Bills vs. Cowboys Total Prediction
The second game of the NFL Thanksgiving Day triple-header pits potential playoff teams in Dallas, where the Cowboys will host the Bills at 4:30 p.m. ET. The total for this matchup climbed to 46 after opening at 45. Is the over the play?
307 Buffalo Bills (+7) at 308 Dallas Cowboys (-7); O/U 46
4:30 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 28, 2019
AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Bills are drawing 59% of the betting tickets ahead of tonight’s game.
Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin
Josh Allen completed 15-of-25 passes for 185 yards, two touchdowns, and one turnover in Buffalo's Week 12 win over the Broncos. He also rushed nine times for 56 yards. Buffalo's secondary did most of the legwork, forcing five consecutive three-and-outs while permitting just 82 passing yards to Brandon Allen. Josh Allen's touchdowns unsurprisingly featured the usual suspects as Cole Beasley ran a route over the middle of the field to open the third quarter with an 18-yard walk-in score; Allen's second was a 34-yard laser to John Brown, who beat Chris Harris clean along the right sideline. Despite being one of Allen's toughest tests to date, his rushing floor once again proved why he's an unequivocal QB1 weekly. He'll be ranked as such on Thanksgiving against Dallas.
Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Spin
Amari Cooper wasn't listed on the Cowboys' estimated practice report Monday. It marks the first time all season that Cooper hasn't been listed with an injury. He had a number of other problems to deal with in Week 12, notably Stephon Gilmore and porous weather conditions. Cooper has caught just 3-of-10 targets for 38 scoreless yards over the last two weeks and has another tough matchup on Thanksgiving Day against stud Bills CB Tre'Davious White.
The under is 5-0 in the Bills’ last five games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest.
The over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
NFL Week 13 Prediction
The over has been profitable in Dallas games of late, cashing in 10 of the Cowboys’ last 14 games overall, is 9-4 in their last 13 home games and is 8-2 in their last 10 games coming off a loss. With how the Bills were torn apart on the ground a few weeks ago by the Eagles, Ezekiel Elliott should have a field day against Buffalo’s front seven. This is a good bounce back spot for the Cowboys offense after playing last Sunday in the elements at Gillette Stadium. On the other side, the Cowboys defense played well in New England but Tom Brady and Co. haven’t exactly been firing on all cylinders this season. Before they went to Foxborough, the Cowboys secondary gave up big plays to Minnesota and Detroit in consecutive weeks. I see big plays in Dallas on Sunday.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: BILLS/COWBOYS OVER 46