Monday Service Plays

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Insider Sports Report

4* Boston/Atlanta (NBA) UNDER 190
Range 192 to 188

3* Toronto +7.5 over Orlando (NBA)
Range +9 to +5.5

3* San Francisco (Cain) -125 over Colorado (Morales)
Range -110 to -145

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Re: Monday Service Plays

James Patrick Sports

Lakers vs. Nuggets

These Western Conference teams meet in the Mile High City with the Lakers in full control of this series with a 3-0 lead. After the third game the Nuggets players started finger pointing and questioning their coaches, a combination that usually results in an early exit from the post season. Defense will be a myth in this game as we look for LA-Denver to fly OVER the TOTAL in NBA Play-off action.

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DCI

NBA

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals

Game 5, best-of-7
ORLANDO 107, Toronto 97

Game 4, best-of-7
Boston 99, ATLANTA 92


Western Conference Quarterfinals

Game 4, best-of-7
L.A. Lakers 116, DENVER 114

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Re: Monday Service Plays

JB's Computer Picks

New York Mets - 230  (Best Bet)

Oakland Athletics + 115

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EZWINNERS MLB

One play for Monday

5 STAR PARLAY: (902) NY METS (-$210) and (906) ARIZONA (-$172)
(Listing Santana and Haren only)
(Risking $500 to win $665)

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THE POWER INDEX

NBA

Orlando* 9 over Toronto

Boston 5.5 over Atlanta*

L.A. Lakers 1 over Denver*

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Tom Freese

Houston at Arizona

Arizona starter Danny Haren has allowed 3 or less runs in 4 of his 5 starts. The Diamondbacks are 36-16 their last 52 home games and they are 7-2 in Game One of a series. They are also 8-3 vs. losing teams. Houston is just 4-10 as underdogs behind Chris Sampson and they are 0-7 the last 7 starts made by Sampson vs. winning teams. The Astros are 16-36 their last 52 games as dogs of -$151 to -$200 and they are 0-5 their last 5 games at Arizona.

PLAY ON ARIZONA (Haren vs. Sampson)

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MadduxSports

Arizona -180


Jack Clayton

Indians


Insider sports report

Oakland +120


#1 sports

NEW YORK YANKEES


Totals 4 U

REDS/CARDINALS UNDER 9


Platinum Plays

Raptors/Magic over 203


RED ZONE

CLEV INDIANS



MIKE WYNN

Arizona  -175


DR VEGAS

Cleveland


ARTHUR RALPH

Boston Celtics


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

COLORADO


DARK HORSE

Cleveland


MIGHTY QUINN

Magic


Vegas Insider Capping

New York Mets -1.5


BIG TIME SPORTS

A's / ANGELS OVER 9


Players of America

New York Yankees +105


Templer's Sports Picks

St. Louis


Joe Wiz

Orlando -7.5


Scott Spreitzer

A's


Glen Mcgrew

As/ Angels Under

   
Global Sports Picks

DENVER NUGGETS +4.5


Prime Sports Picks

Orlando -7.5

   
PowerPlayWins

Raptors/Magic under 203

   
Kosmo

St. Louis -130


Paul Leiner

Chicago/Baltimore Over 9


2-Minute Warning

Orlando Magic


floridabookybusters

Oakland/LA Angels Under 9


BaseballTotals

Colorado/San Francisco Over 7.5


HotLocksports

Oakland/LA Angels Under 9

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Raptors/Magic OVER 202.5

We saw a pair of overs in games 1 and 2 in Orlando, followed by a pair of unders in games 3 and 4 in Toronto.  The Magic are a much better offensive team at home, averaging 104.5 ppg, and the Raptors are a much poorer defensive team on the road.  Now that the series shifts back to Orlando, the over is the play again.   Toronto is 8-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more this season and 16-6 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.  The Magic are 29-8 OVER when they score 105 or more points in a game this season and that's a safe bet tonight.  Take the OVER.

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MATT RIVERS

For Monday take the Lakers in Denver

Does this play seem a little easy? Yes.

Will everybody and their mother probably be backing LA? Yes.

With the above two questions probably making Denver the right side I still can't help but make a small play on Kobe and his mates in the Mile High City.

Even if Carmelo and the Nuggets have not completely quit they are still not good enough to truly hang tonight. That last game was disgusting and the post game comments by Anthony were even more disgusting. This Denver team can obviously go one of two ways here. They can either pack it in and get absolutely drilled leading to the firing of George Karl or they can show a little heart and stay in this thing for most of the way.

With their offensive talent alone George Karl's squad certainly has a ton of ability and the potential to keep up for most of the 48 minutes. After all the Nugs do own a huge home court advantage, with the advantage of altitude, and I even believed right here that they would win that last game. Wow, what a mistake that turned out to be huh!?!?!?

This is the NBA and nothing is ever too easy so you must respect everything here but in the end there is no reason to believe, even if AI, Melo and the home boys show show mettle, that Denver will play enough defense to win this game. They have been buried and fully outclassed in each of the first three games and tonight should just be the icing on the cake.

Phil Jackson's group has looked great for awhile and are flying very very high right now. They know how important it is to close an opponent out and therefore will not let down in this spot.

I do look for a somewhat competitive game but Los Angeles still has everything going their way and in the end will win something like 119-107

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Bobby Bo

1* Lakers -5


JAKE TIMLIN

Boston Celtics


JEFF BENTON

3* COLORADO ROCKIES


Jennifer Barry

St. Louis Cardinals -140


Chad Jordan

Boston/Atlanta Over 189.5 Points


ARMVIN SPORTS

OLORADO ROCKIES   -111


HeadWaiter Sports

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS   -168


Priority Sports Info

Ariz.D'backs -170


Valley Sports

At.Hawks +9
Ariz.D'backs -170


Sports Book Edge

SF Giants/Col.Rockies Ov.9.5


NICK JONES

Orlando Magic -7.5


Silver Key Play for Monday ML Baseball

Yankees/CLEVELAND Over 9.5

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Angels

10 Dime - Lakers

Free Pick - Cardinals

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EZWINNERS

MLB

5 STAR PARLAY: (902) NY METS (-$210) and (906) ARIZONA (-$172)
(Listing Santana and Haren only)
(Risking $500 to win $665)

1 STAR: (909) BALTIMORE (+$142) over Chicago
(Listing Cabrera only)
(Risking $100 to win $142)

NBA

3 STAR: (722) DENVER (+5) over LA Lakers
(Risking $330 to win $300)

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SportsKingz

MLB

ARIZONA -185       

OAKLAND +115       

NBA

L.A. LAKERS -4

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Big AL

NBA 3* Denver

Opinion: Denver over
Opinion: Atlanta under

MLB 3* Oakland/LA under

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JeffMoney

Celtics -9 (POD)
Magic -7.5
Montreal +110
Yanks Ev

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LT Profits

Colorado Rockies -110

Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants is generally regarded as the unluckiest pitcher in baseball over the last two years, as he pitched very well with a terrible record due to lack of run support. Well, he does not figure to get much support vs. the Colorado Rockies tonight either, but the difference this season is that frankly, his own numbers are not as good either.

Cain is 0-2 with a poor 5.27 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. To be fair, those numbers are skewed by one horrible outing at St. Louis, and he is coming off of a very nice outing in San Diego. Still, that marked just Cain’s second Quality Start in five starts, and the normally weak San Francisco offense will be even weaker tonight after Aaron Rowand suffered a rib injury yesterday. That is bad news as Cain could use all the runs he could get, and should he get pulled early, the 3.75 ERA of the San Francisco bullpen is extremely deceptive, considering that group’s collective 1.50 WHIP.

Now granted, Colorado southpaw Franklin Morales has numbers that are just as bad as Cain this year, with a 6.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. However, his numbers are also skewed by one bad outing at Arizona, and he was certainly serviceable in his only career starts here in San Francisco last season, allowing two runs on six hits in five innings. Also, he has the support of a Colorado bullpen that is now probably the best in the division.

Finally, as if the Giants don’t have enough problems offensively, they are batting an anemic /208 vs. left-handed pitching this year, so if the Rockies could manage to scrape together a few runs off of Cain, that should be enough to get the victory.

Pick: Rockies -110


Denver Nuggets +4.5

Superstar Carmelo Anthony accused his Denver Nuggets teammates of quitting during their 102-84 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, and we would not be surprised at all if the Nuggets put forth an extraordinary effort tonight to salvage a win in this series.

At the very least, that abysmal effort has given Denver some nice line value here, as they went from somewhat surprising small favorites in Game 3 to decided underdogs tonight. This is a team that won 50 games this season, and besides Anthony, we simply do not feel that their other veterans like Allen Iverson and Marcus Camby will allow this club to go down with no fight whatsoever. This reminds us a lot of the situation in Phoenix yesterday, where a team looked totally dead in Game 3 of a series to go down 3-0 and then rallied for their best effort of the series in a dominant Game 4 win.

Now obviously, it is extremely difficult to find anything negative about the Lakers here as far as the numbers are concerned. However, this is a game of emotion, and we just think that the Nuggets will give a peak performance here not wanting to get swept, while the Lakers are at a comfort level knowing they could still wrap up this series on their home court in Game 5 should they lose tonight.

Speaking of home court, the home team is still 14-6 against the spread in the last 20 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, Game 3 obviously notwithstanding, and we look for the Nuggets to spring a surprise here and win one for the home folks.

Pick: Nuggets +4.5

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John Ryan

Houston Astros vs. Arizona D-Backs    
Play: Houston Astros     

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Houston Astros – Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 155-108 and has made 46.9 units since 2002. Play on any team excellent defensive catchers allowing <=0.35 SB's/game on the season and after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base. Houston starter Sampson has been largely inconsistent so far this season, but he is in a good spot for an upset win tonight. He has a 6.38 ERA overall, but in 2 road games has been strong producing a 2.63 ERA. He is also off a strong road start at Cincinnati pitching 7 innings and yielding just 2 ER while fanning 6 and walking just 1. This strong pitching will carry over to this game as well. Haren is a great starter, but does not like the Astros. He is just 0-2 when starting against Houston with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.499. Take the Astros.

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Nelly

NY Yankees (Mussina) - over Cleveland (Laffey)

Aaron Laffey had modest success for the Indians late last season and most penciled him into the rotation for 2008. He was unbelievably bad this spring and out of necessity he’s been brought back up for a start today with Jake Westbrook’s injury. The Yankees have a lineup well suited to handle left-handed pitching and the patient approach for the Bombers should pay dividends as Laffey likely will have some command issues in his first big league start this season. Mike Mussina has fairly mediocre numbers this season but he has kept his team in games and would actually have good overall numbers if not for one bad start against Boston. Mussina pitched well in a 11-2 win over Cleveland last season and we expect the Yankees offense to have many opportunities today.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

AFL 1* (regular play) Dallas Desperados (+) @ Philadelphia

In this huge match-up of AFL unbeatens it would be easy to sit here and type up all kinds of good things about both teams. However, let’s cut to the chase and get to the keys here. The keys of course are the variables that we feel are making the Desperados worth a play here in this Monday night match-up. Even though this game is being played in Philly, Dallas certainly is not intimidated by that. This is a Desperados team that has won 15 regular season games in a row. They can, and will, win anywhere and anytime. That said, the fact that we’re able to get 5.5 points with Dallas is an absolute bargain in this match-up. Even the sharpest AFL analysts would tell you that an outright win by Dallas certainly wouldn’t be a total shock here. That said, to be getting nearly a TD in a game that very easily could be decided by just a few points late in the game is definitely some solid line value.

We also like the fact that Dallas is coming off of their bye week and has had extra time to prepare for this game. Both of these teams are well coached but when you give a good coach extra time compared to his counterpart you are also giving him an edge in the match-up. Of course the bye week couldn’t have come at a more perfect time for Dallas as this is the biggest game of the season. Also helping the Desperados is that, even though this is the biggest game of the season, Philadelphia (of all things!) is bouncing between quarterbacks right now! As good as Tony Graziani is, his return at such a critical point in the schedule could throw off the chemistry that Matt D’Orazio, the Souls back-up QB had developed with the receivers. Don’t get us wrong…Graziani is good…he’s just not 100% and D’Orazio had been developing nicely. Last but not least, we like the Desperados defense over that of the Soul. Anyone can look at the numbers and see that Dallas is better on that side of the ball.

While Philly’s offense may look a little more explosive so far this season it’s hard to go against such an experienced quarterback like Clint Dolezel of the Desperados. In other words, Dallas will be able to score well against a Philly defense that has not been overly impressive this season while, at the same time, look for the Dallas defense to step up their game as they continue to show why they’re the top unit in the league! The Soul started off this season by dominating in their first four games. However, prior to last week’s big win, Philly had played three straight tight games as they had won each game by only single digits. We are convinced that Philly will be hard pressed to win this game, let alone cover a sizable spread. Dallas, with the better defense and the extra preparation time, can absolutely spring the upset so we’re taking the points with the Desperados. Play Dallas plus the points as a regular selection.

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