Lions vs. Bears Week 10 Prediction
The stumbling Bears are just 3-5 on the season and 1-3 at home this year but are laying a field goal to NFC North rival the Lions at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. Are the Bears a good bet to right the ship or will the Lions cover against their divisional foe?
265 Detroit Lions (+3) at 266 Chicago Bears (-3); O/U 41.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Lions are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Detroit Lions Fantasy Spin
NFL Media's Ian Rapoport reports Matthew Stafford is a "real game-time decision." There is "concern" that Stafford's hip and back injuries could force him to miss Week 10 against the Bears. The Lions will test him out in pre-game warmups and then make a decision. If he's unable to play, Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, Ty Johnson, and T.J. Hockenson will have to be downgraded in fantasy. Expect an announcement 90 minutes before tomorrow's kickoff.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Bears NT Eddie Goldman (thigh) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Lions. Goldman's potential absence would be great news for the entire Lions' rushing attack. Ty Johnson (62% snaps, 9 carries, 3 targets) led the way over both J.D. McKissic (38%, 4, 4) and Paul Perkins (4%, 3, 0) in Week 9. Johnson will flirt with low-end RB3 value as long as he can get something in the range of 12-15 touches per game in the Lions' 12th-ranked scoring offense, but he's continued to largely work behind McKissic as the offense's primary pass-down back. Each carries a low floor ahead of Week 10's tough road spot against the Bears.
NFL Betting Trends
The Lions are 10-3-1 against the spread in their last 14 games when facing an opponent with a losing record. They’re also 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games.
The Bears are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine divisional games but are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games.
The Bears have dominated this matchup at the betting window, posting a 4-1-1 record against the number in their last six meetings with the Lions and going 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Detroit. Matt Nagy and GM Ryan Pace don’t appear ready to move on from Mitchell Trubisky and admit their mistake, but if the Lions are without Stafford or he’s hobbled, I like Chicago’s defense to take the game over. As previously mentioned, the Bears have covered the spread in eight of their last nine divisional games and the Lions’ defense can be had through the air. Lost in another dreadful performance by Trubisky last week is that the Bears nearly pushed as a 5-point underdog in Philadelphia despite being dominated by the Eagles in the first half. This time around, I like the Bears to cover and I don’t mind fading the public here.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: Chicago Bears -3