Patriots vs. Ravens Week 9 Prediction
The Ravens opened as 4-point home underdogs for their Sunday Night Football matchup with the Patriots but are now catching only a field goal. Is that enough points to back Baltimore tonight or is New England the best play for bettors?
473 New England Patriots (-3) at 474 Baltimore Ravens (+3); O/U 44.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 3
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Patriots are drawing 61% of the betting tickets ahead of tonight’s game.
New England Patriots Fantasy Spin
James White (toe) is questionable for the Patriots' Week 9 matchup against the Ravens. White wasn't listed on the injury report until Friday. Damien Harris was a healthy scratch with Burkhead back in action last week for the first time since Week 4. The Patriots' backfield utilized the following rotation during their 27-13 win over the Browns: Sony Michel (41% snaps), White (41%), Burkhead (19%) and Brandon Bolen (4%). Continue to fire up Michel as a weekly RB2 as the primary touchdown scorer in the league's highest-scoring offense. White is at the most risk of losing significant pass-game work to Burkhead, as his six-touch performance last week was largely saved by a 59-yard sprint off a well-designed screen.
Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin
Coach John Harbaugh confirmed that CB Jimmy Smith (knee) will play Sunday. The entire Patriots passing game has a sneaky tough matchup this week against the Ravens, who will welcome back their long-time No. 1 CB first time since Week 1. Marlon Humphrey has traveled with opposing No. 1 WRs with plenty of success this season, but he spent 82% of his snaps as the defense's slot CB in week 7 in their first game with Marcus Peters. We're guessing the Ravens keep their CBs stationary for the time being now that they don't have a glaring weakness (yet) among their starting trio.
The Patriots have covered the spread in five of their last six games in November and are 7-2 against the number in their last nine conference games as well.
The Ravens are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall and are winless at the betting window in their last six home games.
NFL Week 9 Prediction
The road team is 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall and I like the Patriots to make it 7-1-1 by the end of the night. This simply isn’t enough points to entice me to take the Ravens as a home dog. Do I think Lamar Jackson is capable of giving New England’s outstanding defense a stiff test? Of course, especially when you consider he’s the best signal-caller that the Patriots will face to this point in the season and it’s not even close. That said, we’re getting Tom Brady in November in a big primetime matchup and only have to lay a field goal. Enough said.
NFL WEEK 9 PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3