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Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wunderdog MLB

New York Mets at Florida
Pick: Florida +107

Runs have been hard to come by for the Mets so far this spring. They have scored just 16 times over six games, good for just 2.67 runs per game. Mark Hendrickson will square off against John Maine. The Marlins have scored no less than three runs in each of their seven games and are putting up 5.57 rpg, which should be enough to get the win today.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Texas -13.5

All I have to say is look out to Nebraska fans as the Longhorns will be out for revenge after going down to Texas Tech a few days ago.  At 15-1 SU and 7-4 ATS in home line games, the Longhorns have been virtually unbeatable at home.  Nebraska's road woes are well documented.  The Huskers are just 3-7 SU and ATS on the road this season.  Texas is 8-1 SU and ATS in its last 9 games.   Nebraska is only 5-15 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.  Texas is 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.  The Huskers do not have the guards to compete with Texas' monster backcourt.  Take Texas.

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Jeff Benton

The oddsmakers seem to have caught up with the Lakers, who have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games after an astonishing 13-1 ATS roll. However, two of those non-covers came against the Blazers (a team L.A. has notoriously struggled against), and the other came in Sunday’s four-point overtime win over the Mavs as a 6½-point favorite.

Tonight, the Lakers face Sacramento for the first time this season, and while the Kings have been solid at home (18-10, including 10-2 in the last 12), I don’t see how they’re going to handle Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol, who have been playing out of their minds since becoming teammates, including combining for 69 points and 25 rebounds in Sunday’s win over Dallas. Also, Sacramento’s recent home success aside, they’re just 4-7 SU (4-6-1 ATS) in their last 11 overall, with the wins coming against the Heat (home), Bobcats (road), Hawks (home) and Blazers (road). Big whoop.

Finally, with a much less talented team, the Lakers took three of four from the Kings last year, going 2-0 in Sac-town. Also, they’re 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five meetings; the favorite is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings; and the straight-up winner has cashed in each of the last 10 head-to-head battles. L.A. (7-1 SU and ATS in its last eight road games; 11-2 ATS in its last 13 on the road) rolls in this one.

(Based on a 1* to 10* rating system)

3* L.A. LAKERS

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Matt Rivers

For Tuesday take the points with the Nets.

Yes the Nets are struggling and are pretty much a dead man walking right now after trading away Jason Kidd but at this price, with revenge, and while being still in the playoff picture makes me all about the points.

Yes San Antonio is once again possibly the best team in the game after winning their 9th straight game in New Jersey on Sunday but it's still a lot of points for Tim Duncan and company to lay in this spot. The Spurs are as good as they come but they are still a team that grinds it out and doesn't exactly run and gun in 25 point blowouts on a daily basis.

Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson are still guys that have an upside and if they have their juices flowing here against the defending champs can help New Jersey stay in this thing. In the end the Nets are probably overmatched but at this price with some factors going our way why not scoop up the extremely healthy number

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

LT Profits

Purdue @ Ohio State u125.5

The Big Ten Conference has become renowned for its low scoring games, and we expect more of the same tonight when the Purdue Boilermakers visit the Ohio State Buckeyes.

The Under is a lucrative 17-8, 64.0 percent in all Ohio State games this season, including 8-3 here at home. The Buckeyes have also gone Under in seven of their last nine games overall, with five of the Unders producing no more than 120 combined points scored and the other two landing on 122 and 124 points respectively, all less than this posted total.

Now Purdue is a balanced 13-13 overall this season in regards to totals, but they have historically player closer to the vest in conference play. In fact, the Under is now 40-19 in the Boilermakers’ last 59 Big Ten games, including their current 4-1 Under run.

Now granted, these teams went Over in a 75-68 Purdue win at West Lafayette in January, but these clubs have gone Under in the last three meetings here in Columbus, and we look for the Buckeyes to control the pace again tonight.

Pick: Purdue, Ohio State Under 125.5


Toronto Raptors +9.5

Now we realize that Chris Bosh is out for the Toronto Raptors tonight, but this line seems like an over-adjustment as they visit the Orlando Magic.

For starters, the Magic are one of just two teams in the NBA that actually have a better straight up record on the road (21-12) that they do at home (17-11). For those of you keeping score, the other team is the New Orleans Hornets. Furthermore, Orlando’s average winning margin at home has been +4.9 points, which is not nearly enough to cover this inflated number.

Besides, it is not as is Orlando is at full strength, as Jameer Nelson missed Saturday’s game vs. the New York Knicks with the flu, and it is uncertain if he will be able to play tonight. Regardless, it is the Raptors that have dominated this head-to-head series, going a fantastic 8-1 against the spread in the last nine meetings.

Now the Raptors may not win this game on the court, but we feel that they are more than capable of taking the Magic down to the wire, even without Bosh.

Pick: Raptors +9.5

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Paul Stone

New Mexico -6.5 

With such a "soft" bubble in this year's NCAA Basketball Tournament, I believe the Mountain West Conference has a solid shot at landing three teams in the "Big Dance."

BYU appears to be on firm ground, while tonight's combatants _ UNLV and New Mexico _ are "even money" in my opinion to BOTH make the tournament.

But we digress.

Looking at tonight's MWC showdown, I look for New Mexico to atone for an earlier season 19-point loss at UNLV.

The Lobos are always tough in Albuquerque as evidenced by this season's 13-3 ATS home record at "The Pit."

Straightup, New Mexico is 15-2 on its home floor.

Lay the 6 1/2 points and take New Mexico

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Akron at Ohio
Pick: Ohio -3.5

Akron comes in off a 20-point blowout win while Ohio is off a 24-point loss. If that were not enough to make Ohio the hungrier team here, the Bobcats are looking for revenge for a 1-point loss to Akron in January.We expect a top effort here from Ohio. This team has been unbeatable at home this season (11-0), winning by 12 ppg on average. Their defense is awesome as they have held opponents to 60.5 ppg here this season and their average in 14 conference games has been 58.1 ppg on 40.8% shooting! The Bobcats are riding a 39-16 ATS streak at home over winning teams and a 87-62 ATS run as a favorite. This season they are 8-2 ATS at home. They are also 11-2 ATS the past two seasons revenging a loss.

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Sacramento +5

I like the Kings catching a nice amount of points at home here.  The Lakers are 2-12 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons and 7-24 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.  The Kings are quietly 18-10 at home and 17-11 ATS in those games.  Sac is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season and 12-2 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.  The Kings are also 18-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Sacramento is never an easy place for opponents to play especially with the way Artest and Martin have been causing matchup problems.  Take the points.

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Dave Malinsky comp 4* play

GAME: Seattle SuperSonics @ Detroit Pistons

4* SEATTLE/DETROIT Under

Over the last two months of the NBA season the MTG, or “Manage The Game” settings, are going to be a big part of our portfolio. And the best part is that the fundamental logic behind the plays is such that the edges will never go away. It all has to do with a control element in a game – the bigger the gap the more control the favorite has, which means that the notions of merely winning and moving on are firmly within their grasp. Tonight we have about as good of a setting as the concept can bring.

Because of all of the veterans on hand, Detroit understands the notion of pacing through the regular season as well as any team. And with a major showdown at Boston tomorrow, one that can get the Pistons back in the hunt for the Eastern Conference home court advantage, this is a night to do little more than is necessary. That means no pushing of the tempo, and also no going out of the way to get any kind of margin. And the evidence is pretty clear as to how Flip Saunders & Co. will handle it – they are 6-3 to the Under when laying double figures at home this season, and 10-5 in the category the past two campaigns. And let’s note that we can put an * next to one of those settings – shortly after the All Star break they had a home revenge game vs. Milwaukee in which the opposite logic applied; they were out to get a kill, and got one in a 127-100 rout. Naturally, that one went Over. But now it is back to a more normal flow for the setting.

The flip side here is that P. J. Carlesimo is trying to build the pieces with a young Seattle team, and is tightening up the playing rotation to improve the defense. The Sonics have been road underdogs five times since February 1st and not only went 4-1 to the Under in that span, but those five games finished a collective 52.5 points below the projections, for 10.5 per game. He certainly does not want to be forcing any tempo here against the superior team, and with both sides looking for a moderate pace we have outstanding value at this price.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball

3-Unit Play. Take Miami (OH)/Kent State Over 124.5

2-Unit Play. #527 Take Western Michigan -3 over Central Michigan

3-Unit Play. #563 Take Purdue +2 over Ohio State

2-Unit Play. Take Nebraska/Texas Over 129.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

1. 300,000* Ohio
2. 50,000* Kent State
3. 50,000* Mississippi
4. 50,000* Magic

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

5 Dime - Southern Miss
5 Dime - UNLV
5 Dime - Ohio
5 Dime - Kent State
5 Dime - Purdue

FREE - Texas


Gamblers Data

Nashville-Edmonton over 5.5


Mr. Ernie

Atlanta/Golden St. Over 220

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Gina's

New Jersey Nets (26-33) at San Antonio Spurs (41-17)

San Antonio effective defensive play has allowed an average of 91 points per game and held New Jersey below 91 points in the last 10 meetings. The hot Spurs have won the last five meetings at home against the Nets, going 4-1 ATS.

Go with the Spurs for their tenth straight win overall and the 11th straight over the Nets. San Antonio has been a lucrative wager against the Nets, 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games. Besides, the Nets have played awful away from home, just two wins in its last 13 contests on the road, 11-16 this season.

San Antonio Spurs


7:00 p.m. Toronto (32-26) at Orlando (38-23) Toronto Raptors + 9

8:30 p.m. NJ Nets (26-33) at San Antonio (41-17) San Antonio Spurs - 11½

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Doc's

4 Unit Play.Take Virginia Tech -5 over Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons have been a bad road team all season long and will be lucky to receive an NIT bid come tournament time. They are just 2-9 when the play away from Lawrence Joel Coliseum. The Hokies are 11-2 when the game takes Cassell Coliseum and still has a chance of making the big dance but cannot afford a loss to Wake Forest to keep those aspirations alive. They also have revenge on their mind after suffering a two-point setback to Wake in December and revenge is best served on the court.

4 Unit Play.Take North Carolina -16 ½ over Florida State 
The Tar Heels are making a rare appearance on Raycom, but it is hard to go against this team at home, especially since Ty Lawson is back in the line-up. Carolina is No. 1 in the nation and expect them to make short work of the Seminoles and concentrate on Duke this Saturday, much like Kansas did to Texas Tech last night. Carolina has already won by 11 points in Tallassee this season and will complete the season sweep on Tuesday. They own a 37-8 edge in all-time meetings and this will be a rout early.

4 Unit Play.Take Under 128 in Samford @ UT-Martin
The Ohio Valley is the first conference to open up play and will feature a match-up that has been dominated by the Skyhawks this season. That being said, both meetings have played well below the number this year, as UT won 63-49 & 61-43. The Bulldogs only chance in this game is too slow down the tempo and that bodes well for the under. Tennessee Martin will win this game but the best bet lies with the under, as we will not worry if they can cover this touchdown spread and just collect with the total.

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Ferringo

4-Unit Play. Take Southern Mississippi (-4) over Texas-El Paso
Note: I do recommend buying a half-point, if needed, to get this game to -4.

Letdown spot for Southern Miss, but they are still so good at home that I don’t think it will matter. Throw in that UTEP has been poor on the road and I like the number. USM got thrashed in El Paso earlier this year so I think they get some payback and even up this series. So. Miss. has been shooting the ball much better lately and is a lock-down defensive team. The Eagles have covered four of their last five and have performed better against the top tier of CUSA than UTEP has. The Miners are 4-10 ATS as a small dog and the Eagles are 22-5-1 ATS at home. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in this series and the home team is 5-0 ATS.

4-Unit Play. Take Toledo (-3) over Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is just 1-9 SU on the road since Thanksgiving and have dumped their last five conference road games by an average of 11.6 points per. Toledo has nice home wins over Ohio and Kent State this year and are a completely different team on their own turf. Eastern Michigan is coming off an emotional Senior Night win over the weekend in which they had to come from behind to beat Ball State. Now they head on the road without Justin Dobbins, their starting center and second-leading scorer, who tweaked his knee in that contest. Dobbins may play, but should be limited. That’s a big loss for EMU as it heads to meet a team that’s won six of seven in the series by an average of 13.2 points per.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Youngstown State (+12.5) over Illinois-Chicago
We’re either going to win this bet or the Penguins are going to lose by 40. UI-C throws up a lot of 3-pointers. If they’re hitting, they’re pretty good. If they aren’t, they are beatable. I just think it’s tough to lay this much lumber on a team that’s so one-dimensional. The Penguins beat UI-C once this year, which proves that they can play with them and aren’t simply outclassed. They did lose to the Flames by 14 in the last meeting, but that was at the end of a four-game road trip for YSU and in a game where they went 5-for-29 from 3-point land (17.2 percent). It’s a conference tournament and blowouts are usually pretty scarce in the opening rounds, so we’ll look for YSU to play valiantly, as they have all season (6-3 ATS as a double-digit dog) and go down fighting.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Wisconsin-Green Bay (+6) over Valparaiso
UW-Green Bay has experience and scoring ability, and in a one-and-done situation I expect them to bring their best game to Indiana. Valparaiso has played well for stretches lately but they continually blow leads at home. Mike Schachtner seems to have reclaimed his mojo and this is a situation where I wouldn’t be stunned if the Phoenix claimed an outright win. If I think they can win, I think they can cover.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Northern Illinois (+7.5) over Ball State
Two crappy teams facing off. And when that happens I don’t know if one should be laying this many points to the other. Especially considering that NIU already beat Ball State once this year. Also, this is a series where the outcome was determined by eight or more points just twice in the last nine meetings. The average margin of victory in those nine games: 5.3 points. The Huskies are 5-2 ATS on the road and the Cardinals are 17-36-1 ATS at home.

1.5-Unit Play. Take Purdue (+2.5) over Ohio State
If they want to give the points to the better team I will certainly take them. Purdue has won in some tough Big 10 road venues this year and they still have a ton to play for. The Boilers are shooting for a Big 10 title and NCAA Tournament seeding. They are tough-minded and I think they can get the better of a disappointing OSU club. The Buckeyes are being touted as being in “must win” mode, but I’m always one to fade teams in those situations.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr. A's

Golden State Warriors - 1

San Antonio Spurs -11½


Chicago Hotsides

3* ORLANDO -6' -150

1* Lakers -3 -150

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GamblersWorld Tip of the Day

TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NBA Game: 7:00PM, Toronto Raptors vs. Orlando Magic

Prediction: Orlando Magic

Current Line: -8.5 Over/Under: 209 Reason: The Toronto Raptors and the Orlando Magic will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Amway Arena. Oddsmakers currently have the Magic listed as 8½-point favorites versus the Raptors, while the game's total is sitting at 209. The Raptors lost to Charlotte 110-98 as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (200.5). Anthony Parker led the Raptors with 24 points and Rasho Nesterovic netted 16 points in the loss. Orlando had no trouble with New York Saturday, as they cruised to a 118-92 victory at home. Orlando covered the 11.5-point spread, while the 210 points made it OVER the posted total of 209.5. Dwight Howard scored a game-high 26 points and hauled down 22 rebounds to complete a double-double performance for Orlando. Hedo Turkoglu chipped in with 25 points in the win. Current streak: Toronto has lost 2 straight games. Team records: Toronto: 32-26 SU, 33-25 ATS Orlando: 38-23 SU, 38-22-1 ATS Toronto most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 4-6 Before playing Miami are 3-7 After playing Charlotte are 3-7 After a loss are 8-2 Orlando most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 3-7 Before playing Washington are 3-7 After playing New York are 4-6 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Orlando Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Orlando Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Lockoftheday

LAKERS -5

We are also betting the Lakers tonight. The Lakers are blowing teams out. The Pao Gosal trade has made this team awesome. Sacramento is better than people expect, but they don’t play any defense at all. The Lakers will score 120 points tonight! Sacramento, without Mike Bibby, will be hard-pressed to keep up with them. Bet the Lakers tonight!


Purdue is CLEARLY the better team here! Purdue plays lockdown relentless defense. They are well-coached and they play smart. Purdue has plenty of quality wins this year. Ohio State has lost four in row and six of eight. The Buckeyes just got spanked by Minnesota!! Purdue beat Ohio State earlier this year by 8 points. WE ARE BETTING MORE ON THIS GAME. We like Purdue a lot. THE BOILERMAKERS WIN THIS GAME!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports   15-2 the last 7 days   yikes
NCAA Basketball

5 Unit Black Magic Big Ten GOTW on Ohio State -2.5

Ohio State will take down the Boilermakers at home tonight. The Buckeyes are on the outside looking in when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. This is the win that could get the Tournament Committee to take a look at Ohio State. Purdue is winning the Big Ten right now and Ohio State can really spoil their party here. Purdue won the first meeting in a thriller, 71-65, on January 12, but has not won at Ohio State since 1998. This 10-year drought won’t be coming to an end tonight. Ohio State is 14-4 SU and 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings with Purdue. Purdue is 7-25 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Cash in with Ohio State as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Bowling Green/Buffalo OVER 141.5

The OVER will cash with ease in this meeting between Bowling Green and Buffalo tonight. The OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Each of the last 6 meetings have exceeded 147 combined points. Buffalo is 23-9 OVER after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. Buffalo is 12-3 OVER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Bowling Green is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Something about these teams getting together brings out the best in one another offensively. We will cash in the OVER 141.5 points for a 7th consecutive time in this series.

NBA:

3 Unit Sharp Play on Toronto Raptors +9.5

The Raptors are catching way too many points tonight against the Orlando Magic. Toronto just beat Orlando by 17 points on February 20th just two weeks ago. The Raptors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Orlando, cashing 88% of the time. The Raptors have won 7 of their last 9 meetings with the Magic outright. Yes, Orlando is much improved this season but it’s not like the Raptors have fallen off the face of the earth. Toronto is 20-8 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 23-10 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with the Raptors as the underdog.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Iceman

3* Buffalo Sabres

3* Nashville Predators

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