NFL Week 7 Predictions: Jaguars vs. Colts Betting Total Too Low? 10/20/17

Jaguars vs. Colts Total Pick

Is the betting total for Sunday’s AFC South matchup between the Jaguars and Colts set too low?

Opening & Current Point Spread Odds & Over/Under Totals

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Colts are 3-point home underdogs versus the Jaguars, who also opened as 3-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 44.5 but has been bet down to 43.5.

Public Betting Information

As of this writing, nearly 70% of public bettors are backing the Jaguars and laying the field goal on the road. With both teams coming off losses, public bettors are rolling the dice that Leonard Fournette will be healthy enough to lead the Jags to a road win.

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Key Betting Trends

The Jaguars are 4-0 in their last four games versus the Colts and have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 trips to Indianapolis. The favorite has also fared well in this series, covering in nine of the last 13 meetings between these two teams. The under, meanwhile, is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings in Indianapolis and is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings overall.

OUR PREDICTION: I’m bucking the trends in this one. Despite the under being a solid play in this series, the over is 4-1 in the Jaguars’ last five games overall. It is also 8-2 in their last 10 games played in October and is 6-2 in their last eight games against AFC South rivals. On the other side, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the Colts’ last four games overall and is 7-1 in their last eight games played in October.

 

NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTIONS: JAGUARS/COLTS OVER 43.5