Jets vs. Ravens TNF Prediction
The Ravens need to beat the Jets tonight in order to move closer to locking up home field advantage throughout the playoffs but they’re also laying a whopping 17 points at the betting window. Is that number too high or will Baltimore roll?
301 New York Jets (+17) at 302 Baltimore Ravens (-17); O/U 44.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, December 12, 2019
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Jets are drawing 51% of the betting tickets ahead of Thursday night’s game.
New York Jets Fantasy Spin
Speaking Tuesday, Le'Veon Bell said he believes he still isn't receiving enough touches. Bell said he can be "the Bell of old if he gets the ball more." Known for massive workloads as a Steeler, Bell has reached 20 carries only once all season. He is averaging a modest, by his standards, 20 touches. That is still enough work to make hay with. Running behind one of the league's worst offensive lines, Bell is averaging an anemic 3.2 yards per carry, the lowest mark of his career. His 7.3 yards per reception would be the second lowest of his career. With Bell and coach Adam Gase gradually escalating their war of words, the odds seem high that 27-year-old Bell will be playing elsewhere in 2020.
Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin
NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports Mark Andrews (knee) is "expected to give it a go" for Thursday night's matchup against the Jets. Andrews has been nothing short of remarkable in his second season; only George Kittle in 2018 (2.82) and 2019 (2.91) has averaged more yards per route run among all TEs with at least 50 targets in a single season over the past 10 years than Andrews (2.81) in 2019. Continue to fire up Andrews as a high-end TE1, while Nick Boyle and Hayden Hurst would be upside TE2s if Jackson's favorite receiver is ultimately sidelined.
The Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games and have failed to cover in seven of their last 11 games coming off a win (that record includes one push).
The Ravens have covered the spread in seven of their last nine games overall and are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite.
I try not to make it a habit of betting underdogs that I don’t believe can win the game outright, which includes the Jets tonight. That said, this line is too high for a midweek game when both teams are coming off a short week for rest and preparation. The Jets strung together wins not that long ago and proved they’re not without talent. They also proved in an ugly loss to the Bengals that they’re nowhere close to being a legitimate contender. That said, with Lamar Jackson (quad) banged up and the Ravens 2-7 against the number in their last nine home games, I do see some value in Gang Green tonight.
NFL WEEK 15 PREDICTION: NEW YORK JETS +17