Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wolkosky Milan

10* CHICAGO +8
10* NEW YORK +7½
10* NOH/ORL UNDER 209½
10* BOS/CHI UNDER 198½

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Root

Chairman - Ole miss
Millionaire - Nets
Money Maker - Sac Kings
No Limit - U Mass

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Seabass

5 Seatle Mariners -1.5
100 Ole Miss +3 (Inside Steam play buy it up)
20 Florida
10 Mil Bucks
10 Bulls
10 T'Wolves

NHL
20 Ottawa

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Vegas Runner  2* MLB BEST BET of the DAY

NYY -155 vs TOR

Same exact match-up that we had yesterday and absolutely nothing has changed except for Totonto having to spend an extra day away from home....Yanks on Opening Day at less than -180 believe it or not provides a lot of Value because you can't allow yourself to get caught up in the number when you are wagering on ML plays...we definately are conscious of what we feel offers value and sometimes the opportunity comes up where you are forced to lay chalk and still be getting the Value....we base our wagers more on the match-up and all the info we can gather, and finally set our own WIN % for the team we are looking to back and when we are being asked to lay less. like this evening, then we have no problem at all being on the Favorite just like the Padres last night...

So lets go ahead and lay the -155 with Wang as he should be able to seperate himself from the rest of the pack this season as the main Yankee Starter.

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GOLD SHEET LTS

COLLEGE HOOPS

OLE MISS + 2 over Ohio State


NBA

"OVER" 202 points PHILADELPHIA at NEW JERSEY

MINNESOTA +7 1/2

SAN ANTONIO -8 1/2

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Michael Cannon

10 Dime

FLORIDA

Take the Gators minus the points tonight when they take on Massachusetts in the NIT semi finals at Madison Square Garden.

The young Gators have responded to coach Billy Donovan calling them out after a late season collapse. Donovan banned the players from its multi-million dollar practice facility and barred them from wearing anything with the Gators logo.

The move evidently worked, because Florida has responded by winning the first two rounds in convincing fashion and a double-digit victory at Arizona State in the quarterfinals.

U Mass is an experienced team, but I don’t think they’ll be able to keep Florida’s Nick Calathes under wraps tonight. The 6-6 freshman notched a triple-double in the Gators win over Creighton and he has recorded 20 assists and only five turnovers in the last two games.

But this game is going to be decided in the paint, and it’s here the Gators have a decided advantage.

U Mass has 7-foot Luke Bonner, but he’s not a threat inside to score.

Florida counters with 6-10 Marreese Speights, who has averaged 16 ppg on 67 percent shooting over the last nine games.

Take Florida minus the points as they grab the win and cover.


MISSISSIPPI

Take Mississippi as the small dog tonight over Ohio State.

The wrong team is favored here in my opinion.

Mississippi has been on a late-season surge; having gone 6-2 SU in its last eight and with a couple of bounces could be on an 8-0 SU run.

The fast-paced Rebels are a balanced unit, with five starters averaging between nine and 16 ppg. Their road win over Virginia Tech was convincing on many counts, not the least of which was the 43-19 advantage the Rebels had on the boards over the Hokies.

I expect the Ole Miss frontcourt to outplay the Buckeyes unit, which doesn’t play as physical as the Rebels.

Mississippi is a perfect 17-0 SU in non-conference games this year and I expect that mark to improve to 18-0 after tonight.

Take the points with Mississippi, but they should grab the outright win.


5 Dime

BLUE JAYS (With Halladay as listed pitcher)

Take the Blue Jays as the underdog tonight over the Yankees.

It’s hard to pass up Toronto at a plus return when Roy Halladay is pitching, regardless of the opponent.

The fact that it’s the Yankees makes this a bit of a reach, but Halladay hasn’t exactly been intimidated by the Pinstripes in his career.

The right-hander is 10-4 lifetime with a 2.99 ERA in 24 games against the Yankees. What’s more, he’s 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last eight starts against New York, which hasn’t beaten him since September 2004.

The Yankees will counter with Chien-Ming Wang, who was destroyed in the playoffs last year against Cleveland, going 0-2 with a 19.06 ERA in two games.

You have to wonder about Wang’s mental state after that disappointment, and going against Halladay only reduces his margin for error in this game.

Take Toronto at the plus return as they grab the road win.


CELTICS

Take the Celtics as the road chalk tonight over the Bulls.

Boston has been the league’s best road team both SU and ATS. They are coming off three straight 20+-point wins and they are 12-3 ATS over their last 15 games.

The Celtics have dominated the Bulls this year, winning all three matchups by an average of 19.7 points.

The Bulls are just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 against the NBA Atlantic, while the Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight against the NBA Central.

Take the Celtics minus the number as they grab the road win and cover.

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Jay Firestone

Play the Dodgers/Giants Under 7.5 for 2 units

We saw last night how bad this Giants team is going to be. I doubt very much that we will see this team score 5 or more runs more than 20 times this season, and especially not against good pitching. Tonight they get Derek Lowe who is a tremendous ground ball pitcher. The Giants have absolutely NO power at all, so I expect a lot of ground outs in this one. In fact, the Giants have always had trouble with Lowe, and thats one of the main reasons why these two teams have played Under in 6 of the last 8 meetings where Derek Lowe was pitching. Matt Cain takes the mound for the Giants today, and he will once again have to bring his A game all season if the Giants hope to win games. Pitching will win games for the Giants as they have 3 really good (or supposed to be good) pitchers. I expect them to play low scoring games all sason long because thats the only way they will win games. Two pitchers tonight that work very quickly so expect a lot of strikeouts, groundouts and a very quick game. 3-2 sounds about right

Bonus 1/2 unit play on Ohio St -2 in the NIT Semi-Finals

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Northcoast Community Line

Mike Lee 3* Boston Redsox

Scott Sprietzer 3* San Antonio

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Sports Monitor

Phoenix Suns (50-24) at Denver Nuggets (45-29)

Nuggets-5 /total 235.5

TRENDS

The Nuggets have covered nine of their last 12 games. The over
is 10-3 in Denver's last 13 home games. Eleven of Phoenix's last
16 conference games have gone over the total.

GAME SUMMARY

It took plenty of work for Amare Stoudemire and the Phoenix
Suns to move into a tie for the Pacific Division lead. Taking
sole possession of first place could prove even more difficult.

SPORTS MONITOR PREDICTION

Denver and Phoenix under the total

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Johnny Guild

Massachusetts Minutemen + 4.5

Ole Miss Rebels + 2.5

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Mr. A

Boston Celtics -7½

San Antonio Spurs -8½

Houston Rockets -2½

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Gina

Phoenix Suns (50-24) at Denver Nuggets (45-29)

The home team in this series has won and covered the spread in the last five meetings. Go with the Nuggets in their house, Denver plays tough on their home court. The Nuggets have won eight straight games at the Pepsi Center, 30-7 this season and are 4-1 ATS in its last five battles against Phoenix at Denver.
Denver Nuggets


Boston Celtics - 7½
Denver Nuggets - 6

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PPP

3% Florida
3% Boston
3% San Antonio
3% Phoenix

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Hot Lines

MLB

Toronto at N.Y. Yankees -155, 9

Roy Halladay and the Toronto Blue Jays mean business. On the first day of Spring Training, the ace stepped up and told his team that this year was going to be different, that settling for third place wasn’t acceptable anymore.

Toronto’s built to win now and with newcomers Scott Rolen and David Eckstein in Doc’s corner, it’s hard not to like the makeup of this team. The Jays believe they can compete with Boston and New York at the top of the division and don’t want to waste any time proving it.

Don’t expect yesterday’s rainout to bother the Doctor much – he’s a complete professional and loves pitching on opening day, while after the way Chien-Ming Wang finished last season, it’s tough to know what you’ll get from him outside of a ton of sinkers.

Pick: Jays


N.Y. Mets at Florida -190, 8 1/2

The New York Mets’ pitching staff entices a lot of low over/unders, but their lineup has enough pop top totals day in and day out.

Yesterday the Mets put up seven runs on their own to help bettors who played over the eight-run total. Johan Santana threw a gem in his debut, allowing just three hits over seven innings while striking out eight, but today’s starter, Pedro Martinez, isn’t known for being nearly as sharp out of the gate. He showed he could still paint the corners at the end of last year and into spring ball, but now at 36 years old, he’ll likely be on a pitch count today.

The 6-foot-5 Rick VandenHurk gets the nod for the Marlins.

Pick: over 8 1/2 runs


NBA

New Orleans at. Orlando +1, 208

The Hornets are on fire right now, but how long can they keep it up? This will be the club’s fifth consecutive road game over an eight-day span, including a game in Toronto on Sunday which involves the extra hassle of crossing the border and going through customs.

Despite the schedule, the Hornets have won and covered in eight of their last 10 games, but if Orlando were to win tonight, it wouldn’t be the first time they ended a New Orleans hot streak. The last time these two teams faced one another, the Magic took a 95-88 win as a 1-point home dog after the Hornets started off their season on a 9-2 run. But they were stunned by the inside dominance of Dwight Howard and Rashard Lewis, who between the two of them scored 43 points and grabbed 22 rebounds in the win. This time, the Magic have the advantage of a three-day layoff while the Hornets are in the middle of a grueling trip.

Pick: Magic


Houston at Sacramento +2 1/2, 202

Everybody and their mother are on Houston in this game, but you might want to take a look at the home dog here. Even though the Kings aren’t having a winning season, Arco Arena is still a very tough place to play. Whenever you can get this team as an underdog in their own house, you have to take notice because they’re 11-4 ATS in that situation this season.

And there couldn’t be a better time to fade the Rockets. Back when they were in the middle of their winning streak, everybody was still found a reason to doubt the quality of the team – and now they’re proving those doubters right. Since the streak ended, they’re 3-4 straight up and 1-5-1 ATS.

Pick: Kings


Phoenix at Denver -5, 235 1/2

When were at the offices we saw the total for last night’s game in Phoenix, we thought there was no way they could play over a number like that, but 81 second-half points from the Nuggets took care of that. Tonight, the total is actually a point higher than last night’s gargantuan number and you have a back-to-back travel situation to boot.

We realize the last five meetings between the Suns and Nuggets have played over, but this total is bordering on ridiculous (despite last night’s result). Even if both teams score their offensive average, that only takes them up to about 220. Regardless of the scoring onslaught that took place last night, as a rational, functioning sports bettor, you have to take the under in this game. You don’t have a choice.

Pick: Under

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Strike Points

4* Los Angeles -120

4* Boston -130

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Marc Lawrence NBA Revenge GOY

Denver

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Yankee Capper

2 Units - Oakland Athletics

2 Units - Chicago Bulls +7 ½

3 Units - Florida/Atlanta Over 5 ½

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Vegas Runner 5* NIT GAME of the YEAR

UMass 5.0 vs Florida


**(BUY the 1/2 Point to +5....this one could easily get there on its own everywhere, just like it has at BODOG and we have already seen many Locals using that number, but its a key number in baskets and a game of this importance its just the sharp thing to do)**

We all know how well Florida has been playing in this Tournament and as much as I always try to consider current form, the Bottom Line is that you can't over-adjust your numbers because of a few games...and that is exactly what the oddsmaker has banked on the public doing which is why they have continued to inch this up more and more, but we haven't seen that one big movement that is telling of sharp money...and just the opposite, it appears that they are very adament about not allowing the Sharps to come in and take advantage of all that value on their own, and therefore leaving the books with the best of the number and only the Vig to show for it....especially with the beating they took in the NCAA's this Year with all the Favs...

We all saw how this number was sent out at 2/2.5 and even at that number, the oddsmaker had looked to protect the books, so where it stands now is just absolutely loaded with Value....

But Value alone don't cash tickets, instead it allows for a Profit over a length of time, so lets get to why else we should get to cash this ticket....truthfully, I believe that UMass is the Better Team, Playing close to home, and Winning....and thats the combination for a Winning Ticket....we see that not only was UMass higher in the RPI by "30" Spots, but they even had a tougher schedule...and I won't waste your time with all the figures but when you see the drop in production from Florida on the road compared to UMass....other than the Name, I really could have seen UMass FAVORED in this one....Florida will not have a big size advantage like they are used to and when it comes to maturity which is so huge down the stretch in big games....we found that its actually Men against Boys as far as experience is concerned for the key players who will determine the outcome....and Finally, the Pace that UMass is able to play at will provide a huge match-up edge for them in this one...

So lets go ahead and buy the hook if needed...even though if Umass is able to Perform up to their expectations and Florida to theirs...we will not be needing them because UMass will be moving on to the Championship Game.

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EZ WINNERS

1 STAR:OAKLAND (+$121) over Boston
(Risking $100 to win $121)
(Listing Blanton only)

Oakland's Joe Blanton pitched pretty well and got a no decision in the loss to the Red Sox in Tokyo. He gets another shot at Daisuke here in the A's home opener. Boston has struggled recently when visiting Oakland as they are only 2-8 in the last ten meetings when visiting the A's. Both of these teams have to be tired after the long trip to Japan and Daisuke probably more than anyone after all of the media attention. I'll side with Oakland as the dog here with the home crowd behind them.

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Strike Points Sports

4* Los Angeles -120

4* Boston -130

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