Browns vs. Ravens Total Prediction
AFC North rivals battle in Baltimore on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET when the Ravens host the Browns with the division on the line for the host. With the total sitting in the low-40s, is the under a safe play for bettors or is there value in the over?
315 Cleveland Browns at 316 Baltimore Ravens
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 30
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Ravens are 5.5-point favorites to beat the Browns. The total, meanwhile, sits at 40.5 points. As of this writing, 57% of the public betting tickets are on the Browns to cover the point spread.
Browns CB Denzel Ward was diagnosed with a concussion after Sunday's Week 16 game versus the Bengals. Ward left the game on the second to last drive of the game when he failed to get low on a tackle attempt on C.J. Uzomah and wore the brunt of the helmet-to-helmet collision. Ward missed the prior two games of the year due to a concussion that he suffered in Week 13 against the Texans. The first-round pick shouldn't be expected to play in Week 17 in Baltimore. If that is in fact the case, Ward will end his rookie campaign with four interceptions, two fumble recoveries and 11 passes defended.
Lamar Jackson completed 12-of-22 passes for a career-high 204 yards and one touchdown, adding 13 carries for 39 yards in Baltimore's impressive Week 16 upset victory over the Chargers. The Ravens continued their newfound offensive approach with Jackson under center, rushing 35 times on a keep-away 31:25 time of possession. The rookie's career-high 204 yards were simply a plus, 68 of them occurring on one beautiful downfield touchdown strike to fellow rookie TE Mark Andrews. Now facing a must-win situation against the Browns next week, Jackson will again be a high-floor low-end QB1 with an exciting ceiling in the team's final regular season game.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-1 in the Browns’ last seven games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The under is 5-0 in the Ravens’ last five games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
The under is a near-perfect 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams at M&T Bank Stadium and is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings overall. The under is also 3-0-1 in the Browns’ last four games overall and is 39-11-3 in their last 53 games in December. On the other side, the under is 11-5 in the Ravens’ last 16 divisional games, is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall and is 5-2 in their last seven games played in the month of December.
NFL Week 17 Prediction: Browns/Ravens under 40.5