Friday Service Plays
Re: Friday Service Plays
Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers - AiS shows an 87% probability that the 76ers will lose this game by 4 or fewer points and a 65% probability that they will win this game. 76ers will force the tempo to be faster than Detroit will want to play. Detroit is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. AiS shows a 90% probability that he 76ers will score 90 or more points in this game. I also like the OVER as the AiS has a 3* MAJOR grading on the OVER. AiS shows a 75% probability that 183 or more points will be scored in this game. Supporting this 3* graded OVER play is a system that has gone 132-81 for 62% since 1996. Play over with home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points that is a cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is now facing an opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Back to the 10* side play. Philly is a very good ball handling team ranking 11th in the NBA during the regular season. Note that Detroit is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Detroit is not a high pressure defense either and rank 24th in the NBA in forced turnovers per game with just 12.8. Note that Philadelphia is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams that are forcing <=14 turnovers/game and in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is also 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. As another optional wager I like to play no more than a 3* amount on the money line. Here is a supporting system that has hit 70% for a 26-11 record making 19.1 units in profits since 1996. Play on home teams versus the money line that is an average offensive team scoring 92-98 PPG and is facing a good defensive team allowing 88-92 PPG and after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Take the 76ers. Also, I would not parlay the two together. Play 10* 76ers and 3* OVER.