Cowboys vs. Jets Total Prediction
The Cowboys started the season 3-0 but have dropped back-to-back games. With the ‘Boys looking to rebound on Sunday when they visit the Jets at 4:25 p.m. ET, what’s the best play for bettors when it comes to the total?
269 Dallas Cowboys (-7) at 270 New York Jets (+7); O/U 43
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 13
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Cowboys are receiving 80% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Spin
Dak Prescott completed 27-of-44 passes for 463 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions while adding four carries for an additional 27 yards Sunday in the Cowboys’ Week 5 loss to the Packers. He was brought down for three sacks, resulting in a loss of 22 yards. Dak's huge counting stats were largely fueled by garbage time as 329 of his 463 yards occurred after the break. The first interception Prescott threw wasn't his fault as Amari Cooper dropped a ball right into the waiting hands of stud cornerback Jaire Alexander. The others were the result of either heavy pressure, a miscommunication between the quarterback and receiver, a lack of precision, or some combination of the three. It wasn't the prettiest 463 yards you'll ever see, though in fairness, Prescott played without both of his starting tackles (La'El Collins suffered an in-game injury while Tyron Smith was out with a high-ankle sprain) and also had a difficult matchup against a highly underrated Packers defense. Dak and the Cowboys will look to halt their two-game losing skid next week against the Jets, who have been a pushover to opposing quarterbacks.
New York Jets Fantasy Spin
Le'Veon Bell rushed 15 times for 43 yards, additionally hauling in 7-of-9 targets fo r45 yards in the Jets' demoralizing Week 5 loss to the Eagles. The Jets and Luke Falk were unsurprisingly overwhelmed from the get-go, getting manhandled for 10 sacks, a pick-six, and a strip-sack that resulted in a fumble return for another score. Bell's usage in this Darnold-less stint has been that of a bell-cow back, but it's only resulted in an empty 54/146 rushing (2.7 YPC) and 21/134 receiving as the team's only viable offensive threat since Week 2. The table will inevitably turn once Darnold's back under center, but Bell can't be considered anything more than a usage-based RB1 as the offense continues floundering until that time. It doesn't get any easier with a home matchup against the Cowboys on deck for Week 6.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 9-1 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
New York Jets
The under is 10-4 in the Jets’ last 14 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 26-10 in the Cowboys’ last 36 road games, is 19-9 in their last 28 games versus an opponent with a losing record and is 7-3 in their last 10 road contests when facing an opponent with a losing home record. On the other side, the under has cashed in four of the Jets’ last five games overall, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss of more than 14 points and is 5-1 in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
NFL Week 6 Prediction: Cowboys/Jets UNDER 43