Baseball Service Picks for Wednesday

Baseball Service Picks for Wednesday

Michael Cannon Money Train Wednesday Picks:

20 Dime –

BLUE JAYS (With Mussina and McGowan as listed pitchers)
Take the Blue Jays tonight as the small home chalk over the Yankees.
Mike Mussina will start for the Yankees and he has fallen on some serious hard times. The right-hander has given up 21 earned runs over his last 13 1-3 innings. Folks that’s a 14.18 ERA and that’s not going to get the job done against anyone.
Mussina hasn’t started since August 27 and has pitched in only one other game since then, so don’t be surprised if Moose is rusty tonight.
The Blue Jays will send Dustin McGowan to the mound and the right-hander will look to continue his run of quality starts.
The right-hander has allowed three runs or fewer in his last nine starts and has won his last two starts. He has fared well against the Yankees this season, going 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two starts.
Take the Blue Jays as Mussina gets rocked again.

5 Dime –

PIRATES (With Bush and Gorzelanny as listed pitchers)
Take the Pirates as the home chalk this afternoon over the Brewers.
The Bucs will send Tom Gorzelanny to the mound and he’s been their ace all season long. The left-hander is 14-7 with a 3.48 ERA on the year. He has won five of his last seven starts, allowing two or fewer earned runs in four of those outings.
Gorzelanny is 2-0 in three starts against the Brewers this year.
Milwaukee will counter with Dave Bush and he continues to have an up-and-down season. The right-hander is 1-1 with an 8.78 ERA over his last three outings and really hasn’t had any consistency this year.
The Bucs continue to play with pride down the stretch, so I don’t expect them to roll over against the Brewers when they can still play the role of spoiler.
Take the Pirates for the home win behind Gorzelanny.

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JIM FEIST BASEBALL 2007 REGULAR SEASON PACKAGE!!
(927) NY Yankees vs (928) TOR Blue Jays Game Starts at September 12 2007 16:05 EST
Take (928) TOR Blue Jays
5-Star on the Blue Jays!

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JIM FEIST BASEBALL 2007 REGULAR SEASON PACKAGE!!
(927) NY Yankees vs (928) TOR Blue Jays Game Starts at September 12 2007 16:05 EST
Take (928) TOR Blue Jays
5-Star on the Blue Jays!

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BIG AL's AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (13-5 Last 18 Here)

UNDER Detroit

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LT Lock
Toronto
2-0

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HONDO: V IS FOR VOLQUEZ


September 12, 2007 -- Hondo, who breezed with the A's Monday night, stormed right back with another 'W' yesterday after noon when the Rangers rocked Motown in the opener to increase the wad to a beefy 350 woodeshicks.

Tonight, in the big Volquez vs. Verlander matchup, Mr. Aitch will keep riding the Rangers - 10 units.

Lucky for the White Sox they extended Ozzie Guillen's contract through 2012 yesterday. You just know some team would have swooped in and tried to pry away the skipper of a team that's 61-84 and 24 games out of first . . . Larry King will achieve a rare double Friday when he becomes a 10-and-7 man - 10 years married to a seventh wife

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PLATINUM PLAYS

BALTIMORE ORIOLES + 155

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RAZOR SHARP

NY YANKEES/TORONTO OVER the total of 10½

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Dave Cokin.

My free pick of the day is the game between (913) SDG Padres and (914) LA Dodgers. Take "(914) LA Dodgers". Get prepped for a great weekend on the gridiron with Smokin' Dave Cokin. Make the call to 1-888-389-7223 today and get Dave's Thursday and Friday college releases at no cost whatsoever!..."The Dodgers face a virtual must-win scenario tonight as they host the Padres. LA falls 4.5 behind in the Wild Card chase with a loss this evening, and that's going to be nearly impossible to make up down the stretch. But a win tonight narrows the gap to very workable 2.5 games behind the Padres, and the Dodgers have Derek Lowe going in what really is a "money" game for LA. Lowe's always been a clutch pitcher who is used to this type of contest, and I like his chances here. Justin Germano is just 2-9 in his last 15 starts for San Diego, and I see him second best tonight. The Dodgers are the choice."

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Alex Smart 

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals o8.5
Wed Sep 12 '07 2:10p

Carlos Silva the Twins starting pitcher enters into this game against KC struggling of late garnering a hefty 6.89 ERA in his L/3 starts. Fortunately for Silva the Twins bats have been on fire, as they have averaged 6.6 RPG. With that said , I expect the KC Royals to do a fair amount of damage against Silva here this evening, and for the Twins surging offense to reciprocate with some blasts of their own, helping this tilt eclipse the beatable number. Play Over

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Mike Rose

Seattle Mariners (110)
Wed Sep 12 '07 10:05p

Alright, enough is enough!!! The downward spiral this Mariners club has been on over the last month is getting ridiculous, and last night had to be the final straw. They fought back from a 4-1 deficit in the 5th inning only to see the A’s fire right back with three runs of their own in the top of the 6th. It’s gotten to the point where this team has to look at themselves in the mirror and decide whether to put on a jock or a sun dress for tonight’s game. Pony up men, and take advantage of this Oakland team who you’ve beaten like a red headed stepchild all season long!!!

The M’s come into tonight’s game 10-5 against the A’s this season, and that includes last night’s woeful defeat. Miguel Batista owns the most wins (13), and has pitched the most innings than any other starter on Seattle’s staff. He’s a respectable 7-6 at Safeco with a 4.34 ERA, and the M’s have won 8 of his 14 home starts this season.

Danny Haren has some phenomenal numbers against the M’s in his career, but he comes into this start throwing his worst ball of the season. He’s 0-3 his L/3 starts with a bloated 7.02 ERA, and he’s given up 27 hits in only 16.2 innings of work.

He’s ripe to get taken down here, and the M’s must capitalize on this opportunity to get back in the win column. They kissed the NL West away weeks ago, but they still have a long shot chance of snagging the Wild Card. Losing this series at home to a team they’ve owned all season long is not the way this team wants to bow out. I expect a big-time effort to be put forth tonight, and then they’ll hopefully get healthier against the Rays in their four game set

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Vernon Croy 

LAA Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles

1 Unit, Take the Angels ML, The Angels have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight and they are the overall better team. Kelvim Escobar (16-7 ERA 3.04) has not had a good September with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 8.64 but he is still the superior pitcher here tonight. Daniel Cabrera (9-15 ERA 5.11) has struggled in night games this season with a 6-12 record and an ERA of 5.33 and he is just 3-5 since the All-Star break with an ERA of 5.23 over 12 games. I look for the Angels hit Cabrera hard tonight and get the win on the road. Have a great Wednesday, Vernon Croy

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Chris Jordan
Colorado at PHILADELPHIA (TBA)

For Wednesday we're playing the Phillies over the Rockies.
The Phils had their three-game win streak snapped last night, getting pummeled with Adam Eaton on the hill. And while hard-throwing rookie Franklin Morales may be able to humble this lineup, I highly doubt we're going to see the same magic from whomever ends up going for Colorado. I originally was making this play against Mark Redman, but he may not make his return tonight.
That's okay, because the pitching will certainly be there, as Kyle Kendrick takes the hill for us, and he brings along a 6-0 home mark with him. He's also on a roll, having won the two decisions in his last three starts, while limiting the Braves, Marlins and Padres to just five earned runs.
The Phils have won eight of their last 10 at home, and they're 8-1 in Kendrick's last nine starts at home. This is an easy win and value price for us tonight.

5♦ PHILLIES

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Jimmy The Moose
Game: Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros Sep 12 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: Chicago Cubs
Reason: Every game huge down in Septmeber for the Cubs who have faired well in Houston this season. Cubs are 4-1 in Houston this season that includes a sweep back in July. Astros 4-11 last 15 games on Wednesday and are 3-7 last 10 vs the Cubs prior to last night's game. Look for a big Cubs win to stay in the race for the division and the Wild Card race. Play on Chicago

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BRIAN GABRIELLE

At this week’s Tour Championship, take Tiger Woods (11-8), 1/6 unit: Take K.J. Choi (33-1), 1/6 unit: He’s played well all year and certainly has the stuffing to hang on Sunday. Take Robert Allenby (80-1), 1/6 unit: Allenby has eight top-10 finishes this year despite serious putting woes. It’s been so hot and dry in Atlanta that there are no practice rounds in an effort to salvage the greens, which are reportedly in rough shape. This could equalize putting prowess. Allenby can always go low because he hits a lot of greens.

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS



NATIONAL LEAGUE


Atlanta (74-71) at N.Y. Mets (82-62)
The Mets and Braves play the rubber match of their three-game series at Shea Stadium, with New York’s John Maine (14-9, 3.80) scheduled to pitch opposite John Smoltz (13-7, 3.02).
After losing 3-2 on Monday, the Braves came back on Tuesday and cruised to a 13-5 victory, snapping the Mets’ four-game winning streak. Despite last night’s result, the Mets are still on a 9-2 overall run and a 6-2 roll at home, while Atlanta continues to be mired in slumps of 8-13 overall and 4-7 on the road.
The Braves had lost four straight to the Mets before last night’s win, and they now hold a slim 9-8 lead in the season series heading into tonight’s finale.
Smoltz has been outstanding down the stretch, stringing together seven consecutive quality starts in which he’s pitched at least six innings and given up three earned runs or fewer in each contest. His best outing during this run came on Friday against Washington, when he surrendered just one run on one hit and two walks with 10 strikeouts in seven innings, winning 7-1.
Despite that easy win over the Nationals, Atlanta is just 4-5 in Smoltz’s last nine starts (1-3 on the road). For the season, Smoltz is 6-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 14 road starts. Also, the veteran righthander has made five previous starts against the Mets, going 2-1 with a 3.66 ERA, but 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in two outings at Shea.
Maine got hammered at Cincinnati in his most recent start a week ago, allowing six runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-0 loss. It was the fourth time in his last seven starts that Maine gave up six runs in a game. Still, New York is 29-14 in the righthander’s last 43 starts (17-11 this year).
Maine is just 5-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 home starts. That includes a 7-6 loss to the Braves in mid-August when he gave up six runs in 5 1/3 innings. However, Maine got revenge three weeks later at Atlanta, allowing one run on three hits in seven innings in a 7-1 win.
The under is 17-10-1 when Smoltz pitches this year, including 7-2-1 in the last 10 overall and 4-0-1 in his last five on the road. On the other hand, the over is 7-2 in Maine’s last nine home starts.
The under is 12-5-1 in New York’s last 18 games, including 6-2 at home. Also, the Braves are on a 7-4 “under” run. Finally, the under is 8-3 in the last 11 series meetings between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE:  UNDER




San Diego (78-65) at L.A. Dodgers (75-69)
The Padres will try to put some more distance between themselves and their rivals to the north when they continue their three-game series at Dodger Stadium, with Justin Germano (7-9, 4.38) set toe the rubber for San Diego against Derek Lowe (11-12, 3.80).
San Diego improved to 8-2 in its last 10 games against Los Angeles with Tuesday’s 9-4 victory. Despite going just 3-5 in its last eight games, San Diego continues to lead the N.L. Wild Card race by 2½ games over the Phillies and 3½ over the Dodgers and Rockies.
Los Angeles has lost three of its last four overall and had a four-game home winning streak snapped last night. The Dodgers are still 7-2 in their last nine at Chavez Ravine.
Germano fell victim to the Coors Field Curse on Friday, getting tagged for five runs on six hits in just three innings, as he lost 10-4. That snapped a six-start streak in which the righthander pitched at least five innings and gave up three earned runs or less. San Diego is just 4-11 in Germano’s last 15 starts going back to mid-June.
Germano is 4-3 with a 3.82 ERA in 11 road starts, with San Diego going 1-3 in his four no-decisions. Also, Germano is 0-3 with a 7.16 ERA in four games (three starts) against the Dodgers, including 0-2 with a 4.26 ERA in two starts this year.
Lowe failed to earn a decision in Thursday’s 7-4 win at the Cubs, as he gave up three runs on five hits and five walks in six innings. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Lowe’s last five outings (2-0 at home).
Lowe is just 5-5 with a 3.81 ERA in 12 home starts and 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA in three outings against the Padres. The one victory over San Diego came at home way back in mid-April, when Lowe surrendered just a run on seven hits in eight innings, cruising to a 9-1 victory.
The over is on runs of 7-2-1 for the Dodgers at home, 13-3 for the Padres on the road, 8-3 for San Diego overall, 10-6 in this rivalry, 7-3 when Germano pitches, 8-3-1 when Lowe pitches overall and 3-0 in Lowe’s three starts against the Padres this year.
ATS ADVANTAGE:   OVER

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Stan "the man"
927 NYY (+105) vs 928 TOR
Analysis:

It's not wise to bet against a team on a streak and tonight the Yankees Winners of 6 in a row have been made an underdog to a team that has lost 4 in a row. Yes Mussina has been struggling and only gets a second chance because of injury but even if he struggles he will be on a short leash and would be pulled early as the Yankees need every win to make the Playoffs. TAKE the YANKEES as STAN'S FALSE FAVORITE BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY

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BIG AL's AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (13-5 Last 18 Here)
Al McMordie has CASHED 13 of 18 here at the Online Store, but his last play was a brutal loss, as SF gave up a 3-run HR with 2 out in the 9th inning on Monday. Today, Big Al looks to rebound and win his 14th of 19 with his American League Total of the Month! Al's dominated Baseball Totals all season and this play will be another EASY WINNER. Go get it.
Price: $15.00

Rangers Under

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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Washington Nationals @ Florida Marlins - Wednesday September 12, 2007 1:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) MONEYLINE: Washington Nationals +118 (Normal)


I trust Jon Hanrahan more than Kim of the Marlins. Look past both of these fellas' 5 ERA and one needs to look at Hanrahan's last series of performances. He pitched great against St. Louis, San Fran and Philly, and has had 5 of 7 quality starts and comes off a tough outing against the Braves which he will look to bounce-back from today. Kim had da 13.51 and a 6 ERA outing against the Nationals from last year, and this team is playing far better and is far more potent this year. Both those scores of the games was 14-8 and 11-8 in which the Marlins won. However, Kim is no longer facing Tony Armas, but rather Jon Hanrahan who is a fair amount better in my opinion. These 2 teams went at it yesterday and the game went well over with the Marlins coming out on top. Well, today, this game should go with the side of the Nationals as game 1 did and also go over as well. The Nats have the edge in pitching today, are on a bounce-back and have had prior success against Kim which makes this a solid dog play. The Marlins are 1-6 following a win in their last 7 games, 1-7 in their last 8 as a favorite and the Nats are 5-0 when Hanrahan pitches with this total set meaning that it is going to be high scoring, but he is a shade better for the win.

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Washington Nationals @ Florida Marlins - Wednesday September 12, 2007 1:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 10 (-105) (Normal)


I like Hanrahan as a pitcher, but I also like the Marlins to hit him fairly hard as the Nationals are likely to hit Kim harder today. This is in some ways a hedge play as well as I don't think either of these pitchers will be in a pitchers duel given these 2 teams capacity to hit against each other. Much like when the Pirates face the Phillies at home, it is rarely a low-scoring game. Well, much is the same here. Kim has had a track record of poor performances but overs against the Nats, the Marlins picked up their bats yesterday and are likely to still do that today, the over is 4-0 of late when the Nats face this total, the over is 5-1-1 on the road when the Nats face this total and the over is 6-0-2 when the Marlins face this total. I believe this game will go to the Nats, and just as important, the game goes over as well.

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - Wednesday September 12, 2007 10:10 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) RUNLINE: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (108) (Play of the Day)


I had a beat on this game yesterday and as expected Correia held down the diamondbacks. Well, young Sanchez will not be able to hold off this team that has been putting up some runs far more easier than earlier this year. The Dbacks have picked up the bats considerably and their winning streak came to an end yesterday but they will start another one today. Keep in mind, they had won 6 in a row and in fact and have 82 wins on the year. Webb has had great success against the Giants this year pitching 7 scoreless innings, and I simply think that Sanchez will not be able to hold back the dbacks off a loss and Webb should hold down the fort with a questionable Giants offense. Dbacks are 6-1 in their last 7, 7-2 in Webb's last 9 and keep in mind, Sanchez gave up 2 hits in 1 just inning against the dbacks his last time out, so expect him to get rocked a bit today.

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THE WUNDERDOG

Game: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee +117
Tom Gorzelanny has had a good year for a bad team. It has translated into a 14-7 record. The bad news is when he is left out of the decision the Pirates are 0-7! So overall the Pirates are just 14-14 in his starts. The problem is the pen has coughed up the other seven games. Gorzelanny has also been forced by his success to log a lot of innings. He has reached 178, and that is by far more than he has thrown in the big leagues, and tops his minor league highest total by 50 pitches. The result is his ERA is at it's highest of the season. The Brewers are at their best against LHP, where they have gone 27-21. Dave Bush got off to a slow start, but the Brewers are now 11-6 in his last 17 starts, and Bush is off a game where he allowed eight runs. He has had three other horrible outings this season, where he allowed six runs or more. He has bounced back from a horrible start by posting a 2.70 combined ERA in his next start! The Brewers have been a hot team as they are now 8-3 over their last 11 games. The Pirates are playing out the string, and have only been 5-9 over their last 14. The Brewers claim game 3, and the series.

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