Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Burns

NHL Blowout------------Sabres
Feast-------------------Heat
Shootout----------------Over Heat/Blazers
Blue chip-----------------Under Raptors/Hawks

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

10 Dime: TRAIL BLAZERS

10 Dime: HORNETS

10 Dime: RAPTORS

Free Pick: KNICKS

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* N.Y. Knicks
2. 50,000* Hawks
3. 50,000* Heat

1. N.Y. Knicks- The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season right now, thanks in large part to the absence of Stephon Marbury, who's shoot-first mentality and overall selfishness was killing this team. Now with their roles defined and more than enough shots for everyone to go around, its no surprise than an otherwise talented team has started to win games. With 3 straight outright wins under their belt, I'm looking for them to continue their success tonight in Washington and here's why:

Clearly, oddsmakers aren't ready to jump aboard the Knicks bandwagon just yet, which means NOW is the time to get the best prices on this New York team. Their winning streak maybe short-lived depending on what happens before the trade deadline, but right now, this current Knicks unit can and will win games.

Not only has the absence of Marbury created some offensive oppurtunities for other players, but because everyone is "getting involved," the Knicks are actually starting to play defense (what a concept). Over their last 5 games they're allowing just 92 ppg on a solid 43% shooting. That's a huge improvement from their season average of 100 ppg on a laughable 47% shooting. Washington is scoring only 90 ppg on an ugly 39% shooting over their last 5 games... Just how in the hell do you expect them to cover the number against this resurgent Knicks defense when they're offense is struggling mightily!

Bottom line, Knicks may not win this game outright, but they sure as hell keep it close enough to cover. Washington will have trouble against a re-energized Knicks defense, while the 1-2 punch of Crawford and Randolph lead the way on the offensive end.

Take the N.Y. Knicks plus the points over the Wizards as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Hawks- While everyone is jumping all over this Toronto team, I'm not convinced. Its going to take more than a couple decent home wins for me to lay this many points with a flawed Raptors team tonight, and let me explain why:Of their 3 straight home wins, the only one that impresses me was their OT win over Portland. Toronto should beat team like the Kings and 76ers, so don't go giving them too much credit. Before those 3 home wins, they lost to Cleveland (bad road team), Detroit (blowout loss), and Boston (blowout loss)... Granted, the Hawks aren't as good as any of those 3 teams, but I believe the number accurately reflects that fact. In other words, I fully expect the Raptors to win this game, just not by enough to cover.

Match up-wise, Bosh has been on a tear, but matching up against a very ahtletic Hawks frontcourt will give him trouble. Note that Atlanta is allowing just 89 ppg on an outstanding 38% shooting over their last 5 games, thanks in large part to players like the ultra-athletic Josh Smith (7 blocks in loss at Milwaukee).

Offensively the Hawks have struggled on the road, but Toronto defense is far from impenetrable. Bargnani and Moon are both average defenders, while the Raptors backcourt will have their hands full with Joe Johnson. Johnson is coming off a sub-par effort against the Bucks (4 for 16 12 points) and will be looking to bounce back hard tonight.

Finally, let's examine the series, as the road team is a solid 9-3 ATS over their last 12 meetings. Not only do the Hawks have the defense to keep this game competitive, but several edges on the offensive end as well. In the end, the Raptors likely pull out the win, but its the Hawks that grab the cash.

Take the Hawks plus the points over the Raptors in this NBA match up.

3. Heat- I know you're scratching your head at this pick, but before you go completly dismissing this play, let me break it down for you first and then you'll see my point.
Look guys, there's no question this Heat team is struggling mightily, losers of 11 straight (1-10 ATS over that span), so let me ask you a question: Why if they're so bad, are the Heat only relatively slight underdogs against the hottest team in the NBA? Think about it, doesn't this line look a fishy to you? This is exactly how Vegas makes their money... Remember, if it looks to good to be true, it probably is!

So why now? Simple, Miami just got thoroughly embarassed by Chicago in front of their home fans 126-96 two days ago. This is a proud team, that has a now-healthy Shaq (24 points 10 boards against Bulls) and Dwayne Wade, one of the best players in the NBA, bar none. Look for them to lead the rallying cry in this game against a Portland team that doesn't have the size to stop Shaq or the backcourt defender (Roy is good, but not good enough defensively) to stop Wade.

Make no mistake, this is your typical "backs against the wall/us against the world" scenario that coach Riley loves use to motivate his team. Not to mention the fact, would it surprise you if Portland overlooks Miami when they've got a tough match up at Orlando the very next day?

Bottom line, small play on Miami in this one, as the oddsmakers are clearly begging the public to take the Blazers. Can't you just hear your uniformed buddy saying: "This game is a lock!" No it isn't, because oddsmakers know what they're doing and so do I.

Take the Heat plus the points over the Blazers in this NBA match up.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

10 Dime –

HAWKS

Take the points with the Hawks tonight when they travel to take on the Raptors.

Atlanta is an athletic, confident team, which is why they’re hovering at .500 this late in the season for the first time since their last playoff year of 1999.

They own recent road wins over the Wizards, Magic, 76ers, Timberwolves and Heat.

The Hawks remain an undervalued team, but as long as Joe Johnson stays healthy, and Josh Smith and Marvin Williams continue to live up to expectations, they should continue to provide solid value for their backers.

The road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two.

Take the points with the Hawks as they stay within the number.

5 Dime –

KINGS

Take the points with the Kings tonight when they take on the Pistons at Detroit.

The Kings are missing some of their best players, but are covering generous point spreads. Role players are being elevated to starters, but efforts from Francisco Garcia, Beno Udrih, Mikki Moore and John Salmons have been good.

Sacramento is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games.

Detroit has a revenge game on tap against Chicago, who upset the Pistons last month, 98-91. So their full concentration may not be there for this easy-to-overlook opponent.

Take the points with the Kings as they keep this one within the number.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Mr.A's

Atlanta at Toronto, 7:00 PM Toronto Raptors -6½

Portland at Miami, 7:00 PM Portland Trail Blazers -4½

Minnesota at Phoenix, 9:00 PM Phoenix Suns -14

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Re: Friday Service Plays

WINNERS EDGE

Atlanta Hawks/Toronto Raptors over 186 , 2 units

La Clippers/ Utah Jazz Over 197.5 , 2 units

Portland Trail Blazers - 4.5 , 5 units (Game of the Month)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Bobby Bo

5* Washington -7.5
3* Atlanta / Toronto over 187
1* Free Play Seattle / Memphis over 215


Jeff Bonds

NHL Money Line

triple-dime bet MIN -135 vs ANA

Analysis
The Minnesota Wild have outscored the Anaheim Ducks 7-2 in their two meetings this season and the Ducks are a dismal 1-6 in the last seven meetings. The home team is also a dominating 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.

The Ducks are also 0-4 this year in the second game of a back-to-back situation - being outscored 8-16 in the process.

The Wild pick up the home victory tonight.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

King Creole
NYK 7.5 vs  WAS

Analysis: NEW YORK KNICKS plus the points vs the washington wizards

These two teams played each other on Tuesday and we were ON the Knicks as a 2** Play. They beat the Wiz at home as 'short' dogs.... and we'll jump on em on more time on Friday night. Current 2007/2008 season tendencies indicate that the points are the play.

So far this season, NBA Conference UNDERDOGS playing off BB SU wins... with the last one a DOUBLE DIGIT ATS win (a 'cover' by 10 or more points) have gone 20-8 ATS so far. That's the 'play on' situation for New York tonight.... who has actually won 3 STRAIGHT games in a row. They beat the New Jersey Nets on the road Wednesday night 111-105 as dogs of +7.5 points. So they DID win the game by +13.5 points factoring in the line. A 20-8 ATS record is pretty good (71%) but we can do better. If we bring in a favored opponent playing off a SU ATS loss (like the Wizards), the results for our Underdog improve to 6-1 ATS. And if that opponent lost their last game by 10 or more points (double digits), the results improve to a PERFECT 4-0 ATS. So that the case for the Knicks tonight. We don't play on 'em very often.... but tonight is as very good situation. They're playing with confidence (3-0 SUATS last 3).... against an opponent that they have had success against (3-0 L3 / 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings) in the past.

Here's the clincher: So far this season, NBA teams playing on FRIDAYS off a SU road favorite loss (Wizards) are a PERFECT 0-5 ATS when taking on teams with a current W/L percentage of .334 or less. With a record of 12-26 SU, the Knicks also qualify in this PERFECT System.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Rocky Atkinson

MIA 4.5 vs POR

Analysis:
Portland is allowing 99.9 points per game on the road this year.  Miami is 4-1 SU and ATS overall vs Portland last 3 years.  Trail Blazers are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.  Heat are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5.  Heat are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. Western Conference.  Heat are 10-4-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.  Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.  Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  We'll play Miami for 3 units tonight! 

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Stan Sharp

double-dime bet ATL 6.5 vs TOR
Analysis: Stan expects the Atlanta/Toronto Game to be a Close one tonight and thus he is looking at the Dog here. Stan and all 3 of his Top NBA Bettors have all Bet Atlanta tonight. TAKE ATLANTA as STAN'S NBA BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

BeatYourBookie

NBA Basketball

100* Play Portland (-4.5) over Miami

Miami is 3-16 ATS in home games coming off an upset loss by 10 points or more
Miami is 4-12 ATS in home games this season
Miami is 1-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of the last 8 games


100* Play Golden State (-1) over Chicago

Chicago is 2-10 ATS in non-conference games this season
Chicago is 5-14 ATS after an OVER the total this season
Chicago is 6-20 ATS vs. Pacific Division opponents the last 3 seasons


NCAA Basketball

50* Play Niagara (-12) over Canisius

Niagara is 11-3 ATS in all games this season
Niagara is 13-4 ATS coming off an UNDER the total the last 2 seasons
Canisius is 7-16 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 2 seasons

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dominic David

1* Miami
1* Over Phi/Bos
2* New York

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Triple Crown

5* Warriors
3* Blazers
3* 76ers
3* Sonics-Grizzlies under


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Re: Friday Service Plays

CajunSports

TOR / ATL Under 187.0
ANALYSIS: The Hawks make the trip north of the border to face the Raptors of Toronto. We are looking for this contest to fall well below the posted total. In fact we have a system that backs our position as it says to Play Under on NBA home teams when the total is 180 to 189.5 after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the number and playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This system has posted a record of 44-15 to the Under during the last five seasons, that's better than 74% winners so we will take the under here.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Free Picks

Marc Lawrence
PICK: Miami Heat +4 (NBA)


Matty O'Shea
PICK: Hawks/Raptors OVER 186.5 (NBA)


JWhip
PICK: T'Wolves/Suns UNDER 212.5 (NBA)


Ben Burns
PICK: Minnesota T'Wolves +14 (NBA)


Mel Stewart
PICK: New York Knicks +8 (NBA)


Larry Ness
PICK: Minnesota T'Wolves +14 (NBA)


Rocky Atkinson
PICK: Miami Heat +4 (NBA)


JB
PICK: Miami Heat +4 (NBA)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wolkosky Milan

10* PHILADELPHIA +11½
10* PHI/BOS OVER 183
10* POR/MIA UNDER 192
10* CHA/NOH UNDER 193
10* ATL/TOR OVER 186½


Bob Balfe

Sixers +10.5 over Celtics
TWolves +14 over Suns


Gold Key

Toronto -6.5

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

702 Heat+4.5
704 Wizards-7
707 76ers+11
713 Kings+10
717 Wolves+14
919 Warriors Pk


JB Sports

Charlotte Bobcats +9


Mike Lineback

Blazers / Heat OVER 192


Rocketman Sports

Miami Heat +4

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Alex Smart

2*CBB-Fairfield +3.5 to cover vs Iona 2%-

According to my own preseason and current ranking numbers the Fairfield Stags are the superior team in this battle against their hosts the Iona Gaels. The Stags are not an exciting team to watch, as the use a very physical lunch pale type system to get the job done. But no one likes to play these guys because of their ugly play in the paint and under the glass. With that said, I think they will be especially tough on a very young inexperienced Gaels team in this spot. Look for emerging star , Herbie Allen who scored 19 and 23 points in back to back games to lead the way. Final notes & Key Trends: Iona is 5-15 ATS L/20 at home . Fairfield is 5-0 ATS L/5 on the road in this series. Play on the Fairfield Stags

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Re: Friday Service Plays

ATS LOCK

5 Port -4
4 Sacra +9 1/2
3 Chicago +1 1/2

ATS FINANCIAL

3 Boston -10 1/2
3 Wash -7 1/2


CASH & PROFITS EXPERTS

WASHINGTON WIZARDS -7.5
TOR/ATL UNDER 187

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