Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/2/18 Week 9 Predictions & Preview

Bears vs. Bills Total Prediction

Will defense be the story of the day when the Buffalo Bills and the Chicago Bears meet up this Sunday at 1PM ET in Week 9 of the NFL Season?

Game Snapshot & Odds

463 Chicago Bears at 464 Buffalo Bills

Sunday, November 4, 2018

1PM ET – New Era Field

TV: FOX

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NFL Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Bears are heavily favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -10 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 37.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 67 percent going on the Bears on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Bears back on track

The Chicago Bears were on a two-game losing streak, but put an end to that with a 24-10 win over the New York Jets last weekend at home. Chicago is now 4-3 on the season, 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 with the over. They have hit the over in three of their last four games.

The Bears are improving on offense each week and now averaging 27.7 points and 396.7 yards per game. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 1,814 yards and 15 touchdowns with six interceptions while also rushing for 296 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Howard is the leading rusher with 392 yards and three scores while Tarik Cohen has 224 rushing yards and 398 receiving yards. Defensively, Chicago is giving up 20.6 points and 346.1 yards per contest. Their run defense is giving up just 83.1 yards per contest. The Bears could be without Khalil Mack again this week. He sat out last week’s game with an ankle injury.

Bills a mess

Buffalo has dropped three straight games coming into this week, scoring just 24 points in the three losses. The Bills are 2-6 overall, 3-5 against the spread and 6-2 with the under. The Bills have hit the under in six straight games.

The Bills are averaging just 10.9 points and 272.9 yards per game on offense this season. Things aren’t likely to get better, as the team is going to have to give the ball back to Nathan Peterman. Josh Allen remains out with an injury and now Derek Anderson is out due to a concussion. Peterman has thrown for just 108 yards with a TD and four interceptions. LeSean McCoy is leading the offense with just 257 rushing yards and no touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25 points and 343.4 yards per game. The Bills have 21 sacks and have created 12 turnovers.

NFL Betting Trends

Chicago

The Bears have hit the under in six straight against a team with a losing record and in six of their last eight road games.

Buffalo

The Bills are 6-1 with the under in its last seven games following a failed cover and in four straight following a loss.

Prediction:

The total is very low, but Buffalo is proving that there may not be a total low enough for them. They have not been able to move the ball at all and now must turn to a very turnover prone QB in Peterman, against a defense that creates a lot of havoc. As bad as Buffalo is on offense, the defense is pretty respectable. The defense should play well enough at home to remain mildly competitive with Chicago, which leads me to like the under.

 

NFL Prediction: Bears/Bills Under 37.5