Dolphins vs. Raiders, 12/26/20 NFL Week 16 Betting Predictions

Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 16 Prediction

The 9-5 Dolphins are steamrolling towards a playoff spot but they need to keep winning to stay in the AFC wild card picture. Now firmly on the outside looking in, will the Raiders pull off the upset on Saturday night in Vegas when they host Miami as a 3-point dog at 8:15 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

461 Miami Dolphins (-3) at 462 Las Vegas Raiders (+3); o/u 47.5

7:15 p.m. ET, December 24, 2020

Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

TV: NFL Network

Miami Dolphins DFS Spin

Tua Tagovailoa completed 20-of-26 passes for 145 yards and an interception in the Dolphins' 22-12, Week 15 win over the Patriots, adding three carries for nine additional yards and two touchdowns. With the Dolphins' skill corps severely short-handed and Salvon Ahmed returning, Tagovailoa was a strict game manager, completing zero passes longer than 15 yards. His interception was a poor red zone decision in the first quarter where he forced the ball to Lynn Bowden in the end zone as he was getting hit. Tagovailoa compensated by avoiding further cough ups and contributing three- and one-yard rushing scores, displaying a nice little shoulder fake on the three-yarder. He's up to three rushing touchdowns over his past two games. With DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki hopefully returning for Week 16 against the Raiders, Tagovailoa should have a little more QB2 juice for a plus matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders DFS Spin

Derek Carr (groin) practiced fully Wednesday. That's an upgrade from his limited Tuesday practice. It would now be an upset if Carr did not suit up Saturday against the Dolphins. Those who picked up Marcus Mariota as a streamer for championship week will have to find an alternative if Carr fights through what looked to be a serious groin injury that knocked him out of Week 15's game against the Chargers. Carr would have a rough matchup against a stingy Miami defense.

Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 16 Prediction

The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings between these two teams and has cashed in five of the Dolphins’ last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest. The over is also a perfect 4-0 in the Raiders’ last four conference games, is a near-perfect 7-0-1 in their last eight games as a home underdog and has cashed in five straight Las Vegas games after the team allowed more than 350 total yards in its previous game.

NFL WEEK 16 BETTING PREDICTION: DOLPHINS/RAIDERS OVER 47.5