Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tony Weston

These teams have played seven times so far this season with the A's holding a 4-3 advantage over the Tribe. These teams last played a full set April 11-13 when Oakland took two of three games, including the first game of that series that saw the same pitching matchup as today with the Indians trotting out C.C. Sabathia and the A's playing behind Joe Blanton. The A's ended up winning that game 9-7 as Oakland beat up Sabathia, scoring nine earned runs in 3 1/3 innings off the defending Cy Young award winner. Blanton went 7 2/3, giving up five earned runs, but still picked up the win. Cleveland took Game 1 of their series last night, but Oakland is still 11-7 on the road, while the Indians are only 11-12 at home this season. Sabathia has struggled this year with a 2-5 record and a 6.55 ERA. He'll struggle again as the A's beat him up once again.

Take Oakland on the road.

2* OAKLAND ATHLETICS

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

James Patrick Sports

Yankees vs. Rays

Joe Girardi gives the ball to veteran right handed pitcher Mike Mussina to try to stop the bleeding in New York as the Bronx Bombers have been anything but that of late. Good news for the Yankees is their opponent in this game is Shields for Tampa Bay and he has never beaten the pinstripes with a career record of 0-5. Moose on the other hand is a career 17-7 against these Rays. Our Wednesday selection is New York Yankees.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Los Angeles at MILWAUKEE -110

Tonight I will gladly take the Brewers over the Dodgers at Miller Park.

Los Angeles blew a 3-1 lead last night, as the Dodgers took it on the chin for the 5th straight time, while the Brewers ran their winning streak to 3 straight, and 4 of 5 overall.

It will be Lowe against Parra, and while Parra is just 1-2 for the season, he is 1-0 in his 4 starts at home. Milwaukee has gone 5-2 at home since 2006, and they catch Derek Lowe in a bit of a funk, as Lowe has been rocked over his last pair of starts, lasting just 10 innings, while allowing 11 runs to score in a pair of losses.

Lowe is 0-2 over his 4 road starts this year with an ERA over 5. This is not the guy you want on the mound when you are trying to end a 5-game slide!

Take the Brew Crew.

2* MILWAUKEE

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Bobby Maxwell

Today we're on the playoff hardwood with a complimentary play on the Celtics as the take on the Cavs in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference semifinal.

Home team. It's all about the home court apparently in this series and we know the Celtics have been Jeckyll and Hyde this posteason, being unstoppable at home and lousy on the highway.

So expect that trend to continue in this one as the Celtics are back in Boston where they've beaten the Cavs five straight times, including an easy win in Game 2 of this series after squeaking out a win in Game 1.

Boston is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home this postseason while the Wizards are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS on the highway in the playoffs.

We're playing Boston tonight because this team has done a hell of a job in shutting down LeBron James. If I told you he was going to be 20-of-78 from the field through four games against the Celtics, you'd have said the series is over and Boston won 4-0. But no, in all honesty, the Celtics are lucky to be tied after the Game 1 win.

Now for some reason, LeBron just can't get going in this series and the supporting cast was OK at home and OK in Game 1 but lousy in Game 2. Expect more of what we saw in Game 2 tonight. Boston has had the best defense in the league all season and what they are doing to LeBron is no surprise. Now they will tweak a little on how to stop some of the supporters and blow the Cavs out tonight.

Boston is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 against the Central Division and 7-1 on Wednesdays. We like the defense of Boston, and tonight you'll see the Big 3 of Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen all have good games and deliver a nice and easy 20-point blowout.

4* CELTICS

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Tonight, another UNDER in the NBA, as we see Cleveland-Boston staying at a snail's pace, and the points hard to come by.

These teams have played 4 games in this best-of-seven set, and 3 of the 4 have stayed UNDER the posted price, including both games contested on the parquet floor.

Overall, 5 of the last 7 meetings between the teams have held LOW, and we like this one to as well.

The Cavaliers have played 12 of their last 16 games dating back to the regular season UNDER the posted price.

You can assume their won't be too many fastbreak points in this one, nor many three-pointers that aren't heavily contested. Swing game in the series tonight, and tonight the defense is the winner.

Play the UNDER.

3* UNDER

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

Cleveland is in a must-win situation, I believe, since they'd love nothing more than to go back home with a 3-2 lead in the series and a chance to wrap things up on its own court.

I don't know whether or not this team can actually pull off the outright win, but I like the points since the Cavs will certainly be gunning for the upset win. Cleveland found the offensive rhythm in Game 4, and let's be real, it still hasn't played its best basketball yet.

If there were ever a game in this series we are going to see Cleveland's most balanced effort and best production, this is the one. Grab the points here, as the Cavs keep it close in challenging for the outright win.

2* CAVALIERS

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Play By Play Inc.

CLEVELAND at BOSTON Over 177

UTAH at LA LAKERS Over 213.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

THE POWER INDEX

NBA

Boston* 8.5 over Cleveland
Lakers* 5 over Utah

NHL

Detroit (-105) even with Dallas* (+105)

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

VEGASSI

Toronto/Minnesota UNDER 7.5


GAMEDAY SPORTS NETWORK

Pittsburgh/St Louis OVER 8.5


SportsAction365

Oakland/Cleveland OVER 8


NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS

Detroit/Kansas City OVER 9


EASY MONEY

SAN FRANCISCO -120


BIG TIME SPORTS

WHITE SO /ANGELS OVER 9


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

PIRATES +135


ARMVIN SPORTS

FLORIDA MARLINS +129


Sharp Sports Advisors

SAN DIEGO PADRES -106


Fat Jack

Cavs/Celtics Over 176 1/2


GAMBLERS DATA

Cardinals


PLATINUM PLAYS

CHICAGO CUBS -110


COMPUTER SPORTS

MILWAUKEE BREWERS


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

CINCINNATI -135


#1 SPORTS

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS


Insider Sports Report

San Diego -115


TV HOTLINE

BOSTON


LT's Lock

The Jazz +8.5


MIKE WYNN

Cleveland -155


HUDDLE UP

San Diego -110

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DCI

NBA

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 5, best-of-7
BOSTON 97, Cleveland 87

Western Conference Semifinals
Game 5, best-of-7
L.A. LAKERS 111, Utah 106

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

Whether Kobe is truly injured is not even the question here for me as I think he is not that bad or else the number to this game would not have been released so early or at such a high price. The guy is obviously not 100% and whether that means 90% or 75% is enough for me to go against him. It's not like his injury has lowered this line at all as it is still extremely high as the oddsmakers still expect a burial for the home Lakers. Phil Jackson's squad could definitely win this thing going away because they are stout with Bryant, Gasol, Fisher and others but they did just lose the last two games and let's not belittle the talent the Jazz display. Boozer and Williams are stars and Jerry Sloan's squad overall is no-joke when you throw in Harpring, Okur, Kirilenko, Millsap and others. Sure they have not been nearly the same team away from Salt Lake City but all teams have shown a little bit of an inability on the highway vs. at home. I would be a little surprised if the Jazz were to shock the world and take the very stunning 3-2 series lead but to get this number back with a Utah team that has a great upside against a bit of a banged up Laker squad seems to be the right side to me.

UTAH JAZZ

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

LT Profits

Florida Marlins +125

The Florida Marlins have been cooled off by the Cincinnati Reds so far, losing the first two games of this four-game series, but we look for Florida to get back in the win column tonight.

Ricky Nolasco is generally regarded as a weak link in the Florida rotation, but he has allowed three runs or less in three of his last four starts. Granted, he went six innings in two of those outings and just five innings in the other, but we would actually take a repeat of those efforts here, as we have great confidence in a Marlins bullpen that ranks fourth in the Major League with a collective 3.17 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati pen ranks 25th at 4.34, making the Fish a Bullpen System play here.

Bronson Arroyo has been a real mystery for the Reds, as he is simply too talented to have a 7.14 ERA and a horrendous 1.71 WHIP after eight starts. Still, whatever the reason, Arroyo just can’t get going and he was not sharp the last time he faced the Marlins, allowing four earned runs and 12 baserunners in six innings. Furthermore, the bullpen cannot be counted on for relief at this point either.

Florida had won seven straight games entering this series, and we look for them to start a new streak tonight.

Pick: Marlins +125


Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics Under 176.5 

The first two games between the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers in this building produced just 148 and 162 points respectively, and we look for another snooze-fest as this series once again returns to Boston.

It is no secret that the Celtics have been like night and day home and away in the playoffs, and it all begin with their defense. Boston is allowing just 75.5 points per game in six home playoffs games, as opposed to a whopping 99.6 points per game in five road games! As a result, their home playoff contests are averaging a combined 171.2 points, and you could probably shave a few points off of that already low total here given Cleveland methodical style.

The Cavaliers are on a 12-4 Under run of their own stretching back to the regular season. LeBron James did actually get some support from Cleveland’s role players in Game 4 Monday, but even with that, the Cavs managed just 88 points at home vs. a determined Boston defense. We now all know that the Celtics are more intense defensively at home, and after watching the Cavaliers score 72 and 73 points in the first two games here, we have no reason to believe that they could top 75 here.

Thus, look for an identical pace as the first two games of this series.

Pick: Cavaliers, Celtics Under 176.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Houston Astros -119

With as confident as the Astros have been playing, I can't see them going down to the Giants again tonight.  The Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 9-2 in their last 11 overall.  The Astros are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 4-0 in Moehler's last 4 starts.  The Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog, 0-6 in Misch's last 6 starts, and 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.  We'll bet the Astros on the road tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Phillies -139

The Phillies have dominated the Braves recently, winning 9 of the last 13 matchups and I like the Phillies again tonight against a Braves team which is yet to get things figured out on the road.  The Braves are 7-19 in their last 26 road games, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog, and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League East.  The Braves are also 0-5 in Glavine's last 5 road starts.  The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Phillies are also 30-12 in Myers' last 42 starts with 5 days of rest.  A well rested Myers means trouble for the Braves tonight.  Take the Phillies.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Ferrall

AL FREE B's FOR WED

CLEVELAND -155 on ML over Oakland--The Indians starters haven't allowed a run in 34 innings.  That's sick !  CC Sabathia looked great vs Toronto in his last start.  He allowed only 1 earned run and striking out 9 in seven innings.  He'll beat Blanton tonight.  The Tribe have won four of five and have three shoutouts in those.

ROYALS +110 on ML over Tigers--Verlander got smoked by the Royals the last time he faced them, allowing  4 runs in 6 innings.  He's lost three straight starts twice this year.  His ERA is huge and his record is even worse at 1-6.  He's lost all three road starts this year

Toronto -125 on ML over Twins--Halladay has never lost to Minnesota in his career.  He's 6-0 in 10 career starts vs the Twins.  Jays are looking for their third straight win.  Boof Bonser goes for Minney and he stinks !


NL FREE B's FOR WED

BREWERS -105 on ML over Dodgers--Milwaukee goes for their fourth staright win and the Dodgers are facing a 6ht consecutive loss.  Furcal is now on the DL with a bad back and the LA offense has sunk.  Meanwhile, the Brew Crew have scored at least five runs in three straight.  TAKE THE UNDER 9 RUNS.  LA isn't scoring lately.

Astros -120 on ML over Giants--Houston stumbled Tuesday, but they'll get back on track tonight.  The Stros opened May with 9 wins in 10.  They hit .306 in that stretch.  SF has won 15 of 20 vs Houston in SF since 2002.  Pat Misch has never won a start in 22 games as a starter for SF.   Talk about the "No luck kid"

San Diego +105 on ML over Chicago--The Padres have Jake Peavy going tonight at Wrigley and the they've won 3 of 4.  They snapped the Cubs four game win streak Tuesday night.  Peavy hasn't gotten a decision in five starts, but is among the league leaders in ERA(2.47) and strikeouts(52).  He'll beat Ted Lilly, who's gonoe 3-1 in his last 4 starts.  TAKE THE UNDER 8 RUNS

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dave Malinsky

San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs
PICK: Under

Last night we saw some average pitchers making good pitches at Wrigley Field, with a heavy wind out to left not becoming a major factor in the game at all. Tonight we will see very good pitchers making even better pitches, and with the temperature down and the wind direction changing (blowing in), we have excellent value here in a game in which each team is hard-pressed to score.

There are few challenges more daunting than facing Jake Peavy under tonight’s conditions - he can throw the ball right through bats (52 strikeouts vs. only 41 hits allowed so far this season). But while he is a prominent part of this equation in the eyes of the betting markets, it is Ted Lilly’s misleading 3-4/5.24 that leaves those 8’s out there. Lilly got off to a bad start this season, the kind that can weigh heavily on overall statistics until the middle of the summer. But take a look at the last four starts - a 3-1/2.08 in which he struck out 25 batters, while allowing only 17 hits. That stretch included solid wins form this mound in which he held the Mets and Diamondbacks to just two runs on seven hits over 13 innings, while striking out 14, and now he is stepping way down in class against a feeble San Diego offense that rates last in the N.L. in runs scored, batting average and doubles; is tied for 12th in home runs; and is 14th in stolen bases. And the Padres are particularly anemic against left-handers, hitting just .209 so far.

Peavy and Lilly are not the whole story - both bullpens bring their key arms without any trace of fatigue ratings. That makes the runs hard to come by the entire evening in this one.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Play: Los Angeles Lakers     

Utah at LA Lakers (NBA Playoff Action) 10:35pm ET UTAH is 2-15 ATS in road games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. LA LAKERS are also 13-3 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting less than 27 free throws/game -during the 2nd half of the season and later. Look for Kobe to be well rested and the home team to dominate in this battle. Pick on the LA LAKERS 

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Larry Ness' 20* 2nd Round Total of the Year (current 13-2-1 NBA run / 5-1 with 20*s in playoffs)

CLE/BOS Over

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

3 Units - Cavaliers/Celtics Over 176

2 Units - Atlanta Braves

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Utah at Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: Game Total OVER 213

The Lakers have showed the ability to score inside and out in the playoffs, especially at home. It has equated to an uncharacteristic 120 points per game at home in the playoffs! It isn't just a playoff thing for this Lakers team however. They have topped the century mark at home in 18 of their last 19 games. These last 19 games at home has shown the Lakers averaging 114 ppg, and they have cranked it up a notch in the playoffs. Utah is certainly not immune to scoring on the road vs the Lakers. They have played four games here this season, having posted 109+ in three of the four. This one should be played at a fast pace, and both teams over the century mark, and should have little difficulty topping this total.

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