NFL Week 7 Predictions: Falcons vs. Patriots to be high-scoring? 10/20/17

Falcons vs. Patriots Total Pick

The Falcons and Patriots will play in a rematch of last year's Super Bowl when the two teams meet at 8:30PM ET on Sunday night. Will the over hit for bettors?

Game Info

Who: Falcons (3-2) at Patriots (4-2)

When: 8:30PM ET, Sunday, October 22

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 56.5 points after opening at 53.5. As for the point spread, the Patriots opened as a 3.5-point home favorite versus the Falcons but the line has dropped to 3 at the majority of online sports books.

Public Betting Information

The Falcons are coming off back-to-back losses to AFC East opponents not named the Patriots and public bettors are fading Atlanta, although not by a wide margin. Only 51% of public bettors are laying the points with the Patriots on Sunday night.

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Key Betting Trends

The road team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams but the Falcons are winless at the betting window at 0-5 in their last five games against the Patriots. Atlanta is 9-2 against the spread in its last 11 road games while New England is 12-3-2 against the spread in its last 17 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Our Prediction

The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and is 49-23 in the Patriots' last 72 home games. The over is also 8-2 in the Patriots' last 10 games overall, is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a win, and is 64-29 in their last 93 games played on fieldturf. On the other side the over is 18-7-1 in the Falcons' last 26 games overall, is 8-1 in their last nine games versus a team with a winning record, and has cashed in 14 of their last 16 games played on fieldturf.

 

NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTIONS: FALCONS/PATRIOTS OVER 56.5