Colts vs. Texans Pick
Will the Sunday night matchup between the Colts and Texans be a shootout at 8:30PM ET in Houston?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, The Texans are 3-point home favorites versus the Colts after opening as 3.5-point favorites. As for the total, the number opened at 46 but has already been bet up to 48.5.
The Colts are coming off a come-from-behind 29-23 win over the Bears in Week 5, covering as a 4-point home favorite. That improved Indy's record to 2-3 on the year and 2-3 against the spread. Andrew Luck has been sacked a league-high 20 times this season, with only Aaron Rodgers (37%) being pressured on a higher percentage of dropbacks than Luck (34%). Luck has been sacked at least five times in each of his two road games this season.
Brock Osweiler has been an issue for the Texans this season, ranking at the bottom of the league in most categories. He's 27th in completion percentage (58.0), 29th in yards per attempt (6.0), tied for 28th in interceptions (7), and 25th in total QBR (50.1). Lamar Miller has yet to find the end zone as well despite having twice as many touches as any other player that has yet to score a TD.
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OUR PICK: The Colts have scored a touchdown on 11 of their 13 red zone trips this season (*84.6), which is the best red zone efficiency in the NFL. That said, only the Saints are allowing more points per game than Indy this season, making the Colts a perfect over bet. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Houston and is 5-1 in the Colts' last six games overall. The over is also 4-1 in Indy's last five road games, is 4-1 in the Colts' last five games versus AFC South opponents and is 23-8 in the Texans' last 31 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
NFL WEEK 6 PREDICTION: COLTS/TEXANS OVER 48.5