Bills vs. Broncos Week 15 Prediction
The Bills can clinch the AFC East title with a win on Saturday over the Broncos and are currently listed as a 5.5-point favorite for today’s matchup. Will Buffalo cover or is there a better play on the board when it comes to this Week 15 clash?
345 Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at 346 Denver Broncos (+5.5); o/u 49
4:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, December 19, 2020
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
TV: NFL Network
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Adjusting for down, distance, and game situation, the Bills are the second most pass happy team in the league, behind only Kansas City. Josh Allen has thrown more than 40 passes six times this season, including 43 attempts in Week 14's win over Pittsburgh. Along with his rushing prowess, the pass volume gives Allen one of fantasy football's highest weekly floors and ceilings. Nearly 73 percent of the team's offensive yardage has come via the pass, the seventh highest rate in the league. Buffalo's pass-heavy ways have led to Stefon Diggs leading the league in receptions through 14 weeks and Cole Beasley becoming a reliable fantasy option when healthy. Allen and the Bills pass catchers have a solid Week 15 matchup against Denver.
Denver Broncos DFS Spin
Melvin Gordon (shoulder) is questionable for Week 15 against the Bills. Phillip Lindsay (hip) is also considered questionable. Even so, both are expected to play in a rough matchup opposite Buffalo's front-seven that has stuffed Austin Ekeler (14/44), Raheem Mostert (9/42), and James Conner (10/18) since returning healthy from its bye. Both Gordon and Lindsay fall in line as low-end RB2/3s that will need to get there on efficiency rather than volume to keep fantasy players alive for the Championship in Week 16.
Bills vs. Broncos Betting Prediction
The Bills are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games versus the Broncos and are 10-4-2 against the number in their last 16 road games. They’re also 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, are 4-1-2 at the betting window in their last seven games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous contest and are a perfect 5-0 at the betting window in their last five games overall.
Meanwhile, the Broncos are just 9-21 against the spread in their last 30 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and have failed to cover in five of their last six games coming off a win of any kind. They’re also winless against the spread in their last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous contest.
NFL WEEK 15 BETTING PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS -5.5