SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tom Freese

St Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: over

St. Louis is 7-0-2 OVER their last 9 Interleague road games vs. righty starters and they are 13-4-4 OVER their last 21 Interleague games as underdogs. Cardinal starter Mitchell Boggs is in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Kansas City starter Kyle Davies is also in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Royals are 28-13 OVER their last 41 Interleague games vs. winning teams. The Royals are 8-2 OVER their last 10 games and these teams are 8-1-2 OVER at Kansas City. PLAY ON 'OVER' Davies vs. Boggs

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Cappers Access

Cubs

Phillies

A's

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Jeff Alexander

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox    
1 Unit on Chicago White Sox -133

The White Sox jumped all over the Cubs in game 1 of this series and they'll do it again in game 2. The Cubs swept the Sox at home last weekend and the Southsiders would like nothing more than to pay the Cubs back with the same result. The Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games, and 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The White Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record, 17-4 in their last 21 games as a home favorite, and 13-3 in Vazquez's last 16 home starts. Take the White Sox.

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Dave Cokin

Giants @ A's
Play: A's -140

Tim Lincecum hasn't taken long to establish himself as an elite pitcher, and he's probably the biggest reason the Giants aren't as awful as they were projected to be this season. But as well as Lincecum has pitched, Oakland's Justin Duchscherer has been even better. He's sporting a microscopic ERA, he's red hot, and the A's are simply better than the Giants. Plus, Oakland is at home. Add everything up and the price seems a bit low for this hookup. I'm going to back Duchscherer and the A's.

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Jack Clayton

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Templer's Sports Picks    

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COLORADO / DETROIT OVER 9


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BIG AL's INTERLEAGUE TV GAME OF THE YEAR

At 3:55pm our selection is on the New York Mets over the New York Yankees. On Friday, the Mets and Yankees played an extremely rare "split-stadium" doubleheader, facing each other twice on the same day, with one game in each other's home park. And the irony of all of this is of course that neither home crowd was happy with the results as the Mets bombed the bombers in Yankee stadium in game 1 behind Carlos Delgado's amazing nine RBI, and the the Yankees returned the favor in the evening at Shea Stadium by a score of 9-0. If new Mets Manager Jerry Manuel wasn't already on the hot seat he certainly is now after this embarrassing loss at the hands of the Yankees and the most unlikeliest of shutout starters in Sidney Ponson. This afternoon's matchup can't come soon enough for the Mets and Manuel as they are back at their home park with their ace, Johan Santana taking the mound. Never mind that Santana gave up a grand slam to an American League pitcher (Felix Hernandez) in his last start (the first grand slam by an AL hurler in more than 30 years), or the fact that his team in 0-4 in his last four starts because the Mets would rather focus on Santana's success against the Yankees for the past four plus years. Since 2003 the Twins went 6-3 against the Yankees when Santana took the mound, and his new team already has a win against them in 2008 when Santana faced off against his old AL rivals back on May 17. Interleague TV Game of the Year on the Mets.


MLB Rivalry Game of the Year

Oakland

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  DREW GORDON

Like many of you, I was waiting for the game that Kyle Davies finally revealed his true self, and it came in his last start, getting massacred for 5 runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Giants Sunday. Granted, the Royals came back to win, so his record remains a perfect 3-0, but make no mistake, Davies is a streaky pitcher and that's bad news for Royals-backers in this one.

While its true Davies was rock-solid against the Cardinals at Busch June 17th, his problems haven't come on the road, but at Kauffman, where he's 1-0 with a lofty 5.11 ERA on the season. Look for the Redbirds to make the most of their second crack at Davies in less than two weeks, especially now that he's vulnerable. Its important to note St. Louis averages a hearty 5.1 runs per game against righties on the road!

Mitchell Boggs gets the start for St. Louis, and its so far so good for the young righty, getting a nice win at Fenway in his last one, allowing 3 runs in 5 1/3 innings. He's now 2-0 with a 4.38 ERA on the highway in his brief career, and while the Royals are hot, their offense is nothing to write home about either.

While its true the Cardinals have seen better days, it was Boggs who helped them beat the Red Sox at Fenway in his last one... A huge boost for a young pitcher. I say he builds off that win tonight, taking advantage of an improved but still average Royals offense. On the flip side, look for Davies to revert back to his old ways, getting knocked around by a Cards club looking for redemption and in desperate need of a win.

Take St. Louis behind Boggs over Kansas City and Davies in this MLB match up.

2♦ ST. LOUIS

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Matty O'Shea

TOR +120

Analysis: The Braves obviously have the big-name pitcher in this matchup in Tim Hudson, but John Parrish is no slouch for Toronto. Parrish was 10-1 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 starts at Triple-A Syracuse before getting called up to replace Shaun Marcum in the rotation, walking 35 and striking out 90 in 82 innings of work. He started one game with Baltimore back in 2004 when he went 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA but has been used as a reliever primarily since then until this year. Atlanta does not hit lefties well on the road with a .235 average and remains the worst team in the majors away from home overall. The Braves have lost Hudson's last four road starts, scoring more than two runs just once during that stretch. With Chipper Jones also still ailing for Atlanta, I'll gladly back the Blue Jays here as a home dog.

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JIM FEIST

Washington is an excellent pitcher's park, one where they started 23-15 under the total. Both teams in this game have below average offenses. The Orioles rank 10th in the American League in runs scored, while the nationals are dead last in the NL. Yup, that's right, they're even worse than the Padres. Washington starter John Lannan has been very good, with a 3.34 ERA. And of course, there's no DH this game playing in the NL park. Don't look for much offense,

Play the Orioles/Nationals under the total!

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TONY MATHEWS

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
Selection: Chicago Cubs +120

The Chicago Cubs will use starting pitcher Sean Gallagher. Sean Gallagher has pitched very well as of late. In fact, Sean Gallagher has a 2.81 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Sean Gallagher pitching another great game today.

The Chicago White Sox will use starting pitcher Javier Vazquez. Javier Vazquez has been having huge pitching problems as of late. In fact, Javier Vazquez has a 7.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Javier Vazquez having another bad game today.

The Chicago Cubs have had long term success against the Chicago White Sox. In fact, the Chicago Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings against the Chicago White Sox.

Take the Chicago Cubs!

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Atlanta -125*

Cubs / White Sox OVER 9.5 +115*

Boston -130**

Texas +115*

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JEFF BENTON

For Saturday, we'll turn to early action on the diamond and play the Blue Jays as a home underdog against the Braves.

I know Toronto is putting a rookie pitcher up against Tim Hudson. But that rookie pitcher (John Parrish) comes with some impressive credentials. Parrish was 10-1 with a 2.74 ERA at Triple-A Syracuse, appearing in 15 games (11 starts). Most impressively, the left-hander had a 90-35 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 82 innings pitched! Today, Parrish goes up against a Braves lineup that has struggled against southpaw pitchers on the road, batting just .235 as a team. Then again, Atlanta stinks, period, in opposing ballparks; despite last night's 4-0 win north of the border, the Braves are still only 12-27 as a visitor this seasonAs for Hudson, he's been awesome this year, no doubt about that. However, despite a 2.96 ERA, Hudson is just 8-5 with four no-decisions and the Braves lost all four no-decisions. And when Hudson works on the road, Atlanta is 2-7. And let's not forget that just two days ago, the Blue Jays whose bats have seriously woken up despite last night?s shutout loss pounded the Reds Edinson Volquez, the best pitcher in the National League this year. If they can get to Volquez, don't be surprised if they knock Hudson around.Toronto, which is 10-3 against the Braves since 1999, has rebounded nicely from a seven-game losing skid, and as long as Parrish doesn't shrink in the spotlight, I look for the Blue Jays to resume their winning ways after last night's setback.

3♦ BLUE JAYS

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MATT RIVERS

For Saturday take the Cardinals in Kansas City

I'm not exactly going to call Mitchell Boggs a phenom or anything more than average but the righty did just pitch well in Fenway in the huge upset win over Dice-K and the Sox and should be alright today today.

The Royals are rolling right now as David Dejesus and the fellas are playing some great ball. This is not the same dismal team from years' past but with Albert back for the Redbirds I see no reason why Tony LaRussa's squad does not put up a bunch of crooked numbers against Kyle Davies.

Davies had been overachieving this season until that last start where he was bombed at home, and I mean bombed, by the Giants. I have watched the former Brave righty a ton and do admit that he does have some quality stuff at times but those times are few and far between and I see nothing but another beating for him today. The guy just cannot be trusted and against the Cards should see his numbers inflate once again.

I am not the biggest Cardinal fan this season as I am surprised by their somewhat gaudy record but with Pujols, Ankiel, Ludwick and a few others I just think St. Louis is the better team, maybe not hotter but better and with the pitching advantage I'm fine with the visitors today in this spot.

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TONY WESTON

Despite losing 3-1 last night the Diamondbacks will get right behind stud pitcher Brandon Webb. So far this year Webb is 11-4 with a 3.23 ERA and is having another Cy Young-type year. And over his last nine road starts Webb is 5-3 with a 2.67 ERA.

Opposite Webb will be Florida starting pitcher Andrew Miller, who is 5-6 with a 5.07 ERA. At home this year Miller is only 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA. In his eight home starts the Marlins are 3-5 and are 2-4 in his last six starts overall.

Pencil in Webb as your starting pitcher as he will shut down the Marlins and go with the Diamondbacks in an easy winner.

3♦ DIAMONDBACKS

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BRIAN MARSHALL

Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers
Play On: Detroit Tigers -1.5 Runs +115

The Colorado Rockies will be lead by starting pitcher Jeff Francis. Jeff Francis has been struggling as of late. In fact, Jeff Francis has a 6.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Jeff Francis giving up many runs today.

The Detroit Tigers will be lead by starting pitcher Justin Verlander. Justin Verlander has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Justin Verlander has a 2.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Justin Verlander pitching another great game today.

Trend: The Detroit Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.

Take the Detroit Tigers -1.5 Runs!

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WINNING SPORTS

Selection: San Francisco/Oakland Under 7

Reason: Put us down on the San Francisco Giants/Oakland Athletics Under 7 for our Free MLB Selection on Saturday. Today we see a low-scoring game between the San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics. One reason why we see a low-scoring game is because both these teams will send to the mound solid starting pitchers. This says it all... The San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Tim Lincecum) has a 2.54 ERA this season, while Oakland Athletics Starting Pitcher (Justin Duchscherer) has a 1.99 ERA this season. As you can see, both teams will be sending to the mound very good starting pitchers. In addition, these teams have a history of playing low-scoring games when they meet. In fact, the Under is 36-17-1 in the last 54 meetings between these teams. We see another low-scoring game today. Take the San Francisco Giants/Oakland Athletics Under 7!

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DREW GORDON

Like many of you, I was waiting for the game that Kyle Davies finally revealed his true self, and it came in his last start, getting massacred for 5 runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Giants Sunday. Granted, the Royals came back to win, so his record remains a perfect 3-0, but make no mistake, Davies is a streaky pitcher and that's bad news for Royals-backers in this one.

While its true Davies was rock-solid against the Cardinals at Busch June 17th, his problems haven't come on the road, but at Kauffman, where he's 1-0 with a lofty 5.11 ERA on the season. Look for the Redbirds to make the most of their second crack at Davies in less than two weeks, especially now that he's vulnerable. Its important to note St. Louis averages a hearty 5.1 runs per game against righties on the road!

Mitchell Boggs gets the start for St. Louis, and its so far so good for the young righty, getting a nice win at Fenway in his last one, allowing 3 runs in 5 1/3 innings. He's now 2-0 with a 4.38 ERA on the highway in his brief career, and while the Royals are hot, their offense is nothing to write home about either.

While its true the Cardinals have seen better days, it was Boggs who helped them beat the Red Sox at Fenway in his last one... A huge boost for a young pitcher. I say he builds off that win tonight, taking advantage of an improved but still average Royals offense. On the flip side, look for Davies to revert back to his old ways, getting knocked around by a Cards club looking for redemption and in desperate need of a win.

Take St. Louis behind Boggs over Kansas City and Davies in this MLB match up.

2♦ ST. LOUIS

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Vegas Experts

San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics

Needless to say, it should be a great pitching matchup by the Bay this evening as San Francisco's Tim Lincecum matches up against Oakland's Justin Duchscherer. Lincecum is unbeaten on the road, Duchscherer is unbeaten at home. Both have ERA's of 2.55 or better and Duchscherer has not allowed more than a single earned run in any of his last three starts. Eleven of the last 14 meetings between the teams have stayed Under.

Play on: Under

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Tony Karpinski

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians     
Play: Cleveland Indians 

Cincinnati at Cleveland (Baseball action) 7:05pm ET The Battle of Ohio gets pretty intense this time of year as both teams are having the same type of years slightly under .500. In this Saturday night meeting look for the crafty veteran Paul Byrd to get the better of the young right hander of Cincinnati Johnny Cueto as the Indians come out on top with their tough hitters. Play Cleveland

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Robert Ross

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Cubs should rebound from yesterday's poor effort which saw shoddy fielding and untimely hitting put them in an early hole. The CUBS are 14-3 against the money line vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season while the WHITE SOX are 17-39 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cubs!

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