Lions vs. Bears Prediction
After giving up 10 sacks last weekend, will the Detroit Lions be able to stop the pass rush of the Chicago Bears when the two NFC North rivals meet up on Sunday at 1PM ET in Chicago?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, November 11, 2018
1PM ET – Soldier Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Bears are favored at home, as Chicago is getting odds of -6.5 points against Detroit. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 44 points. The public betting for this game currently has 64 percent going on the Bears at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Lions run over by Vikings
The Detroit Lions looked awful the last two weeks, suffering a 28-14 loss to the Seahawks at home and a 24-9 loss at Minnesota. The Lions are now 3-5 overall, 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 with the over. Detroit has failed to cover in its last two games.
The Lions allowed 10 sacks in last week’s loss at Minnesota and they are averaging just 22.5 points and 369.9 yards per game this season. Matthew Stafford has now been sacked 23 times this season and has thrown for 2,111 yards and 14 touchdowns with six interceptions. He looked uncomfortable last week without his safety valve in Golden Tate, who the Lions traded to the Eagles. Detroit is trying to establish a run game this year and Kerryon Johnson has rushed for 503 yards and a touchdown in his rookie season. Defensively, the Lions are giving up 26.3 points and 378.1 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing 142.5 yards per game. As a unit, they have 24 sacks but have forced just eight turnovers.
Bears in the mix
The Chicago Bears are coming off a 41-9 win at Buffalo last weekend for its second straight win. Chicago is now 5-3 on the season, 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 with the over. The Bears have covered in their last two games.
The Bears have been solid on defense this year, allowing just 19.1 points and 338.6 yards per game. The unit will also get Khalil Mack back this week. He has missed the last two weeks with an ankle injury. He has five sacks this year for a unit that has 24 sacks and has forced 21 turnovers. Offensively, Chicago is averaging 29.4 points and 372 yards per game this year. Second-year QB Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 1,949 yards and 16 touchdowns with seven interceptions. He has also rushed for 302 yards. Tarik Cohen has rushed for 229 yards and also has 406 receiving yards.
NFL Betting Trends
The Lions are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games against a winning team, but 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
The Bears are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against a losing team and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The Lions couldn’t block a soul last week and now face one of the best pass rushes in the league that gets their most disruptive player back. The Lions also could be without some starters on the offensive line so I expect things to get ugly. Matthew Stafford hasn’t looked right and isn’t throwing the ball deep, which has been his strength through his career. If Stafford can’t play to his strengths, Chicago is going to cruise. The Bears are improving on offense and have the ability to run the ball on this Detroit defense.
NFL Prediction: Chicago Bears +6.5