NFL Week 4 Picks: Panthers & Patriots to go over betting total? 9/29/17

Panthers at Patriots Total Pick

Will the Panthers and Patriots go over the betting total on Sunday when the two teams meet at 1:00PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Panthers (2-1) at Patriots (2-1)

When: 1:00PM ET, Sunday, October 1

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 9-point home favorites versus the Panthers, who also opened as 9-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 47.5 but has been bet up to 49.5.

Bet NFL Week 4 Games

Carolina Panthers Betting Trends

The Panthers are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six road games, are 4-1 against the number in their last five games coming off an ATS loss, and are 8-3 at the betting window in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. That said, they're just 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

New England Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games coming off a win, are 13-5-2 against the spread in their last 20 home games, and are 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 games. They're also 33-16-2 against the spread in their last 51 games following an ATS loss.

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OUR PREDICTION: The over is 5-0 in the Panthers' last four games in Week 4, is 8-2 in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record, and has cashed in 11 of their last 15 games played in October. On the other side, the over is 7-0 in the Patriots' last seven games, is 48-23 in their last 71 home games, and is 46-22 in their last 68 games when facing a team with a winning record.

 

NFL WEEK 4 PICK: PANTHERS/PATRIOTS OVER 49.5