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Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays


Chairman- Oregon
Millionaire- W Vagina GOM
Money Maker-Okla St
No Limit-New Mexico
Insiders Circle-Utah

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Villanova Wildcats - 1.5 over Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame (13-4, 3-2) is 0-2 last two road games losing at No.9 Georgetown 84-65 and at No.21 Marquette 92-66. No.18 Villanova (13-4, 3-3) is 11-3 over Notre Dame last 14 meetings including a 102-87 home win last season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys + 1.5 over Texas A&M Aggies

No.18 A&M (15-4, 1-3) has dropped its last three games including a 68-53 loss at Texas Tech. OSU (10-8, 1-3) is 9-2 at home including a 74-55 win over Texas Tech and a 63-61 loss to No.12 Texas. OSU edged A&M 57-56 in last season's BIG 12 Champ game.

Wisconsin Badgers (pk) over (at) Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue (14-5, 5-1) vs. No.11 Wisconsin (16-2, 6-0) enters on a ten game win streak, four coming on the road, shooting 50.7 percent while allowing 40.6 percent shooting over the last five games. The Badgers have won four of the last five meetings.

Georgetown Hoyas + 2.5 over (at) West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia (15-4, 4-2) is 5-3 last eight games. No.9 Georgetown (15-2, 5-1) leads the Big East in both field goal percentage and field goal percentage defense. Teams met once last season, Hoyas at home winning 71-53 paced by 7-2 center Hibbert's 20 points.

Creighton Blue Jays + 3.5 over (at) Southern Illinois Salukis

Southern Illinois (9-10, 4-4) is 4-5 last nine games off losing at (11-9) Missouri State 63-62 on Wednesday night. Creighton (14-4, 5-3) is 5-1 last six games including 3-0 on the road. The Blue Jays won the last meeting, 67-61, in last season's MVC Champ Game in St.Louis.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Sixers +4.5 over Bobcats

College Basketball
Notre Dame +2.5 over Nova

Savannah Sports

3*West Virginia -2

Seabass Insiders

100* Arz St +3
100* Utah -10

Winning Sports Plays

Gonzaga +13

Washington +8

Mississippi State -6

Rice +17 -120

California +1

West Virginia -2 -120 ***play Of The Day***

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

Saturday: Play On CBB teams excellent FT shooting team (>=73%) against a poor FT shooting team (61-65%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better 37-10 ATS since 1997 (78.7%) PLAY: Utah State +5

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At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys over Texas A&M.

At 6 pm, on ESPN-2, in the "Battle of the Aggies", our WAC Game of the Year is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over the Utah State Aggies.

Our 3 selections include West Virginia, Nebraska and Arizona State.

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RAS Sides

566 BYU -6'..... 1/2

640 SD -4'.... 1

649 ID -1...... 1

651 LMU +11... 1/2

Special K 20*

Texas Longhorns

Cash & Profit

ND +3

Purdue -1

Byu -6.5

Triple Crown Sports...

4*Boston College

Tom Stryker


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Dr. Bob opinion

Saturday Daytime College Opinion

Notre Dame (+2 1/2) over VILLANOVA

Notre Dame is a better team than Villanova and the good Irish 3-point shooters (40.6%) match up well against a Wildcats’ defense that has allowed opponents plenty of wide open looks from beyond the arc (39.3% 3-pointers allowed). Notre Dame has a good track record as an underdog or pick away from home under coach Mike Brey (39-20-2 ATS) and the only time that the Irish have not been good in that role is when they are off 2 or more victories and are susceptible to a letdown. Notre Dame is 21-4-2 ATS as an underdog in road or neutral games if not off consecutive victories. Villanova, meanwhile, has not been as good under coach Jay Wright when Wright has 2 or fewer days off to prepare his team (48-32-1 ATS after 3 or more days off, 38-38-3 ATS with 2 or less days off between games), or in conference games (50-50-2 ATS in conference, 39-21-2 ATS non-conference), or as a favorite (49-51-2 ATS favorite, 39-20-2 ATS dog or pick). Wright’s team is just 8-21-1 ATS in conference games as a favorite with 2 or fewer days off, including 0-13 ATS recently. The overrated Wildcats are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games and my ratings make this game a pick. My only concern is that the Irish are 0-2 ATS in true road games this season, losing those games by 26 points and 19 points. However, Villanova is a huge step down from Marquette and Georgetown and Notre Dame’s history of good road play suggests that those poor road performances were most likely a fluke. I’ll lean with Notre Dame as an underdog in this game.

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2-Unit Play. Take Gonzaga (+12.5) over Memphis

Way too many points to be laying here. Gonzaga has been tested in the nonconference and they are even better now than the team that lost by four at Oklahoma and lost by 10 to Tennessee. Now that Josh Heytvelt and Steven Gray are back and playing effectively for the Zags they capable of going into Memphis and really testing the Tigers. This line is about four or five points heavy. Love the value and look for the Zags to threaten for the upset

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Play: SENIOR BOWL : North vs South over 45.5


Play: TEXAS -11


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Scott Spreitzer's 25* Matchup Mismatch! 75-33, 69%

Guaranteed Pick: Scott Spreitzer

Game: SE Missouri St. at Murray St.
Prediction: Murray St.
Reason: I'm laying the points with Murray State on Saturday. I truly believe the linesmaker has missed this one by a decent margin. These two met on January 7, and the Racers wiped the floor with host SEMO, 79-51! That was the second win in Murray State's current 6-game win streak. MSU held SEMO to a 25-percent shooting night...again on the host's home floor. And, the Redhawks were healthy for that contest, something they are not for this one. Forward Brandon Foust, the team's second leading scorer & rebounder is out for the season due to a knee injury. He played in the first meeting, yet MSU out-rebounded SEMO, 46-38. In that game, Foust was one of just two Redhawks to score in double-digits and he led his team with 12 boards. They'll badly miss him in the rematch. SEMO has dropped five in a row, allowing a hefty, 85.2 points per game, while scoring just 72.4, themselves. Now, without one of their best players on the floor, the Redhawks will again face a red-hot Murray State team that pushes the tempo, scoring 81.7 PPG during the 6-game run. The Racers predicate their offense with an incredibly intense, in your face style of defense. Over the last five outings, MSU has held the opposition to just 64.4 PPG, winning by an average margin of more than 15 PPG! And, while the bench has shortened for SEMO, Murray State has seen 10 players appear in at least 16 of their 18 games. Eight of those players are averaging OVER 17 minutes played per contest. The Racers crushed the Redhawks on the road by 28 points in early January. I would be surprised if the final margin doesn't come close to that number again. Murray State is my 25* Matchup Mismatch. Thanks! GL! Scott.

Scott Spreitzer's Conf Game Of The Year! 3-0, 100%

Guaranteed Pick: Scott Spreitzer

Game: Virginia Tech at Boston College
Prediction: Boston College
Reason: My ACC Game of the Year is a play on Boston College, minus points. Robert Morris, in a sense, did Boston College a favor when they upset the Eagles on their home floor. The team came together in a players-only meeting and slammed Wake Forest and a ranked Miami squad in their next two home games. BC lost on the road in their most recent outing, but losing on the ACC highway is nothing to be ashamed of. Now, they have had a full week to regroup and they're at home where they average almost 74 PPG. One of the big keys to BC's conference season is the development of freshman guard Rakim Sanders (12.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG). He has forced teams to spread out on defense, rather than being able to focus on star guard and leading scorer Tyrese Rice. The Eagles are also tough to prepare for due to the fact that they're one of the few teams that owns a "true" starting five. The Eagles offer a pair of starting guards, two forwards, and a true big man in the middle in 6'11 shot-block specialist Tyrelle Blair. Making matters worse, the offensively anemic Hokies have had just 48-hours to prepare following their emotionally and physically draining home loss to Duke. Va Tech is horrible from the field and now face a team that has completely clamped down on the defensive end on their home floor both inside (Blair) and on the perimeter. This is simply a flat-out bad matchup and spot for the visitor, who has dropped five straight in this venue. I believe Boston College will have little trouble in this situation and I look for a 15-to-17 point win. Boston College is my ACC Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Mr. A's

Charlotte Bobcats - 5

San Antonio Spurs - 5½


Mastinky 4*Colorado

Young Guns

4* Memphis
3* Cleveland St
3* Texas
3* UNC Greensboro

Johnny Guild

Kansas Jayhawks -21.6

Butler Bulldogs -13.5

Auburn Tigers +8

Houston Cougars -11.5

Red Dog

5* Purdue
4* BC
3* W. Virg

Cal Sports

4'* Utah U
4* BYU
4* Clev ST
3* Pitt
3* S. Ill
3* Idaho

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Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball

3-Unit Play. #511 Take Notre Dame +2.5 over Villanova (12 pm)

The Wildcats' success has been wearing a bit thin for me of late. 'Nova is really playing over their heads in my opinion, and still, they have already suffered conference losses to Rutgers, Cincinanti and DePaul: all middle of the road Big East teams at best. I really like this Irish team, and here is a good spot for them to find some success on the road in league play. No doubt they could use a resume builder away from home, and I think they find it with outright victory.

1.5-Unit Play. #517 Take Connecticut +9 over Indiana (1 pm)

I see a very competitve, physical game in Bloomington this afternoon. And any physical game involving UConn, it definitely favors the Huskies. Known to struggle a bit away from Storrs, however I like their depth and size over a smaller and thin Indiana squad. The Hoosiers have yet to be tested at home, and this one will be their most difficult yet. The number will be good here, if not seeing Connecticut prevailing outright.

6-Unit Play (Game of the Week). #535 Take Auburn +8 over Alabama (3 pm)

Could the Tigers have turned a corner this year? Well, three straight wins, not to mention they face a Tide team that is dipping, and fast. Alabama has dropped four in a row. When you think Auburn, it's mostly about football, however this year's hoops team is 12-5 and a nice 5-2 on the road. The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten vs. the SEC and 7-2 ATS in their last nine on the road. Auburn has won the last two in this series and covered the last three. They are certainly the play here, showing more over the last month.

2-Unit Play. #558 Take San Diego State -3 over UNLV (4 pm)

The Aztecs have been a tough out at home this season, impressing to the tune of a 10-1 record. San Diego State has won the last three meetings at home against the Rebels, not to mention they are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine overall vs. UNLV. Give me the small home favorite in this MWC clash.

3.5-Unit Play. #583 Take Sanford -1.5 over California (7 pm)

Here's a case where we have two Pac-10 schools going in opposite directions. The Cardinal are ascending up the top 25 poll, and are arguably the hottest team in their league. Stanford has won four of their last five in conference play. Conversely, Cal has lost four of its last five Pac-10 games, including its last three home games. This game will feature each's dominant starting frontcourt, but I'll take the Lopez twins, and a better supporting cast. They'll lead Stanford to victory in this west coast rivalry game.

2-Unit Play. #623 Take Bradley +2 over Wichita State (8 pm)

The Braves owe some payback to WSU for a home loss to the Shockers earlier in the year. And despite that setback, it's Bradley that is playing the better basketball. The Braves have won three of its last four in conference play, while Wichita State has lost five straight. In those games the Shockers managed to score above 60 just once. In this one the underdog will come through with the outright win.

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AJ Apollo

3* Action Detroit 3.5
3* Action Northern Iowa 8.5
3* Action Long Beach State 12.5
3* Action Eastern Illinois 2.0
7* Top San Francisco 9.5

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Alex Smart

3* Action Indiana -7.5
2* Action NC Wilmington 7.5
2* Action Morehead St. -1.0

EZ Winners

3 STAR: (511) NOTRE DAME (+2.5) over Villanova
(Risking $330 to win $300)

1 STAR: (531) TEXAS A&M (-1) over Oklahoma State
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (561) MISSISSIPPI (+6) over Mississippi State
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (573) UTAH STATE (+5) over New Mexico State
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (600) WEST VIRGINIA (-2.5) over Georgetown
(Risking $110 to win $100)

Mike Stone



Rhode Island at St. Bonaventure  - Over 147 (Heavy Hitter -110 | Unit Value: 3

Note: Play up to 150

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Larry Ness' 20* Conference GOY (17-5 with CBB reports the L7 Saturdays / 21-7 in games!)

My 20* play is on UTEP at 8:35 ET. From 1994 through 2003, Tulsa appeared in eight NCAA tourneys and one NIT. However, it fell apart quickly, as the school had back-to-back nine-win seasons under John Phillips before HC Wojcik 'saved' the program, winning 20 games last year, in just his second season. Tulsa is 9-7 this year (1-3 in C-USA) but enters on a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS run, after losing 56-41 at home to No. 1 Memphis on Wednesday.The Golden Hurricane have two solid senior guards, McDade (7.3) and Earl (7.1) who are joined by sophomore Udrih (15.4) and freshman Andrews (11.0). Up front, the 7-0 Jordan (8.4-5.4) is surrounded by the 6-7 Walls (8.8-8.3) plus forwards Reese and Wheatley, who combine to average 9.1-6.5. Tulsa is not a bad team but this is a tough spot. UTEP has a dynamite guard duo of Jackson (23.2-5.5) and Kilgore (12.8-4.2-5.0) who get plenty of assistance from freshman Culpepper (13.1). Inside, the 6-9 Ramalho (6.8-5.6), the 6-9 Watts (6.-4.8) and the 6-10 Sampson (4.2-4.8) are joined by another freshman, the 6-7 Cass (4.4). UTEP is 7-1 at home, losing only 86-85 to New Mexico (OT), when it shot 33.3 percent for the game, including 10-32 on threes. Head coach Tony Barbee went just 14-17 in his first season last year (including TWO losses to Tulsa!) but his Miners are 11-6 so far this year and with 12 regular season games remaining (plus the WAC tourney), he just may have the Miners headed toward a 20-win season. C-USA Game of the Year 20* UTEP.

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (15-6 with BKB Insiders since Jan 1!)

My Las Vegas Insider is on New Mexico State at 6:00 ET. Utah State head coach Stew Morrill entered this season with a .762 winning percentage the previous eight years, ranking him FIFTH in the nation. His Aggies stumbled out of the gate at 5-5 but have won 10 straight and enter this game 15-5 and a perfect 5-0 in the WAC. Guard Jaycee Carroll (21.3-6.1) just keeps getting better, as the senior is shooting 54.1 percent from the floor (including 51.6 from the three-point line) and 93.6 percent on free throws. He's joined in the backcourt by an excellent "pass-first" PG in Clark (4.7-6.4 APG). Utah St is not deep but the 6-9 Wilkinson (12.8-6.2), the 6-8 DuCharme (10.5-5.8) and the 6-6 Wesley (9.8-3.9) give them a solid frontcourt. It's been a 'crazy' season for New Mexico St, the defending WAC champs, who are coming off a 25-win season. Reggie Theus left to coach the NBA's Sacramento Kings and then forward Nelson (11.6-6.4), who Theus allowed to play LY despite his legal issues, was dismissed from the team before the start of the year. Then the team's prized recruit, 6-9 freshman Pope ran into academic problems plus legal problems of his own and just returned two games ago. Paris Carter, a highly thought of guard has also been lost to academics. NMSU opened 6-9 this year, including 0-5 on the road. However, this is a VERY talented team and has opened 4-2 in WAC play. The 6-7 Hawkins (17.6-7.8) is one of the league's best players and he's joined up front by freshman swingman McKines (6.7-6.8) plus two returning big men. The 7-0 Iti (6.3-4.6() is no star but he's solid, plus the 6-9 Passos (10.1-6.7), is now back from an academic suspension himself (sat out six games) and is playing very well. Then there is super-freshman Pope, who in just his second game, had 12 points and eight rebounds, giving NMSU a 'peek' at what is to come. The backcourt has two vets in Gibson (11.9) and Peete (11.9) plus another very talented freshman in Young (12.4). First-year head coach Menzies has more talent on his roster than any team in the WAC. NMSU lost up in Logan earlier this year (74-62) with Hawkins going 3-of-12, Passos on the sidelines with an academic suspension and Pope not yet eligible. Turnabout is fair play here and I expect a BIG game out of the homestanding Aggies (nickname of BOTH schools). Let's note that EIGHT of Utah State's 10 straight wins have come at home, beating only Cal St-Bakersfield and a 3-14 La Tech team (non-cover) away from Logan. Utah St is 2-4 SU and 0-5 ATS on the road this year going 0-4 SU and ATS as an underdog. Las Vegas Insider on New Mexico St.

Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (15-4 or 78.9% ATS on the CBB season!)

My Oddsmaker's Error is on Purdue at 4:00 ET. Matt Painter, in just his second season at Purdue, took the Boilermakers from a nine-win season to LY's 22-win year, which included a first round win in the NCAA tourney. He's got a long way to go to match Bo Ryan's mark at Wisconsin (142 wins in his first six years prior to this season's 16-2 start) but he's surely off to a great start. Purdue lost its two best players off LY's team in forward Landry (18.9) and guard Teague (14.3) but Painter has one of the nation's best and deepest freshman classes. Two versatile 6-8 players, Hummel (10.7-6.) and Martin (10.3-8), are joined by guard Moore (10.0) and the 6-10 Johnson (6.0-3.7). Returning from LY are 6-9 forward Calasan (7.8) plus a bevy of guards in Grant (11.6), Kramer (7.2), Crump (5.0) and Green (4.5). Like Purdue, Wisconsin lost its best player, all-everything forward Tucker (19.9-5.4) plus its best backcourt player in Taylor (13.3). However, the Badgers have opened 16-2, losing only to Duke and Marquette. Wisconsin has excellent size inside with the 6-11 Butch (12.8-7.6) getting help from the 6-10 Lever (5.1-2.1) and the 6-11 Stiemsma (3.2-2.9), plus 6-7 forward Landry (11.1-5.0). The backcourt is not as deep as Purdue's but it's good with Hughes (13.2), Flowers (11.1-5.0) and swingman Krabbenhoft (7.9-6.0). Painters' aggressive defensive style will bother Wisconsin as even LY, the Tucker and Taylor-led team struggled with Purdue in Madison, winning just 69-64 as 13 1/2-point favorites. In Wisconsin's two losses this season, Duke and Marquette were each able to disrupt Ryan's offense, as the Badgers suffered 18 turnovers in each game. As for Purdue, let's note that back on Jan 8 at then No. 6 Mich St, the Boilermakers forced the Spartans into 17 turnovers in a three-point loss (easy cover) and then just four days later, here in West Lafayette, forced the Buckeyes into 20 turnovers in an impressive 75-68 win. Purdue has lost just once at home all season, an inexplicable 69-66 defeat to Wofford on December 19, but I think it's safe to say that the Boilermakers WON'T be overlooking No. 11 Wisconsin. Once again, the linemakers are giving us a pointspread in which a SU win almost ASSURES us of a cover and I'm "all over" Purdue, as I was in its game vs Ohio State on January 12. Oddsmaker's Error on Purdue.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

main event....................murray st
acc goy............................bc st north mx st marys
tko.............................tenn charltt
college bailout gow...............butler
5 star...............nova
4 star.................tex am

fat man plays...................ariz,bc
champ club..................kentucky
late slammer.................nev reno
big shot.........................purdue
big shot............................utah
under the hat..............................ariz
under tha hat...............................wm and mary
big west goy............... st northridg
acc goy.....................3 star..............bc
3 star...................ohio
3 star..................mont st
3 star......................grizzlies

serial game................bc
college mismatch goy..............duquesne
personal best.................utah
inner circle..................fla st
inner circle..................ohio
5 star................hofstra
4 star...............temple
3 star...............byu
personal best...............spurs
total........................sixers over 91
inner circle....................grizzlies
5 star....................bobcats

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

30 Dime –


Take Purdue for the home win this afternoon over Wisconsin.

The Badgers may have won 10 straight games, but they are staggering right now, having just squeaked past Michigan on Tuesday, 64-61. Wisconsin never came close to covering the 17-point spread and will have its hands full with Purdue today.

The Boilermakers will pressure the Badgers at every opportunity today. If you saw Wisconsin’s losses at Duke and at home over Marquette you’ll see that this team struggles against defensive pressure.

Purdue forced 20 turnovers from Ohio State and 17 at Michigan State, so they are certainly capable of doing the same thing on its home floor to Wisconsin.

The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last five and 2-4 ATS in Big Ten play, while the Boilermakers are 5-1 SUATS in conference action.

The home team is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings of this series.

Take Purdue as they grab the cash for us over Wisconsin.

20 Dime –


Take Byu as the home chalk tonight over New Mexico.

Byu is a perfect 10-0 at home this year and they have owned New Mexico recently, going 4-0 SUATS in the last four meetings.

New Mexico has an inexperienced bench that is bound to catch up to them, and the Cougars could very well take advantage of that here today.

The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight.

J. R. Giddens and Chad Toppert were both held in check by Byu in both games last year, and there’s no reason to think tonight will be any different.

Take Byu as the home chalk as they grab the win and cover.

10 Dime –


Take the points with Notre Dame this afternoon when they travel to take on Villanova.

The Wildcats are one of the most overrated teams in the country. How could a ranked team lose on its home court to lowly Rutgers?

Well, Villanova did just that on Wednesday and not only did they lose, they were blown out on their home court, 80-68.

The Wildcats are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.

Notre Dame, on the other hand, is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 Big East games and 4-1-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. The Irish are also 7-2-1 ATS following an ATS loss.

Further proof that Villanova is overrated is evidenced by its 4-10 ATS mark against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 2-6 ATS off a SU loss, 1-6 ATS in the Big East and 0-5 ATS in its last five home games.

Take Notre Dame plus the points and don’t be surprised if the Irish grab the outright win.

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Doc's Sports Picks For College Basketball

4 Unit Play. #516 Take Northeastern -6 over Hofstra (1:00 pm) This is a fade play against the Pride, who were blown out by VCU on Wednesday and now must travel into a hostile environment in Hempstead, NY. The Huskies have a solid front court full of big bodies and they should be able to do their damage down low and pull away late to win this game by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. #520 Take Florida State -8 over North Carolina State (1:30 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Wolf Pack had been scrapping by lately and suffered a tough home loss to Georgia Tech on Wednesday. They are just 1-3 in ACC Conference play and really have trouble scoring the basketball. The Noles got on track after three straight losses against Virginia on Wednesday and will carry that momentum into Saturday by beating a much worse NC State squad.

4 Unit Play. #554 Take Purdue +1 over Wisconsin (4:00 pm ESPN) This game is the best the Big Ten has to offer this far into the season, as these squads combine for an 11-1 record. These teams are very similar, but I think Purdue has an advantage at the guard position. Purdue has dominated this series in West Lafayette and Wisconsin is well aware of their struggles. Wisconsin is not that good of team and has been winning lately based on effort. But when they have faced good teams, they have struggled to hold their own, losing to Marquette and Duke, and barely getting by Texas. This game means more to Purdue, to prove that they are an elite team that belongs in the upper class of the Big Ten. Purdue makes a statement on Saturday and we collect big in the process.

4 Unit Play. #561 Take Ole Miss +6 over Mississippi State (5:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Egg Bowl basketball style takes place in Starkville, MS and we will jump at the opportunity to grab nearly a touchdown with the underdog. Chris Warren may be the best player on the floor as he can score and dish the basketball. These teams are evenly matched in if this were played in Oxford, Ole Miss would be a six point favorite. Home court does not make that much difference, as this one goes down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top by a bucket.

7 Unit Play. #570 Take Iowa -5.5 over Penn State (6:00 pm Big 10 Network) College Game of the Year. This is a fade play against Penn State, who has fallen off the earth since Claxton went down with a leg injury. They have lost four straight games with three of them coming at home. The last three have been without Claxton and have been way over tonight’s posted number. One thing that also bodes well for Iowa is three point shooting, as the Lions are last in the conference in defending the arc. This has always been a staple of Coach Todd Lickliter and expect them to score at least 20 points from beyond the arc. The Lions cannot wait for this season to end and Coach DeChellis is hinting that he may not be back after saying his team lacked effort against Purdue on Wednesday. It is not all of his fault, as Claxton was a double-double guy and you just cannot replace that type of player. Iowa has also this series winning at a clip of more then 2-1. Iowa will jump on them early and Penn State will throw in the towel with another double-digit defeat.

4 Unit Play. #581 Take Washington State -2.5 over Arizona State (7:00 pm FSN) A pivotal game in the PAC-10 takes place with two teams coming off a conference loss on Thursday. Wazzou won both meetings last year and they need this victory to get back on track, as some of questioned their record based on playing a weak non-conference schedule. WSU will frustrate the Devils into turnovers and once they get the lead, they will coast to a victory with their deliberate style of offense.

4 Unit Play. #623 Take Bradley +2 over Wichita State (8:00 pm) This is another fade play against the Shockers, as we have collect big with them in recent weeks with the fade route. The Shockers are just 1-7 in the MVC Conference and have lost all four of their home games. Bradley has won three of their last four games and a win here will put them at .500 in the conference. Wichita State has nothing left to bring and we will collect again going against them with the fade.

4 Unit Play. #649 Take Hawaii +1.5 over Idaho (10:00 pm) Too bad teams do battle in Moscow, ID and we will side with the visitor, who looks to move over .500 on the season in conference play. Idaho shoot lights out from the 3-point line on Thursday and will not be able to repeat that performance. Hawaii earns a rare road victory and we collect big in the process.

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6-Unit Play. Take TCU (+10.5) over Utah (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

This is a letdown spot for the Utes. They are coming off three straight losses to the best three teams in the conference. Two of the L’s came in OT, including on in The Pit on Tuesday. This is a veteran TCU squad and they have been playing and shooting very well lately. They’ve covered five straight and actually won outright in Utah last year. I’m looking for a low-scoring game here and those 10 points should be gold. Utah is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in conference play. An incredible 93 percent of the public is on this game, yet the line has barely wavered. I think that's a great boost to our cause and I think that TCU could keep this as a one- or two-possession game going into the last five minutes.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Fordham (+8) over Charlotte (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
If you look at the shooting statistics, these two clubs are pretty much dead on. Fordham got their act together with a pair of solid home victories, and while they had been abused on the road their last three road losses came at Xavier, at Duquesne, and at Georgetown. Those are three tough venues. Charlotte is a drama team, meaning that either as a dog or a favorite they play tight games. Their last seven have been decided by 10 points or less, and so shall this one be. Nearly 90 percent of the action is on the 49ers here and again we fade the public.

3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Mississippi State (-1) over Mississippi (5 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #544 Boston College (-1) over Virginia Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Note: I do like both of these games as individual plays. But this way I figured this would be a way to increase our odds and streamline our card.

This Miss-Miss St. game is going to be a back-and-forth affair, but the fact that the Bulldogs are this large of a favorite over a ranked team is an indicator. The home team has covered four straight in this series, with all four times the host as a favorite, and the Bulldogs are 6-3 ATS in the L9 meetings and the average margin of victory by the winner has been 13.0 points with just one of the meetings determined by less than seven points. MSU is 22-10 ATS in home games and 11-4 ATS in SEC play. Ole Miss is just 3-7 ATS on the road.

The Eagles have been rolling at home and they are catching a VT team that is awful on the road and in a letdown game after playing Duke. The Hokies are still without big man Jeff Allen and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Boston College is 9-2-2 ATS as a favorite in this range and 15-7-2 ATS after a game where they did not cover.

3-Unit Play. Take #535 Auburn (+8) over Alabama (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a juicy amount of points for a rivalry game. Auburn has covered three straight in this series, are 8-2 ATS versus the SEC, and 7-2 ATS on the road. They are a veteran team and they have been shooting the ball well over the past five games. I don’t trust Alabama as a thick favorite (or at all for that matter) and they are just 11-23-1 ATS as a home chalk.

2-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-3) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
1-Unit Play. Take Washington State (-150) over Arizona State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Here's my Super Square play of the day, but I don’t see this Wazzou team losing two in a row. James Harden played for ASU against Washington but was hobbling around. Without his explosiveness he has no chance against Kyle Weaver, one of the best one-on-one defenders in the nation. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS on the road and 11-4 ATS on the road against a team with a home winning percentage over .600. Arizona State really doesn't have a great resume in the nonconference and I think Wazzou is in a higher class.

3-Unit Play. Take #600 West Virginia (-2.5) over Georgetown (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Unranked team favored over a Top 10 team = indicator. The Hoyas are taking 96 percent of the action and the line has not moved a bit. They are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the series. West Virginia is 20-8 ATS at home and 24-9 ATS as a favorite. G-Town’s has two losses this year, both on the road, and they really haven’t played a great schedule. I think WVU pulls a “stunner” and we get a win here.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #537 Washington (+8.5) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is a straight system play. Trust me, I don’t like backing Washington any more than you do. But it’s a system, and the last time I avoided a system play we missed out on Arizona’s win over Washington. The Huskies are 10-4-1 ATS in the L15 meetings and the underdog is 10-4-1 ATS in the L15. Also, Arizona is 6-14 ATS in their L20 home games.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #635 Arkansas (-4.5) over LSU (9 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Arkansas is awful, but if they lose to LSU they should forfeit the rest of the season. The Tigers are pathetic, and are in the midst of a sweet 0-7 ATS run losing all seven games outright by an average of 12.4 points. The Razorbacks are terrible on the road and never play well in Louisiana. But LSU is terrible. They are 19-41-1 ATS overall and 8-21-1 ATS at home.

2-Unit Play. Take #584 Cal (+1.5) over Stanford (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This falls under the same system as the Washington play. I like the home puppy in this rivalry game. Stanford does not shoot the ball well from the outside and I think the Bears actually have some size to bang with the Cardinal. Stanford has dominated this series lately but they are just 2-7-1 ATS in conference play and I think the Bears spring the upset. Stanford is taking nearly 80 percent of the action with no line movement. Smells fishy.

2-Unit Play. Take #523 Illinois-Chicago (+14) over Butler (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Illinois-Chicago shoots 42 percent from 3-point land and I think they can knock down just enough from the outside to stay around 10 points. UI-C is 9-3 ATS as an underdog and 7-3 ATS overall, while the Bulldogs are just 1-5-1 ATS overall and 1-9-1 ATS in conference games. I’ve seen that 82 percent of the action is on Butler but the line has dipped. Makes me like it even more.

2-Unit Play. Take #647 San Jose State (+10) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
San Jose State has been one of the better road teams in the WAC this season and they just beat Fresno by four points last week. I don’t think they will win tonight, but I don’t know if they will get blown out either. Eight of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and the average margin in the last four meetings is just 4.3 points. The road team is 12-5 ATS in this series and the Spartans are 4-1 ATS as an underdog.

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #551 Eastern Michigan (+14) over Miami, OH (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26) AND Take #605 Georgia (+19) over Tennessee (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I just don’t get these lines with Miami. They are still without Michael Bramos, their leading scorer, and even when they do win it’s rarely by double-digits because of their style. EMU has been stroking it from the outside and I think they can win this game outright.

The Vols are going to be a bit pissed after their loss at Kentucky. But they are just 2-5 ATS at home and are just 3-8 ATS following a loss. The average margin of victory over the last 10 meetings in this series is just 9.8 points, and if you throw out a 24-point beating in 2004 that number drops to 8.2. Only once in the last 10 meetings has a team won by more than 13 points so while UT should score an easy win here I still think we can find our way inside the number.

2-Unit Play. Take #528 LaSalle (-2.5) over St. Louis (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
This is only St. Louis’ second road game since Dec. 5 and just their third since Thanksgiving. In their last two on the road they lost by 29 and 22 while scoring just a combined 59 points. LaSalle is on a decent 7-2-1 ATS rush and are a much, much better shooting team.

2-Unit Play. Take #574 New Mexico State (-5) over Utah State (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
I think that the Aggies bounce back after just a wretched performance against Nevada on Thursday. I think the quick turnaround works in their favor and I think they are going to ambush the WAC leader. Utah State is not a great road team and the road team has won seven of eight in this series. The Aggies are taking over 80 percent of the action in this one, so we’ll fade.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #598 UNC-Wilmington (+7) over George Mason (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
Around 85 percent of the action is on the Patriots and the line isn’t moving. We have a very live dog here, especially considering that the home team is 14-3-2 ATS in the last 19 home games. Mason is 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine trips to Wilmington. They just don’t play well there, and they are just 1-2-1 ATS in their last four road games overall.

1.5 Take #519 North Carolina State (+8) over Florida State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two dud teams ATS, but this is still too many points. FSU is taking an astounding 97 percent of the action on this one. We’ll back the books and fade the public here. N.C. State is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, 8-3 as a dog, 7-2 as a dog against an over .500 team, and 35-16-1 ATS as a road dog.

1-Unit Play. Take #621 Minnesota (+7) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 26)
These are two pretty evenly matched teams. A little too evenly matched for these numbers. The Gophers have played pretty well on the road recently and continue to shoot the ball pretty well. Buth teams put up about an equal fight against the elite Big 10 teams like Michigan State and Indiana. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and Ohio State is 11-24-2 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record.

I know this sounds ridiculous, but I have some leans today. I don't think you'll need them because we have so much going, but if you get in trouble or we get real hot and you want to press, or if you just want more action, here goes: St. John's, St. Bonaventure, Rice, Rutgers, Iowa State (really like this one), St. Joe's and Youngstown.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

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Memphis -3 over LA Clippers
New Orleans +5' over San Antonio


Notre Dame +2 over Villanova
Hofstra +6 over Northeastern
Colorado +7 over Missouri
BYU -5' over New Mexico

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