3 of their final 4 exhibition games last season. Indianapolis has played UNDER the posted total in their last 5 on the preseason road, and with Peyton Manning, and Marvin Harrison all set to watch this one from the sidelines, the G-Man doubts you are going to see very many touchdowns in this game.

Look for field goals to be the order of the day, and for tonight's preseson lid-lifter to hold UNDER the posted price.

3♦ UNDER

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SPORTS GAMBLING HOTLINE

We will stick with the surging Phillies tonight, as Philadelphia has taken advantage of the Mets current 3 game slide to reclaim first in the NL East thanks to wins in 6 of their last 7 games.

Tonight the Phils look for the series win against a Cardinals team that is still quite suspect in the bullpen department if you ask us. Philly is a solid 9-5 the last 2-plus season's of play in the Gateway City, and we see them adding to that mark tonight with the win in the series "rubber game".

Starter Brett Myers should be brimming with confidence, as the righty was able to notch his first road win of the year his last time out with 7 shutout innings of work in a win at Washington.

Todd Wellemeyer counters for St. Louis, and the righty is a respectable 8-4 for the year, but a closer look shows that all 4 of the losses have come at home where his season ERA is near 5.

Play on Philadelphia in this one.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA

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TONY MATHEWS

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Selection: Cincinnati/Washington Over 9

The Cincinnati Reds will use starting pitcher Johnny Cueto. Johnny Cueto has struggled as of late. In fact, Johnny Cueto has a 7.27 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Johnny Cueto pitching another bad game today.

The Washington Nationals will use starting pitcher Collin Balester. Collin Balester has also struggled as of late. In fact, Collin Balester has a 5.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Collin Balester pitching another bad game today.

To say the least, we should see a high-scoring game!

Take the Cincinnati Reds/Washington Nationals Over 9!

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BEN BURNS

Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Redskins
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts

I'm taking the points with INDIANAPOLIS. As the general betting public becomes better educated about betting on the preseason, it's become relatively common knowledge that the Colts haven't been a very good bet during the preseason during the Dungy era. This has been partly due to Dungy not taking the exhibigtion games quite as seriously as some of his peers but also largely due to the fact that the Colts have always been a popular 'public team.' I've also fared extremely well by going against the Colts in the preseason in recent seasons, including a 1-0 mark last year, winning my big "GOY" play when they lost vs. Cincinnati in Week 4. However, all good things must come to an end and with everyone and their dog now 'jumping off the Indianapolis bandwagon, in large part due to the fact that Manning won't be playing as well as their recent NFLX success, I now feel that it's the Colts which are providing us with excellent line value. Keep in mind that the Colts have never been this big a dog during the preseason under Dungy. Last year, they were favored by -7.5 points in their opener and they were never bigger than a +5.5 dog (although the Bengals did get steamed up to -6 at some shops in Week 4 last year) in any preseason game during the Dungy era. Also note that five of their preseason losses in the last three years, including a six-point loss in the "Hall of Fame Week" (at Tokyo) in 2005 and a 2-point loss in Week 1 of 2006, came by a touchdown or less. In regards to Manning, even if healthy, he was going to see very little playing time in Week 1 anyway. In fact, his injury could easily prove to be a blessing in disguise, as backup Sorgi is liklely to get more time than Manning would have gotten and he will have been able to get a lot more practice time than he normally does, in the days leading up to this game. Yes, the Redskins have a new coach and yes, they've just had a couple of former stars (Green and Monk) enshrined into the Hall of Fame. Once again, in my opinion, this has only served to provide us with added line value. New coaches do typically like to win in the preseason a little more than established ones. However, Zorn is under no immediate pressure and he's more likely to emphasize winning the "home" preseason games, particularly next week's home opener vs. the Bills. Additionally, it should also be noted that the Skins also have both a new offensive and a new defensive coordinator. In other words, they'll be learning some new schemes on both sides of the ball, not always an easy task for a veteran team, and can't be expected to have mastered them for at least several more weeks. Looking at the Hall of Fame Game itself and we find that three of the last four H.O.F. games have been decided by six points or less, two of those being decided by just a field goal. Don't be surprised when this one comes down to the wire once again. *Main Event

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BEN BURNS

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Diego Padres

I'm laying the price with SAN DIEGO PADRES. I won with the Giants in the opener of this series but I look for the Padres to have a significant advantage in this afternoon's series finale. Maddux finally got back into the win column in his last start. I played the Padres in that game and noted that, despite his long winless streak, Maddux was still pitching very well at home. He continued that strong pitching at Petco, delivering another strong start which saw him give up two runs through six complete innings. He allowed just five hits and didn't walk a single batter, recording five K's along the way. For the season, he now has a stellar 2.84 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in a dozen home starts, averaging better than six innings in those games. The Padres seemed determined to provide Maddux with some run support in that game, as they scored a whopping eight runs. Given Kevin Correia's struggles on the road (and in the afternoon!) this season, the Padres should be able to provide their future hall-of-famer with some offense once again this afternoon. While Maddux has been extremely solid at home, Correia has been extremely bad on the road. In fact, he's 1-3 with an ugly 6.39 ERA and 1.774 WHIP in six road starts with the Giants losing five of those games. The win came in his last start (his first since April) but Correia still didn't pitch particularly well, allowing six runs (4 earned) while lasting 5 1/3 innings. In his previous road start, he gave up seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings! Overall, the Giants are just 3-9 in his 12 starts on the year. It should also be noted that Correia is 0-3 with a terrible 9.00 ERA in his four daytime starts. Maddux, on the other hand, has a better ERA (3.26) in the day than he does at night. Maddux has always dominated the Giants and that's continued to be the case the past couple of seasons. In fact, his teams (Padres and Dodgers) are 8-1 in his nine starts vs. San Francisco since 2006! Maddux went six or more innings in ALL nine of those starts. He allowed two earned runs or less in seven of them and just three and four runs in the other two. Look for him to outpitch Correia as the Padres deliver a highly motivated effort en route to avoiding the sweep. *NL GOM

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DUNKEL

Arizona at LA Dodgers   
The Dodgers look to salvage a split in the series and take advantage of Arizona's 8-15 record on the road when the total is listed between 8 and 8 1/2.  Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120).   Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 3

Game 901-902: Colorado at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rusch) 16.526; Florida (Olsen) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.258; Atlanta (Campillo) 13.283
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.022; Washington (Balester) 13.641
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Over

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 15.737; Houston (Wolf) 14.135
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 15.137; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 16.211
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Over

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.957; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.781
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-230); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-230); N/A

Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Correia) 13.527; San Diego (Maddux) 14.915
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-150); Under

Game 915-916: Arizona at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 15.814; LA Dodgers (Johnson) 16.991
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 17.522; NY Yankees (Rasner) 16.456
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 14.618; Boston (Matsuzaka) 14.430
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+220); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.572; Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.743
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+145); Over

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Ginter) 15.532; Minnesota (Liriano) 16.684
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-170); Over

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 16.563; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.247
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Under

Game 927-928: Baltimore at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.125; Seattle (Silva) 15.748
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Under

Game 929-930: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Purcey) 13.819; Texas (Mendoza) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 12
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NFL

Indianapolis vs. Washington

(at Canton, Ohio)

The Redskins take the field for the first time under new coach Jim Zorn when they battle the Colts in the annual Hall of Fame Game at Canton, Ohio.

Zorn takes over for Joe Gibbs, who retired last year after leading Washington to a wild-card playoff berth. Washington was 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS in the preseason last year, but went just 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS over Gibbs’ final three exhibition campaigns, including 1-5 SU and ATS on the highway.

The Colts, who will be without injured star quarterback Peyton Manning in the preseason, have not taken August very seriously over the past three seasons, losing 11 of their last 13 preseason games since 2005. Indianapolis is just 3-10 ATS during this three-year stretch, including 2-4 ATS on the road (1-5 SU) and 1-6 ATS as an underdog.

Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell and the several members of the first-string offense and defense are expected to play three series or 12 to 15 plays, whatever comes first, though many Washington veterans won’t suit up, including No. 1 running back Clinton Portis. Campbell is expected to be followed by veteran backup Todd Collins and rookies Colt Brennan and Sam Hollenbach.

With Manning sidelined after offseason knee surgery, Indianapolis will go with Jim Sorgi at quarterback to start the game. Quinn Gray and Jared Lorenzen, who were acquired during the offseason, will relieve Sorgi. Along with Manning, several other Colts starters will sit this one out, including defensive end Dwight Freeney, safety Bob Sanders and wide receiver Marvin Harrison.

The under is 3-1 in Washington’s last four exhibition games and 5-0 in Indy’s last five preseason road contests. Also, the last two Hall of Fame games have stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE:UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Arizona (57-53) at L.A. Dodgers (55-55)

The top two teams in the N.L. West conclude a four-game series in Los Angeles with the D-Backs sending veteran southpaw Doug Davis (4-5, 3.86 ERA) to the mound against the Dodgers’ Jason Johnson (1-0, 1.38) at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles scored a 4-2 victory Saturday night thanks to home runs from newly acquired Manny Ramirez and Casey Blake, after back-to-back 2-1 losses Thursday and Friday. The D-Backs are 7-4 in 11 series meetings with the Dodgers this season and have won three of five in Los Angeles.

It’s been an outstanding road trip through California for the D-Backs, winning seven of nine with visits in San Francisco, San Diego and Los Angeles. The Dodgers have won six of nine on this 10-game homestand that concludes today.

Davis is coming off his best start of the season Tuesday when he blanked the Padres on two hits for 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 win in San Diego. The D-Backs had dropped four straight Davis starts before Tuesday. He’s faced the Dodgers twice this season and allowed seven runs (six earned) in nine innings as Arizona has split the two games. He is 4-2 with a 2.06 ERA in seven career starts against Los Angeles.

Johnson made a great first impression with the Dodgers on Tuesday, blanking San Francisco on five hits for six innings of a 2-0 victory. It was Johnson’s first start since 2006 when he was in the rotation with Boston and Cleveland. In four career appearances against Arizona, Johnson is 1-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 23 innings of work.

The Dodgers have stayed under the total in nine of their last 10 games and the under is also on streaks of 28-9 when they are favored, 19-7 for them on Sundays and 27-10 in their last 37 home games. Arizona has topped the total in 13 of its last 19 overall and nine of its last 13 on the highway. With Davis on the hill, the over is 7-3-1 for Arizona on the road and 11-5-1 when he starts as an underdog.

In this rivalry, the over is 6-5 in 11 meetings this season. 

ATS ADVANTAGE:NONE


Philadelphia (60-50) at St. Louis (62-51)

It’s the rubber match of a three-game series between these two National League contenders as the Phillies send Brett Myers (4-9, 5.46) to the mound in St. Louis to take on the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer (8-4, 4.13) at Busch Stadium.

Philadelphia rebounded from a 6-3 loss on Friday night with a 2-1 victory Saturday thanks to the pitching of Joe Blanton who held the Cardinals to one run on four hits through seven innings. The Phillies have won three of the last four meetings against St. Louis this season to deadlock the season series at 4-4.

Both teams are playing well lately, with the Phillies having won six of their last seven overall and the Cardinals having won five of their last eight.

Myers has been a disaster on the road for Philadelphia, going 1-6 with a 6.98 ERA and the opposition is hitting .405 against him on the road this season. The Phillies had lost six straight Myers’ starts until Tuesday when he held the Nationals to one run on four hits through seven innings of a 2-1 win in Washington. He is 3-2 with a 5.43 ERA in his career against the Cardinals and back on June 15 he gave up six runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss in St. Louis.

Wellemeyer pitched well in his Tuesday outing, giving up two runs in six innings of an 8-3 win in Atlanta. But the Cardinals are just 2-6 in his last eight starts dating back to a June 13 start against these Phillies when he gave up eight runs on eight hits in 3 1/3 innings of that 20-2 home drubbing. In six career appearances against Philadelphia, Wellemeyer is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in just 11 innings of work.

The Phillies are just 7-21 in Myers’ last 28 starts and 3-13 when he starts on the road, but the Cardinals are just 1-4 in Wellemeyer’s last five at home and 0-4 when he faces a team with a winning record.

The under is 20-8-2 when Myers pitches on Sundays and 9-3 when the Phillies face a team from the N.L. Central. For the Cardinals, the over is 7-1 in their last eight overall and 7-2 the last nine times they’ve been favored.

In this rivalry, the over is 5-3 in the last eight meetings in St. Louis and 4-1 in Myers’ last five starts against the Cardinals. .     

ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (69-41) at N.Y. Yankees (60-50)

The red-hot Angels wrap up a four-game set at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx with John Lackey (9-2, 2.93) on the hill facing the Yankees’ Darrell Rasner (5-8, 4.92).

Los Angeles took the first two games of the series before New York scored an 8-2 win Saturday to end the Angels’ five-game road winning streak. The Angels are 7-2 on this East Coast swing that has taken them to Baltimore, Boston and New York.

The Yankees won eight in a row after the All-Star break but dropped five of six before Saturday’s home victory. New York has trouble with the Angels, losing eight of 12 dating back to last season, including six of nine in the Bronx.

Lackey is 3-0 in his last three starts and 5-1 on the road with a 2.36 ERA. He tossed a complete-game two-hitter at Boston on Tuesday, beating the Red Sox 6-2, to improve the Angels record to 11-3 with him on the hill this season. Los Angeles has won three of his last four against New York, but for his career Lackey is just 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA against the Yankees. Los Angeles is 40-16 in Lackey’s last 56 starts and 19-7 in his last 26 road outings.

New York is just 3-8 in Rasner’s last 11 starts and lost Tuesday when he gave up four runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss to the Orioles in New York. The Yankees are 5-1 at home when Rasner faces a team with a winning record.

The under is 21-6-3 in Lackey’s last 30 road starts and 7-0 in the Angels’ last seven Sunday games. The over is 6-1-1 in Rasner’s last eight starts and 7-1 in the Yankees’ last eight overall, including 6-1 when they face a right-handed starter.

In this series, the over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, but the under is 8-2 when Lackey sees the Yankees and 5-0 when he throws in Yankee Stadium.     

ATS ADVANTAGE:L.A. ANGELS

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons 

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Play: Cardinals

Todd Wellemeyer has allowed three earned runs or less in 14 of his 21 starts this season. Dont be fooled by his 9.00 ERA against the Phillies in his career as hes only made two starts against them in his career and note that Philadelphia has only hit .267 against him. Wellemeyer is a solid 8-4 this season and he is 6-3 under the lights. His counterpart tonight is Brett Myers of the Phillies. The Phils right-hander can not be trusted here. Yes, hes looked a little better since coming back to the rotation but he did walk five in five innings against the Mets in his first start back. Then, in his second start back he only struck out two batters in seven innings even though he faced the punch-less Washington Nationals. Myers is 4-9 this season with a 5.46 ERA and hes produced some of his worst starts on the road. Away from home this season, Myers is 1-6 with a 6.98 ERA and opponents are pummeling him at a .322 clip! Even though the right-hander is 3-2 in his career against St Louis, he has a 5.43 ERA versus the Cardinals and the Cards have hit .319 against him. This series has been a 1-1 split so far but the Phillies have only produced five total runs of offense. Unless the bats pick up (and that is unlikely against Wellemeyer) than Myers is not going to get much run support and that will spell doom for the Phillies here in the series finale and that is precisely what were predicting. The Cardinals are the play on Sunday night!

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Matt Fargo

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres     
Play: San Diego Padres   

The Padres look to salvage the final game of this series after dropping the first two games to the Giants. San Diego has lost four straight and while that usually suggests either a play against or a no play, the pitching matchup is simply too good to pas up here. The Padres have lost seven of the 10 meetings this season but it is important to note that four of those losses were in extra innings by just a single run. The Padres are 25-8 in their last 33 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.

San Francisco has won the first two games but it was coming off losses in five of its previous six games so by no means is it playing exceptional right now. The Giants have scored just five runs in its last four games and while the Padres offense has been horrendous, the Giants are not far behind. The pitching has been a problem as they allowed 5.7 rpg during that prior six-game stretch. The Giants are now 3-12 in their last 15 games as an underdog.

Greg Maddux is still with San Diego as there were talks about him moving before the trade deadline on Thursday. His recent form has been shaky but a lot of that has to do with his struggles on the road. In 11 road starts, he has a 60.2 ERA and 1.57 WHIP but in pitcher friendly Petco Park, he has a 2.84 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 starts. Facing the Giants has been profitable as he is 5-1 with a 1.60 ERA in six starts since joining San Diego. His 29 career wins against the Giants are second most against any other teams.

The Giants counter with Kevin Correia and like Maddux, he has struggled on the road. He is 1-3 with a 6.40 ERA in six road starts with San Francisco going just 1-5 in those games. In 12 starts this season, he has only one quality performance. He has gone eight straight games without a quality outing and he has made it past six innings only once in that stretch. Overall, the Giants are 3-9 in his 12 starts including a 0-4 mark in his four starts during the day. Play San Diego Padres 1.5 Units

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tony Karpinski

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs    
Play: Chicago Cubs   

The Chicago Cubs have been one of the majors' best pitching clubs all season, but they were especially dominant in July behind staff ace Carlos Zambrano. Zambrano hopes to continue his winning ways in August and lead the Cubs to a series victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at Wrigley Field. Chicago (66-45) pitchers posted a 3.64 ERA in July, second only to the Los Angeles Dodgers (3.44). Zambrano (12-4, 2.80 ERA) finished the month 4-1 with a 1.78 ERA, holding opposing batters to a .176 average in five starts. Look for a low scoring game and the under is be the best play here. Play on the UNDER

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Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Brad Diamond Sports

Play on:Colts

Difficult game to handicap with QB Manning out of the rotation, but can't help leaning to the aggressive Indianapolis defense that should keep the Washington offense in check throughout the first-half. Both coaches have talked wholesaled substitutions in the second-half, so look for numerous scoring opportunities to be wasted.

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