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MLB Tips and Trends April 2

MLB Tips and Trends April 2


Terms "hot/cold pitchers" is relative, since for the next week or so, it refers to last year, Please keep that in mind. We'll get to hot/cold teams by end of the week.

Hot Pitchers
-- Lilly was 0-2, 8.71 in his last three '07 starts. Brewers won five of last six Suppan starts.
-- Hamels is 2-1, 2.15 in his last five starts.
-- Jurrjens was on winning side in his last six starts (4-0, 4.56)
-- Cardinals were 9-2 in Wellemeyer starts last season.
-- Astros won five of last six Rodriguez starts. Padres are 8-2 in last ten Maddux starts.
-- Billingsley is 5-1, 2.78 in his last eight starts.

-- Bronx won four of last five Mussina home starts. Toronto is 7-3 in last ten Burnett starts.
-- Vazquez is 4-0, 2.54 in his last four starts. Indians won nine of last ten Carmona starts.
-- Harden is 2-1, 1.44 in his last four April starts. Red Sox are
10-3 in last thirteen Lester starts.
-- Silva is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Gorzelanny is 0-3, 8.64 in his last three starts.
-- Redding is 0-3, 6.33 in his last six starts.
-- Haren was on losing side in six of last seven starts (1-5, 5.65).
-- Miller was 0-2, 17.00 in his last three '07 starts.
-- Cook is 0-2, 6.05 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-2, 4.91 in his last five starts.

-- Rogers was 0-2, 5.21 in his last three starts. Bannister was 0-2, 10.26 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders was 0-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Orioles lost seven of last eight Cabrera starts. Garza was 2-3, 6.82 in his last six starts last season.
-- Jennings was on losing side in 10 of last 11 starts in '07.

Pitchers vs Teams
-- Lilly was 1-1, 5.82 in three '07 starts vs Brewers. Suppan was 1-1, 3.32 in three starts against Cubs last year.
-- Redding was 1-1, 3.66 in three starts vs Phillies last season. Hamels is 2-0, 0.51 in his last three starts vs Washington.
-- Gorzelanny allowed four runs in six IP in his only '07 start vs Atlanta.
-- Haren beat Reds 5-3 June 20, allowing three runs in seven IP. Arroyo allowed two runs in seven IP in no-decision against the Snakes last April 9.
-- Miller allowed four runs in 5.2 IP vs Mets LY, but Miller won the game, 15-7. Perez was 2-1, 6.04 in four starts vs Florida.
-- Cook lost 7-3 to Cardinals last May 31, allowing five runs in seven IP. Wellemeyer beat Rockies 8-4 last May 30, allowing three runs in five IP.
-- Rodriguez beat Padres 7-1 July 26, allowing one run in 7 IP. Maddux was 1-1, 3.00 vs Houston last season.
-- Billingsley was 1-0, 4.05 in three '07 starts against Giants. In his only start vs LA, Lincecum allowed two runs in six IP.

-- Rogers was 0-2, 8.03 against Royals LY. Bannister was 2-1 vs Detroit LY, with 3.57 RA.
-- Mussina was 2-0, 2.13 vs Toronto last season. Burnett had a 2-0, 2.08 mark in three '07 starts against Bronx.
-- Vazquez was 2-1, 4.08 against the Indians LY. Carmona had a 6.75 RA in three starts vs White Sox LY.
-- Saunders beat Twins 7-2 July 22 (two runs in seven IP).
-- Cabrera is 2-0, 1.80 in last three starts vs Tampa Bay. Garza beat Orioles 8-1 last August, allowing one run in five IP.
-- Lester is 0-1, 9.72 in two starts against Oakland; he lost 4-1 to the A's in Japan last week. Harden held Boston to one Ramirez solo homer in six IP in Tokyo last week.
-- Silva is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts vs Tezas.

-- Over is 5-1-1 in Lilly's last seven starts at Wrigley.
-- Four of last five Hamels starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Jurrjens starts in '07 stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Arroyo starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Miller starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Wellemeyer starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Rodriguez starts went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Billingsley starts stayed under total.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Rogers starts.
-- Over is 11-2 in last thirteen Mussina starts.
-- Four of last five Vazquez starts went over the total.
-- Over is 14-7-1 in last 22 Cabrera starts.
-- Five of last seven Saunders starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Lester starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Ailva starts went over the total.

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Re: MLB Tips and Trends April 2

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
Suppan: Mil 7-19 Away in day games
Lilly: Cubs 17-9 off division loss as favorite

Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Tim Redding (R) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
Redding: 11-1 Under as an underdog
Hamels: Phi 14-3 Under after allowing 10+ runs

Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Jair Jurrjens (R)
Gorzelanny: Pit 3-16 Away after allowing 8+ runs
Jurrjens: Atl 30-10 revenging a loss where opponent scored 12+ runs

Arizona at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Dan Haren (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Haren: Ari 41-9 Under Away when the total is 8.5 to 10
Arroyo: 4-11 TSR off Reds loss

NY Mets at Florida, 7:10 ET
Oliver Perez (L) vs. Andrew Miller (L)
Perez: 4-8 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more
Miller: Fla 14-5 Over at home vs. Mets

Colorado at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Todd Wellemeyer (R)
Cook: 11-25 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
Wellemeyer: 6-0 TSR 1st half of the season

Houston at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Rodriguez: Hou 8-0 Under at San Diego
Maddux: SD 25-11 Under after allowing 1 run or less

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Tim Linecum (R) vs. Chad Billingsley (R)
Linecum: SF 16-3 Under off blown save
Billingsley: LA 20-8 Under off one-run win

American League

Kansas City at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Brian Bannister (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)
Bannister: 8-1 TSR in day games
Rogers: 18-4 TSR off Tigers loss

Toronto at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Burnett: 12-28 TSR Away vs. division opponents
Mussina: 19-12 TSR, 3.73 ERA vs. Toronto

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Fausto Carmona (R)
Vazquez: CWS 30-17 Under as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Carmona: Cle 13-1 at home off combined score of 15+ runs

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Matt Garza (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Garza: TB 17-4 Over in April
Cabrera: 16-5 Over in home starts

LA Angels at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Joe Saunders (L) vs. Nick Blackburn (R)
Saunders: 17-5 TSR in night games
Blackburn: Min 15-5 Under as home dog

(TC) Boston at Oakland, 3:35 ET
Jon Lester (L) vs. Rich Harden (R)
Lester: Bos 12-2 Under Away in April
Harden: Oak 15-4 Under at home after allowing 2 runs or less

Texas at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
Jennings: 0-7 TSR vs. division opponents
Silva: Sea 26-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

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