Saints vs. Falcons Spread Prediction

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons, 11/22/18 Thanksgiving Predictions

The red-hot New Orleans Saints will certainly add to their win column Thursday night when they host the hapless Atlanta Falcons at 8:20 p.m. ET. But will the Saints cover the spread for a 10th consecutive game?

Game Snapshot

109 Atlanta Falcons at 110 New Orleans Saints

8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 22

Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Saints are 12-point favorites to beat the Falcons. The total, meanwhile, sits at 60 points. As of this writing, 53% of the public betting tickets are on the Saints to cover the point spread.

Atlanta Falcons

Matt Ryan completed 24-of-34 passes for 291 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the Falcons' Week 11 loss to the Cowboys. It was Ryan's first sub-300 yards day since Week 5. The Falcons didn't get into the red zone until the second half as the teams traded field goals the first three quarters. Ryan's interception was a drop by Calvin Ridley that clanged up into the air for Leighton Vander Esch. His one touchdown was a 34-yard strike to Julio Jones down the right sideline to tie the game at 19-19 late in the fourth quarter. Ryan will battle the Saints on Thanksgiving. He had 374 yards and five touchdowns against the Saints in Week 3.

New Orleans Saints

Michael Thomas caught all four of his targets for 92 yards and a touchdown in the Saints' Week 11 win over the Eagles. With Tre’Quan Smith dominating, Thomas was limited to just four targets, but he made the most of them. He got loose for two long gains on each of his two first-half catches, the second of which put him over 1,000 yards for the season. He did even better after the break, coming down with a pinpoint throw from Drew Brees for a 23-yard touchdown, his eighth of the season and fifth in the last five games. By catching all four of his targets, Thomas once again bumped up above a 90 percent catch rate for the year. He will remain a no-doubt WR1 on Thanksgiving against the Falcons.

NFL Betting Trends

Atlanta

The Falcons are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games and are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.

New Orleans

The Saints are 14-6 against the number in their last 20 divisional games and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six conference matchups.

Prediction

There are other betting websites making cases for the underdog Falcons. This is a divisional game between two heated rivals and the Saints at some point will play a close game, so take the points. Atlanta, these other sites note, can score on anyone.

Except for the fact that the Falcons offense struggled the past two weeks. They only scored 16 points on the road against the Browns two Sundays ago and despite returning home last week to play the Cowboys, managed just 19 points in their sixth loss of the season.

Atlanta can’t hang with New Orleans. These two teams played an overtime game earlier this year in Atlanta but since that point, the Saints are playing better defensively and have not slowed down offensively. Sean Payton ran up the score last week against the Eagles and I fully expect him to do so tonight against the Saints’ biggest rival. I wouldn’t be shocked in New Orleans put 50 on the board tonight in an absolute demolishing of Atlanta.

NFL Week 12 Prediction: New Orleans Saints -12

Loading...

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail NFL Championship Sunday Injury Report Which injuries will impact the NFL Conference Championship games this Sunday? Will the Chiefs have tight end Travis Kelce for their matchup with the Titans? What...
Thumbnail Total in NFC Title Game Climbing The total for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game between Aaron Jones and the Packers and 49ers has climbed over the last 24 hours. After opening at 45, where is the...
Thumbnail Tom Brady Next Team Prop Odds Which team will roster quarterback Tom Brady in Week 1 of the 2020 NFL regular season? The betting odds are out and the favorite is the team he’s played for his entire...
Thumbnail Public Backing Chiefs, 49ers on Sunday We’re still a few days away from Championship Sunday in the NFL but as of right now, our public betting data shows that bettors are backing the two home...
Thumbnail Derrick Henry has owned the Chiefs The Titans are 7.5-point road underdogs to the Chiefs in Sunday’s AFC title game, but they were dogs the last two weeks and were able to pull off upsets thanks to...

NFL Headlines