Lions vs. Bears Total Prediction

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears, 11/08/19 NFL Predictions & Odds

The total for Sunday’s NFC North matchup between the Lions and Bears has dropped from the opening number of 44 down to 41.5. Is it wise for bettors to follow the line movement and play the under or is there still some value in the over?

Game Snapshot

265 Detroit Lions (+2.5) at 266 Chicago Bears (-2.5); O/U 41.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10

Solider Field, Chicago, IL

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bears are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Detroit Lions Fantasy Spin

Matthew Stafford (hip, back) is questionable for Sunday's matchup against the Bears. Stafford is fully expected to play through the pain. He hasn't missed a game since 2010. The Bears haven't been quite as good as last season, but they've still been stingy on a per-play basis. Overall, the 2018 Bears defense allowed 4.8 yards per play, while the 2019 edition has allowed 4.9. Stafford is probably better approached as a high-end QB2 as opposed to a locked-in QB1 in this tough spot.

Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin

Bears coach Matt Nagy said Mitchell Trubisky will start in Week 9 against the Eagles. Nagy continued that there's still enough time left in the season to get Trubisky "playing at the level he needs to play at." Chicago's No. 2 overall pick in '17, Trubisky's bottomed out in just his third year with the Bears, pacing for 2,730 yards, 12 touchdowns and 7.5 picks over 15 starts — a step back across the board following his impressive 3,223-yard campaign last season. Having said that, it makes sense for the organization to keep him under center (as much as it may hurt) the rest of the way since sliding 33-year-old veteran Chase Daniel in is a sunk cost for the 3-4 Bears. Trubisky's next test comes against the Eagles' swarming pass rush in Week 9.

NFL Betting Trends

Detroit

The under is 8-3 in the Lions’ last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Chicago

The under is 8-1 in the Bears’ last nine games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous contest.

Prediction

The under has cashed in five of the previous seven meetings between these two teams and is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Solider Field. The under has also hit in 10 of the Bears’ last 13 games overall, is 6-1 in their last seven home games and has cashed in eight of their last 10 conference games, too. Finally, the under is 4-1 in the Lions’ last five divisional games and is 7-3 in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous contest. I would follow the line movement in this matchup and play the under, especially given how much the Bears have struggled offensively.

NFL Week 10 Prediction: Lions/Bears UNDER 41.5

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