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Friday Service Plays
Re: Friday Service Plays
Hawks +8.5 over Celtics
Each game has been won by the home team. It was impressive to see the Celtics win Game Five by over 20pts, but they did the same at home in Game One and Game Two. Until Boston can win a playoff game on the road how can you not take Atlanta and the points. The Celtics may indeed get the win, but this spread is a little too high. Wouldn't it be great to watch a game seven over the weekend where anything could happen? Take the Hawks.
Wizards -3.5 over Cavs
Cleveland has no answer for the Wizards half court offense. The only strategy is to get the ball to James. Not a bad thing to have, but one guy just cannot beat five guys unless his name is MJ. The Cavs blew their chance to advance the last game and they really are in a lot of trouble if this goes back to Cleveland. The momentum has now shifted and the Wizards are playing together as a team which I will take over one superstar everyday.
Rockets/Jazz Over 180.5
The Rockets have been playing great and really are meshing well as a unit. All five starters are making an impact and this series could very well go to game seven. I do not think the Jazz will shoot as bad as they did last game and the home court should get them back on track. I also do not think they will continue to shoot so poorly from the foul line. This should be a great game that goes over the total.
Major League Baseball
Astros -140 over Brewers
2 Units on NY Yankees -142
Re: Friday Service Plays
Hawks/Celtics Over 189 (POD)
I've hit this over twice already and like I've always said, if I believe a team will be an active dog, I will take the over and much is the case today. Do I think the Hawks play their heart out? Yes. Do I think they cover? Not so sure, after all, you saw how the Pistons did in game 6 as they took care of business and it is asking the Celtics an awful lot to lose 3 straight to the Hawks on the road as this team will be fired up and they will take far more pride winning this game on the road than closing this series out at home. After all, they did lead by 10 points going into the 4th quarter in that ballgame and had a 16-5 start to the game. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Hawks cover here, but more importantly, I see the Hawks being competitive most of the way as most of the Celtics games have gone over on the road and this should be another similar prototype. Look for the winner to get a 100+ points here and the loser to hit in the low 90's. The over is 4-0 when the Celtics are favored by this margin and the over is 4-0 when the Hawks are dogged by this margin at home - hence, fits in with muy active dog/over principle.
When I put up my research, it indicates that Hill is in for a rough start today. After all, take a look at Hill's number of late as he has been very fortunate with his results recently. Wainwright has a 2.19 ERA at home and is 3-0, although I will say this, Hill has not gone deep into ballgames and his 14 walks in 19 inns is a matter of concern in my opinion for the Cubs. The cards also come off a 1-2 loss yesterday and haven't lost back to back games since 4/18 and 4/19 which shows you something about their great consistency. In short, a lot of positive trends for the Cars here, they are coming back home, they are coming off a 1-2 frustrating loss, they face Hill who has control issues and this team is a great contact hitting team that can play small ball with the best of them, they have a pitcher who is great when his team can play such small ball and win types of ballgames in the 4-2 range, and considering that Wainwright is 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA at home and Wainwright has won his last 4 home starts while Hill is 1-4 on the road when facing a team with a winning % of greater than 60%, meaning he struggles against better teams and in particular against better teams on the road.
Dbacks/Mets Under 9
I've written an arm and a leg off on the other games, but this play is similar to the Indians/Seattle game from yesterday. Frankly, I nearly took the Braves/Reds under, but given those 2 offenses, I laid off plus, I didn't like the 8.5 that went with that game and although Hudson is on a bounce-back he has given up plenty of hits of late. Thus, I will take the under in this game as Maine has given up 3 earned runs in 12 inns to the Dbacks in their great year last year so he has a good track record against them. Owings gave up 5 runs in 5 inns in his last start so he is on a bounce-back today and I expect him to pitch well and I look for this game to have a 4-3 final as this should be a tight agme most of the way yet low scoring. In fact, that was the first start for Owings in which this team did not win when Owings started a ballgame this year. Under is 4-0 for Main in his last 4 starts, under is 5-1 for Owings with such a total set forth and the under is 6-0 between these 2 teams in their last 6 ballgames.