Tuesday Service Plays

Tuesday Service Plays

Steven Nover

GAME: Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks Jan 22, 2008 8:00PM

PICK: under 215.5

REASON FOR PICK: Eastern Conference clubs rarely hold Phoenix down. I wouldn't be surprised if the Sun put up their normal 108-110 points.

The key to this handicap to the 'under' is if the Bucks can score more than 105 points. I don't see that happening.

Phoenix has held its last four foes all under 100 points. The Lakers, Clippers, Timberwolves and Nets averaged a combined 95.5 points against the Suns during this time frame. Only the Lakers can be considered a good offensive club. The Bucks, though, are far closer in scoring to the Nets, Clippers and Timberwolves than the Lakers. They are 23rd in offense, averaging less than 95 points per game.

The Bucks are struggling offensively lately trying to work Michael Redd back into the lineup. There have been some chemistry problems because of it. Milwaukee is averaging just 91.2 points during its last four games. The Bucks have reached triple-digits only twice in their last 10 games.

The teams met 10 days ago in Phoenix and the Suns won, 122-114. That's a combined 236 points. There are several things to keep in mind, though, about that game.

The Bucks shot 55.8 percent from the floor, while making eight-of-14 3-pointers. Andrew Bogut missed only two of 16 shots from the floor. Bogut is much improved this season, but he's not exactly Wilt Chamberlain.

The Suns shot even better than Milwaukee making 57 percent of their shots from the field and hitting 84 percent from the free throw line. Steve Nash, Boris Diaw and Amare Stoudamire were a combined 35-of-48 from the floor. That's not likely to happen again.

Both teams are more familiar with each other now. There should be defensive adjustments. Based on current form, this total is too high.

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Mighty Quinn

Clemson -12.5


Robert Ross

Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks

Suns 15-2 vs. Eastern Conference clubs, winners of three straight and 8-3 their last 11. Bucks 5-12 vs. the West and losers of four of their last five. They are 7-21 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on: Phoenix 

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EZ Winners

1 STAR: (502) MILWAUKEE (+7.5) over Phoenix
(Risking $110 to win $100)

The Bucks played two and a half good quarters yesterday afternoon in New Orleans before falling apart, but I expect a strong effort by them here. The Bucks are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games as a home underdog and the dog is 10-1-1 against the spread in the last 12 meetings. Take the points!


NCAA

1 STAR: (507) TOLEDO (+5.5) over Eastern Michigan
(Risking $110 to win $100

I know that the Rockets are 0-10 on the road, but this is way too many points for them to be laying against this opponent. Toledo has won six straight meetings between these two teams and they are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight visits to Eastern Michigan. What has changed this year? I'll take the points here!


1 STAR: (514) CREIGHTON (-6) over Drake
(Risking $110 to win $100)

Drake is off to a great start this year and it looks very tempting to take the points here. But Creighton has won nine out of the last ten meetings between these two teams and the last five meetings played at Creighton have not even been close. The lowest margin of victory by the Blue Jays in these games has been eleven points. This line appears to be a bit high at first glance, but after looking at past performances I'll lay the chalk here!

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LT'S LOCK

The LOCK: Kentucky +5


Cappers Access

Michigan
Tennessee


Joe Wiz

Toledo +5'

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Dunkel Index - CBB

Illinois at Ohio State

Ohio State has a three-game losing streak (all on the road), but returns home where the Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS against Illinois since 1997. The Illini have lost all three conference road games this season and got dumped by the Buckeyes at home (74-58) back on the 3rd. Ohio State is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by 13 1/2.

Dunkel Pick: Ohio State -7


Dunkel Index - NHL

Chicago at San Jose

The Sharks are looking to pick up a win after four straight losses, the last two at home to Dallas and Detroit. But they run into a hot team in Chicago, which has won four straight, including back-to-back road wins at Phoenix and Colorado. The Blackhawks are the underdog pick (+190) according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Chicago +190


Dunkel Index - NBA

New Jersey at Sacramento

The Nets have started their road trip with a pair of double-digit losses to the Clippers and Suns. The Kings are getting healthy with the return of Ron Artest, Mike Bibby and Kevin Martin to the lineup, and have won three of their last four, including victories over the Mavericks and Pistons. Sacramento is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 12.

Dunkel Pick: Sacramento -5 1/2

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Vernon Croy's Tuesday Night NHL Free Play

1 Unit, Take Philadelphia -127, The Flyers are the superior team here at home Tuesday night and they are 11-5 after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game this season. The Flyers are a red hot 7-2 in January and they are averaging 5 goals per game over their last 5 games. The Flyers powerplay is converting at 24.8% at home this season and 35.7% over their last 5 games while the Devils powerplay is converting at just 10% over their last 5 games while averaging just 2.4 goals per game. The Flyers are coming off a huge 6-1 home win against perhaps the best overall team in the NHL (Ottawa Senators) and they will remain hot tonight at home at very good value.

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Burns

Non-Conf GOW - Bucks
Pers. Fave - Lightning
Blowout - Clemson
ESPN GOW - Kentucky


Jim Feist Comp

Suns-Bucks over

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Big Al Comp

Ohio State -7


ARMVIN SPORTS

CBB
DRAKE +5.5
AIR FORCE -9

NHL
COLUMBUS at DALLAS Over 5
MINNESOTA +135

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COMPS

ARTHUR RALPH
COLO State


TOTALS 4 U
UTAH UTES + 5


BIG TIME SPORTS
NETS / KINGS OVER 201


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Creighton -6 over Drake


#1 SPORTS
TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS - 5


HDs ACTIONLINE
Tennessee -4 over Kentucky


HUDDLE UP
NJ/Sacramento under 201


RAZOR SHARP
PHOENIX/MILWAUKEE OVER 215.5


FAT JACK SPORTS
Eastern Michigan -5.5


Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Tampa Bay


Frank Patron
Northern Illinois -2.5


RED ZONE
WESTERN MICHIGAN

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Alex Smart

Ohio State -6.5

Thad Mattas Ohio State Buckeyes enter into this tilt against Big 10 rivals Illinois off 3 consecutive losses(all on the road). Needless to say the Buckeyes will be very happy and ready to get back in the win column in the friendly confines of the Value City Arena tonight against a team they easily beat 74-58 as visitors earlier this month. Final notes & Key Trends: Ohio State is 7-0 ATS L/7 at home in this series. Illinois has lost 3 straight conference road games.

Play on Ohio State

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Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day

Drake Bulldogs at Creighton Blue Jays

Bulldogs come in riding a 15-game win streak. They have beaten Conference foes Wichita State, Evansville and Bradley in that span. They also have dropped four straight to the Blue Jays S/U and ATS so come in with monster revenge and an 8-0 ATS spread record this year when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Although the Blue Jays have taken 9-of-10 in this series on this court they are just 5-5 ATS.

Play on: Drake

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime - Kings
5 Dime - Wake Forest
5 Dime - Utah

Free Pick - Creighton

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SportsAction365

100* Ohio St -6.5
75* Drake +5.5
75* Milwaukee +8
50* Wastern Michigan -9
50* NJ/Sac UNDER 202
50* Toledo +5.5

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Marco D'Angelo

double-dime bet Illinois 6.5 vs Ohio St.

Analysis: Ohio St. returns home after a 3 game Road losing streak. Most average players will be jumping all over Ohio St. figuring they will get back on track now that they are back at home. Fact is this is a long term negative situation as Vegas knows that's how the public thinks and inflates the line on the Home Favorite. Also note that Ohio St beat Illinois at Illinois a few weeks ago and it's always a solid play to take road dog in rematch if they got beat at home. Look for ILLINOIS to take this to the Wire and pull off the UPSET. TAKE ILLINOIS and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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Michael Cannon

20 Dime

WAKE FOREST

Take the points with Wake tonight over Clemson.

Wake is going to have a difficult time matching up inside against Clemson, but they are very good at pressuring and creating turnovers, something that has plagued Clemson this year.

Wake has played Clemson tough over the years, winning seven of the last eight meetings and covering the last five.

The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight in this series.

The Demon Deacons are coming off an impressive home win over Florida State on Sunday, 74-57 as a one-point chalk.

Clemson is coming off a 13-point loss at Duke and you have to wonder about the collective psyche of the Tigers after coming back twice from big deficits in that game, only to lose by double-digits. When they lost at home to Unc earlier this month they turned around and were beaten by Charlotte at home by 10 as a 15 ½-point chalk.

Take the points with Wake tonight as they stay within the number.

10 Dime

CREIGHTON

Take Creighton as the home chalk tonight over Drake.

Drake has been the surprise team in the Missouri Valley Conference, cracking the AP poll for the first time in 33 years.

Trying to stay ranked won’t be easy.

That’s because Creighton has swept the season series from Drake three straight years, and have won 19 of the last 23 meetings. Drake has also lost five straight at Creighton by an average of 16.6 points.

Creighton leads the conference in scoring and shooting percentage, and it’s going to be tough for Drake to hang without conference scoring leader Josh Young, who is out with a sprained ankle.

Take Creighton as the home chalk as they grab the win and cover tonight over Drake.

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Arthur Ralph

Super Pick: NJ NETS

Daily BarnBurners : DRAKE & Kentucky


Gold Medal Club

CBB

100* Kentucky +5

50* Utah +6

50* Toledo +5

NHL 100* Philly


WINNERS EDGE

NBA PASS

CBB

Wake Forrest +12 , 2 units

Utah U + 5 , 3 units (Game of Week )

Tennessee - 4.5 , 1 unit


Nick Parson NBA Parlay

Kings-5.5 & Bucks +8

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Stan Sharp

double-dime bet Air Force -9.0 vs Colorado St.

Analysis: Today all 3 of Stan's Top College Bettors have all bet AIR FORCE today. Stan agrees with this play as he has AIR FORCE Winning by 14-17 Points. TAKE AIR FORCE as STAN'S BIG tuesday BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY. STAN'S CONFERENCE MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE MONTH

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GAMBLERS WORLD

TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NBA New Jersey Nets vs. Sacramento Kings

Prediction: Sacramento Kings Current Line: -5.5 Over/Under: 201 Reason: The fans at ARCO Arena will be treated to a game between the New Jersey Nets and the Sacramento Kings when they take their seats on Tuesday. Oddsmakers currently have the Kings listed as 5½-point favorites versus the Nets, while the game's total is sitting at 201. The Nets lost to Phoenix 116-92 as an 11-point underdog last time out. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (214). Reggie Jefferson led the Nets with 24 points, while Sean Williams and Bostjan Nachbar each netted 12 points in the loss. Six Sacramento players reached double figures in Saturday's 110-104 win at Indiana, coming in as 3-point road underdogs. The 214 points scored were a PUSH with the posted total of 214. Mikki Moore had 22 points and 11 rebounds, and Beno Udrih added 20 points for the Kings. Current streak: New Jersey has lost 5 straight games. Sacramento has won 2 straight games. Team records: New Jersey: 18-22 SU, 15-24-1 ATS Sacramento: 17-22 SU, 22-17 ATS New Jersey most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 5-5 Before playing Golden State are 4-6 After playing Phoenix are 6-4 After a loss are 4-6 Sacramento most recently: When playing on Tuesday are 3-7 Before playing LA Clippers are 6-4 After playing Indiana are 6-4 After a win are 3-7 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Sacramento The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

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College Cappers

NBA:
15 Dime - Pho/Mil UNDER 215
10 Dime - NJ Nets ML +220

CBB
20 Dime - Central Michigan +9.5
75 Dime - Tennessee -4.5

Free Pick - Drake +5.5


Seabass Hockey

10* T.B.

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Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* Drake
2. 50,000* Ohio State
3. 50,000* Kings

1. Drake- So, Drake loses Josh Young, and all of a sudden everyone is jumping ship on this Bulldogs team? Not so fast, since the talented guard went down Drake is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS, winning games with rock-solid defense and a chemistry you don't see everyday in college hoops.

First of all, oddsmakers have clearly adjusted to the absence of Young, but the public hasn't. Most believe this Drake team is doomed without him, but what makes this Bulldogs team so dangerous in the first place is their depth. Players like G Adam Emmenecker have stepped up bigtime in his absence (scoring a team-high 19 points in their win over Illinois State Saturday). In other words, underestimate this Bulldogs team at your own risk!

Second, while there's no question both teams are playing well, its hard to argue against the Bulldogs 15-game winning streak! Only Kansas and Memphis have longer active streaks, which should tell you a lot about this Drake team. In fact, the last home game Creighton lost, was against Illinois State, the very same team the Bulldogs beat (without Josh Young) Saturday.

Finally, don't get stuck on the fact Drake hasn't won at Creighton in almost 6 years. That's what they said about Bulldogs' losing streaks to Southern Illinois (16-game losing streak) and Missouri State (10-game losing streak), both of which fell to Drake this season. Bulldogs win games with defense, and that doesn't change because of one player's injury. In the end, look for another focused effort from this Drake team tonight, as they might not win outright, but you better believe they keep this game within the number.

Take Drake plus the points over Creighton as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Ohio State- Tough spot for the struggling Illini, who are coming off an ugly collapse at Purdue, where they led early, but a 20-3 second half run sealed their fate, losing 74-67 Saturday. Won't get any easier in Columbus, as the Buckeyes are coming off 3 straight road losses, and will be looking to get back on track tonight at home.

The biggest mismatch in this contest is the sputtering Illinois offense against a rock-solid Buckeyes home defense. Ohio State plays their best defense by far in Columbus, surrendering just 55 ppg on an outstanding 34% shooting! That's real bad news for an Illini offense that's average at best, and with some tough match ups inside, the Illini are in for big trouble tonight.

Speaking of match ups, its clear that C Pruitt and F Randle make up the bulk of this Illinois offense, but that could be a real issue tonight. Ohio State's frontcourt of 7-footer Koufos and Othella Hunter are both big and talented. Both Buckeyes players are better on the defensive end (combined 60 blocks) and have the benefit of a solid experienced backcourt to get them the ball. Another factor to consider, is the Illini frontcourt's problems staying on the floor, especially Randle, who's constantly on the bench in foul trouble.

Finally, expect the Buckeyes to come out firing in this one, as their frusration from losing 3 straight road games boils over into outright rage in this contest. Losing can sometimes be the best motivator, and I firmly believe, now back at home, we'll see a much more efficient and focused Ohio State team tonight. Buckeyes roll!

Take Ohio State BIG over Illinois in this Big Ten match up.

3. Kings- Talk about two teams going in opposite directions, as the Kings are finally getting healthy and starting to put some wins together, while the Nets look like a ship without a rudder, as all Jason Kidd can think about is getting the hell out of New Jersey (not good when he's your supposed floor general)!

Losers of 5 straight games SUATS, the Nets offense has fallen apart, averaging just 90 ppg on 40% shooting over that span. Not only do they clearly miss Krstic, but Vince Carter is in another one of his "funks," scoring 16 ppg over the Nets last 7 games... No surprise New Jersey is 1-6 SUATS over that span!

The Kings on the other hand, have benefited greatly from the return of Kevin Martin, who since coming back is averaging 26 ppg, and led the Kings to outright wins over Dallas, at Detroit, and at Indiana! In others words, this Kings team is starting to put the pieces in place, and its showed with impressive wins. In fact, Sacramento is averaging 105 ppg on nearly 49% shooting since Martin's return... So you tell me how the Nets keep pace with this resurgent Kings offense?!

Bottom line, the Nets woes continue, as they stand little chance of running with this Kings team in their current state. Sacramento on the other hand, is playing rock-solid basketball, and will not allow a sputtering Nets team any breathing room on their home floor in this one. Like I said: two teams going in opposite directions, and tonight you see just far apart they are!

Take the Kings at home comfortably over the Nets in late NBA action.

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