Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Burns__________ Thursday Night GOY__________________DALLAS (-7 or better)
Another Salvo from Nick's big gun__3*____________ DALLAS over Green Bay by 17
The Fall Miracle_______________________________________Dall as Cowboys -6.5
Gold Sheet _____________________________________DALLAS 34 - Green Bay 24
LT'S LOCK_____________________The LOCK_______________The Cowboys -6' pt
Karl Garrett__________________COMP_______________Green Bay at DALLAS (-7)
Maddux Sports______________2 units_____________________Dallas -4 (1st Half)
cash pomer__________largest play of the season________________dallas cowboys
Jeff Alexander____________4* NFC Game of the Month_____________Cowboys -7
Pointwise Newsletter________________________________Dallas 30 Green Bay 26

Gold Medal Club_________________25*________________1st Half Green Bay +4
Mike Rose___________________Free Pick______________Green Bay Packers +7.0
Michael Cannon___________15 Dime___________________________PACKERS +7
Kelso___________________15 units_____________________Packers +7 @ Dallas
Black Cobra________________________________________Green Bay Packers +7
Mighty ! Quinn_____________________________________________ __Packers +7
Cappers Access____________________________________________ __Packers + 7
3buckwinner_______________________________________ ____Green Bay Packers
Insider Sports Report_______4*____Green Bay +7 over Dallas_Range +8.5 to +5.5
Discount Sports Picks___________10*________________Green Bay +7 over Dallas
Matt Rivers____________________50,000♦_________________ _______Green Bay
Brandon Lang______________40 DIME_____________________Green Bay Packers
ATS FINANCIAL_______________3 units__________________________Green Bay
Randle the Handle_______________________________Green Bay +7 over DALLAS

Wild Bill_________________2 units__________________ Over Packer and Cowboys
Gator Report (Cajun-Sports)___________________GREEN BAY / DALLAS OVER 51.5
Jim Rich__________________________________________Over G.B. / Boys 51 1/2
Elite Sports Picks________________________________Green Bay/Dallas OVER 51.
Karl Garrett__________________COMP 5♦__________________________OVER GB/Dal
Brandon Lang__________________10 DIME_____________Packers-Cowboys OVER
Professional Gambler Newsletter___________________Packers/Cowboys OVER 51.5
ATS LOCK____________________4 units_______________________Over GB/DAL

WUNDERDOG____________________COMP________Green Bay at Dallas UNDER 51
EROCKMONEY______________________________(Under 51.5) Green Bay at Dallas
Gold Medal Club_________________25*______________1st Half GB/Dal UNDER 27



Burns____________college football__________________LOUISVILLE (-4 or better)
Dan Tesinferno's_______________#1 Play 3*_____LOUISVILLE over Rutgers by 14
Wild Bill____________NCAAFGOY 10 units___________L'ville Cards -3 over Rutgers
Inside Las Vegas_________________________________Louisville - 2 over Rutgers
Vegas Sport info___________Comp Trend Play ***___Louisville -2 1/2 over Rutgers
Jeff Alexander__________________3*_____________________ _____Louisville -2
Pointwise Newsletter________________________________Lousivil le 31 Rutgers 27

Michael Cannon_____________40 Dime____________________________RUTGERS
Gold Sheet____________________________________Rutgers 28 - LOUISVILLE 24
Mighty ! Quinn___________________________________________+ 2 1/2 Rutgers
Cappers Access__________________________________________Ru tgers + 2 1/2
Matt Rivers____________________100,000♦________________ _________Rutgers
Brandon Lang______________15 DIME_____________________________Rutgers
Jim ******________________Bronze 3*____________Rutgers +2.5 over Louisville

Craig Wilson Sports__________________________________Rutgers/Louisville o60
Wild Bill_________________1 unit _________________________Over L'ville Cards
Insider Sports Report______3*_Rutgers/Louisville OVER 59.5_Range 58 to 61.5

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - Cowboys
Millionaire - Rutgers


Millionaire - Oregon

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Jeff Alexander's Picks for November 29, 2007

NFL

4* NFC Game of the Month on Cowboys -7

Green Bay is 0-8 at Dallas with Favre under center, only covering the spread one time in those 8 games. Dallas is a healthier team right now with more weapons and more things it can do offensively. The Packers have tried to improve their running game, but Dallas is one of the premier run stuffing teams in the league and will have none of it. Green Bay will struggle running the football, which will put extra pressure on Favre as the receiving corps. The Cowboys run the ball on offense very well and this part of their game is the difference maker here as this will allow Romo and T.O. to hook up in play action spots. Dallas is the better team, especially at home. Cowboys by two TDs.

NCAAF

3* Louisville -2

Louisville is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/attempt since 1992. The Cards are also 10-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992. Rutgers came from behind to beat the Cards last season to spoil any National Championship hopes and you can bet that Brian Brohm and company have not forgotten it. Brohm is coming off his worst performance of the season and you can bet that he bounce back this week. The Cards will defense their home field here to get to .500 on the season, avenging last season’s loss to Rutgers.



NCAAB

3* Buffalo +5.5

We'll take Buffalo catching points at home. Buffalo is 10-2 ATS in home games versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997 and 16-6 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting pct defense of <=42% since 1997. Buffalo is also 12-3 ATS in home games when playing its 2nd game in 3 days since 1997. Buffalo is 2-0 at home this season playing much better defense in front of the home crowd and that is the difference maker here. Take the points.

3* Ohio +5.5

Ohio is being undervalued here. Expect All-Mac performers Jerome Tillman and Leon Williams to tear Temple up tonight. Temple is 0-10 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Ohio is 6-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. We like the Bobcats to bounce back with a big win at Temple tonight.

3* Air Force -7

Air Force will show the Buffs just how far they still have to go before they can compete in the Big 12 by blowing them out by double digits tonight. Colorado is just 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, 13-30 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game since 1997, and 4-13 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Colorado is just 4-17 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997. Take Air Force!

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WINNERS EDGE- 11/19/07

CBB:
South Alabama + 12.5 , 2 units
Oregon - 2 , 2 units
Drexel + 7.5 5 units (GOM

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Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (13-2 run with Insiders / 9-1 in BKB!)

My Las Vegas Insider is on Kansas St. With Huggins splitting after just one year (for his alma mater of West Va) in Manhattan, the Wildcats are on their third head coach in as many seasons. However, KSU has a great collection of young talent. Senior guards Young (8.5) and Stewart (4.8-2.8-3.0) are joined in the backcourt by an excellent freshman, Pullen (14.2). However, that's just the beginning. The 6-6 Bill Walker played just six games (ACL) last year and the man many thought would be one on the nation's top freshman, looks healthy and ready to procduce (12.5-6.5). Anderson, a 6-8 freshman forward is averaging 5.8-7.5 and then there's the 6-9 Michael Beasley! He's had a double-double in each of his first six college games, averaging 27.2 PPG and 15.5 RPG. The Ducks have no one to guard Beasley, although the 6-9 Luenen (16.0-10.5) will likely try. Oregon's a perimeter team, with only the 6-6 Catron (10.3-9.5) contributing inside (other than senior, Luenen). The Ducks are no slouches, with swingman Hairston (19.7-4.3), 5-6 guard Porter (16.0), Taylor (14.3-5.3) and freshman Brown (8.8-4.5 APG) forming an outstanding perimeter. However, as we saw at St Mary's in a 99-87 loss on Nov 20, the Ducks can be had! Manhattan 'rocks' tonight! Las Vegas Insider on Kansas


Larry Ness' 15* Western Conf Game of the Week-NBA (2-0 Weds sweep ups NBA run to 16-7!)
My 15* play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Warriors opened 0-6 but evened their record at 7-7 last night, by winning at Sacramento (103-96). The return of Jackson (missed first seven games on suspension) has been the key, as Golden St is 6-1 since his return, with Jackson posting averages of 22.0-5.6-3.9. However, the Warriors fine play is due to more than just Jackson's return. PG Davis has been healthy all year (24.0-5.4-8.6) and shooting guard Ellis (16.2) is seemingly over his late-season shooting slump from LY. PF Al Harrington (15.2-5.6) loves Oakland and 2nd-year pro Azubuike (from Kentucky) is averaging 13.6-5.3) after netting just 7.1 PPG in 41 games as a rookie. Then, there's all that depth (Biedrins, Pietrus, Barnes and Croshere!). The Rockets have won three straight after losing six in a row, with last night's win at Phoenix. However, the Rockets are essentially a two-man team. T-Mac (26.0-5.7-5.4) and Yao (22.4-10.2) are the lone players in double digits. After beating the Suns last night, a game against the fats-paced and deep Warriors, is NOT what the doctor ordered! Western Conf GOW 15* GS Warriors.

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Spylock




NCAA
DateTime Game Pick Stars


11/29/07 Rutgers Rutgers +2.5 1
7:50 PM Louisville -2.5

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Ice Man (Karpinsky)- Play: Money Line: 125 Toronto Maple Leafs


Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NFL) - 8:15 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 51.5/100 Over Play Title: Play on Over
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

GREEN BAY is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

GREEN BAY is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) after 4 straight wins by 10 or more points since 1992.

DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

DALLAS is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Rutgers vs. Louisville (NCAAF) - 7:45 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/102 Rutgers Play Title: Play on Rutgers
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

LOUISVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

LOUISVILLE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers since 1992.

RUTGERS coach Schiano is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Ohio vs. Temple (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 5.5/-109 Ohio Play Title: Play on Ohio
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

OHIO U is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) after playing a home game since 1997.

OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

Playing against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEMPLE) who are off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season is 93-52 ATS (64.1%) since 1997.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Oklahoma vs. USC (NCAAB) - 11:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-115 USC Play Title: Play on USC
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

OKLAHOMA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Gonzaga vs. St Joseph's (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -1/-105 St Joseph's Play Title: Play on St. Joseph's
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Rating: 2 Units

Playing on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ST JOSEPHS) who are off a home win by 10 points or more, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season is 49-23 ATS (68.1%) since 1997.

ST. JOSEPH'S coach Martelli is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

GONZAGA coach is Few is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -13/107 Boston Celtics Play Title: Play on Boston
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons

NEW YORK coach Thomas is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less in all games he has coached since 1996.

BOSTON coach Rivers is 82-63 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of BOSTON.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
New York Islanders vs. New York Rangers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-170 New York Islanders Play Title: Pla on NY Islanders
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

Rating: 2 Units

NY RANGERS are 8-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 8-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 straight close losses by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against poor offensive teams - scoring <=2.55 goals/game this season.

NY ISLANDERS are 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games against excellent power play killing teams- give up <=13% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Boston Bruins vs. Florida Panthers (NHL) - 7:35 PM EST Free Play
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-255 Boston Bruins Play Title: NHL Free Play - Boston vs Florida
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The Boston Bruins travel to Florida to take on the Panthers after a big win 6-3 win over the Flyers in their previous game. The win was their third in their last four putting them at 12-8-0-2 on the season. After a tough year last season it appears that the Bruins have turned it around with all of their off season activity.

Over the last five games the Boston offense has really come to life as they are averaging a potent 3.4 goals per game. Their defense also appears to have gotten better as they are allowing 2.5 goals per game. However, it hasn't been off season acquisition Manny Fernandez who has produced the improvement. It's last years goaltender Tim Thomas who sports a 94% save percentage.

The Panthers have heated up as well winning their last four in row including last nights 2-1 win over Washington. The win evened Florida's record on the season at 12-12-0-1. Florida has had some success versus the Bruins at home as they are 10-8-2 SU since 1996.

The Florida offense hasn't been a potent as Boston's as they are averaging 3.0 goals per game. Their defense has been a bit suspect as well giving up 2.8 goals per game on the season, but they have improved over their last 5 averaging 2.0 per game against. Starting goaltender Tomas Vokoun has produced a 91% save percentage on the season.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: BOSTON is 11-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-9 ATS (+25.2 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA is 53-81 ATS (+136.9 Units) after a 2 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Boston looks to be the better team at this point in the season and should win this one outright. As an added bonus I'm taking the Bruins with a goal and a half.

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Alan Boston

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Arkansas st. -7

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3 Star Selection
*** PITTSBURGH (-7.0) 30 Cincinnati 14
05:15 PM Pacific, 02-Dec-07
Don’t let Cincinnati ’s 35-6 win over Tennessee fool you. The Bengals are still bad team and they were out-gained by the Titans 6.1 yards per play to 5.7 yppl in that seemingly dominant win. Cincy also hasn’t played well in consecutive games all season, as the Bengals are 0-4 ATS after a pointspread win. Last week’s big win sets Cincinnati up in a negative 24-61-2 ATS road letdown situation and Pittsburgh applies to a 63-28-4 ATS statistical profile indicator that suggests that they have the characteristics of a good home favorite. That wasn’t the case last week on a horrible field on Monday night against Miami , but the Steelers have won their 6 home games by an average score of 26-9 this season. The only good thing about Cincinnati is an offense that has been 0.4 yards per play better than average this season, averaging 5.6 yppl against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yppl to an average attack. However, Pittsburgh ’s defense has a significant advantage over that unit, as the Steelers have yielded just 4.2 yppl this season to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average defensive team. The Steelers have been just average offensively but Cincy has given up 6.0 yppl to teams that would combine to average only 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team, so Pittsburgh should move the ball well like they did in the first meeting (they averaged 6.6 yppl in a 24-13 win at Cincinnati). Pittsburgh’s most productive receiver, Santonio Holmes, is likely to miss this game, but quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has only been 0.1 yppl worse in 2 other games that Holmes has missed this season. My math model favors Pittsburgh by 11 points in this game and the situation is favorable, so I’ll take Pittsburgh in a 3- Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 2-Stars from -7 ½ to -9 points.

2-Star Total
**UNDER (42) - Atlanta 18 ST. LOUIS (-3.0) 16
10:00 AM Pacific, 02-Dec-07
The Rams may be without starting quarterback Marc Bulger, who suffered a concussion last week, but there really has been no difference between Bulger and backup Gus Frerotte in compensated yards per pass play – although Frerotte is more interception prone. The Rams’ offense is horrible regardless of who is at quarterback, as that unit has averaged only 4.5 yards per play this season against teams that would combine to allow 5.3 yppl to an average attack. Atlanta is a bit worse than average defensively (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average defensive team), but the Falcons stop unit has a significant edge over the Rams’ offense. Atlanta ’s offense is also at a disadvantage, as the Falcons have averaged only 4.8 yppl with Joey Harrington at quarterback (against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team) while St. Louis is only 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.3 yppl). I really don’t understand how the total can be 42 points in this game, as Rams games have averaged 40.8 points (against teams that combine to average 42.1 total points per game) while Atlanta has averaged only 36.3 total points per game against teams that combine to average 40.7 total points. If Rams’ games are 1.3 points lower scoring than normal and Falcons’ games are 4.4 points lower scoring than normal, then you’d expect this game to be 5.7 points lower scoring than normal. The average points in a game is 42.8 this season and the median points is 41 ½ points, so a total of 36 or 37 points results from that simple analysis. Atlanta is 7-4 Under this year, including 5-0 Under on the road while the Rams are 8-3 Under this season. My math model projects just 34 ½ points, and I’ll go UNDER 41 points or more in a 2-Star Best Bet.

Strong Opinion
DALLAS (-7.0) 30 Green Bay 17
05:15 PM Pacific, 29-Nov-07
Green Bay has been red-hot since their bye week, winning and covering all 5 games heading into the NFC showdown with fellow 10-1 team Dallas. The Packers are certainly capable of competing in this game, but they apply to a very negative 24-75-3 ATS road letdown situation tonight while Dallas applies to a very strong 74-27-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator. I’d love to play Dallas here as a Best Bet, but the line is a little high. Green Bay is no longer a one-dimensional offense team since RB Ryan Grant burst onto the scene with 467 rushing yards at 4.6 ypr in 5 games since taking over the running back position. Brett Favre is having an exceptional season and the Packers are actually rate the same offensively as the Cowboys’ potent attack (both are 1.2 yards per play better than average). The Packers are 0.2 yppl better than average defensively, but that’s not nearly as good as a stingy Cowboys’ defense that is 0.9 yppl better than average since star LB Greg Ellis began playing in week 4. Overall my math model favors Dallas by just 4 points since Green Bay is better on special team, but the situation and statistical indicator favoring Dallas are both strong enough to give up some line value. I’ll consider Dallas a Strong Opinion at -7 or less and I’d take Dallas in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 or less.

Strong Opinion
INDIANAPOLIS (-6.5) 28 Jacksonville 15
10:00 AM Pacific, 02-Dec-07
The Colts have a slim one game lead in the AFC South over the Jaguars, so this is an important contest. In the first meeting Jaguars quarterback David Garrard was injured and backup Quinn Gray was horrible in his place. Garrard is back and playing well (0 interceptions this season), but the Jaguars apply to a very negative 24-75-3 ATS road letdown situation while the Colts apply to a solid 63-28-4 ATS statistical profile indicator (they have the statistical characteristics of a team that should be good as a home favorite). Indianapolis hasn’t been as explosive offensively without star WR Marvin Harrison but the Colts have been very good defensively this season (4.5 yards per play allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average defense). Jacksonville ’s defense hasn’t been nearly as good as it’s been in recent years, as the Jags have allowed 5.6 yppl to teams that would only combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average defense. The problem is that the line is high according to my math model, which favors the Colts by just 4 points after adjusting for the Colts’ pass attack without Harrison and the Jags having Garrard back at the helm. The Colts traditionally out-play their stats by a couple of points, so a fair line of 6 points could be justified and 7 is too high. I’ll consider Indianapolis a Strong Opinion at -7 or less and for a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 or less.

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Real Animal

3* Dallas -6 1/2 on the buy @ -120 at Olympic

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charlies sports


nfl. green bay @ dallas under 52 (500* )

nfl. dallas-7 (30*)

ncaaf. louisville-2' (20*)

ncaaf. rutgers @ louisville under 60 (20*)

nba. lakers-5 (10*)

nba. boston-13 (10*) free play

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