Thursday Service Plays

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Info Plays

3* on L.A. Dodgers -126
(Listing Billingsley and Gonzalez)

Chad Billingsley has been shaky on the road, but pitched a gem in his only home start of the season.  Billingsley allowed just 1 earned run on 4 hits and 2 walks in a 1-0 loss to San Diego.  Billingsley is 4-2 in 6 career starts against the Diamondbacks with a 3.47 ERA to boot.  Edgar Gonzalez has been far from spectacular in his career against the Dodgers.  Gonzalez is 0-5 with a 9.00 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against L.A.  That stat-line alone makes the Dodgers a great play at home today.  The Dodgers are 33-14 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.  Bet L.A. at home.

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BEN BURNS


GOM Seattle

GOW Colorado

PF Dodgers

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Teddy Covers GOY

Houston / Utah over 181

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Sportsaction365

100* Utah -8.5

75* Orl +4
75* Wash -5
75* Mets over 9
75* Minn +120

50* St Louis +105

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CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS

MLB

ANGELS -105 (POD)

TWINS +112

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Bob Akmens

NHL 7* TOP-PLAY DETROIT -185

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Platinum Sports Investing Club Boston Red Sox

Vegas Insider Capping Detroit Tigers

KingTSports Chicago White Sox

BaseballTotals Detroit Tigers

JEFF MONEY Chicago White Sox

WildBill G1 Kansas City Royal
 
jokers sports Washington Wizards

GAMETIMEDECISION Toronto Raptors

seeyouinthewinnerscircle Washington Wizards

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Gamblers World Tip of the Day

Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings   

Prediction: Detroit Red Wings   

Current Line: -200   Over/Under: 5   

Reason: The fans at Joe Louis Arena will be treated  to a playoff game between the Colorado Avalanche and  the Detroit Red Wings when they take their seats on  Thursday.   Oddsmakers currently have the Red Wings listed as  200-moneyline favorites versus the Avalanche, while  the game's total is sitting at 5.   Ryan Smyth scored the game-winning goal to help  eliminate the Wild, as the Avs prevailed 2-1 in Game 6  of their first-round series on Saturday. The Avalanche  won the game as -170 favorites, while the three goals  fell UNDER the posted over/under (5).   Ben Guite scored shorthanded for the Avs, and Jose  Theodore stopped 34 shots in the win.   The Red Wings defeated Nashville 3-0 as a -160  favorite to win their opening round playoff series  4-2. The three goals scored fell UNDER the posted  over/under total (5).   Chris Osgood stopped all 20 shots he faced for  Detroit, while Nicklas Lidstrom, Jiri Hudler and  Brian Rafalski all scored in the win.   Team records: Colorado: 44-31-7 Detroit: 54-21-7   Colorado most recently: When playing on Thursday are 4-6 Before playing Buffalo are 8-8-1 After playing Minnesota are 6-4 After a win are 7-3   Detroit most recently: When playing on Thursday are 3-7 Before playing Edmonton are 5-5 After playing Nashville are 5-5 After a win are 7-3   A few trends to consider: Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Detroit Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit Colorado is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Colorado Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

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Paul Leiner

100* NBA Over 181 Utah/Hou     

50* MLB Over 9.5 Phi/Milw     

10* Over 202 Tor/Orl     
10* Braves -150     

5* Tigers -175   

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Winning Points

CHICAGO WHITE SOX (Floyd) +105 over NY YANKEES (Hughes)

The NY Yankees decided not to sign or trade for a big name pitcher in the off-season. Instead they wanted to give their young guns a shot. Big MISTAKE! Phil Hughes was given the number 4 slot in the rotation and has been getting hammered. He checks in with an 0-3 record and an 8.82 era. The Chi-Sox will be trying to avoid a sweep on their home turf and will hand the ball to Gavin Floyd, who has been a pleasant surprise in the early season.Floyd has pitched well so far surrendering just 3 earned runs total in his first three starts. The small home dog seems too good to pass up.


***BEST BET
OVER 181
Houston at Utah

The stories say, "The Houston Rockets may be getting a much-needed lift from Rafer Alston..." And then again,they may not. Rafer Alston left Toronto and within two years, a bad team made the playoffs. Rafter Alston left Miami and within two years, they won the NBA Championship.Rafter Alston came to Houston and they still haven't advanced out of the first round and he couldn't stay healthy enough to give them a chance to win the first two games of this series.

What Rafer Alston can do -- if he plays, and if he doesn't he could screw this up for us -- is give the Houston offense more penetrate and kick ability. The guy has a measly 39.4% field goal percentage this season (37.5% last year,379% the year before), and a career FG% of 38.6% that ranks among the lowest of active NBA starters. That's why you have to pause and chuckle about the "may get a much-needed lift from Rafer Alston." Who has he ever elevated?

But the Rockets can score more points with him in the lineup,and Utah has been generating 90+ points out of their offense in two slow-paced games. Game 1 had 81.5 possessions.Game 2 had 86 possessions. Houston and Utah averaged 90 and 92 possessions per game this season. This series began at a Total of 186.5, went to 183.5 for Game 2,and each went Under. Tonight, the number moves down to 181 at the same time that an efficient offensive home team (Utah averaged 24.4 assists per game in the regular season, second behind Phoenix's 25) comes home with the ability to score from a lot of spots on the floor and the visiting team's "motor" is finally set to start, so they say. UTAH, 105-95.

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John Ryan

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
Play: Washington Nationals   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-12 and has made 22 units since 2002. Play on NL home teams that are poor hitting teams batting <=.250 and is now facing a very good starting pitcher sporting an ERA <=3.00 and is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. Met?s starter Perez in a horrid role for this game as he is 1-10 (-11.5 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS
517 MAGIC+4.5 SB
OVER 202 SB+
519 CAVS+5.5 SB
522 JAZZ-8 SB+
OVER 181 SB+

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
904 BREWERS-130 SB
914 PADRES-130 SB
916 DODGERS UNDER 8.5 SB+
928 CWS+105 SB
929 ORIOLES+130 SB

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Sure Profit Systems

GAME:  Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz

PICK: Over

REASON FOR PICK: We read a hysterical article on the Houston Chronicles web site with some great quotes from T-Mac: Its my fault we lost both games. Blame me Its my fault a couple of people in the stands ordered Heinekens and they got Budweiser. Its my fault. Im sorry. Oustanding, T-Mac. That attitude is only part of the reason we like the over tonight. Because if youre T-Mac right now, what else can you do but have fun with it and just go out and play basketball The guy is being blanketed and still puts up over 20 points a game, but he cant shake this blame thing. So you can hardly BLAME him for trying to point out in a funny way what idiots people can be. Everyone?s pointing to a combined 1 POINT in the two fourth quarters of games 1-2. So you?d think T-Mac would maybe save a little in the tank and come out gunning to put up big numbers in the 4th quarter tonight. So we see this game going one of two ways either the Jazz win in a ROUT ? in which case they will almost definitely break 100 and all we would need out of Houston is a total in the 80s (or maybe even less if Utah goes bananas). OR the game will be tight throughout in which case a 92-92 game cashes this ticket (the total is 183 as we write this). If Houston keeps it close, it will be because their offense comes alive, most notably T-Macs mates (and word is Alston may start as we write this) or he himself could just catch fire and have a big night to send a message to everyone to heck with you all. Regardless, this is more of a team total play on the Rockets then anything else ? because its a safe assumption that the Jazz will break 95 or better in their own building since their foot on the Rockets neck in this series. So can we get 87 out of Houston? Since its desperation hour and the Rockets have been held under that in the first two games youd think so. ESPECIALLY since all of their comments to the media indicate theyre going to come out gunning to try and get a lead. Somebody must have revealed the stat to them that in the nine playoff games against Utah this season and last, the Rockets havent lead at halftime yet! So Shane Battier said We want to go in there, make a few shots early, and get them out of their comfort zone. T-Mac said I think it will be a real confidence booster for us if we can go into Utah and get off to a great start. That would be really, really crucial for us. So I guess well see if the shots fall, but at least we know theyre going to be firing up the rock. Plus who knows what kind of adjustments Adelman will come up with. Last year in Game 3 in Utah the Rockets mustered 67 points. However the circumstances were MUCH different. They were up 2-0, they had Yao, and it was a big let down spot. With the situation where its at tonight, we feel theyre good for at least three more baskets per quarter on average, especially if it gets to goof around mode in the 4th (Utah rout). We see a 104 89 Jazz win, but were not wild about laying the big number in case T-Mac & Co. do step up on offense. If that happens, we should be right with this play as well. And if Houston gets run out of the building, they should pack it in on defense as well and it could be a scoring festival for the Jazz, enough to send it over. We see Deron Williams listed as probable with the tailbone (as we write this), so he should be good to go. In any case, best of luck with all of your sports investments tonight.

Note: This play is 300 units. For our scale, this is your standard wager amount.

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Larry Ness

SEA -136 vs BAL

The Orioles got the better on the Mariners last night with a 3-2 win, after Seattle won Tuesday night, 4-2. The 'rubber' game is tonight, as lefties Adam Loewen and Jarrod Washburn square off. I'm not a big fan of Washburn, who the last two years with Seattle has gone 18-29 with an ERA in the mid-4.00s. I'm sure the Mariners, who have gone just 30-33 in his 63 starts these last two seasons, were hoping for much more when they signed him away from the Angels. I'll back Seattle tonight, despite Washburn. First of all, the Orioles have struggled with lefties the past two seasons, going 19-27 against them in '07 and 16-23 in '06, including 5-21 on the road. There's not much to report in '08, as Baltimore has faced just three lefties, going 1-2. Then there is Baltimore's own left-handed starter, Adam Loewen. He missed most of LY with an injury(just six starts) and was 6-6 with a 5.37 ERA in 2007 (22 appearances, including 19 starts). He hasn't made it past six innings in any of his three starts TY, allowing 16 hits and 11 ERs in 15.2 innings, for a 6.32 ERA. Seattle was great vs lefties last year, going 28-13 (plus-$1,730). In home night games, the Mariners were 13-4 in '07 and while they are just 2-3 vs lefties in '08, they have averaged 8.0 RPG in their two home games vs lefties. Take the Mariners to win this game and take the series.

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Power Plays Hotline

San Francisco @ San Diego 

Last night the Giants stole one from the Padres and Greg Maddux. Tonight Cris Young gets the call to start against the Giants. The PPH likes the San Diego Padres tonight over the San Francisco Giants. The Giants without Bonds, have trouble scoring runs. Take San Diego over San Francisco.

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Triple Threat Sports

Houston (+) over Utah

Utah was our Top Play on Monday and they delivered, but we fade them here as this line is out of whack unless you give the Jazz a SIX point home court edge, and no team gets six points in line value for being at home. Also, this has been a close series in the regular season and the playoffs, and also cannot ignore the fact that the Rockets are playing with absolute desperation. We look for the Jazz to win this one, but only by about five points.

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Ben Burns

Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Atlanta Braves

Reason: The Marlins took yesterday's game but the Braves should have several edges here. Yesterday, the Braves sent a right-hander to the mound while the Marlins countered with a southpaw. Today, the roles are reversed with Atlanta sending left-hander Chuck James to the mound to match up against Florida's Burke Badenhop, a righty. That's signficant, as the Braves are averaging a whopping six runs per game (.286 average) vs. right-handed starters while the Marlins are managing a mere 3.1 runs per game vs. southpaws, hitting just .241 in the process.

Badenhop hasn't exactly been pitching well either. In fact, in two starts, he's 0-1 with a terrible 7.87 ERA and 2.125 WHIP. Conversely, James pitched well (1.80 ERA) in his most recent and lone home start, after being recalled to fill in for Glavine, allowing one run through five complete innings, while earning a 4-1 win over the Dodgers. James has also dominated the Marlins, going 3-1 with a miniscule 1.35 ERA and 0.9.75 WHIP. Look for him to enjoy success against the Marlins again today, as he continues his quest to prove he belongs in the starting rotation, while getting enough run support to lead to an Atlanta victory.

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Minnesota Twins +107
(Listing Liriano Only)

Francisco Liriano will get he season finally going today when he faces and Oakland A’s lineup that struggles against lefty pitching.  The A’s are putting up a mere 3.1 runs against left-handed starters this year.  In 8 games, the A’s don’t have a single stolen base against left-handed starters.  This will be crucial in keeping the A’s from having runners in scoring position, allowing Liriano to get out of the few jams he may see.  Minnesota is 16-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons.  The Twins will buckle down after getting shut out 3-0 last night and get to Greg Smith today.  The Athletics are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Cash in with Minnesota as the underdog.

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Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Cleveland +4.5 over Wizards
Vegas did a great job at setting this line. This was simply done to get money off of the Cavs. A lot of peoples will take the Wizards just because the line is higher and they think its a sucker bet to take Cleveland. I would agree with that, but the Cavs have owned the Wizard and now its personal for Lebron James. Cleveland just looks to strong from the Washington team home or away. You know the saying "If it aint broke then don't fix it". Take the Cavs.

Houston +9.5 over Utah
The Jazz are so good at home and only have lost four times this year at home. One of those losses were to the Rockets. I do think this game will be close and the Jazz like to play a slower tempo game making it a lot harder for them to win by double digits. Houston does have Alston back in the lineup tonight which will make them a little more balanced. Look for a close game. Take the Rockets.

Major League Baseball
Braves -145 over Marlins
James/Badenhop

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Savannah Sports

2 Units on Seattle -143

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