Saints vs. Falcons, 11/28/19 Thanksgiving NFL Betting Predictions

Saints vs. Falcons Thanksgiving Prediction

Despite upsetting the Saints as a double-digit underdog in New Orleans just three weeks ago, the Falcons are catching seven points as a home dog on Thanksgiving night versus their NFC South rivals. Will Atlanta cover despite the revenge spot for New Orleans?

Game Snapshot

309 New Orleans Saints (-7) at 310 Atlanta Falcons (+7); O/U 48.5

8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 28

Mercedes-Benz, Atlanta, GA

Public Betting Odds

According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are drawing 67% of the betting tickets ahead of tonight’s game.

New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Saints CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) is expected to play Thursday night. Rapoport added that Falcons WR Julio Jones (shoulder) is also expected to play through his questionable tag. Lattimore is expected to shadow Jones, who is currently in the biggest scoreless slump of his career, as he hasn't found the end zone since Week 3. He previously failed to score in seven consecutive regular season games twice during his career. His first streak in 2014 was followed by 5-68-1, 10-189-1 and 11-259-1 performances, while Jones overcame last season's infamous drought with 7-121-1, 7-107-1 and 6-118-1 lines. Continue to fire him up as a no-doubt WR1.

Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports the Falcons are optimistic Julio Jones (shoulder) will suit up Thursday. Rapoport added that Saints CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) is also expected to play through his questionable tag. Jones is currently in the biggest scoreless slump of his career, as he hasn't found the end zone since Week 3. He previously failed to score in seven consecutive regular season games twice during his career. His first streak in 2014 was followed by 5-68-1, 10-189-1 and 11-259-1 performances, while Jones overcame last season's infamous drought with 7-121-1, 7-107-1 and 6-118-1 lines. Continue to fire him up as a no-doubt WR1.

New Orleans

The Saints are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games overall and have covered in 24 of their last 32 road games.

Atlanta

The Falcons are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 Thursday games but have failed to cover in 13 of their last 19 games overall.

NFL Week 13 Prediction

After winning back-to-back games on the strength of their defense, the Falcons fell apart last week at home to the Bucs. I’m willing to bet that tonight will be the nail in the coffin for head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta’s defense was a problem last weekend against Jamies Winston and Co. but the bigger issue is the team’s offensive line, which allowed Matt Ryan to get pounded. When Ryan starts to press, that’s when the turnovers come and the Saints are an opportunistic bunch that will feast on those gifts. I see three Saints having big nights: Michael Thomas versus Atlanta’s porous secondary, Alvin Kamara, who has looked more like himself the past two weeks, and Cam Jordan, who will terrorize Ryan all night. With Jones less than 100-percent, Ryan won’t have his usual top target in rare form, further leading to issues for the Atlanta offense. Following yet another double-digit home loss with stadium empty and his team looking embarrassingly unprepared, I also predict owner Arthur Blank lets Quinn go on Friday morning and replaces him with interim coach Raheem Morris.

NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -7