Falcons vs. Broncos Pick
Despite the Falcons' scoring output the last two weeks, will the under cash for bettors when Atlanta visits the Broncos on Sunday?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Broncos are 4.5-point home favorites versus the Falcons while the over/under currently sits at 47 points. Denver opened as a 4.5-point favorite and while the line has danced between 3.5 and 5, it appears to be settling in at that original number.
The Falcons enter play this week on a three-game winning streak after blasting the Panthers 48-33 last Sunday at the Georgia Dome. Matt Ryan threw for over 500 yards in the victory, while Julio Jones turned 12 catches into 300 yards receiving and a touchdown. Atlanta is now 3-1 on the year and 3-1 against the spread.
The Broncos are a perfect 4-0 after waxing the Buccaneers 27-7 last Sunday in Tampa. Replacing the injured Trevor Siemian during the game, rookie Paxton Lynch completed 14-of-24 pass attempts for 170 yards and a touchdown in the victory. Denver's outstanding defense also intercepted Jameis Winston twice and held him to just 17-of-35 passing for 179 yards. Denver is 4-0 straight up and 4-0 at the betting window in 2016.
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OUR PICK: The Falcons have scored 35, 45 and 48 points the last three weeks so it's a perfect time to fade their offense and nab the under while the total is sitting at an inflated 47. Atlanta isn't going to post the kind of offensive numbers against Denver as it did last week at home versus Carolina. The under is 11-4-1 in the Falcons' last 16 road games and is 6-0 in their last six games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The under is also 9-4-1 in the Broncos' last 14 home games.
NFL WEEK 5 PICK: FALCONS/BRONCOS UNDER 47