Bucs vs. Saints Total Prediction
Will the Buccaneers and Saints combine for enough points to push the score over the total this weekend?
Records: Buccaneers (2-5; 0-3 on road); Saints (5-2; 2-1 at home)
T.V.: FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Saints -6.5 (52)
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under for Sunday’s game sits at 52 points after hitting the board at 50. New Orleans, meanwhile, is now a 6.5-point home favorite after the line hit the board at 7.
As of this writing, 63% of public bettors are backing the Saints and laying the points.
Key Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have failed to cover in four of their last five games against NFC South opponents are 0-5-1 against the number in their last six games overall, and are 0-3-1 at the betting window in their last four road games.
On the other side, the Saints are 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 games versus NFC South opponents, are 20-8 at the betting window in their last 28 games overall, and are 6-0 against the number in their last six games following a win.
Our Over/Under Prediction
The total for this game is way too high. I’m well aware of Tampa Bay’s struggles defensively, but the Bucs can’t move the ball right now behind a banged-up Jameis Winston. Besides, even though the Bucs have zero pass rush, Drew Brees has one touchdown and two interceptions over his last two games. The Saints are more balanced offensively now than they’ve been since 2009, so I expect a relatively low-scoring game.
The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams, is 11-5 in the Bucs’ last 16 divisional games, and is 11-4 in Tampa Bay’s last 15 games played in the month of November.
NFL WEEK 9 PREDICTION: BUCS/SAINTS UNDER 52