Bears vs. Bills Prediction
Will the Chicago Bears be able to cover a double-digit spread on the road when they take on the Buffalo Bills today at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, November 4, 2018
1PM ET – New Era Field
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Bears are heavily favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -10.5 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 37.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 65 percent going on the Bears on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bills struggling mightily
Buffalo has dropped three straight games coming into this week, scoring just 24 points in the three losses. The Bills are 2-6 overall, 3-5 against the spread and 6-2 with the under. The Bills have failed to cover the spread in their last two games.
The Bills are averaging just 10.9 points and 272.9 yards per game on offense this season. Things aren’t likely to get better, as the team is going to have to give the ball back to Nathan Peterman. Josh Allen remains out with an injury and now Derek Anderson is out due to a concussion. Peterman has thrown for just 108 yards with a TD and four interceptions. LeSean McCoy is leading the offense with just 257 rushing yards and no touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25 points and 343.4 yards per game. The Bills have 21 sacks and have created 12 turnovers.
Bears end skid
The Chicago Bears were on a two-game losing streak, but put an end to that with a 24-10 win over the New York Jets last weekend at home. Chicago is now 4-3 on the season, 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 with the over. They are just 2-3 against the spread in their last five.
The Bears are improving on offense each week and now averaging 27.7 points and 396.7 yards per game. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 1,814 yards and 15 touchdowns with six interceptions while also rushing for 296 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Howard is the leading rusher with 392 yards and three scores while Tarik Cohen has 224 rushing yards and 398 receiving yards. Defensively, Chicago is giving up 20.6 points and 346.1 yards per contest. Their run defense is giving up just 83.1 yards per contest. The Bears could be without Khalil Mack again this week. He sat out last week’s game with an ankle injury and is reported to be unlikely to play today.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bills are 3-12 against the spread in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home and 1-4 ATS in their last five games in November.
The Bears have covered the spread in six straight games against a losing team and in six of their last eight road games.
This is a big spread for the Bears on the road, but the Bills have been a complete disaster. Buffalo can’t score on offense and now have to turn to Peterman at QB. He’s been a turnover machine and is likely to give Chicago a lot of short fields today. The Bears are picking up momentum on offense over the last month, so I expect Chicago to handle the double-digit spread with ease.
NFL Prediction: Chicago Bears -10.5