Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers

- The Memphis Grizzlies and the Los Angeles Lakers will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at STAPLES Center.

Oddsmakers currently have the Lakers listed as 14½-point favorites versus the Grizzlies, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Grizzlies lost 107-106 to the Kings on Wednesday, as 9.5-point favorites. The combined score fell UNDER the posted total of 216.5.

Hakim Warrick shot 9-for-17 from the field with 26 points and eight rebounds in the loss.

The Lakers fell 108-95 to the Bobcats last time out, as 14-point favorites. The 203 points were UNDER the posted total of 212.

Lamar Odom had 18 points with nine rebounds in a losing effort for the Lakers.

Current streak:
Memphis has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Memphis: 18-53 SU, 31-40 ATS
Los Angeles: 49-23 SU, 43-28-1 ATS

Memphis most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After playing Sacramento are 3-7
After a loss are 3-7

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 7-3
After playing Charlotte are 4-3
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers are 20-4 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Lakers are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games at home
LA Lakers are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games

Next up:
Memphis at LA Clippers, Saturday, March 29
LA Lakers home to Washington, Sunday, March 30

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Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

Charlotte Bobcats vs. Seattle SuperSonics

- The Charlotte Bobcats and the Seattle SuperSonics will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at KeyArena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bobcats listed as 3½-point favorites versus the SuperSonics, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Jason Richardson scored a game-high 34 points with 10 rebounds for a double-double and Matt Carroll added 18 points on Wednesday, as the Bobcats defeated the Lakers 108-95. The Bobcats won the game as 14-point underdogs, while the 203 points were UNDER the posted total of 212.

Gerald Wallace threw in 15 points for the Bobcats, and Raymond Felton added 13 in the victory.

The SuperSonics lost 104-99 to the Wizards last time out, as 7-point underdogs. The combined score went as a PUSH against the posted total of 203.

Kevin Durant tossed in a game-high 32 points with seven rebounds in the loss.

Team records:
Charlotte: 26-45 SU, 30-39-2 ATS
Seattle: 17-55 SU, 35-35-2 ATS

Charlotte most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Portland are 2-5
After playing LA Lakers are 4-3
After a win are 4-6

Seattle most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Sacramento are 6-4
After playing Washington are 7-3
After a loss are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Charlotte is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Seattle is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Charlotte at Portland, Saturday, March 29
Seattle home to Sacramento, Sunday, March 30

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Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

There's no overstating it: Stanford is a good play

For most of the regular season, strong interior defense made Stanford a solid under play on over/under combined-point-total bets.

But since Feb. 10, the Cardinal has been giving up more points and, at the same time, increased its scoring.

That has turned out to be a good combination for over/under players with the over going 11-2 in the last 13 games involving Stanford, which has scored 75 or more points in four of its last five games.

Tonight, Texas (30-6) -- seeded No. 2 in the South Regional -- is favored by two points over No. 3-seeded Stanford (28-7) with a 134 over/under combined point total.

In Stanford's last four games as an underdog, the over is 4-0, and it is 8-2 in its last 10 NCAA men's tournament games overall.

Texas, which has covered the point spread only twice in its last eight games, also has a good connection with the over play.

The Longhorns -- who have scored at least 74 points in their last four games -- have a 6-2 over record in their last eight NCAA tournament games.

North Carolina forward Tyler Hansbrough is the favorite to win the John R. Wooden Award, given to the most outstanding player in college basketball.

Hansbrough is listed at 1-4 odds, according to Sportsbetting.com. He's followed by Kansas State's Michael Beasley at 5-2 and Texas' D.J. Augustin at 15-1.

UCLA's Kevin Love is in the middle of the pack at 30-1 and USC's O.J. Mayo is 50-1.

latimes.com

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Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

NCAAB Tips and Trends – Sweet Sixteen

Midwest Region - Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

#10 Davidson vs. #3 Wisconsin


Davidson: The Wildcats have been one of the true Cinderellas in the Big Dance along with Western Kentucky, led by super sophomore Stephen Curry. The son of former NBA sharpshooter Dell Curry has totaled 55 points combined in the second halves of the first 2 games and proven to be the most valuable player of any team so far. When he struggled in the first half against Georgetown, Davidson trailed by 11 points at the break. But when he caught fire, the Wildcats were able to overcome a 16-point deficit.

Davidson is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 neutral site games.
The UNDER is 9-3-1 in Davidson's last 13 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 60

Wisconsin (-5, O/U 126.5): The Badgers have the advantage of playing in Big Ten country in Detroit while Davidson won't be playing in their own backyard anymore. That combined with Wisconsin stopper Michael Flowers' ability to shut down opposing guards (he held Michigan State Drew Neitzel to 9-of-28 shooting this season) makes insiders believe the clock may indeed strike midnight for the Wildcats in the Sweet 16.

Wisconsin is 10-2 ATS during its 12-game winning streak.
The UNDER is 20-7 in Wisconsin's last 27 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 66


#12 Villanova vs. #1 Kansas

Villanova: Villanova is playing like a team that could pull a Sweet 16 upset. The key to the Wildcats first two tournament wins has been consistency on both sides of the ball. ?Nova is shooting 51.8 percent from the field in the tournament, while holding its opposition to just 37 percent. The Wildcats have also been surprisingly strong on the boards. Despite fielding a small front line, Villanova outrebounded Clemson and Siena 73-64. Overall, the Wildcats are playing well in every area and could prove to be a tough test for No. 1 seed Kansas.

Villanova is 5-1 SU & ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 10-3-1 in Villanova's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - C Casiem Drummond (4.9 ppg; broken ankle) will miss the rest of the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 67 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Kansas (-11.5, O/U 141.5): The Jayhawks have been an offensive machine so far in the tournament, scoring a combined 160 points and shooting a red-hot 54.1 and 58 percent in wins over Portland State and UNLV. One of the reasons for Kansas? high offensive output is that they have done an excellent job protecting the basketball. The Jayhawks only have 21 turnovers in two games. That?s an area where Kansas has a big advantage over Villanova. The Wildcats have turned the ball over 33 times in their 2 tournament games.

Kansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Villanova's last 8 neutral site games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 79


South Region - Reliant Arena (Houston, TX)

#3 Stanford vs. #2 Texas


Stanford: Cardinal head coach Trent Johnson - the Pac-10's Coach of the Year - plans on staying on the bench in this game after getting ejected with 2 technicals in the first half against Marquette. ?He might be more conscious of reaching that limit with the refs but I don?t think he?ll be any different in his approach,? Stanford point guard Mitch Johnson said. ?Obviously he knows people are watching him and the past stays with you.? The team is 4-1 on neutral courts this season, with the only loss coming to UCLA in the Pac-10 Tournament title game. However, Texas will be playing close to home in Houston - just like the Bruins did back in LA.

Stanford is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-1 in Stanford's last 10 non-conference games.
The OVER is 8-2 in Stanford's last 10 NCAA Tournament games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 67

Texas (-1.5, O/U 135.5): The Longhorns can look at Marquette's success against Stanford last Saturday as a blueprint for this Sweet 16 matchup. While the Cardinal certainly has an advantage inside with the 7-foot Lopez brothers, Texas will counter with arguably the best backcourt in the country. Insiders believe guards D.J. Augustin and A.J. Abrams are much more talented offensively than Marquette's guards and will likely be the difference in this game.

Texas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
Texas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games vs. Pac-10.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 68


#5 Michigan State vs. #1 Memphis


Michigan State: People close to the Michigan State team feel this could be a dangerous game for the Spartans. Michigan State lives and dies by its outside shooters G Drew Neitzel, F Raymont Morgan and G Kalin Lucas. Even though the Spartans are a good offensive rebounding team they?ll be in trouble if their shots aren?t falling. Michigan State doesn?t play good transition defense and it struggles pressuring athletic guards. If the Spartans aren?t hitting from the outside, it will allow Memphis to get out and run and that could lead to a long night for Michigan State fans.

Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Michigan State's last 8 Friday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 64

Memphis (-4.5, O/U 134.5): Sooner or later, poor free throw shooting is going to catch up with the Tigers. Memphis was in control against Mississippi State but constant misses at the line inexplicably gave the Bulldogs a chance to tie the game in the final seconds. Overall, Memphis shot a laughable 46.9 percent at the charity stripe, including just 5-of-12 in the final 48 seconds to keep Mississippi State alive.

Memphis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 71 (Side Play of the Day)

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Re: Betting News and Notes - Mar.28

Friday's NCAA Games

There are 350,000 Longhorn alumni in Houston area, so Texas figures to have crowd edge playing in Reliant Stadium, with a court laid out in middle of football field. Underdog is 15-11 vs spread in last 26 #2-3 seed matchups in regional semis, with #2 seed 16-10 SU. Stanford won four of last five games since they got swept in LA at end of regular season- they beat Colorado 67-43, Texas Tech 62-61 (Big 12 foes). Longhorns beat UCLA in Westwood, so they have to be confident vs Pac-10 foe.

#10 seeds are 1-6 in this round vs 3 seeds last ten years, 3-6 vs spread overall in this round. Davidson was down double digits in both games last week, rallied to win behind sharpshooting soph Curry, who scored 55 second half points in two games. In a dome this week, and not close to Charlotte home, things will be tougher vs Wisconsin team playing in Big 11 country. Last week, Badgers held foes to 39-36% from floor, 7-34 from arc.

#1 seeds are just 1-6 vs spread in last seven regional semis vs 5-seed; Memphis shot 15-32 from line in shaky 77-74 win vs an athletic Mississippi State team. Michigan State is 3-4 as a dog this season, but 14-1 SU outside of Pac-10, losing to UCLA in game they led by 11 at half. Memphis got held to 62 points in its only loss, at home to Tennessee Feb 23- they've won nine in row since. Last night, the 7-12 seeds that lost were at least a little lively, while 2-4 seeds that got beat played awful ball.

#12 seeds are 2-5 vs spread when playing #1 seed in regional semifinal round since 1994, with only cover before Thursday when Missouri State lost 78-61 to Duke (+28); 12's are 0-14 vs #1's since 1985, with last seven losses by 14-11-15-17-16-19-10 points. Kansas beat DePaul 84-66 in only game vs Big East foe. Villanova was down 18 to Clemson, rallied to win, then beat 12 seed Siena to get here- they're 11-2 outside of Big East, 6-5 vs spread as an underdog.

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