TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JOHN FINA

Atlanta/Los Angeles Under 7.5

Reason: Put us down on the Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7.5 for our Free MLB Selection on Tuesday. Today we expect a low-scoring game as the Atlanta Braves do battle with the Los Angeles Dodgers. One reason why we expect a low-scoring game is because both these teams will be sending to the mound solid starting pitchers. This says it all... The Atlanta Braves Starting Pitcher (Jair Jurrjens) has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Los Angeles Dodgers Starting Pitcher (Chad Billingsley) has a 1.64 ERA in his last 3 starts. In addition, these teams have been playing low-scoring games as of late. In fact, the Under is a Perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. We expect to see another low-scoring game today. Take the Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7.5

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Matt Fargo

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers
PICK: Atlanta Braves

The Dodgers are creeping back into the picture in the National League West as they have won six of their last seven games which is easily their best run since winning 10 of 11 in late April and early May. They have been doing it with pitching as the offense has been fairly non-existent as has been the case for most of the season. Los Angeles is hitting just .257 on the year including .226 over its last 10 games and its 4.1 rpg on the year is tied for 24th in the Majors. That drops to 3.9 rpg in home games, good for 26th in baseball.

The Braves season long road woes continued last night as they were shut out for the second consecutive time away from home. They average just 3.8 rpg on the road and that has been the main cause for winning only 12 games away from home this season. The last shutout however was prior to its recent six-game homestand and before that, Atlanta was 5-4 in its last nine roadies and averaging 4.9 rpg in those contests so there has been a steady improvement. The 3.77 ERA for the season is 2nd in the N.L. behind the Dodgers.

Part of the reason for that pitching success has been due to the throwing of Jair Jurrjens. He is 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA on the season, the latter which leads the team. He is coming off his best stretch of the season. He had an average games last time out, allowing four runs in seven innings against the Phillies but previous to that, he had not allowed a single earned run in three straight outings, covering 21.2 innings. His ERA over the last four games is a stellar 1.26 and his road ERA of 3.35 is nothing to discard.

Chad Billingsley has had a similar run as he has not allowed and earned run in two straight games, covering 15 innings. Prior to this however it was not as good as he posted a 4.63 ERA in his previous four outings. Even though the Braves offense was completely shut down last night as they compiled only one hit, it should not be a repeat. Billingsley has faced the Braves once already this year and Atlanta got the best of him, piling up four runs on six hits and five walks in just five innings. Play Atlanta Braves 1.5 Units

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Jeff Scott Sports 

ChiSox -125 over KANSAS CITY  2 UNIT PLAY

The White Sox are 23-8 in their last 31 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series, while the 9-21 in their last 30 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and  0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Sox have been rolling a bit of late, winning 9 of their last 11 games, scoring 5 or more runs in 6 of those games, while allowing 3 runs or less in 7 of those games. The Sox have struggled to score on the road, but they do score 5.1 rpg vs righties this year and 5.7 rpg vs their division. That offense will face a struggling Kyle Davies, who is 3-1 overall with a 4.71 ERA overall, but just 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Royals offense has struggled this year, scoring just 4.2 rpg at home, 3.8 rpg vs righties and 3.5 rpg within the division. Jose Contreras has had a decent year overall, going 7-6 with a 4.02 ERA overall, including a 3-3 mark with a 4.83 ERA on the road. He has had a rough time in his last 3 starts, going 1-1 with an 8.80 ERA, but the Sox are 2-1 in those starts. Jose has done very well in his career vs the Royals as he is 9-4 with a 3.27 ERA in 16 starts vs them. Kansas City has a nice win yesterday vs the Rays, but they are paying a hot ChiSox team that is 24-11 within the division. Jose will have good showing here, while Davies continues to struggle, giving Chicago another win vs a division opponent.   

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JB's Computer Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates -125

Boston Red Sox -170

Chicago Cubs -160

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Vegas Experts

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

Continue to ride the Angels away from home as they remain a MLB best 28-15 on the road. One of their three "ace" pitchers will be on the mound this evening in Joe Saunders, who is 6-2 with a 2.05 ERA on the road this year. He'll face unknown Matt Harrison. The Angels have won 13 of Saunders' 17 starts overall this season and are a devastating 16-5 vs. southpaws this season, which is right at the top of the majors.

Play on: LA Angels

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John Ryan

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red     
Play: Boston Red Sox   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston – Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 86-53 making 34 units since 2002. Play on home teams that are average hitting teams batting .265 to .279 and with an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season and is now facing a good AL starting pitcher posting an ERA <=4.20. Lester is coming off another great start with a complete game shutout allowing just 5 hits versus the Yankees. Boston is a strong Boston is 16-2 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. Take Boston

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Nelly
         
Colorado + over Milwaukee

C.C. Sabathia is a big name acquisition for the Brewers but expecting great results in his first start is a bit optimistic. Sabathia has always been a better pitcher at home and he will take a few games to adjust to Miller Park. Colorado is also a team on the rise right now with great offensive numbers in recent games and wins in six of the last seven. As bad as the season started for Colorado the Rockies are right in the thick of the NL West race as Arizona and Los Angeles continue to leave the door open. Mark Redman had terrible numbers early in the season but after two months away from the big leagues he delivered a strong start back in the rotation last week. He is capable of a solid outing and the Colorado offense can pull off the upset. Give the huge underdog value on a team that is playing well it makes sense to go against Sabathia given the unusual circumstances and added pressure this start will carry.

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Tom Stryker

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Chicago White Sox   

The White Sox are clinging to a 1.5-game lead over the Twins in the American League Central standings and that fact makes this series against the division rival Royals extremely important.

Roughing up Kansas City pitcher Kyle Davies won't be a problem for the Pale Hose. In his last three trips to the bump against Baltimore, St. Louis and San Francisco, Davies got rocked for 15 earned runs and 21 hits in only 11.2 innings of work. That breaks down to a horrendous 11.57 ERA!

Getting the call for Chicago will be hard throwing Jose Contreras. After getting blasted by the Cubs on June 21st (9 ER and 10 H in 3.1 Innings), Contreras settled down in his last two performances against Chicago (again) and Cleveland. In 12 frames, Jose was jacked for only six earned runs and 13 hits. Don't forget, No. 52 does his best work with the lights shining brightly. At night, Contreras has been nicked for just 25 earned runs and 62 hits in 74.0 innings. That adds up to a respectable 5-3 record and a solid 3.04 ERA!

There are a handful of solid team trends that back this White Sox investment too. Chicago has cashed 24 of its last 35 against division opponents and cashed 38 of its last 55 when laying lumber. Meanwhile, Kansas City has won only two of its last nine division affairs and two of its last eight at home with Davies on the hill.

The Pale Hose need to close before the All-Star break with a mini-run. It all starts tonight with a victory over Kaycee. Take the Chicago White Sox with listed pitcher Contreras.

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DutchMaster   

St. Louis   


floridabookybusters   

St. Louis


Global Sports Picks   

DIAMONDBACKS/NATIONALS UNDER 7.5


Jack Clayton

Angels


JAMES PATRICK

Texas Rangers


JOE WIZ

NYY/Tampa Bay Over


MADDUX SPORTS

Arizona -160


CAPPERS ACCESS

Blue Jays
Royals


ARTHUR RALPH

NY Mets


HUDDLE UP

KC +110


TOTALS4U

SEATTLE/OAKLAND UNDER 8


COMPUTER SPORTS

BOSTON RED SOX-165


SCOUT

San Diego -120


#1 SPORTS

WHITE SOX - 110


RAZOR SHARP

FLORIDA/SAN DIEGO UNDER 8


MIKE WYNN

Oakland -180


BIG TIME SPORTS

GIANTS/METS UNDER 7.5


VEGAS STEAMLINE

SEATTLE/OAKLAND UNDER 8


Insider Sports Report

Houston/Pittsburgh OVER 9


HOT LOCK SPORTS

Orioles +128


SOUTHSIDE SPOTS

KC ROYALS


Glen Mcgrew

White Sox


Bob Donahue

Angels


Frank Patron

Atlanta Braves +125

Paul Leiner

10* Giants -105


Sportskingz

DBacks
White Sox
Brewers-1.5


C-Stars Guaranteed Plays    

Seattle/Oakland Under 8


PowerPlayWins    

Dodgers -140

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Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

EZ WINNERS

2 STAR: (959) COLORADO (+$200) over Milwaukee
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $400)

2 STAR: (961) CINCINNATI (+$145) over Chicago
(Listing Harang only) (Risking $200 to win $290)

2 STAR: (965) ATLANTA (+$130) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Jurrjens only) (Risking $200 to win $260)

2 STAR: (979) SEATTLE (+$181) over Oakland
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $362)

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

954 PIRATES-115
955 DBACKS-155
UNDER 8
957 GIANTS+105
UNDER 7.5
961REDS UNDER 9.5
963 FISH+105
OVER 8
966 DODGERS-140
970 BOSOX-170
971 RAYS EVEN
978 KC OVER 9

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Cardinals/Phillies UNDER 9

The Under is 22-10 in the Phillies last 32 overall, 10-4 in the Phillies last 14 home games, and 6-1 in the Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Under is also 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 8-3 in Hamels' last 11 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  The Under is 5-1-1 in the Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 7-2-1 in the Cardinals last 10 games following an off day, and 5-1 in Pineiro's last 6 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  Bet the UNDER in Philly tonight.

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LT Profits

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 

Daniel Cabrera of the Baltimore Orioles seems to have recaptured his fine early-season form, while Dustin McGowan of the Toronto Blue Jays has pitched much better at home, so runs should be hard to come by tonight.

Cabrera tailed off after a great start for the Orioles this season, but he rounded with a Complete Game 5-2 victory over the Kansas City Royals in his last start, allowing seven hits while tossing a very reasonable 105 pitches over the nine innings. Cabrera has also posted Quality Starts in each of his last three starts in Toronto, including allowing two runs on just three hits in eight innings in his last appearance here last season.

Now McGowan may be a shaky 6-7 with a 4.36 ERA overall, but he has been a different pitcher in his own stadium, going 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in seven home starts, with the Under going a virtually perfect 6-0-1 in those starts. He has posted Quality Starts in each of his last two outings against Baltimore.

In fact, the Under is 13-4 in all McGowan starts this season, as well as 11-5 whenever Cabrera has taken the mound, and we see no reason why this contest should be any different.

Pick: Orioles, Blue Jays Under 8.5

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7.5 

The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves 3-0 here last night, as the Braves were held hitless for seven innings by Hiroki Kuroda, and we expect another light-hitting affair tonight.

Both of these clubs are struggling offensively lately, particularly against right-handed pitching. The Braves are hitting just .211 overall and a pathetic .202 vs. right-handers over their last 10 games, while the Dodgers are batting .226 overall and .219 vs. righties over this same period.

This is not to say that the starting right-handers tonight need any help! Atlanta starter Jair Jurrjens is 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA for the season, and he has allowed three earned runs or less in 14 of his 17 starts. Jurrjens is a pronounce ground ball pitcher, with a GB/FB ratio of 1.54, and he has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last four starts.

Dodger starter Chad Billingsley should be a lot better than 8-7 given his 3.12 ERA in 17 starts, but like most LA pitchers, he has suffered from a lack of run support. Billingsley is more of a power pitcher, as he has an impressive 107 strikeouts in 104 innings.

The bottom line here is that we have two very good starters and two offenses that are sorely lacking lately, and both bullpens are in the top 10 in the majors to boot. This sounds like a nice recipe for an Under.

Pick: Braves, Dodgers Under 7.5

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The Miller Group

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets
PICK: Over

By our estimation, this total has been set about a run short of where it should be. Yes, Tim Lincecum is one of the best young pitchers in the game today, but with the way the Mets have been hitting, we're not sure anyone on the Giants can slow them down.

The Mets have scored 36 runs over their last five games, and they should be supremely confident after taking the final three games of their weekend wraparound series in Philadelphia. This will be the second look at Lincecum for many of the Mets hitters. They pulled out a 5-4 victory against Lincecum and the Giants at Shea Stadium last season.

Mike Pelfrey will get the nod for the Mets this evening. We look for him to struggle a bit in his first start back home after four in a row on the road. He was excellent over seven innings in his last start, but that only sets him up for a letdown on Tuesday. Remember, this is a guy that is 6-6 with a 4.23 ERA on the season. Positive results haven't been sustainable for him this year. The over has cashed in three of his last four outings.

Lincecum has had a tough time since getting off to a red hot start to the season. Over his last four starts he has been tagged for 12 earned runs over 25 innings of work. He is also coming off back-to-back 110+ pitch performances so fatigue could be a factor tonight. Note that the over is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.

With a short number to work with, all we really need is a strong offensive effort from one team. Keep in mind, the Giants do hit better on the road, where they average over four runs per game. Both teams do their part and this one sails over the total. Take the over.

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Stephen Nover

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Baltimore Orioles

Let's face it the Toronto Blue Jays aren't very good when Roy Halladay isn't on the mound.

Today we find the Blue Jays a home favorite against Daniel Cabrera and Baltimore. Cabrera is a streaky pitcher off a complete game victory against Kansas City on Wednesday where he allowed just two earned runs and seven hits. Most important for Cabera, he didn't issue a walk. Cabrera is a very dangerous pitcher when his control is on.

Most of this handicap, though, is simply a fade against the sagging Blue Jays, losers of four of their last five and 19 of their past 29 games.

Toronto is batting just .233 in its last six games. Except for the magnificent Halladay, their pitching has started to slip. This brings us to today's Blue Jays starter, Dustin McGowan. He's allowed 15 earned runs and 27 hits in his past four starts, spanning 18 1/3 innings.

He doesn't have a good history against Baltimore either, 0-3 with a 6.84 career ERA versus the Orioles.

I'll take the hotter pitcher against a disappointing, struggling Blue Jays club at a 'dog price. 

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WILD BILL

Boston -165 (5 units)
Detroit w/Verlander (5 units)
A's -185 (5 units)

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FAST EDDIE SPORTS

10* $100 plays

Houston
Florida
Baltimore

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JIM FEIST TWO FOR TUESDAY, $2!!

HOU Astros vs PIT Pirates
Take over

Two pitchers meet up here on Tuesday that have both been struggling. Brandon Backe is 2-6 on the road this year with a 5.43 era. Moreover, Backe has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 12 innings of work. In his one start against Pittsburgh this season, Backe gave up nine hits and four earned runs in just six innings. Ian Snell hasn't faired much better for the Bucs. Snell also has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two outings (8 innings). Snell is just 3-7 overall this year with a 5.99 era. Don't expect much pitching in this matchup as both teams will likely have little trouble scoring runs. Take the OVER

BAL Orioles vs TOR Blue Jays
Take TOR Blue Jays

The Jays Dustin McGowan has been one of those pitchers you stay away from on the road, but look to play at home. At home, McGowan is a very nice 4-2 on the season with a very respectable 2.20 era. On the road, 2-5! The O's have had their problems on the road, posting a 19-27 mark on the season. Now they face one of the better pitching teams in the AL. The Jays have allowed the third fewest runs in the A.L. Jays always tough at home and we'll take them here on Tuesday with McGowen who has had success North of the border.

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Mr A

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics

The struggling Mariners are a horrible 35-54 this season, the worst record in the American League, but have been successful versus Oakland. They have won ten of the last 12 meetings, including Monday's 4-3 defeat against the A's in the opener at McAfee Coliseum.

Seattle's Carlos Silva (4-10, 5.85) is 1-10 with a 7.02 ERA in his last 14 games and is 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 10 outings, including nine starts against the Athletics. Seattle has lost eight of Silva's last 9 starts.

Oakland's Justin Duchscherer (9-5, 1.96 ERA) is 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA in his last six starts, but is 0-5 with a 4.17 ERA in 30 career appearances, including three starts against the Mariners. Oakland is 5-1 in Duchscherer's last 6 starts.

Seattle is 5-2 in its last 7 road games and 8-1 in its last nine in Oakland.  Nevertheless, Seattle’s right-hander Carlos Silva has struggle, 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three starts and just one victory in his last 15 starts. The Mariners are 1-4 in his last 5 on the road. Contrary, Oakland's Justin Duchscherer has pitched outstanding. The right-hander’s 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts and Oakland has won six of the right-hander’s last 7 starts at home.

Take the A’s with Duchscherer on the hill.

Oakland Athletics -200

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