Bears vs. Packers Spread Prediction
The Packers are laying 4.5 points to NFC North rivals the Bears at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday but Chicago has won three straight and Mitchell Trubisky looks confident. What’s the better play for bettors: Chicago or Green Bay?
309 Chicago Bears (+4.5) at 310 Green Bay Packers (-4.5); O/U 40.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 15, 2019
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Packers are receiving 58% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
David Montgomery rushed 20 times for 86 yards in the Bears' Week 14 win over the Cowboys. The 20 carries were his third most of the season. Montgomery also lost a fumble, but it came after forward progress should have been blown dead. Montgomery was churning out tough yardage between the tackles as the Bears surprisingly rode Mitchell Trubisky's arm for the second consecutive week, though his night ended in the medical tent. He was announced as being evaluated for a leg injury. Montgomery dealt with ankle issues last month. Provided he's healthy — he has 10 days to heal up — Montgomery has a tissue-soft Week 15 date with the Packers' run defense.
Green Bay Packers Fantasy Spin
Davante Adams (toe) wasn't listed on the Packers' final injury report. The Bears defense limited Adams to a pedestrian 4-36-0 line in Week 1. The Packers' undisputed No. 1 pass-game option is also coming off a disappointing 4-41-0 performance on just six targets in Week 14. Still, the Bears also haven't exactly been a defense to fear when it comes to No. 1 WRs. The likes of Kenny Golladay (4-158-1), Michael Thomas (9-131-0), Stefon Diggs (7-108-0), Emmanuel Sanders (11-98-1) and most recently Amari Cooper (6-83-1) all managed to pop off against this (still solid) defense. Continue to fire up Adams as a no-doubt WR1.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bears are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games played in the month of December and have been very profitable in divisional matchups, covering the number in nine of their last 11 games versus NFC North foes.
The Packers are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games following a failed cover in their previous game and are 5-1 against the number in their last six games versus an opponent with a winning record.
The Bears are just 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 games versus the Packers but Green Bay is just 3-8 at the window in its last 11 divisional games. I can’t believe I’m writing this, but Trubisky is playing well and looks confident. Perhaps Matt Nagy has made the adjustments to help Trubisky thrive again like he did at times last year. Either way, I like catching 4.5 points in a game that comes down to a field goal in my mind. The Packers are 10-3 but they’re hardly a juggernaut. They had trouble putting a bad Washington away last Sunday at home and failed to cover as a 13-point favorite. We’re also just three weeks removed from the Pack getting shredded by the 49ers in Santa Clara and the Panthers were a blade of grass away from having an opportunity to tie the game at Lambeau on November 10. I like backing dogs when I feel confident that they could win the game outright. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Bears pulled off the outright upset today, but I’ll put the 4.5 points in my back pocket just in case this one comes down to a field goal.
NFL Week 15 Prediction: Chicago Bears +4.5