Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Ferringo

4-Unit Play. Take Boston (-120) over Tampa Bay
1-Unit Play. Take Boston (-1.5, +130) over Tampa Bay
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

Tim Wakefield is an unbelievable 19-3 against the Devil Rays in his career, including a 9-1 mark in Tampa. The Sox have some guys battling the flu in their locker room. But they still have way more talent than Tampa. Matt Garza is making his first start since coming back from an injury and that’s always a hit-or-miss proposition. I’ll say miss, considering he is 1-10 in his career on artificial turf. This will be Garza’s second start at Tropicana Field and he didn’t make it out of the third inning in the last one. There is a litany of other trends and indicators which point to the Sox, and I think we’re getting great odds on the clear-cut better team.

3-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-130) over Washington
1-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +125) over Washington
The Cubs are one of the hottest teams in baseball and they have been demolishing left-handed pitching. Ryan Dempster has been pretty sharp this year. And although he has pitched well, Odalis Perez has lost his last four starts. The Cubs have won six of seven in the series, have won four straight against a left-handed starter, and have won four of five on the road against a southpaw.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Arizona (-105) over San Diego
I absolutely hate the fact that we’re backing Randy Johnson. But the Diamondbacks are 25-9 against left-handed starters. They are an automatic play against southpaws until further notice. It helps that they are the clear-cut better team and that they are 15-5 in their last 20 divisional games. Randy Wolf got the best of The Big Unit once this year already, but I think the do go even after this one. The Padres are just 1-4 against a left-handed starter this year.

2-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (+120) at New York Mets
The Braves went to work on the Mets in Atlanta a few weeks ago and I see no reason why it won’t continue. Home cooking will do the Mets good, but they are just 5-16 against a right-handed starter. The Braves’ bats are starting to come on, and Chipper Jones – who is hitting over .440 right now – always destroys the Mets. This is great value on a game that should be -110 vs. -105.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Milwaukee (-150) over Florida
Stop me if you’ve heard this one: the Brewers destroy left-handed pitching. The Brewers are 48-20 at home against a southpaw and will get a crack at red-hot Scott Olsen today. Of all of our picks, this is the one I’m least certain of. But after the Brew Crew dumped one to Jamie Moyer yesterday I think the numbers favor us getting the W against another lefty.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-125) over Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take Seattle (-110) over Oakland

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Re: Friday Service Plays

GamblersWorld

TIP OF THE DAY

San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns

Prediction: Phoenix Suns

Current Line: -6 Over/Under: 193 Reason: The San Antonio Spurs and the Phoenix Suns will both be gunning for a postseason victory on Friday when they meet at US Airways Center. Oddsmakers currently have the Suns listed as 6-point favorites versus the Spurs, while the game's total is sitting at 193. Tony Parker went for 32 points and seven assists as the Spurs defeated the Suns 102-96 to take a 2-0 lead in their Western Conference quarterfinal series on Tuesday night. San Antonio covered as 3-point home favorites as the game played over the 192-point total set by sportsbooks. Manu Ginobili netted 29 points for the Spurs, who got 18 points and 17 rebounds from Tim Duncan in the win. Amare Stoudemire led Phoenix with 33 points and seven boards, while Steve Nash added 23 points and 10 assists for the Suns. Team records: San Antonio: 56-26 SU, 38-44 ATS Phoenix: 55-27 SU, 40-39-3 ATS San Antonio most recently: When playing on Friday are 8-2 Before playing Phoenix are 6-4 After playing Phoenix are 8-2 After a win are 7-3 Phoenix most recently: When playing on Friday are 7-3 Before playing San Antonio are 5-5 After playing San Antonio are 4-6 After a loss are 6-4 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio Phoenix is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home Phoenix is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

25 Dime –

SUNS

Lay the points with the Suns tonight when they host the Spurs in Game Three of their playoff series.

I expect Phoenix to come out with the same urgency that Washington showed last night in their win over the Cavs.

This is exactly why the Suns got Shaquille O’Neal from the Heat, and I believe the diesel will lead the way for Phoenix tonight.

The Suns had big leads in each of the first two games against the Spurs, but fizzled out in the second half of both. Phoenix should be able to get into a comfortable rhythm in front of the home crowd, and that will allow them to play a complete, 48-minute game tonight.

San Antonio is a deep, veteran team, but they could succumb to the fast-paced Suns here.

With their backs against the wall, take the Suns minus the points as they grab the convincing win and cover.


10 Dime –

RED SOX (With Wakefield as listed pitcher)

Take the Red Sox for the road win tonight over the Rays.

Tim Wakefield gets the nod for the BoSox and it’s hard to ignore the success he’s had against Tampa Bay through the years.

The knuckleballer is 19-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 28 career games against the Rays. If it seems like the Rays haven’t been able to figure out the knuckleball, that’s because it’s true. I don’t care what the discrepancy is between the talents of the two clubs; you don’t post that kind of record against an opponent unless you flat out just have their number.

Matt Garza will start against Boston, and he’s probably losing sleep over facing this lineup. The right-hander has given up eight earned runs in just eight innings so far this year.

Take the Red Sox as they cruise to the road win.


5 Dime –

CUBS (With Dempster as listed pitcher)

Take the Cubs for the road win tonight over the Nationals.

Ryan Dempster gets the nod for the Cubbies and he’s made a seamless transition back to the starting rotation after serving as the closer the last few years.

The right-hander is 3-0 on the year with a 3.00 ERA in four starts. He’s struggled at times with his control, but he has still managed to limit the amount of base runners allowed. Dempster has also had success against the Washington franchise in his career, going 6-0 in 10 games with a 3.40 ERA.

Odalis Perez will start for the Nats and he’s 0-3 on the year despite a 3.38 ERA. The truth is the Nationals don’t have much offense, so whatever Perez allows will be magnified, especially if Dempster is on his game.

Take the Cubs as they grab the road win.


ANGELS (With Santana and Robertson as listed pitchers)

Take the Angels for the road win over the Tigers.

Ervin Santana will start for the Angels and he’s having a nice bounce-back season.

The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA in four starts so far. He’s coming off an eight-inning gem where he allowed just three hits and struck out eight in a win over the Mariners last Saturday.

Nate Robertson will start for the Tigers and I’m not sure what’s going on with him this year, but he’s off to a disastrous start.

The left-hander is 0-2 with a 7.48 ERA in four games.

Take the Angels for the road win as Santana continues his hot start while Robertson continues to get banged up.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

JB's Computer Plays

New York Yankees - 120

Chicago Cubs - 125

St. Louis Cardinals - 130

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Re: Friday Service Plays

JeffMoney

(MLB) REDSOX -115 (POD)
(MLB) CUBS -120
(MLB) ANGELS -105
(MLB) GIANTS +125
(MLB) YANKS -125

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BIG AL's WESTERN CONF. 1ST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR!

Phoenix Suns

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Larry Ness' MLB 24* (highest star-rated play / 2nd TY, won 1st on April 17 w/LAA)

24* Bos Red Sox

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Nick Parsons Friday NHL Pick

Play ON New York Rangers $ line (+) @ Pittsburgh

The Penguins rolled right past the Senators in the opening round of the playoffs as they won it in a convincing four games to none sweep. However, sometimes the lack of a true challenge can be a teams worst enemy and the Penguins are indeed set up perfectly for an upset here in Game One. Theyve had a long layoff and theyre playing a team that has a huge edge on them in terms of veteran players and playoff experience. The fact that the Pens dominated the Senators is not insignificant but, at the same time, the Sens were dealing with some injury issues and also were not in a proper mindset mentally. They were ripe for the sweep once they got down early in the series. While the Penguins faced a beaten down foe, the Rangers did battle with a team (and a goalie) with much proven playoff success as New York battled hard with the Devils and goalie Martin Brodeur. The fact that they took this series and had a lot of offensive success absolutely suggests that they will challenge Pittsburgh in this match-up. Henrik Lundqvist has been sharp between the pipes for the Rangers and they could catch the Penguins struggling to get on track tonight as Pittsburgh has been in idle mode for too long. That is what is offering significant line value with the Rangers and that is certainly worth grabbing here in Game One with the Rangers!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Game: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh +105

Adam Eaton is certainly the weak link in the Philly rotation. He posted an ERA of 5.12 in 2006 and 6.29 last year, along with 41 HRs in just 226 innings over these two seasons. Zach Duke has had three good starts with an ERA of 2.89 prior to giving up 5 runs in his last outing. We expect him to bounce back. He has walked just six batters in 23 innings, and is yet to serve up the long ball. This has not been a great park for the Phillies to play in, as the Pirates own a 13-6 mark against them at home over the last six seasons. They have not lost a series to them at home since 2001. We'll back the Pirates at home.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Vegas sports advisors

Tigers/LA OVER 10 (1 1/2$)

Yanks/Cleveland UNDER 9 1/2 (Very Strong Opinion)

Boston -120 (1$)

Minny/Tex UNDER 9 1/2 (1$)

Arizona/San Diego OVER 7 (1$)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Freese Blue Line Club

Cincinnati at San Francisco
Cincinnati starter Aaron Harang is in excellent KW form with a better than 8-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Harang has been on the winning side in 15 of his last 22 April starts. The Reds are 16-5 in the last 21 road starts made by Harang. San Francisco is 7-15 their last 22 games vs. righties and they are 11-27 after scoring two or less runs in their last game. The Giants are 0-4 off a road trip of 7 or more days.

PLAY ON CINCINNATI w/Harang 

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WILD BILL

Phillies -125 (2 units)
Cubs -125 (2 units)
Brewers -160 (1 unit)
Rockies +150 (2 units)
Yankees -115 (5 units)
Angels +105 (2 units)
Red Sox -120 (3 units)
Twins +130 (3 units)
Seattle -115 (2 units)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

EZWINNERS

MLB

3 STAR: (975) TORONTO (-$104) over Kansas City
(Listing Burnett only)
(Risking $312 to win $300)

2 STAR: (967) NY YANKEES (-$128) over Cleveland
(Listing Pettitte and Byrd)
(Risking $256 to win $200)

2 STAR: (955) CHICAGO (-$126) over Washington
(Listing Dempster and Perez)
(Risking $252 to win $200)

2 STAR: (972) TAMPA BAY (+$108) over Boston
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $216)

1 STAR: (957) FLORIDA (+$143) over Milwukee
(Listing Olson only)
(Risking $100 to win $143)

1 STAR: (963) CINCINNATI (-$138) over San Francisco
(Listing Harang only)
(Risking $138 to win $100)

ADJUSTED RUNLINE PLAY
1 STAR: (963) TAMPA BAY (-1.5)(+$190) over Boston
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $190)


NBA

3 STAR: (524) PHILADELPHIA (+5.5) over Detroit
(Risking $330 to win $300)

3 STAR: (525) NEW ORLEANS (+5.5) over Dallas
(Risking $330 to win $300)

3 STAR: (527) SAN ANTONIO (+7) over Phoenix
(Risking $330 to win $300)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wunderdog

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh -145

Pittsburgh is on a mission. Forget lack of playoff experience. This team is cruising. They are young but they are very good with Crosby and Malkin playing like seasoned vets. Marc-Andre Fleury was awesome vs. the Senators, allowing just five goals in four games. They are rested and get a Rangers team that was just 20-24 on the road this season. New York played extremely well vs. the Devils in round one which is why this line isn't higher. But Pittsburgh is the clear play here. The Penguins are 28-15 at home winning on average by a score of 3.4 to 2.3. They have won 31 of their last 48 games and they have the added motivation from revenge. They are are 11-2 this year at home revenging a road loss and we think they get revenge and a 1-0 lead.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Ben Burns 

Dallas vs. San Jose

Both home teams grabbed yesterday's series opener last night. I expect that pattern to hold true at San Jose this evening. After getting upset in the opener against Calgary, the Sharks know better than to take tonight's game for granted. Yes, the Sharks are coming off a hard-fought series. However, they've still had a healthy two day's rest in between games. The Stars, on the other hand, may have had "too much rest" as they haven't played since the 20th. Note that they were 5-6 this season when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, going a money-burning 14-17 (-10.2) in that situation since 2006.

The Stars have been costly to their backers at this time of year, going 60-60 (-18.2) their last 120 games played in the month of April. Conversely, during the same stretch, the Sharks have gone a highly profitable 74-44 (+34.9) in the month of April. I expect the Sharks to win the series and suggested a series play on them to the members of my website. They're 8-1 their last nine home games and 15-5 their last 20 here. Look for them to start the series with a victory. Take the Sharks. 

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Re: Friday Service Plays

King Creole 

Today's Pick: Hornets/Mavericks UNDER

Each of the first two games of this series have gone OVER The TOTAL. With tonight's OU line creeping up (196.5 to 197 at last look), we'll grab the value on the UNDER with some Killer OU Systems to back us up.

In the "1/3" game (Round 1 / Game 3), home teams who went OVER in the first two games of the series (MAVERICKS and SUNS) have gone 9-23 O/U.... and 2-10 O/U as favs of -5.5 or less points.

The Hornets come into tonight's game actually off 4 straight OVERS.... and that's another good sign to take the value with the UNDER.

In the "1/3" game , NBA teams who are off 4+ OVERS in a row (Hornets) are an amazing 4-18-2 O/U since 1990..... 1-8 O/U on the road.... 1-11 O/U when playing off a SU win.... and a PERFECT 0-7 O/U as Underdogs (Hornets).

In the "1/3" game, home favs with an OU line of 190-199 have gone 5-12 O/U.... 3-12 O/U as favs of < 2 pts.... and 1-6 O/U In the last 10 years (Mavericks).

Game two was a complete blowout for New Orleans, as they beat up on Dallas by a final score of 127-103. Another good sign for an UNDER.

Here's two collaborating OU systems:

0-4 O/U in the last 5 years for "1/3" teams playing off a SU win by a margin of 20+ points (New Orleans).

0-5 O/U for "1/3" teams who scored 125 or more points in their last game (New Orleans).

#2 seeds (Hornets) are a PERFECT 0-4 O/U vs the #7 seed (Mavericks) in the "1/3" game in the last 4 years. Take the UNDER. 

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Mike Jacobs

50* NBA Pho -6.5



Sean Michaels 25 Dime Pick

Suns




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Cash & Profit Experts


Florida/Milwaukee Under 9 -115 (pod)

Boston -115 (comp)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Astros

10 Dime - Suns

Free Pick - Brewers

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Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Game: Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on SF Giants ? Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 56-20 and has made 37.7 units since 2002. Play on NL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and is now facing an opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. Here is a second system that ash gone 32-17 and has made 29 units since 2002. Play on home dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that is also a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games and with a starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing. One bright note for the Giants has been their bullpen. Over the past 7 games they have produced an 2.13 ERA and a 1.145 WHIP and a perfect 3-0 in save opportunities. Left-handed starter Sanchez has also been a big surprise as well. He has a 1.69 ERA and 1.187 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He has recorded 18K and allowed just 11 hits and 1 HR spanning 16 IP over the past 3 starts. Reds starter has not been a solid investment when he is facing the Giants. He is 3-5 when starting against SF with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.365. Take the Giants

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