Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Prediction
The Steelers will look to improve to 3-4 on the season when they host the winless Dolphins at 8:15 p.m. ET tonight for Monday Night Football. That said, is 14 points too much to lay on the Steelers?
277 Miami Dolphins (+14) at 278 Pittsburgh Steelers (-14); O/U 43.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, October 28, 2019
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Dolphins are receiving 58% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Miami Dolphins Fantasy Spin
Dolphins CB Xavien Howard (knee) is questionable for Week 8 against the Steelers. Howard was limited in practice all week and is at least inching towards a return. His presence upgrades a secondary that is at all-time lows, especially with S Reshad Jones sidelined.
Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Spin
James Washington (shoulder) is expected to play Week 8 against the Dolphins. Washington practiced in full all week long. The matchup couldn't get better, but Washington has been a third- or fourth-read on most Mason Rudolph dropbacks despite their perceived chemistry stemming back to college. Washington has a career 42.4% catch rate as a boom-or-bust deep threat.
NFL Betting Trends
The Dolphins are just 3-12 against the spread in their last 15 road games and are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.
The Steelers have covered the spread in four straight games and are 6-1-1 against the number in their last eight games coming off a win.
It’s really hard to back a Miami team with a front office that is purposely trying to lose games but this is a spot where I do like the Dolphins. Miami is terrible when it comes to stopping the pass and the run but tonight is about Pittsburgh’s game plan. The Steelers will likely go with a run-heavy game with Mason Rudolph back under center. The 34.43 seconds between plays that they run when up by seven or more points is the fourth slowest in the NFL, so clearly they try to get a lead and then milk clock. The Steelers have also settled for more field goals (seven) than touchdowns (six) in the red zone this year, which helps when getting 14 points with the underdog. Ryan Fitzpatrick, meanwhile, is responsible for four of the seven offensive touchdowns that Miami has this season. He’s not great, but he does give the Dolphins more of a shot at points than the recently benched Josh Rosen.
NFL Week 8 Prediction: Miami Dolphins +14